False-Owl — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$9

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.7%

Resolved (90d)

140

Trades (90d)

460

2,338 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$2.66K

$58.6K lifetime

Avg / trade

$25

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 09-10 02:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 48 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 74% -$1,163

Other

1% 54% +$54

Sports

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 93 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down april 15 2026 10am et	2	$1.1K	556	555	+1	Up	+$6	04-15 15:01
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 23:25 UTC	7	$700	1,030	0	+1,030	Up	-$568	06-19 23:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:00 UTC	4	$620	354	350	+4	Up	+$24	04-16 05:05
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 05:35 UTC	1	$582	633	0	+633	Up	-$582	04-16 05:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	4	$580	1,451	1,451	+0	Down	+$180	05-11 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	5	$552	546	370	+176	Down	-$48	05-11 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 04:35 UTC	1	$537	590	0	+590	Up	+$53	04-16 04:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	4	$442	347	347	+0	Down	+$42	05-11 06:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-04-16 00:45 UTC	3	$421	225	223	+2	Down	+$23	04-16 00:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	5	$414	262	262	+0	Up	+$14	05-11 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 21, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	4	$412	249	249	+0	Up	+$12	07-21 14:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	4	$412	225	225	+0	Up	+$12	05-11 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - July 2, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	5	$372	304	304	+0	Down	+$72	07-02 07:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 12:45 UTC	3	$351	274	126	+148	Down	+$9	07-22 12:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$331	241	241	+0	Down	-$69	05-11 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	3	$312	305	192	+112	Down	+$24	05-11 07:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	3	$300	376	0	+376	Down	-$98	05-11 07:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 02:35 UTC	3	$300	344	0	+344	Down	+$44	06-19 02:38
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 08:25 UTC	2	$287	149	149	+0	Down	+$7	07-22 08:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 23:30 UTC	4	$280	494	494	+0	Up	-$220	06-19 23:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-19 01:35 UTC	2	$279	195	195	+0	Up	+$79	06-19 01:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 07:50 UTC	5	$272	149	149	+0	Up	+$12	07-22 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	2	$272	253	253	+0	Up	+$72	05-11 06:29
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 08:05 UTC	2	$270	148	148	+0	Up	+$10	07-22 08:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 07:20 UTC	6	$263	199	199	+0	Up	+$23	07-02 07:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-22 05:55 UTC	3	$255	212	129	+83	Up	+$19	07-22 05:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 12:45 UTC	5	$252	157	157	+0	Up	+$12	07-02 12:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-06-15 03:55 UTC	2	$246	157	157	+0	Down	+$46	06-15 03:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-02 13:45 UTC	4	$236	150	150	+0	Down	-$4	07-02 13:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	3	$231	246	125	+121	Down	-$48	05-11 08:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-10 02:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0x91b940…
09-10 02:37:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x94dd24…
09-10 02:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	30¢	$6	0xb1b948…
09-10 02:36:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0xdacd8d…
09-10 02:33:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xf27981…
09-10 02:32:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x3a4775…
09-10 02:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	11	85¢	$9	0x8a9db3…
09-10 02:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2de627…
09-10 02:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	SELL	14	73¢	$10	0xbe3046…
09-10 02:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x95907d…
09-10 02:30:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x798398…
09-10 02:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	87¢	$10	0x1276d1…
09-10 02:29:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0xfbdda0…
09-10 02:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	12	83¢	$10	0x3c3b28…
09-10 02:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	12	86¢	$10	0x71761e…
09-10 02:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	67¢	$5	0xc7ea0b…
09-10 02:26:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0xa7c341…
09-10 02:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	14	72¢	$10	0xad09b9…
09-10 02:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	14	72¢	$10	0x9c6c98…
09-10 02:22:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	10	60¢	$6	0x10485a…
09-10 02:21:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x90cc6a…
09-10 02:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	12	93¢	$12	0xba40d6…
09-10 02:19:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xa27370…
09-10 02:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	12	86¢	$10	0x375b37…
09-10 02:17:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x4cdc49…
09-10 02:17:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	18	72¢	$13	0x32774d…
09-10 02:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	SELL	8	44¢	$3	0xab6eac…
09-10 02:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0x1a9604…
09-10 02:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x81542d…
09-10 02:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	82¢	$9	0x452d3e…
09-10 02:13:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0x10c0cd…
09-10 02:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	92¢	$12	0x235d20…
09-10 02:12:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x08bdda…
09-10 02:12:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	9	51¢	$5	0x0106f3…
09-10 02:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0xa6587b…
09-10 02:09:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$10	0x344e56…
09-10 02:09:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0x92124a…
09-10 02:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	77¢	$6	0x00e82a…
09-10 02:05:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0x5396ef…
09-10 01:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	SELL	11	93¢	$11	0x0a6d39…
09-10 01:56:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xe6f6b9…
09-10 01:52:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0xb5b781…
09-10 01:52:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Down	BUY	11	88¢	$10	0x606b5b…
09-10 01:49:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x97a5b6…
09-10 01:49:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x0aed16…
09-10 01:48:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	12	94¢	$11	0x2140ee…
09-10 01:47:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x9617c9…
09-10 01:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	7	92¢	$6	0xa941f4…
09-10 01:47:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	SELL	5	7¢	$0	0xe988fa…
09-10 01:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xd66afd…
09-10 01:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0x90036e…
09-10 01:42:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8cbfa7…
09-10 01:38:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0xc39bab…
09-10 01:37:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0x53651a…
09-10 01:36:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa7db03…
09-10 01:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x93ab3c…
09-10 01:33:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x7269cc…
09-10 01:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x0fb46e…
09-10 01:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	SELL	8	13¢	$1	0x86cc28…
09-10 01:32:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	SELL	8	87¢	$7	0x78b725…
09-10 01:32:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xb6089b…
09-10 01:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x73db8c…
09-10 01:28:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0xfd9ef2…
09-10 01:27:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	9¢	$0	0xe85f8d…
09-10 01:26:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9b1fc0…
09-10 01:25:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x0cfcb8…
09-10 01:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xadd9bb…
09-10 01:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	11	98¢	$11	0x20482c…
09-10 01:17:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x94ad01…
09-10 01:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	SELL	9	90¢	$8	0x060886…
09-10 01:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x812a6b…
09-10 01:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	10	98¢	$9	0xe01e0c…
09-10 01:12:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	94¢	$9	0x2b89d5…
09-10 01:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	11	91¢	$10	0xfa63a3…
09-10 01:11:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x9cfb69…
09-10 01:07:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x558a61…
09-10 01:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	8	90¢	$7	0xea6f48…
09-10 01:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	8	98¢	$7	0xa670b5…
09-10 01:01:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	80¢	$6	0xf93607…
09-10 00:47:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	SELL	6	93¢	$6	0xf51571…
09-10 00:46:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Up	BUY	6	62¢	$4	0x91788e…
09-10 00:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	97¢	$5	0x3c7ce9…
09-10 00:40:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xaf5f11…
09-10 00:39:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0x97e72c…
09-10 00:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x46a4e9…
09-09 13:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xe30292…
09-09 13:45:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x6b05a8…
09-09 13:41:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x60b1c2…
09-09 13:36:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4a740e…
09-09 13:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0x99cb1e…
09-09 13:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	82¢	$10	0x4094f0…
09-09 13:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xf3ba48…
09-09 13:31:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	SELL	36	100¢	$36	0x528678…
09-09 13:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x92f310…
09-09 13:27:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x2cc609…
09-09 13:27:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	92¢	$10	0x8857bb…
09-09 13:27:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xc92efd…
09-09 13:26:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0xb02eba…
09-09 13:24:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x2711fe…
09-09 13:21:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x2dea92…