Direct-Bid — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

2.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.39K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$38

Open exposure

$39

3 positions

First seen

2026-04-28

last 07-01 10:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

70% — —

Sports

30% 0% $-49

Crypto

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	+41	$20	60¢	$25	+$5	06-11 10:30
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	-25	$-6	36¢	$-9	$-3	06-11 10:27
Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	+10	$4	52¢	$5	+$1	06-19 01:13

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	11	$1.3K	880	610	+270	open	—	05-06 09:38
Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	1	$340	606	0	+606	open	—	04-28 03:48
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	1	$224	0	225	-225	open	—	06-24 01:01
Thunder vs. Lakers	7	$83	181	0	+181	Thunder	$-4	05-12 05:02
will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947277	1	$78	185	0	+185	open	—	06-24 02:58
Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5	2	$74	72	72	+0	Over	$-2	05-12 02:55
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	4	$43	103	0	+103	Cavaliers	$-43	05-12 01:52
Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	5	$40	61	30	+31	open	—	05-01 04:00
Kash Patel out by December 31?	3	$37	61	20	+41	open	—	06-11 10:30
Thunder vs. Spurs	1	$29	51	0	+51	open	—	05-23 00:37
Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	6	$23	41	41	-0	open	—	06-11 10:27
MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	3	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 04:21
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$9	20	0	+20	open	—	05-18 00:55
Kash Patel out by June 30?	1	$9	0	10	-10	open	—	06-11 10:10
nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	07-01 01:30
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	05-15 00:07
Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	05-18 01:25
Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-30 23:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	5	$5	9	0	+9	Up	+$0	05-09 20:28
Fed rate hike in 2026?	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	06-19 01:13
US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	06-07 21:18
bkfibaqas syr ira2 2026 07 02	1	$2	10	0	+10	open	—	07-01 10:48
will bill hill advance from the ak al primary election	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	06-08 00:16
bkfibaqeu lit gre2 2026 07 02	1	$0	1	0	+1	open	—	06-29 09:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 10:48:31	bkfibaqas syr ira2 2026 07 02	Iraq	BUY	10	16¢	$2	0x93262a…
07-01 01:30:13	nothing ever happens july 20260626174334834	Nothing	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x6dd4f0…
06-29 09:21:25	bkfibaqeu lit gre2 2026 07 02	Great Britain	BUY	1	11¢	$0	0x7d2de5…
06-24 02:58:49	will the announcers say hattrick or hat trick during the scotland vs brazil fifa world cup match 20260623164947277	No	BUY	185	42¢	$78	0xc3e84c…
06-24 01:01:20	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	No	SELL	225	100¢	$224	0x46d55e…
06-19 01:13:16	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x35b86f…
06-11 10:30:07	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	10	45¢	$5	0x0b23c5…
06-11 10:27:34	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	SELL	41	27¢	$11	0x665de3…
06-11 10:16:16	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xb7b62a…
06-11 10:10:40	Kash Patel out by June 30?	No	SELL	10	91¢	$9	0x468aae…
06-11 10:09:37	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xd1c42b…
06-11 10:01:57	Edi Rama out as Albania PM in 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	29¢	$0	0x7da7c9…
06-08 00:16:07	will bill hill advance from the ak al primary election	No	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xa00cbe…
06-07 21:18:31	US-Iran nuclear deal before 2027?	No	BUY	10	35¢	$4	0x7364d5…
06-07 21:16:13	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	SELL	20	43¢	$9	0xbbde0a…
06-02 17:10:01	Kash Patel out by December 31?	No	BUY	51	46¢	$24	0xf75d8b…
05-23 00:37:09	Thunder vs. Spurs	Spurs	BUY	51	58¢	$29	0x70f8c7…
05-18 01:25:34	Cavaliers vs. Pistons: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	10	54¢	$5	0x2ab606…
05-18 00:55:37	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xabcda0…
05-17 23:34:11	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	10	63¢	$6	0x00b677…
05-15 04:21:20	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Perry	BUY	7	62¢	$4	0x0d2136…
05-15 03:42:24	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Perry	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x123805…
05-15 02:40:25	MVP Fight Night: Nate Diaz vs. Mike Perry	Perry	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0xb1a85c…
05-15 00:07:32	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Cavaliers	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0x0aa4b1…
05-12 05:02:53	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	70	73¢	$51	0xd09a2d…
05-12 03:16:01	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	8	27¢	$2	0xd29298…
05-12 03:14:47	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	10	28¢	$3	0xec116d…
05-12 03:13:46	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	30	27¢	$8	0x9312b6…
05-12 03:04:40	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x33bef3…
05-12 03:02:55	Thunder vs. Lakers	Lakers	BUY	43	24¢	$10	0xc3a908…
05-12 02:55:39	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5	Over	SELL	72	50¢	$36	0x77f775…
05-12 02:06:36	Thunder vs. Lakers: O/U 213.5	Over	BUY	72	53¢	$38	0x853579…
05-12 01:52:17	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	11	16¢	$2	0xf24b6b…
05-12 01:43:23	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x1319c5…
05-12 01:43:04	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	11	14¢	$1	0x2362dd…
05-12 00:43:58	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	70	54¢	$38	0x14b336…
05-09 20:28:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x1b32b4…
05-09 20:28:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xbc8c70…
05-09 20:28:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0xb0f4fc…
05-09 20:27:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x66645c…
05-09 20:27:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x41de48…
05-06 18:57:48	Thunder vs. Lakers	Thunder	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0xe3abff…
05-06 09:38:34	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	72	94¢	$67	0x2cf47f…
05-06 09:38:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	106	94¢	$100	0xb339d2…
05-06 09:37:40	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe24f8a…
05-06 09:36:42	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	21	94¢	$20	0xfd37df…
05-04 23:11:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	100	91¢	$91	0x902f06…
05-01 04:00:32	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	31	39¢	$12	0x9122b0…
05-01 04:00:18	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	SELL	30	38¢	$12	0x057027…
05-01 03:59:46	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	10	39¢	$4	0x0855f7…
05-01 02:40:52	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x1d78bb…
04-30 23:43:30	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	10	70¢	$7	0xec90cc…
04-30 23:41:40	Spread: Celtics (-5.5)	Celtics	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0x7e6d66…
04-30 16:38:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	270	90¢	$243	0x2a72df…
04-30 14:47:56	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	110	90¢	$99	0x5e9955…
04-30 13:49:28	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	SELL	300	90¢	$270	0xb1a863…
04-28 23:19:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0x83cbbc…
04-28 20:54:02	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	300	89¢	$267	0x3edbee…
04-28 14:35:00	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xc350f3…
04-28 03:48:52	Spread: Nuggets (-11.5)	Nuggets	BUY	606	56¢	$340	0xf3a06c…