Will the 10-year Treasury hit 4.25% (LOW) in April?
closed
Total volume
$349
Trades
53
Unique wallets
30
Liquidity
$0
End date
2026-04-30
First seen
2026-04-03
last 04-30 19:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.
YES holders
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
SMI:
+75.2¢
(top1%: 100% YES on $4
vs crowd: 25% YES on $312)
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐋 Whale | 3 | — | $183 | $183 |
| 🐬 Dolphin | 7 | $35 | $1 | +$34 |
| 🐟 Fish | 12 | $14 | $44 | $30 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 8 | $28 | $6 | +$22 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🎯 Top 1% | 1 | $4 | — | +$4 |
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $22 | $135 | $113 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | $10 | $13 | $3 |
| Median | 1 | $2 | — | +$2 |
| Below median | 5 | $14 | $13 | +$1 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 6 | $11 | $24 | $13 |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $50 | $50 |
| unranked | 1 | $15 | — | +$15 |
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | +130 | $130 | $130 | 1 | 04-30 19:51 |
| Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | +74 | $-1 | $2 | 5 | 04-30 19:51 |
| Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | No | +50 | $50 | $50 | 1 | 04-30 19:51 |
| Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | Yes | +50 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-30 19:51 |
| Overdue-Sideboard 0x94b0…9d34 | Yes | +24 | $20 | $20 | 1 | 04-08 07:34 |
| Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | +22 | $14 | $14 | 1 | 04-27 18:18 |
| Passionate-Fen 0x919d…f748 | No | +20 | $8 | $8 | 1 | 04-19 19:18 |
| Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | +18 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 04-15 09:39 |
| Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | +15 | $3 | $3 | 2 | 04-07 23:53 |
| Flowery-Ounce 0x2455…a70f | Yes | +13 | $10 | $10 | 1 | 04-07 23:53 |
| Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | +11 | $6 | $6 | 1 | 04-19 19:18 |
| (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | +10 | $2 | $2 | 3 | 04-16 05:33 |
| Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | +7 | $1 | $2 | 2 | 04-27 18:18 |
| (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-28 20:06 |
| Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | +5 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 04-28 20:06 |
| (anonymous) 0xf6cb…ec61 | No | +5 | $5 | $5 | 1 | 04-29 20:44 |
| Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | +3 | $0 | $13 | 2 | 04-29 19:59 |
| Melodic-Health 0x635e…1f63 | Yes | +2 | $-1 | $4 | 2 | 04-27 18:18 |
| Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | No | +1 | $1 | $3 | 2 | 04-15 09:39 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04-30 19:51:44 | Bulky-Havoc 0x21b4…1f06 | No | BUY | 130 | 100¢ | $130 | 0xa1012e… |
| 04-30 19:51:44 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | BUY | 19 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa1012e… |
| 04-30 19:51:44 | Prickly-Teletype 0xfc00…b460 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa1012e… |
| 04-30 19:51:40 | Naive-Waterwheel 0x10b2…4ceb | No | BUY | 50 | 100¢ | $50 | 0x517273… |
| 04-30 19:51:40 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | BUY | 50 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x517273… |
| 04-29 20:44:22 | (anonymous) 0xf6cb…ec61 | No | BUY | 5 | 97¢ | $5 | 0x511544… |
| 04-29 20:44:22 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 3¢ | $0 | 0x511544… |
| 04-29 19:59:20 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 16¢ | $1 | 0xe3a317… |
| 04-29 19:59:20 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | SELL | 8 | 84¢ | $6 | 0xe3a317… |
| 04-28 20:06:44 | Waterlogged-Historian 0x0e7f…8605 | Yes | BUY | 7 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x64a246… |
| 04-28 20:06:44 | (anonymous) 0xba2c…54d0 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x64a246… |
| 04-28 20:06:44 | Sad-Fellow 0x50b9…4298 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x64a246… |
| 04-28 20:06:44 | (anonymous) 0xa0d6…f13d | Yes | SELL | 41 | 1¢ | $1 | 0x64a246… |
| 04-27 18:18:22 | Melodic-Health 0x635e…1f63 | Yes | SELL | 8 | 35¢ | $3 | 0x5fd1d8… |
| 04-27 18:18:22 | Keen-Loneliness 0x966b…2ee6 | No | BUY | 10 | 64¢ | $6 | 0x5fd1d8… |
| 04-27 18:18:22 | Immaculate-President 0x3082…9446 | No | BUY | 22 | 64¢ | $14 | 0x5fd1d8… |
| 04-27 18:18:22 | (anonymous) 0xa0d6…f13d | Yes | BUY | 41 | 36¢ | $15 | 0x5fd1d8… |
| 04-27 18:18:22 | Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | SELL | 2 | 50¢ | $1 | 0x5fd1d8… |
| 04-25 17:24:22 | French-Recession 0x0097…98de | Yes | SELL | 19 | 16¢ | $3 | 0x19e4fb… |
| 04-25 17:24:22 | Third-Odyssey 0xa53b…4021 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x19e4fb… |
| 04-25 17:24:22 | Melodic-Health 0x635e…1f63 | Yes | BUY | 10 | 16¢ | $2 | 0x19e4fb… |
| 04-19 19:18:10 | Mountainous-Elongation 0x5fe5…8b99 | No | SELL | 9 | 42¢ | $4 | 0xad8a29… |
| 04-19 19:18:10 | Passionate-Fen 0x919d…f748 | No | BUY | 20 | 42¢ | $8 | 0xad8a29… |
| 04-19 19:18:10 | Frail-Prayer 0x9422…f273 | Yes | BUY | 11 | 58¢ | $6 | 0xad8a29… |
| 04-17 05:49:28 | Mountainous-Elongation 0x5fe5…8b99 | No | SELL | 1 | 23¢ | $0 | 0xee83c6… |
| 04-17 05:49:28 | Bulky-Suit 0x30df…beef | Yes | SELL | 1 | 77¢ | $1 | 0xee83c6… |
| 04-16 05:33:20 | Bulky-Suit 0x30df…beef | Yes | BUY | 1 | 88¢ | $1 | 0x523b35… |
| 04-16 05:33:20 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 1 | 12¢ | $0 | 0x523b35… |
| 04-15 09:39:06 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | No | SELL | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x0d7407… |
| 04-15 09:39:06 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 7 | 15¢ | $1 | 0x0d7407… |
| 04-15 04:10:32 | Clumsy-Sum 0x571e…67b2 | No | SELL | 19 | 19¢ | $4 | 0x80b342… |
| 04-15 04:10:32 | Shimmering-Contour 0xc474…d697 | No | BUY | 8 | 20¢ | $2 | 0x80b342… |
| 04-15 04:10:32 | Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24 | No | BUY | 11 | 19¢ | $2 | 0x80b342… |
| 04-13 05:09:57 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | SELL | 5 | 30¢ | $2 | 0xf4f947… |
| 04-13 05:09:57 | Corrupt-Split 0x4b0f…3c8e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 70¢ | $4 | 0xf4f947… |
| 04-10 09:41:49 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x8898bf… |
| 04-10 09:41:49 | Corrupt-Split 0x4b0f…3c8e | Yes | BUY | 5 | 80¢ | $4 | 0x8898bf… |
| 04-08 16:26:49 | Crisp-Scarf 0x2ed8…93d4 | Yes | BUY | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x990d42… |
| 04-08 16:26:49 | Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae…a80c | Yes | SELL | 5 | 78¢ | $4 | 0x990d42… |
| 04-08 10:55:51 | Mortified-Wetland 0xf2cf…464b | No | BUY | 0 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x658684… |
| 04-08 10:55:51 | (anonymous) 0xae01…0c40 | No | SELL | 0 | 15¢ | $0 | 0x658684… |
| 04-08 07:34:03 | (anonymous) 0xae01…0c40 | No | BUY | 0 | 13¢ | $0 | 0x795986… |
| 04-08 07:34:03 | (anonymous) 0x8d0c…e1ce | No | BUY | 5 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x795986… |
| 04-08 07:34:03 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 6 | 16¢ | $1 | 0x795986… |
| 04-08 07:34:03 | Mountainous-Elongation 0x5fe5…8b99 | No | BUY | 10 | 14¢ | $1 | 0x795986… |
| 04-08 07:34:03 | Overdue-Sideboard 0x94b0…9d34 | Yes | BUY | 24 | 84¢ | $20 | 0x795986… |
| 04-07 23:53:55 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | BUY | 10 | 21¢ | $2 | 0x22f181… |
| 04-07 23:53:55 | Flowery-Ounce 0x2455…a70f | Yes | BUY | 13 | 79¢ | $10 | 0x22f181… |
| 04-07 23:53:55 | (anonymous) 0x229c…b966 | No | BUY | 3 | 20¢ | $1 | 0x22f181… |
| 04-04 17:18:51 | Clumsy-Sum 0x571e…67b2 | No | BUY | 19 | 47¢ | $9 | 0x3502e4… |
| 04-04 17:18:51 | French-Recession 0x0097…98de | Yes | BUY | 19 | 53¢ | $10 | 0x3502e4… |
| 04-03 01:37:45 | Appropriate-Handrail 0x2aae…a80c | Yes | BUY | 5 | 75¢ | $4 | 0x2a6118… |
| 04-03 01:37:45 | Rural-Sight 0xe450…91b9 | No | BUY | 5 | 25¢ | $1 | 0x2a6118… |