Realized P&L
-$154
Unrealized P&L
+$16
Hit rate
1.5%
Resolved
24,565
Trades
29,368
lifetime
Volume
$1.31K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$0
Open exposure
$18
30 positions
First seen
2026-04-28
last 05-08 12:16
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 160 days
Categories
Other
43% 1% +$40
Crypto
43% 1% -$167
Sports
8% 1% -$26
Politics
6% 1% -$9
Tech
0% 3% +$5
Pop-Culture
0% 3% +$3
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-05-08).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be 4.25% at the end of 2026? Yes +10 $0 76¢ $8 +$8 05-01 06:32
Will LIV Golf announce shutdown in 2026? No +5 $0 58¢ $3 +$3 05-01 15:59
Will Morgan Wallen be the Billboard #1 top artist in 2026? Yes +2 $0 95¢ $2 +$2 04-30 08:49
Will Sergio Massa win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes +5 $0 14¢ $1 +$1 05-02 22:09
Will Alexander Volkanovski be the next fighter to be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings in 2026? Yes +10 $0 6¢ $1 +$0 04-30 21:02
Will Philadelphia Union win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +10 $0 6¢ $1 +$0 05-01 08:43
Will New England Revolution win the 2026 MLS Cup? Yes +10 $0 5¢ $0 +$0 04-30 03:06
Will Alexander Volkanovski be ranked first in the UFC Pound-For-Pound Rankings at the end of 2026? Yes +9 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 05-01 10:58
Will Alireza Arafi be head of state in Iran end of 2026? Yes +10 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 05-01 13:32
Will Jakob Glesnes win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 05-02 17:11
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 04-28 13:02
Will Pittsburgh Steelers win the 2027 NFL AFC Championship? Yes +5 $0 4¢ $0 +$0 04-28 15:36
Variational FDV above $100M one day after launch? No +5 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 05-03 02:31
Hyperbeat FDV above $300M one day after launch? Yes +10 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 04-29 11:59
Abstract FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 04-29 06:52
Will Ebba Busch be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 04-28 17:23
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on December 31? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 04-29 13:25
Will Aljamain Sterling be the UFC Featherweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 04-30 19:06
Will Song Yadong be the UFC Bantamweight Champion on December 31, 2026? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 04-29 09:12
Will Ted Cruz win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 3¢ $0 +$0 04-28 13:21
Will David Brekalo win 2026 MLS Defender of the Year? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 05-02 17:11
Will Joe Kent win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 04-28 12:35
Will Atlanta Falcons win the 2027 NFL NFC Championship? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 +$0 04-30 14:21
Will Thomas Massie win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 04-28 12:52
Reya FDV above $1B one day after launch? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 04-29 12:15
Extended FDV above $3B one day after launch? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 04-30 12:40
Will Israel strike 10 countries in 2026? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 05-02 13:55
Will China’s 2026 annual GDP growth (Y/Y) be between 3.0% and 4.0%? Yes +10 $0 1¢ $0 $0 04-29 12:49
Will the upper bound of the target federal funds rate be ≥ 4.5% at the end of 2026? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 05-01 03:13
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election? Yes +5 $0 2¢ $0 +$0 04-28 13:31