Slow-Genre 0x605e51…688b39
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← all wallets
Realized P&L
+$120
Unrealized P&L
-$16
Hit rate
94.0%
Resolved
1,052
Trades
2,406
lifetime
Volume
$46.3K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$19
Open exposure
$536
23 positions
First seen
2026-03-12
last 07-15 20:47
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 93 days
Categories
Other
68% 85% +$143
Politics
24% 84% +$19
Sports
5% 92% +$6
Tech
3% 58% -$47
Crypto
0% 91% -$1
Activity
No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-15).
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +120 $104 100¢ $120 +$16 06-03 10:21
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +120 $111 97¢ $117 +$5 06-03 10:21
Will Ferrari be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +46 $44 100¢ $46 +$2 06-03 04:45
Will Anthropic’s market cap be between 1.5T and 1.8T at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +30 $26 75¢ $22 -$3 05-19 06:47
Will Larry Page be richest person on December 31? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 05-20 07:39
Will Sergey Brin be richest person on December 31? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 05-20 07:39
Will Jensen Huang be richest person on December 31? No +20 $18 100¢ $20 +$2 05-20 07:39
Will Steve Ballmer be richest person on December 31? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 05-20 07:39
Will Jeff Bezos be richest person on December 31? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 05-20 07:39
Will Mark Zuckerberg be richest person on December 31? No +20 $20 100¢ $20 +$0 05-20 07:39
Will Bernard Arnault be richest person on December 31? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 $0 05-20 07:39
Will Warren Buffett be richest person on December 31? No +20 $20 99¢ $20 +$0 05-20 07:39
Will Xavier Becerra win the California Governor Election in 2026? No +420 $95 3¢ $12 -$83 06-03 10:21
Will Anthropic’s market cap be 1.8T or greater at market close on IPO day by December 31 2027? No +30 $14 34¢ $10 -$4 05-19 06:47
Will 3 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-15 10:22
Will 4 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +10 $10 100¢ $10 +$0 05-15 10:22
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +10 $9 100¢ $10 +$1 05-15 10:22
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? No +10 $8 99¢ $10 +$1 05-15 10:22
Will Steve Hilton win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -300 -$17 3¢ $-8 +$9 06-02 06:04
Will Elon Musk be richest person on December 31? No +20 $2 4¢ $1 -$1 05-20 07:39
Will Tom Steyer win the California Governor Election in 2026? Yes -300 -$48 0¢ $-0 +$48 06-02 06:00
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? No +10 $3 3¢ $0 -$3 05-15 10:22
Will Mercedes be the 2026 F1 Constructors' Champion? No +46 $6 0¢ $0 -$6 06-03 04:45