Monumental-Mercury — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$973

Unrealized P&L

-$18

Hit rate

42.1%

Resolved

923

Trades

2,525

lifetime

Volume

$42.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

$27

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 10-26 21:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 146 days

Categories

Other

62% 36% -$238

Politics

21% 27% -$536

Sports

7% 54% -$418

Tech

6% 33% -$11

Crypto

3% 29% +$225

Pop-Culture

1% 55% +$4

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will David Lisnard win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes		-175	-$9	16¢	$-27	-$18	05-07 11:49

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will sarah knafo win the paris mayor election	45	$902	6,688	6,712	-23	No	-$527	01-08 17:48
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	16	$781	630	630	+0	Yes	+$3	04-08 11:27
will the dhs shutdown last 21 days or more 531	6	$755	604	604	+0	Yes	-$1	03-02 22:44
Iran leadership change by March 13?	14	$660	535	590	-55	No	-$9	03-12 16:10
will our homeland movement mi haznk finish with the third most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	6	$510	465	465	+0	Yes	$0	04-12 10:03
will rachida dati win the paris mayor election	54	$505	1,015	1,065	-50	No	+$27	03-20 13:53
spx up or down on february 20 2026	16	$493	473	263	+210	Up	+$1	02-20 20:40
US strike on Cuba by March 31?	14	$465	562	562	+0	No	-$1	03-17 08:08
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	7	$454	255	255	+0	No	+$1	03-05 19:53
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	10	$447	430	430	+0	Yes	-$2	02-22 19:44
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	11	$435	464	464	+0	Yes	+$1	03-07 07:30
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$412	210	210	+0	No	+$0	03-18 07:39
will mrbeasts latest video get 1618 million views on day 1 432 313	3	$409	210	210	+0	No	-$5	02-22 08:24
will mrbeasts latest video get 2224 million views on day 1 568 395	9	$407	210	210	+0	No	$0	02-22 04:43
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on May 15?	7	$402	320	320	+0	Down	+$1	05-15 16:25
iran x israelus conflict ends by march 15	3	$396	210	210	+0	No	$0	03-07 07:20
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	4	$392	220	220	+0	Yes	-$2	05-17 07:31
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	6	$387	500	1,000	-500	No	+$124	06-30 16:03
Will Anthropic have the #1 AI model at the end of April 2026 (Style Control On)?	5	$377	215	215	+0	Yes	+$1	04-09 18:39
will the us invade iran by march 31	2	$373	200	200	+0	No	+$0	03-28 09:57
will the white house call a full lid by 630pm on february 26	7	$348	148	206	-58	No	-$1	02-27 02:44
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$339	120	230	-110	No	-$3	03-06 03:55
will one piece season 2 be the top global netflix show this week	12	$336	262	309	-47	Yes	+$1	03-16 12:58
will there be 20 or more inches of snow in nyc this weekend	4	$332	89	249	-160	No	-$2	02-25 07:39
Will France win on 2026-06-16?	7	$317	201	201	+0	Yes	+$69	06-16 20:59
Will the next diplomatic US-Iran meeting be in Pakistan?	7	$317	225	170	+55	Yes	-$3	04-11 10:23
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	4	$291	105	210	-105	Yes	-$13	04-08 11:06
will israel strike gaza on february 16 2026	4	$288	100	200	-100	No	+$2	02-17 14:24
will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	14	$284	180	290	-110	No	-$1	03-15 19:24
will american girls harry styles be the 1 song on us spotify this week	5	$276	150	150	+0	Yes	$0	03-13 14:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 21:59:06	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x73065b…
10-26 21:58:32	Will Ousmane Dembélé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	1,131	0¢	$1	0x99b336…
10-26 19:33:51	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	33	52¢	$17	0x460b96…
10-26 17:32:53	Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	130	8¢	$10	0x22b782…
10-25 23:59:00	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x14c6e1…
10-25 23:58:54	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	80	17¢	$14	0x10034e…
10-25 23:58:47	Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x0ae20e…
10-25 23:45:03	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	323	3¢	$10	0xbad47c…
10-25 23:42:06	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$9	0xee9e23…
10-25 18:07:03	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	120	25¢	$30	0x17be43…
10-06 06:01:57	Spread: Spain (-1.5)	Spain	BUY	50	53¢	$27	0xe2541d…
10-05 18:17:26	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	BUY	27	40¢	$11	0x196db8…
10-05 18:16:38	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	16¢	$12	0x4ac6be…
10-05 04:51:28	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	49	17¢	$8	0xb789d8…
10-05 04:51:10	Will Hyperliquid perform an airdrop by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	17¢	$4	0x417b3b…
10-05 04:50:20	Will Nassourdine Imavov become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	SELL	127	7¢	$9	0x3bc77d…
09-27 05:01:26	Will Nassourdine Imavov become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	BUY	126	40¢	$51	0xb19f0c…
09-25 17:30:32	Will France win on 2026-09-25?	Yes	BUY	51	74¢	$38	0xc0de46…
09-25 17:30:12	Spread: France (-2.5)	France	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x9f5f73…
09-25 17:29:45	Spread: France (-1.5)	France	BUY	47	51¢	$24	0x2fa094…
09-25 04:19:23	Will Nassourdine Imavov become UFC champion in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	52¢	$1	0x741b43…
09-22 23:55:31	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	104	83¢	$87	0x1e170e…
09-22 00:38:21	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	57	73¢	$42	0x38f3ec…
09-22 00:37:33	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	72¢	$30	0x512b14…
09-22 00:37:27	Will Jumper launch a token by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x6e0aed…
09-21 02:32:10	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	239	33¢	$79	0x180cbf…
09-12 22:25:16	Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Manon Fiorot	BUY	88	17¢	$15	0xdbe796…
09-12 22:16:15	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x234c7f…
09-12 22:15:16	Noche UFC: Alexa Grasso vs. Manon Fiorot (Women's Flyweight, Main Card)	Manon Fiorot	BUY	40	72¢	$29	0x245617…
09-12 22:12:40	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	18	48¢	$9	0x4ec6be…
09-12 22:12:40	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x3d51c3…
09-12 22:12:33	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	20	52¢	$10	0xf58bff…
09-12 21:59:07	Will Dricus Du Plessis be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	2¢	$1	0x6bec90…
09-12 21:57:37	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina	Aryna Sabalenka	SELL	100	59¢	$59	0xb52198…
09-12 21:06:34	US Open WTA: Aryna Sabalenka vs Elena Rybakina	Aryna Sabalenka	BUY	100	32¢	$32	0x63cd2e…
09-12 21:02:37	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	167	33¢	$55	0x15b396…
09-08 03:43:42	Will Carlos Alcaraz win the 2026 Men's US Open?	Yes	BUY	35	57¢	$20	0x92bae0…
09-08 03:36:58	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	35¢	$18	0x840395…
09-08 03:36:45	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	25	37¢	$9	0xa7937d…
09-07 08:11:57	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	19	39¢	$7	0xcc415d…
09-06 08:43:46	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	SELL	400	2¢	$9	0x39fa82…
09-02 20:22:30	UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)	Salahdine Parnasse	BUY	36	81¢	$30	0x455c56…
09-02 19:56:39	UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)	Salahdine Parnasse	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x7879f5…
09-02 19:41:09	UFC Fight Night: Dan Hooker vs. Salahdine Parnasse (Lightweight, Main Card)	Salahdine Parnasse	BUY	8	81¢	$7	0x88d9d4…
08-19 05:41:04	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	14¢	$3	0xbc3c01…
08-18 20:49:09	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	14¢	$3	0x793d82…
08-18 20:19:18	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	55	14¢	$8	0x872538…
08-17 09:38:54	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	18¢	$5	0xb0c478…
08-17 05:10:43	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	18¢	$9	0xbe1154…
08-17 04:57:25	Will Nassourdine Imavov be the UFC Middleweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	24¢	$48	0xa3e4ee…
08-16 03:00:13	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	57	26¢	$15	0x4b21d1…
08-15 21:40:57	ufc isl ian1 2026 08 15	Ian Machado Garry	BUY	174	27¢	$47	0x7053b5…
07-19 12:41:40	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0x3326f7…
07-19 12:41:27	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	100	34¢	$34	0xfbc53c…
07-19 12:34:45	Exact Score: Spain 1 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$8	0x550eb4…
07-19 12:34:24	Exact Score: Spain 2 - 3 Argentina?	Yes	BUY	300	3¢	$10	0x7ebb15…
07-18 09:24:49	Will France win on 2026-07-18?	Yes	BUY	77	52¢	$40	0x46d65f…
07-14 17:49:47	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	40	26¢	$10	0x41777d…
07-14 17:49:29	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals ousmane dembele gte2	Yes	BUY	200	4¢	$9	0x1c746d…
07-14 17:49:04	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte2	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x12903f…
07-14 17:48:47	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals kylian mbappe gte3	Yes	BUY	290	3¢	$8	0xf4512e…
07-14 17:48:13	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 assists ousmane dembele gte1	Yes	BUY	50	21¢	$10	0x3f16d3…
07-14 17:47:53	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 assists michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0xe23779…
07-14 17:47:35	fifwc fra esp 2026 07 14 goals michael olise gte1	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0x14c12c…
07-14 17:47:13	Will France win on 2026-07-14?	Yes	BUY	106	38¢	$40	0xc0b305…
07-13 01:04:58	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	130	4¢	$5	0xc18e19…
07-12 16:19:28	Will Benoît Saint Denis be the UFC Lightweight Champion on December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	659	4¢	$26	0x0607d1…
07-12 16:18:55	atp sinner zverev 2026 07 12	Jannik Sinner	BUY	95	63¢	$60	0x614799…
07-12 13:41:14	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	113	4¢	$4	0x102921…
07-12 03:11:19	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	87	4¢	$3	0x4838b9…
07-12 01:37:49	Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	70	4¢	$3	0xf256c7…
07-12 01:03:58	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	200	17¢	$34	0xcb32ea…
07-11 23:29:41	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	196	4¢	$8	0xf914da…
07-11 23:04:41	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x2c5394…
07-11 23:04:41	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte3	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x042ea0…
07-11 22:52:05	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	31	18¢	$6	0xce35d8…
07-11 22:39:35	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11 mcgregor win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	69	18¢	$12	0x6a26ab…
07-11 22:23:52	fifwc arg che 2026 07 11 goals lionel messi gte2	Yes	BUY	100	15¢	$15	0x858fa0…
07-11 22:03:59	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	SELL	40	18¢	$7	0x068972…
07-11 20:55:16	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 assists jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	50	19¢	$10	0xf15ab9…
07-11 20:54:58	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals jude bellingham gte1	Yes	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x61f624…
07-11 20:54:43	Will Norway win on 2026-07-11?	Yes	BUY	40	22¢	$9	0x40c692…
07-11 20:53:40	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 goals erling haaland gte1	Yes	BUY	20	47¢	$9	0xd96c7e…
07-11 20:53:23	fifwc nor eng 2026 07 11 shots harry kane gte4	Yes	BUY	20	44¢	$9	0x3c0770…
07-11 19:24:58	ufc max1 con 2026 07 11	Conor McGregor	BUY	50	28¢	$14	0x7714dc…
07-11 17:39:50	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11 saint denis win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	57	20¢	$11	0x2ba338…
07-11 15:55:25	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0xe3d292…
07-11 12:28:28	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11	Benoît Saint Denis	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x673b6d…
07-10 21:07:44	ufc pad ben8 2026 07 11 saint denis win by ko tko	Yes	BUY	212	20¢	$42	0x90b16f…
07-10 18:55:52	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals alex baena gte1	Yes	BUY	60	16¢	$10	0x970928…
07-10 18:49:10	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals alex baena gte1	Yes	BUY	30	17¢	$5	0x196f2a…
07-10 18:48:28	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 shots charles de ketelaere gte2	Yes	BUY	21	43¢	$9	0x385d8d…
07-10 18:47:55	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 assists alex baena gte1	Yes	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0xbff9fb…
07-10 18:47:22	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 assists alex baena gte1	Yes	BUY	16	16¢	$3	0xb3a608…
07-10 18:35:08	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals charles de ketelaere gte1	Yes	BUY	40	17¢	$7	0xbd8172…
07-10 18:34:49	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 shots charles de ketelaere gte2	Yes	BUY	19	43¢	$8	0x0c455f…
07-10 18:30:56	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals mikel oyarzabal gte2	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x73bd8c…
07-10 18:28:43	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 assists jeremy doku gte1	Yes	BUY	22	11¢	$2	0x0c992f…
07-10 18:14:11	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals jeremy doku gte1	Yes	BUY	38	12¢	$5	0x0f05db…
07-10 18:00:55	fifwc esp bel 2026 07 10 goals jeremy doku gte1	Yes	BUY	12	12¢	$1	0x299bb4…