Wan-Birdbath — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

334

lifetime

Volume

$522

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-24

last 07-01 10:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 100% +$1

Other

21% — —

Politics

13% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 19 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$35	22	22	+0	open	—	04-08 22:57
val ep1 ucam 2026 03 27	8	$25	47	47	+0	open	—	03-27 21:26
dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 03 27 game1	7	$14	39	0	+39	open	—	03-27 19:52
dota2 ts8 xtreme 2026 03 27 game2	3	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	03-27 21:45
lol omg up 2026 03 28 game2	6	$12	27	0	+27	open	—	03-28 09:42
btc updown 5m 1774445400	9	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	03-25 13:30
btc updown 5m 1774406100	9	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-25 02:38
btc updown 5m 1774440900	9	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-25 12:16
btc updown 5m 1774424700	9	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-25 07:49
btc updown 5m 1774443300	9	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-25 12:56
btc updown 5m 1774415100	9	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-25 05:07
btc updown 5m 1774421700	9	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-25 06:59
lol gx fnc 2026 03 28	5	$9	16	16	+0	open	—	03-28 15:22
will trumps approval rating be less than 39pt0 on april 3 2026	2	$8	84	0	+84	open	—	03-31 15:42
btc updown 5m 1775708700	4	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-09 04:30
btc updown 5m 1775717100	4	$8	13	0	+13	open	—	04-09 06:49
btc updown 5m 1774425600	7	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-25 08:04
btc updown 5m 1774419300	7	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-25 06:19
US forces enter Iran by December 31?	2	$7	4	4	+0	open	—	04-08 22:57
btc updown 5m 1774398600	6	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-25 00:31
btc updown 5m 1774411500	6	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-25 04:09
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$6	3	3	+0	open	—	04-01 19:17
btc updown 5m 1775694000	3	$6	13	0	+13	open	—	04-09 00:25
btc updown 5m 1775696400	3	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-09 01:04
btc updown 5m 1775712600	3	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-09 05:35
btc updown 5m 1775715000	3	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-09 06:14
btc updown 5m 1774417200	4	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	03-25 05:44
US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	16	$4	3	2	+0	open	—	04-20 22:25
btc updown 5m 1776754500	2	$4	212	0	+212	open	—	04-21 07:00
btc updown 5m 1775695800	2	$4	27	0	+27	open	—	04-09 00:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-01 10:24:31	btc updown 5m 1782901200	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x5b97f6…
07-01 10:11:40	eth updown 5m 1782900600	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xbce3fb…
06-24 16:23:37	israel withdraws from lebanon by july 31 2026	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0f3c34…
06-24 15:47:17	eth updown 5m 1782315900	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x1bf154…
06-24 14:08:41	eth updown 5m 1782309900	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0xbce716…
06-24 13:33:17	eth updown 5m 1782307800	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x24c012…
06-24 13:12:43	eth updown 5m 1782306600	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x24b40b…
06-24 13:07:01	eth updown 5m 1782306300	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x28aa61…
06-24 11:51:10	eth updown 5m 1782301800	Down	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xc4f7a2…
06-24 03:18:02	eth updown 5m 1782270900	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xee6d83…
06-24 01:31:50	eth updown 5m 1782264600	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcde9b4…
06-23 15:33:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0xaa2918…
06-20 19:06:08	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x2ea7ca…
06-20 18:14:31	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xe14b10…
06-20 18:12:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x751f35…
06-20 18:09:49	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x48ee93…
06-20 03:53:47	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x119a6a…
06-18 00:11:02	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x748977…
06-18 00:07:41	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x7651eb…
06-17 23:54:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xb61b15…
06-17 23:50:29	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x570efe…
06-17 22:30:35	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xc5f095…
06-17 17:33:26	Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x16701c…
05-20 04:35:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	Up	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6117ae…
05-06 05:35:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x0b6dfa…
05-06 05:35:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	87¢	$1	0xb60123…
05-06 04:51:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x84f1f5…
05-06 04:51:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x1c4def…
04-29 20:28:44	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x4a947c…
04-21 09:00:54	btc updown 5m 1776762000	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x7f9c7c…
04-21 07:56:38	btc updown 5m 1776758100	Down	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0x5ec2c2…
04-21 07:50:48	btc updown 5m 1776757800	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x9a806b…
04-21 07:49:36	btc updown 5m 1776757500	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x08cab8…
04-21 07:10:00	btc updown 5m 1776755100	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x55708b…
04-21 07:00:14	btc updown 5m 1776754500	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x3217dc…
04-21 06:59:58	btc updown 5m 1776754500	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x239cc3…
04-20 22:25:58	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0xfbea6d…
04-20 22:16:34	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	60¢	$0	0x033cd7…
04-20 22:08:42	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	63¢	$0	0xd09675…
04-20 20:18:14	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0xf8f4ba…
04-20 19:20:46	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	59¢	$0	0x4cfb6c…
04-15 01:13:52	btc updown 5m 1776215400	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xfa9817…
04-13 08:29:27	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0xbda64d…
04-12 19:35:01	btc updown 5m 1776022200	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x24147a…
04-12 19:20:01	btc updown 5m 1776021300	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x317218…
04-12 19:19:49	btc updown 5m 1776021300	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x7552cf…
04-12 19:15:03	btc updown 5m 1776021000	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0xffbb6d…
04-12 19:15:01	btc updown 5m 1776021000	Down	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xa011d2…
04-12 19:08:01	btc updown 5m 1776020700	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xa2b55a…
04-12 18:58:27	btc updown 5m 1776020100	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x5a2e10…
04-12 18:53:03	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x644662…
04-12 15:16:13	btc updown 5m 1776006900	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x5d12ef…
04-12 15:09:57	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	2	85¢	$2	0xff1ad5…
04-12 15:08:55	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	SELL	1	84¢	$1	0xad3f84…
04-12 14:11:49	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0x153254…
04-12 13:15:29	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	86¢	$0	0x62a424…
04-12 13:11:57	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xcc65ae…
04-12 12:55:15	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	87¢	$0	0xe7c2af…
04-12 04:56:55	will fideszkdnp win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	No	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x602340…
04-12 04:11:47	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	83¢	$0	0x9fd747…
04-12 04:11:25	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0xfa5a02…
04-12 04:10:31	US-Iran nuclear deal by April 30?	No	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x7d2227…
04-10 18:09:01	jd vance diplomatic meeting with iran by april 14 349 162	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x0394c4…
04-09 07:44:31	btc updown 5m 1775720400	Up	BUY	3	62¢	$2	0x3afb92…
04-09 07:44:27	btc updown 5m 1775720400	Up	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x3268a4…
04-09 07:40:13	btc updown 5m 1775720100	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xd36a1e…
04-09 07:29:55	btc updown 5m 1775719500	Up	BUY	2	85¢	$2	0x9ab8a1…
04-09 07:09:53	btc updown 5m 1775718300	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa07131…
04-09 07:04:11	btc updown 5m 1775718000	Up	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x768ec8…
04-09 06:49:59	btc updown 5m 1775717100	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0xfa8791…
04-09 06:49:47	btc updown 5m 1775717100	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xfb5eb5…
04-09 06:49:45	btc updown 5m 1775717100	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x518a41…
04-09 06:49:39	btc updown 5m 1775717100	Down	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xf17a38…
04-09 06:14:59	btc updown 5m 1775715000	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x5fad6a…
04-09 06:14:53	btc updown 5m 1775715000	Up	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xb07e1a…
04-09 06:11:01	btc updown 5m 1775715000	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x55372d…
04-09 06:09:53	btc updown 5m 1775714700	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x473224…
04-09 06:09:23	btc updown 5m 1775714700	Down	BUY	1	39¢	$0	0x361c7d…
04-09 05:55:09	btc updown 5m 1775713800	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x53caf5…
04-09 05:55:03	btc updown 5m 1775713800	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x9c1670…
04-09 05:35:01	btc updown 5m 1775712600	Up	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0bb03a…
04-09 05:34:45	btc updown 5m 1775712600	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x3fd40d…
04-09 05:31:55	btc updown 5m 1775712600	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xe15787…
04-09 05:25:01	btc updown 5m 1775712000	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xe95a1c…
04-09 05:15:03	btc updown 5m 1775711400	Up	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x52e73b…
04-09 04:59:55	btc updown 5m 1775710500	Up	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x1725e6…
04-09 04:59:39	btc updown 5m 1775710500	Up	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0xdaa31b…
04-09 04:48:43	btc updown 5m 1775709900	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0xed501d…
04-09 04:48:41	btc updown 5m 1775709900	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0x23b2ec…
04-09 04:40:03	btc updown 5m 1775709300	Down	BUY	2	91¢	$2	0xa3f27a…
04-09 04:30:01	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xe306a7…
04-09 04:30:01	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Down	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xcd9ed4…
04-09 04:29:53	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	BUY	2	96¢	$2	0x00cc96…
04-09 04:29:17	btc updown 5m 1775708700	Up	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0x9439bd…
04-09 04:20:01	btc updown 5m 1775708100	Up	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x37e0ec…
04-09 04:04:59	btc updown 5m 1775707200	Up	BUY	2	88¢	$2	0x2a56e8…
04-09 04:04:57	btc updown 5m 1775707200	Up	BUY	2	87¢	$2	0x01a874…
04-09 03:57:53	btc updown 5m 1775706900	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xf4c3cb…
04-09 03:24:13	btc updown 5m 1775704800	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x7c77e2…
04-09 03:20:01	btc updown 5m 1775704500	Up	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0xf9a8e2…