Threadbare-Tapioca — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.57K

Unrealized P&L

-$84

Hit rate

87.8%

Resolved

122

Trades

299

lifetime

Volume

$94.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$317

Open exposure

$1.21K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-29 01:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

50% 82% +$5,580

Other

29% 66% -$108

Politics

14% 50% -$4,514

Tech

4% 100% +$135

Sports

2% 58% +$485

Pop-Culture

0% 0% -$5

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 22 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (25) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	No		-1,126	-$1,014	99¢	$-1113	-$99	06-12 21:51
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No		-131	-$115	76¢	$-100	+$15	05-30 16:08

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 80k in january 2026	26	$17.5K	10,045	12,514	-2,469	Yes	+$1,589	01-30 15:33
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	15	$8.5K	12,000	0	+12,000	No	+$3,546	01-02 15:02
will solana reach 150 in february 2026	1	$6.3K	6,503	0	+6,503	No	+$184	02-06 14:21
will crude oil cl hit low 75 by end of march 644 777 281 682 546 253	3	$4.6K	2,317	2,317	+0	No	+$24	04-01 00:55
US strikes Iran by March 1, 2026?	7	$4.5K	9,071	9,071	+0	Yes	+$322	02-27 22:31
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$4.3K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$15	05-07 15:42
Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek	8	$4.2K	6,440	0	+6,440	cancelled	-$934	10-19 23:04
Will xAI have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	4	$3.5K	1,756	1,756	+0	No	+$13	04-13 00:48
will bitcoin reach 105k in february 2026	12	$3.5K	3,586	0	+3,586	No	+$125	02-02 00:28
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	9	$3.1K	17,803	0	+17,803	No	-$3,114	02-10 02:11
will ethereum reach 3200 in february 2026	1	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$72	02-09 16:13
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in April?	2	$2.4K	1,200	1,200	+0	No	+$2	04-13 23:00
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	2	$2.2K	1,350	1,350	+0	Yes	-$40	04-04 20:37
Will Pump.fun reach $0.0090 by December 31, 2026?	3	$1.8K	0	2,431	-2,431	open	—	06-14 14:22
Will Hyperliquid dip to $16 by December 31, 2026?	2	$1.8K	1,062	1,062	+0	open	—	06-12 22:03
will bitcoin reach 100k in february 2026	2	$1.6K	1,609	0	+1,609	No	+$36	02-06 14:18
Will Solana reach $120 in April?	3	$1.4K	1,450	0	+1,450	No	+$39	04-07 22:06
will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	1	$1.2K	1,223	0	+1,223	No	+$9	03-02 18:16
Will Hyperliquid dip to $20 in April?	1	$1.2K	1,205	0	+1,205	No	+$10	04-18 22:55
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	5	$1.1K	8,285	8,285	+0	open	—	05-23 15:37
microstrategy sell any bitcoin in 2025	1	$1.1K	0	1,089	-1,089	No	-$2	01-02 04:44
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	13	$1.1K	4,229	0	+4,229	No	-$1,068	02-18 19:07
Will Hyperliquid dip to $12 by December 31, 2026?	1	$1.0K	0	1,126	-1,126	open	—	06-12 21:51
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	7	$978	545	545	+0	No	+$13	05-28 17:00
Will the Bitcoin Volatility Index hit 80 by April 30?	4	$865	500	500	+0	No	-$45	04-13 00:48
Will SpaceX IPO by June 30, 2026?	1	$864	960	0	+960	Yes	+$96	05-17 21:39
Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	1	$840	868	0	+868	No	+$28	05-02 00:57
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3.8T?	2	$808	409	409	+0	No	+$9	06-12 21:51
Will Solana reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	2	$808	450	450	+0	open	—	06-12 21:49
Will Solana reach $110 in April?	4	$703	737	0	+737	No	+$34	04-05 15:40

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 01:05:14	Darius Garland: Points O/U 24.5	Yes	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xc3fd57…
10-28 23:50:38	Norman Powell: Points O/U 19.5	Yes	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x8c6e7c…
10-28 17:33:59	Kyrie Irving: Assists O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0xf00ab3…
10-28 16:52:34	Jaime Jaquez Jr.: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	80	46¢	$37	0x5dde5b…
10-28 16:36:14	Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x323370…
10-28 16:33:20	Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0xedab69…
10-28 16:33:10	Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0xee04e3…
10-28 16:32:56	Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x32c613…
10-28 16:09:02	Joel Embiid: Rebounds O/U 8.5	Yes	BUY	24	51¢	$12	0xa959f3…
10-28 16:08:32	Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0xae0234…
10-28 16:08:25	Anthony Black: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x362acd…
10-28 13:10:16	nba okc dal 2026 10 28 points kyrie irving 20pt5	Yes	BUY	39	46¢	$18	0xf78270…
10-28 12:46:41	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Hornets	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x1acfc7…
10-28 12:45:28	Spread: Pistons (-5.5)	Hornets	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x62ddae…
10-28 09:13:28	Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 11.5	Yes	BUY	78	43¢	$34	0x28468c…
10-28 08:36:08	Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0xfda757…
10-28 08:33:08	Giannis Antetokounmpo: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	60	53¢	$32	0x19ad9e…
10-28 08:31:38	nba mia atl 2026 10 28 rebounds giannis antetokounmpo 11pt5	Yes	BUY	60	44¢	$26	0xf8a532…
10-27 00:04:50	Jalen Green: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	189	47¢	$89	0x68f5f1…
10-27 00:02:57	Keyonte George: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	125	40¢	$50	0x25a4a4…
10-26 14:01:44	LaMelo Ball: Assists O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	35	42¢	$15	0xed83cd…
10-26 13:54:51	Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	48	54¢	$26	0x53bfdf…
10-26 13:27:27	Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	39	49¢	$19	0x373abc…
10-26 13:26:42	Bam Adebayo: Rebounds O/U 9.5	Yes	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xe5bbb1…
10-26 13:23:14	Pascal Siakam: Rebounds O/U 6.5	Yes	BUY	42	52¢	$22	0x7d3a8e…
10-26 13:22:42	Kyle Kuzma: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	38	47¢	$18	0x93effc…
10-26 13:19:47	Giannis Antetokounmpo: Rebounds O/U 11.5	Yes	BUY	37	46¢	$17	0x58eafc…
10-26 11:38:51	Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	80	51¢	$41	0x45cd6e…
10-26 11:36:39	Cooper Flagg: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	72	50¢	$36	0x276bbb…
10-26 01:12:56	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail	Despina Papamichail	BUY	26	49¢	$13	0xc3684f…
10-26 00:38:27	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail	Despina Papamichail	BUY	15	52¢	$8	0xabb57c…
10-26 00:37:27	Curitiba: Nauhany Leme Da Silva vs Despina Papamichail	Despina Papamichail	BUY	95	51¢	$48	0x1a5110…
10-26 00:05:44	Cedric Coward: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	74	43¢	$32	0x19a82b…
10-25 22:33:35	Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0xbcb293…
10-25 22:33:12	Collin Murray-Boyles: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	38	48¢	$18	0x7068c5…
10-25 16:03:29	Domantas Sabonis: Rebounds O/U 13.5	Yes	BUY	41	51¢	$21	0x07751e…
10-25 15:54:33	Fokina vs. Bergs: Match O/U 22.5	Over	BUY	150	51¢	$76	0xb9cae6…
10-25 15:17:50	Walker Kessler: Points O/U 15.5	No	BUY	80	47¢	$38	0x7367f3…
10-25 15:15:30	De'Andre Hunter: Rebounds O/U 3.5	Yes	BUY	75	48¢	$36	0xababcb…
10-25 09:32:14	Spread: Thunder (-11.5)	Clippers	BUY	63	37¢	$23	0x0e9680…
10-24 23:49:33	nba nop den 2026 10 24 rebounds derik queen 7pt5	Yes	BUY	36	45¢	$16	0xcc3f1b…
10-24 22:05:33	Spread: Cavaliers (-13.5)	Cavaliers	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0x24b04a…
10-24 19:58:27	atp marozsa machac 2026 10 25 match total 22pt5	Over	BUY	100	44¢	$44	0x5ba06a…
10-24 19:40:39	atp hijikat hanfman 2026 10 25 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	40	43¢	$17	0x1e98e3…
10-24 19:39:14	atp cerund altmaie 2026 10 25 match total 23pt5	Over	BUY	100	43¢	$43	0x403866…
10-24 15:28:06	Norfolk State vs. South Carolina State: O/U 55.5	Over	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x8f0259…
10-24 13:51:54	Butler vs. Drake: O/U 53.5	Under	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xa305ad…
10-24 13:33:15	nba sas dal 2026 10 24 points kyrie irving 21pt5	Yes	BUY	80	45¢	$36	0x6179ef…
10-24 13:07:03	Spread: Idaho (-3.5)	Idaho	BUY	100	45¢	$45	0xc74aa7…
10-23 13:48:06	Keegan Murray: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	120	47¢	$56	0xd8f6c4…
10-23 13:47:56	Keegan Murray: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x7f09c8…
10-23 12:37:47	Duncan Robinson: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	66	55¢	$36	0xacb878…
10-23 12:26:14	Kevin Durant: Rebounds O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	170	41¢	$70	0x8e7252…
10-23 12:21:09	De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	59	45¢	$27	0x244ea8…
10-23 09:00:32	De'Aaron Fox: Points O/U 14.5	Yes	BUY	56	44¢	$25	0x1f78b8…
10-22 15:28:36	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5	Yes	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0xabfc3a…
10-22 15:27:42	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5	Yes	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x0cf204…
10-22 15:26:50	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5	Yes	BUY	10	45¢	$4	0x7ff37b…
10-22 15:26:42	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 30.5	Yes	BUY	8	44¢	$3	0x91b49e…
10-22 15:00:26	Set Handicap: Flavio Cobolli (-1.5) vs Stan Wawrinka (+1.5)	Stan Wawrinka	BUY	49	50¢	$24	0xeafeb8…
10-22 09:42:21	Set Handicap: Alexander Bublik (-1.5) vs Fabian Marozsan (+1.5)	Fabian Marozsan	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x39fb19…
10-22 09:31:05	Bublik vs. Marozsan: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	82	41¢	$34	0xfada11…
10-21 23:27:33	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x65961b…
10-21 23:23:48	Naz Reid: Assists O/U 2.5	Yes	BUY	140	42¢	$59	0x24a0db…
10-21 22:25:26	Toumani Camara: Assists O/U 1.5	Yes	BUY	21	54¢	$11	0x5a091f…
10-21 22:24:26	Draymond Green: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x65c6f5…
10-21 22:23:50	FC Barcelona vs. Aston Villa FC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	67	47¢	$31	0x154c7f…
10-21 20:59:35	Josh Giddey: Rebounds O/U 7.5	Yes	BUY	31	42¢	$13	0x3413e0…
10-21 20:58:41	Sharks vs. Senators	Sharks	BUY	26	44¢	$11	0x175a1b…
10-21 20:49:20	Cameron Boozer: Points O/U 16.5	Yes	BUY	35	48¢	$17	0x70705a…
10-21 20:31:21	Ayo Dosunmu: Points O/U 12.5	Yes	BUY	9	42¢	$4	0x74fcbf…
10-21 20:04:26	Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5	No	SELL	33	41¢	$14	0x4475c3…
10-21 20:03:14	Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5	No	BUY	33	42¢	$14	0x5176be…
10-21 19:57:24	Davion Mitchell: Assists O/U 5.5	No	BUY	39	42¢	$16	0x6e44e6…
10-21 17:50:00	Sharks vs. Senators	Sharks	BUY	26	44¢	$11	0x528142…
10-21 16:01:50	O/U 2.5 Rounds	Over	BUY	56	40¢	$22	0x5f3a82…
10-21 14:57:20	Julius Randle: Assists O/U 4.5	Yes	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x6cb412…
10-21 14:39:45	Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	52	52¢	$27	0xdfd7a5…
10-21 14:38:39	Ty Jerome: Assists O/U 6.5	Yes	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x5d2e1a…
10-21 14:31:32	Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0xeede59…
10-21 14:31:11	Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	49	49¢	$24	0x6790f9…
10-21 14:30:39	Fred VanVleet: Assists O/U 5.5	Yes	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x66ae1c…
10-20 23:16:56	Shai Gilgeous-Alexander: Points O/U 29.5	Yes	BUY	41	48¢	$19	0xce1b5a…
10-20 17:24:39	Lille OSC vs. Galatasaray SK: Galatasaray SK O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x373fbe…
10-20 17:14:24	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	26	51¢	$13	0xce37c3…
10-20 14:21:12	FC Cincinnati vs. D.C. United SC: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x9747c4…
10-20 14:20:27	Jaden McDaniels: Points O/U 14.5	No	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xb170a0…
10-20 14:03:08	Fils vs. Munar: Match O/U 22.5	Under	BUY	77	51¢	$39	0xc95d1f…
10-20 14:00:03	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. FC Barcelona: Paris Saint-Germain FC O/U 4.5 Corners	Over	BUY	51	51¢	$26	0x4358e5…
10-20 13:53:59	Cooper Flagg: Points O/U 21.5	No	BUY	65	48¢	$31	0x3296ae…
10-20 12:17:23	Japan Women's Open: Tereza Valentova vs Lilli Tagger	Tereza Valentova	BUY	17	51¢	$9	0x2b55a0…
10-20 12:15:53	Facundo Acosta vs. Nikoloz Basilashvili: Total Sets O/U 2.5	Over 2.5	BUY	11	38¢	$4	0x13f18c…
10-20 10:59:24	Spread: Lions (-3.5)	Lions	BUY	29	44¢	$13	0xdbfa07…
10-20 09:02:49	Bonzi vs. Norrie: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	45	42¢	$19	0x62e7d9…
10-20 09:00:26	Payton Pritchard: Points O/U 15.5	No	BUY	54	47¢	$25	0xfc2fca…
10-20 08:33:10	Bonzi vs. Norrie: Match O/U 23.5	Over	BUY	50	42¢	$21	0x852b9c…
10-20 00:09:27	1H Spread: 49ers (-2.5)	Commanders	BUY	12	37¢	$4	0x40a27b…
10-19 23:04:29	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	335	64¢	$214	0x3995d1…
10-19 22:56:09	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	1,000	64¢	$640	0xd7cb1c…
10-19 22:55:11	Ningbo Open: Marie Bouzkova vs Iga Swiatek	Iga Swiatek	BUY	1,000	64¢	$640	0xdfbb47…