Mountainous-Elongation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2.40K

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

56.2%

Resolved

9,745

Trades

148,869

lifetime

Volume

$531.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$20

4 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 08-15 07:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 160 days

Categories

Other

74% 45% -$1,935

Politics

8% 45% -$399

Crypto

8% 44% -$151

Sports

6% 60% +$252

Tech

2% 39% -$161

Pop-Culture

1% 50% -$6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (4) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	+10	$8	82¢	$8	+$0	04-30 05:43
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	+10	$6	64¢	$6	+$0	05-01 12:25
Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	+10	$4	36¢	$4	$0	05-01 12:24
Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	+10	$2	18¢	$2	$0	04-30 05:33

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	1,080	$3.8K	4,355	4,168	+187	No	+$19	03-30 23:19
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	495	$2.4K	2,220	2,185	+35	No	+$14	03-30 22:19
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	572	$2.3K	2,378	2,249	+129	No	+$34	03-30 22:27
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	409	$2.2K	1,899	1,869	+30	No	+$9	03-28 04:43
will wagner moura win best actor at the 98th academy awards	329	$2.0K	1,345	1,320	+25	No	+$2	03-14 21:59
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	464	$1.9K	1,981	1,931	+50	No	+$15	01-30 16:50
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 75m and 100m views in its first 7 days	464	$1.7K	1,835	1,744	+91	Yes	+$12	02-14 22:07
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	403	$1.4K	1,689	1,669	+20	Yes	+$6	03-30 15:13
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	242	$1.4K	1,085	1,036	+49	No	-$1	02-06 15:55
elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 280 299	218	$1.3K	988	973	+15	No	+$0	01-29 12:05
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	283	$1.3K	1,270	1,253	+17	No	+$13	03-30 18:40
Will Vance visit the Middle East by April 10?	388	$1.3K	1,531	1,505	+26	No	+$8	04-11 03:55
will hamnet win best picture at the 98th academy awards	180	$1.3K	773	783	-10	No	+$1	03-14 22:25
will cardi b perform during the super bowl lx halftime show	308	$1.2K	1,300	1,300	+0	Yes	+$22	02-08 23:00
bitboy convicted	334	$1.2K	1,190	1,125	+65	No	+$12	03-31 10:59
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	184	$1.1K	882	817	+65	No	+$1	03-19 11:51
will ethan hawke win best actor at the 98th academy awards	178	$1.1K	717	717	+0	No	+$1	03-14 19:44
will mrbeasts next video get between 80 and 90 million views on week 1 363	263	$1.1K	1,027	978	+49	Yes	-$10	03-13 20:57
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	223	$1.1K	947	957	-10	No	-$1	04-03 06:45
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	221	$1.1K	1,004	984	+20	No	+$5	03-29 04:19
will bitcoin reach 90k in march 2026	222	$1.1K	1,000	960	+40	No	+$2	03-21 20:20
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 320 339	190	$1.1K	837	847	-10	No	+$2	02-03 07:12
will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	272	$1.0K	1,151	1,121	+30	No	+$8	02-26 13:00
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 180 199	205	$1.0K	904	874	+30	No	+$2	03-03 09:54
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 340 359	187	$991	826	801	+25	No	+$1	02-13 06:47
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	205	$975	865	865	+0	No	-$7	03-30 02:24
will the 2026 bad bunny super bowl halftime show video get between 100m and 125m views in its first 7 days	271	$966	1,008	1,001	+6	No	+$21	02-14 21:29
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	182	$928	834	834	+0	No	+$0	03-20 05:35
elon musk of tweets february 12 february 14 0 39	147	$923	670	670	+0	No	+$1	02-14 15:11
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 340 359	157	$922	735	720	+15	No	$0	03-24 11:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-15 07:20:04	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x1b3142…
08-14 20:37:00	Will Democratic House incumbents not win in fewer than three nominating elections in the 2026 cycle?	Yes	SELL	6	1¢	$0	0xae44dc…
07-30 19:15:38	Mike Locksley out as Maryland HC in 2026?	No	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0xaae834…
07-08 15:31:35	Will the Republican Party win the CA-02 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x900218…
07-03 14:12:01	Will the Republican Party win the TN-03 House seat?	No	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0xbffc0c…
06-20 03:48:19	Will the Democratic Party win the CA-02 House seat?	No	SELL	5	6¢	$0	0x78a666…
06-18 19:46:20	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-07 House seat?	No	SELL	10	80¢	$8	0xb6d725…
05-26 19:07:38	Will Mohamed Salah play in Bundesliga next?	Yes	SELL	7	0¢	$0	0x02c82a…
05-21 17:09:03	Will Fred Harding win the 2026 Vancouver mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x3e2ce2…
05-19 21:33:11	Will the number of Republican Senate members who retire in 2026 be less than 5?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0xe45901…
05-19 06:40:27	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	7	40¢	$3	0x71f761…
05-16 07:23:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0xd2d427…
05-16 07:20:02	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe60b41…
05-16 05:55:06	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	SELL	10	6¢	$1	0x381eb0…
05-16 05:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C on May 16?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x1c8f01…
05-13 02:51:21	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	SELL	0	55¢	$0	0x6bd930…
05-13 02:50:57	Will Thomas Chalifoux be the Republican nominee for FL-09?	No	SELL	8	72¢	$6	0xa44959…
05-12 21:29:44	U.S. agrees to a new trade deal with "Australia" before 2027?	No	SELL	10	93¢	$9	0xf6532b…
05-12 06:08:22	Will Javen Allen advance from the 2026 California Governor primary election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xc1dfef…
05-10 15:30:05	Will Unit launch a token by December 31, 2027?	Yes	SELL	0	65¢	$0	0xe1a00c…
05-08 16:14:45	Will Ultra Prime qualify for EWC 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xcb1e93…
05-08 01:32:25	Will Neil Saravanamuttoo win the 2026 Ottawa mayoral election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x7c7b01…
05-07 18:55:57	Will Lamont Lavender be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Alabama?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x49670c…
05-06 03:00:06	Will any AI model reach 1530 Math Arena Score by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10	72¢	$7	0xca7844…
05-04 22:36:46	Will Ei Nerd Esports win CD 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x3ac47b…
05-04 22:36:28	Will Ei Nerd Esports win CD 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x4a025b…
05-04 22:36:20	Will Ei Nerd Esports win CD 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x703998…
05-04 10:05:10	Will Apex Mission Impossible win NACL 2026 Spring?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x6f57d0…
05-04 06:55:48	Will Conviction win NACL 2026 Spring?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4b9c01…
05-02 18:55:06	Will Sentinels win LCS 2026 Spring?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x21a651…
05-02 18:55:06	Will Sentinels win LCS 2026 Spring?	No	SELL	5	84¢	$4	0x0ce332…
05-01 16:54:44	Will 9z Team win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xa70f1c…
05-01 16:54:08	Will 9z Team win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x00f3dc…
05-01 16:54:00	Will 9z Team win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	0	0¢	$0	0x1ae50a…
05-01 16:51:30	Will Raymond Heck be the Democratic Nominee for NJ-12?	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0xe94be3…
05-01 15:15:12	Will Volticons win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x38c3a5…
05-01 15:11:54	Will Volticons win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	4	0¢	$0	0xde33a8…
05-01 15:11:54	Will 9z Team win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	3	0¢	$0	0xdcb9ac…
05-01 15:11:44	Will Volticons win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x155946…
05-01 12:48:38	Will Volticons win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x54a125…
05-01 12:48:28	Will Volticons win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x617f79…
05-01 12:44:48	Will 9z Team win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0xfd7180…
05-01 12:44:48	Will Volticons win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	2	0¢	$0	0x97e2d2…
05-01 12:25:18	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	No	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x0af116…
05-01 12:24:44	Will J.D. Vance win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0xcab03d…
05-01 09:33:56	Will Maze Gaming win LRS 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	7	45¢	$3	0xd0398b…
04-30 06:01:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x20c026…
04-30 06:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0xe806d2…
04-30 05:53:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2AM ET	Down	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0xea7da0…
04-30 05:53:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 2AM ET	Up	BUY	10	56¢	$6	0x9a7b71…
04-30 05:43:32	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	10	81¢	$8	0xa261b3…
04-30 05:33:42	Will JD Vance win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x397708…
04-30 05:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x15a12e…
04-30 04:02:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 12:00AM-12:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xcc30f4…
04-30 03:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	4	90¢	$3	0xa0a858…
04-30 03:59:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	90¢	$2	0x84a989…
04-30 03:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x6ea316…
04-29 14:40:42	Will the Democratic Party win the TN-05 House seat?	No	SELL	10	79¢	$8	0xec7864…
04-29 04:58:20	Will Gaimin Gladiators win IEM Cologne Major 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x8826d6…
04-28 22:25:12	Will the Democratic Party win the MI-01 House seat?	Yes	SELL	9	13¢	$1	0x0429c5…
04-28 14:45:20	Will the Republican Party win the AZ-04 House seat?	Yes	SELL	10	12¢	$1	0x7901aa…
04-27 08:38:38	Will Zeu5 Esports win LRN 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	10	9¢	$1	0x51d76c…
04-25 13:48:28	Will the US lose between 0 and 50k jobs in April?	Yes	SELL	9	4¢	$0	0xbdff9c…
04-24 06:59:52	Will Ed Sheeran have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x295550…
04-24 06:40:30	Will Coldplay have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x032586…
04-24 06:40:10	Will Noah Kahan have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x367e79…
04-24 06:16:12	Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0xf1c1b8…
04-24 06:15:52	Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?	Yes	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xb92ec1…
04-24 04:50:38	Will Trump meet with Nicolás Maduro in April 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x68c741…
04-23 07:36:50	Will Kendrick Lamar have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xeab37d…
04-22 17:21:24	Will Trump say "Not an Autopen" or "Not an Auto Pen" in April?	Yes	SELL	8	19¢	$1	0x8f638a…
04-21 20:31:44	Will Kendrick Lamar have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xe419cb…
04-21 15:38:52	Will the Patek Index hit $109,000 (HIGH) by April 30?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0xfeab46…
04-21 09:27:12	Will Keyd Stars Academy win CD 2026 Split 1?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x17147f…
04-20 17:26:38	Will Billie Eilish have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0x010b49…
04-19 22:14:58	Will Rihanna perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x1b2cb8…
04-19 22:14:12	Will Coldplay perform at the 2026 Todo Mundo no Rio music festival?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x883751…
04-19 19:35:44	Will Trump say "Not an Autopen" or "Not an Auto Pen" in April?	Yes	SELL	2	46¢	$1	0xb91817…
04-19 19:18:10	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.25% (LOW) in April?	No	SELL	9	42¢	$4	0xad8a29…
04-19 11:42:52	Will the US add between 150k and 200k jobs in April?	Yes	SELL	2	9¢	$0	0x00fd66…
04-18 13:45:00	will conservative win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	SELL	6	0¢	$0	0x9b40d6…
04-18 09:46:18	Will José Luna finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf1771c…
04-18 09:10:04	will french flair win emea masters 2026 winter	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x18bd20…
04-18 09:10:02	will big win emea masters 2026 winter	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x1eea8e…
04-18 09:09:54	will unicorns of love sexy edition win emea masters 2026 winter	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x3483f3…
04-18 08:03:26	Will Roberto Chiabra finish in first place in the first round of the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x572e73…
04-17 13:06:26	Will Noah Kahan have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2b85db…
04-17 05:49:28	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.25% (LOW) in April?	No	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0xee83c6…
04-17 05:20:04	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xebf79a…
04-17 04:35:22	Will the Bank of Korea decrease the base rate after the May Meeting?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0xf8f023…
04-17 02:34:56	Will Mistral have the best Math AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xeee662…
04-16 21:44:44	Will Drake have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xbc5a35…
04-16 18:19:50	Will Germany GDP growth in Q1 2026 be at least 1.3%?	Yes	SELL	8	3¢	$0	0xd6db2c…
04-16 15:45:14	Will GPT-5.5 be released on April 25, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	0¢	$0	0x2799ed…
04-16 13:04:10	Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.15% (LOW) in April?	No	SELL	10	54¢	$5	0xc2c38d…
04-16 10:47:56	Will Kendrick Lamar have the greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	1	0¢	$0	0x009ea6…
04-16 10:47:24	Will Taylor Swift have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	8	0¢	$0	0xaec87c…
04-16 10:20:40	Will Rihanna have the second-greatest number of monthly Spotify listeners this month?	Yes	SELL	20	0¢	$0	0xd45219…
04-16 09:25:04	Will Bologna reach the UEFA Europa League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	10	4¢	$0	0x1fb936…
04-16 08:50:56	Will Brandon Hagel win the 2025–2026 NHL Frank J. Selke Trophy?	Yes	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xf64b66…