False-Owl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$194

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

Trades

255

lifetime

Volume

$15.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-11 08:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 66% $-194

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 112 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (15) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 10am et	2	$1.1K	556	555	+1	open	—	04-15 15:01
btc updown 5m 1776315600	4	$620	354	350	+4	open	—	04-16 05:05
btc updown 5m 1776317700	1	$582	633	0	+633	open	—	04-16 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$580	1,451	1,451	+0	Down	+$180	05-11 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	5	$552	546	370	+176	Down	$-48	05-11 05:59
btc updown 5m 1776314100	1	$537	590	0	+590	open	—	04-16 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	4	$442	347	347	+0	Down	+$42	05-11 06:48
btc updown 5m 1776300300	3	$421	225	223	+2	open	—	04-16 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	5	$414	262	262	+0	Up	+$14	05-11 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$412	225	225	+0	Up	+$12	05-11 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$331	241	241	+0	Down	$-69	05-11 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$312	305	192	+112	Down	+$24	05-11 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$300	376	0	+376	Down	$-98	05-11 07:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$272	253	253	+0	Up	+$72	05-11 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$231	246	125	+121	Down	$-48	05-11 08:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	2	$230	245	245	+0	Up	+$30	05-11 06:05
btc updown 5m 1776298800	2	$229	132	129	+2	open	—	04-16 00:25
btc updown 5m 1781360400	2	$226	124	124	+0	open	—	06-13 14:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	2	$217	184	184	+0	Up	+$17	05-11 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	2	$214	116	116	+0	Up	+$14	05-11 05:49
btc updown 5m 1776265500	2	$210	115	114	+1	open	—	04-15 15:08
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 9am et	2	$210	111	110	+1	open	—	04-15 14:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$209	314	29	+285	Down	$-76	05-11 06:38
btc updown 5m 1776268800	2	$208	109	108	+1	open	—	04-15 16:05
btc updown 5m 1776263400	2	$203	105	104	+0	open	—	04-15 14:36
btc updown 5m 1781361300	2	$202	103	103	+0	open	—	06-13 14:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	2	$201	104	104	+0	Down	+$1	05-11 05:44
btc updown 5m 1776301800	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	04-16 01:15
xrp updown 5m 1776302100	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	04-16 01:20
btc updown 5m 1776297000	2	$201	102	102	+0	open	—	04-15 23:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 16:28:12	btc updown 5m 1781367900	Up	BUY	27	91¢	$25	0x9e93c5…
06-13 16:08:42	btc updown 5m 1781366700	Up	BUY	27	94¢	$25	0x30defc…
06-13 15:57:25	btc updown 5m 1781366100	Down	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xa2f138…
06-13 15:51:54	btc updown 5m 1781365800	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xda136e…
06-13 15:19:21	btc updown 5m 1781363700	Down	BUY	110	91¢	$100	0x12356c…
06-13 15:13:24	btc updown 5m 1781363400	Up	BUY	28	90¢	$25	0x08cfd9…
06-13 15:09:18	btc updown 5m 1781363100	Up	SELL	31	45¢	$14	0x7c7ffe…
06-13 15:06:10	btc updown 5m 1781363100	Up	BUY	31	81¢	$25	0x4c376c…
06-13 14:53:43	btc updown 5m 1781362200	Up	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0xd00868…
06-13 14:46:19	btc updown 5m 1781361900	Up	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x8074fa…
06-13 14:40:58	btc updown 5m 1781361300	Up	SELL	103	99¢	$102	0x636b45…
06-13 14:38:55	btc updown 5m 1781361300	Up	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x4ea674…
06-13 14:34:12	btc updown 5m 1781361000	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x40c890…
06-13 14:28:43	btc updown 5m 1781360700	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xcb4c45…
06-13 14:28:12	btc updown 5m 1781360700	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x867595…
06-13 14:27:58	btc updown 5m 1781360700	Up	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x2fb765…
06-13 14:24:12	btc updown 5m 1781360400	Down	SELL	124	94¢	$116	0xb2b034…
06-13 14:21:57	btc updown 5m 1781360400	Down	BUY	124	89¢	$110	0xc62d3e…
06-13 14:19:12	btc updown 5m 1781360100	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0xa40b9f…
05-11 08:37:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0xf9c393…
05-11 08:37:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0xc7cf0d…
05-11 08:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	122	99¢	$120	0xf7fa96…
05-11 08:26:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	122	54¢	$66	0x7eb9c1…
05-11 08:21:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	SELL	105	32¢	$34	0x11b825…
05-11 08:20:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	105	38¢	$40	0x9c2ed7…
05-11 08:19:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	143	1¢	$1	0x81518c…
05-11 08:17:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x289dbb…
05-11 08:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x6887e5…
05-11 08:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	SELL	125	25¢	$31	0xdd244b…
05-11 08:01:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0x6a7e21…
05-11 07:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	104	98¢	$102	0x32c400…
05-11 07:53:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x321e13…
05-11 07:52:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	SELL	121	91¢	$110	0x3b6dd9…
05-11 07:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	121	83¢	$100	0x8fe456…
05-11 07:50:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Down	BUY	410	24¢	$100	0x56abc9…
05-11 07:43:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	SELL	145	56¢	$81	0x4d83d2…
05-11 07:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x6e2368…
05-11 07:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	64	63¢	$40	0x8fc706…
05-11 07:34:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	188	53¢	$99	0x5beecd…
05-11 07:34:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	SELL	53	61¢	$32	0x743127…
05-11 07:33:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	123	82¢	$100	0x26c96e…
05-11 07:33:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	118	84¢	$100	0x763124…
05-11 07:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x87ab6b…
05-11 07:28:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0x6893a8…
05-11 07:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	112	89¢	$100	0x1273da…
05-11 07:21:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	SELL	192	58¢	$112	0x44db82…
05-11 07:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	192	52¢	$100	0xff93d7…
05-11 07:18:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	SELL	125	60¢	$75	0x9827e1…
05-11 07:16:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xd185d9…
05-11 07:14:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Up	BUY	238	42¢	$100	0x00c7dd…
05-11 07:01:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xd53268…
05-11 07:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	208	48¢	$100	0x71509b…
05-11 07:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xcbd322…
05-11 07:00:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x4cb196…
05-11 06:59:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	174	57¢	$100	0x7bd458…
05-11 06:53:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	114	96¢	$109	0x664e9f…
05-11 06:53:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0xd448f7…
05-11 06:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x97928e…
05-11 06:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	148	71¢	$105	0x97cb72…
05-11 06:51:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	148	67¢	$100	0xea8a29…
05-11 06:48:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	127	98¢	$124	0x624c56…
05-11 06:47:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x9b6e41…
05-11 06:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	220	53¢	$118	0xbe9b1e…
05-11 06:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	220	45¢	$100	0x5efdd0…
05-11 06:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xaa9fed…
05-11 06:38:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	29	29¢	$9	0xa79a45…
05-11 06:37:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x2729d8…
05-11 06:29:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	253	68¢	$172	0x1ae9d5…
05-11 06:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	253	40¢	$100	0x2f4c94…
05-11 06:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1,036	9¢	$90	0xe4aef2…
05-11 06:22:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	101	10¢	$10	0xe3f758…
05-11 06:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	951	4¢	$41	0xdccb60…
05-11 06:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2,199	3¢	$59	0x2d7fef…
05-11 06:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	587	24¢	$139	0x9ed191…
05-11 06:13:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	864	28¢	$240	0x5a59e7…
05-11 06:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	692	14¢	$100	0xe5b637…
05-11 06:13:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	759	13¢	$100	0x59646f…
05-11 06:05:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	SELL	245	53¢	$130	0x9d5da1…
05-11 06:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Up	BUY	245	41¢	$100	0x15b7a0…
05-11 06:04:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	184	63¢	$117	0x0e2438…
05-11 06:03:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0xf8254c…
05-11 05:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	221	64¢	$141	0xeea4e9…
05-11 05:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	221	45¢	$100	0x3c5514…
05-11 05:57:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	149	75¢	$111	0xef0dba…
05-11 05:56:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xf66433…
05-11 05:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0xcc6728…
05-11 05:53:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	SELL	250	13¢	$32	0x2f17e2…
05-11 05:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	250	8¢	$21	0x2d641c…
05-11 05:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	SELL	116	98¢	$114	0x1ffdc1…
05-11 05:48:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Up	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0xcfd3e0…
05-11 05:44:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	104	97¢	$101	0xde30fc…
05-11 05:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x0e2c73…
05-11 05:38:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	294	1¢	$3	0xa163c8…
05-11 05:36:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	BUY	294	13¢	$38	0x4ecb29…
05-11 05:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	37	75¢	$28	0xb58e2d…
05-11 05:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xbc81b2…
05-11 05:23:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	30	75¢	$22	0x439b75…
05-11 05:20:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0xaf55c9…
05-11 03:41:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	143	21¢	$30	0x88bb49…
05-11 03:41:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x66dacd…