Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 11°C or below on May 10?
open
Total volume
$193
$606 in 24h
Trades
31
Unique wallets
28
Liquidity
$653
Latest YES mid
0¢
Latest NO mid
100¢
End date
2026-05-10
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-10 01:51
YES price (mid)
last 60 days, hourly
Cohort breakdown
who's buying — by wallet tier
By volume tier
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🐟 Fish | 3 | — | $114 | $114 |
| 🦐 Shrimp | 25 | $2 | $72 | $70 |
By P&L percentile
| Tier | Wallets | YES buy | NO buy | Net bias |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 🏆 Top 5% | 6 | $2 | $114 | $113 |
| ✅ Top 10% | 9 | — | — | +— |
| Median | 7 | — | $55 | $55 |
| Below median | 2 | $0 | — | +$0 |
| ⚠️ Bottom 10% | 1 | — | — | +— |
| 🔻 Bottom 5% | 1 | — | $9 | $9 |
| 💀 Bottom 1% | 1 | — | $8 | $8 |
| unranked | 1 | $0 | — | +$0 |
SMI history (last 30d)
daily Smart-Money Index — top-1% YES-buy share minus crowd YES-buy share, in cents · positive = top-1% leans YES vs crowd
| Wallet | Side | Net shares | Cost basis | Volume | Trades | Last activity |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | +61 | $1 | $1 | 2 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | +60 | $60 | $60 | 1 | 05-09 14:24 |
| Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | No | +55 | $54 | $54 | 2 | 05-08 04:39 |
| Improbable-Colorlessness-Freedom 0x5714…ae10 | Yes | +32 | $1 | $1 | 1 | 05-08 05:15 |
| Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | +30 | $30 | $30 | 1 | 05-09 20:55 |
| Definite-Orangutan 0x784f…8b05 | No | +25 | $25 | $25 | 1 | 05-09 17:09 |
| Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | +10 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Negative-Meander 0xea12…993b | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | +9 | $0 | $0 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | +9 | $9 | $9 | 1 | 05-09 20:02 |
| Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | +8 | $8 | $8 | 2 | 05-09 04:10 |
| Time | Wallet | Outcome | Side | Size | Price | USD | Tx |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Visible-Parenting 0x19af…6e63 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xef343b… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Impressionable-Ship 0x04dc…d572 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x0621a7… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Grave-Dissemination 0xe43f…a889 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6904af… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Overdue-Ladle 0xd009…91af | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xf22aa2… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Blond-Nick 0xc0d8…5430 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x66032b… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Troubled-Cloth 0x9009…1621 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x6b444a… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Fine-Antecedent 0x23d1…353f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xdeef0c… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Slow-Witchhunt 0xa5cb…6882 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa6c4e7… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Flowery-Jewellery 0x486f…1334 | Yes | SELL | 1 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x9f409f… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Useful-Can 0xd2bb…d53f | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x98f9bf… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Trained-Beanie 0xcb32…79aa | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f1604… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Mundane-Panic 0x2f88…a6f0 | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xd38fed… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Testy-Sculpture 0x20d8…463e | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0xa80244… |
| 05-10 01:51:36 | Eminent-Twine 0x8c8c…f34a | Yes | SELL | 5 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x2f3260… |
| 05-10 00:31:11 | Hasty-Scheme 0x6400…331a | No | SELL | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xb3da20… |
| 05-09 20:55:04 | Likable-Congo 0x53d3…60ee | No | BUY | 30 | 100¢ | $30 | 0xda7820… |
| 05-09 20:02:32 | Costly-Fail 0x52d7…0ff9 | No | BUY | 9 | 100¢ | $9 | 0x63b411… |
| 05-09 20:02:30 | Negative-Meander 0xea12…993b | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x898d34… |
| 05-09 20:02:29 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 18 | 1¢ | $0 | 0x25186e… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Bogus-Curry 0xb06a…52f5 | Yes | BUY | 43 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xe2b22a… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Remarkable-Foam 0xcaaa…da37 | Yes | BUY | 9 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xcafec6… |
| 05-09 20:02:27 | Weekly-Mutton 0xc135…a01a | Yes | BUY | 10 | 1¢ | $0 | 0xaa920a… |
| 05-09 19:53:30 | Gentle-Oat 0xd302…8cbf | Yes | SELL | 155 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x942239… |
| 05-09 17:09:52 | Definite-Orangutan 0x784f…8b05 | No | BUY | 25 | 99¢ | $25 | 0xb3594c… |
| 05-09 14:24:00 | Hard-To-Find-Lip 0xe3c3…ac62 | No | BUY | 60 | 100¢ | $60 | 0x7cd599… |
| 05-09 07:34:46 | Composed-Pomegranate-Chopsticks 0xb06d…33c5 | Yes | SELL | 109 | 0¢ | $0 | 0x56a8ed… |
| 05-09 04:10:43 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 6 | 99¢ | $6 | 0x8e2e21… |
| 05-08 20:10:59 | Biodegradable-Belief 0x57c8…3d9b | No | BUY | 2 | 99¢ | $2 | 0xe7d19c… |
| 05-08 05:15:15 | Improbable-Colorlessness-Freedom 0x5714…ae10 | Yes | BUY | 32 | 3¢ | $1 | 0x5c2022… |
| 05-08 04:39:44 | Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | No | BUY | 50 | 99¢ | $50 | 0x53944a… |
| 05-08 04:10:37 | Masculine-Confidence 0xbc84…a0d2 | No | BUY | 5 | 99¢ | $5 | 0xe43a40… |