Positive-Town — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.5%

Resolved

Trades

113

lifetime

Volume

$426

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 05-03 18:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Politics

57% 67% +$6

Other

31% 0% $-4

Sports

7% 50% $-3

Crypto

5% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	5	$97	258	258	+0	open	—	03-27 14:53
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	1	$46	73	0	+73	open	—	03-27 14:54
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	2	$29	181	0	+181	open	—	03-24 00:56
GTA VI released before June 2026?	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	03-27 14:49
another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	04-28 23:39
another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	1	$10	71	0	+71	open	—	04-28 23:39
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by June 30?	1	$10	45	0	+45	open	—	01-03 10:56
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	2	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	03-27 14:46
si hit 85 high jan 2026 851 188 261	1	$7	26	0	+26	open	—	01-03 10:57
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$7	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	03-27 14:50
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	04-26 20:14
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	1	$5	0	8	-8	Yes	+$5	03-27 14:46
Will AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?	1	$5	25	0	+25	open	—	04-26 20:23
sea com udi 2026 01 03 com	1	$5	9	0	+9	open	—	01-03 11:26
trump approval up or down this week 669	1	$5	11	0	+11	open	—	01-03 11:01
Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-05 03:39
will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$5	6	0	+6	open	—	01-14 21:58
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-14 21:58
Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	2	$5	11	11	+0	open	—	03-27 14:50
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	1	$4	13	0	+13	open	—	01-03 10:58
Will Bitcoin hit $80k or $100k first?	1	$4	9	0	+9	open	—	01-03 11:01
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$4	37	0	+37	open	—	02-28 17:48
btc updown 15m 1770855300	1	$4	10	0	+10	open	—	02-12 00:23
another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	1	$4	6	0	+6	open	—	01-14 22:54
Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$4	11	0	+11	No	$-4	04-26 20:21
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	2	$4	8	0	+8	open	—	03-05 03:41
will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	2	$4	11	0	+11	open	—	02-23 20:08
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	2	$4	14	0	+14	open	—	03-01 11:48
Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	2	$3	5	5	+0	Yes	+$1	03-27 14:50
us forces in venezuela again by january 31 2026	1	$3	7	0	+7	open	—	01-03 19:44

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-03 18:31:58	LoL: Fnatic vs Team Vitality (BO3) - LEC Regular Season	Fnatic	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x255e9a…
05-03 18:31:56	LoL: LOUD vs Vivo Keyd Stars (BO3) - CBLOL Regular Season	LOUD	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xe2a356…
05-03 18:31:54	LoL: T1 vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	T1	BUY	2	84¢	$2	0xb0b733…
05-03 18:31:52	LoL: T1 Academy vs Hanwha Life Esports Challengers (BO3) - LCK Challengers League Rounds 1-2	Hanwha Life Esports Challengers	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xeac1cb…
04-28 23:39:28	another critical cloudflare incident by june 30 2026	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xe6ab11…
04-28 23:39:22	another critical cloudflare incident by may 31 2026	No	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xbb2da6…
04-26 20:23:46	Will AVS Futebol vs. Sporting CP end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x285176…
04-26 20:23:24	Will AVS Futebol win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	15	7¢	$1	0x15cc40…
04-26 20:22:40	Will Aston Villa win the 2025-26 UEFA Europa League?	Yes	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x964d2d…
04-26 20:21:48	Will Bayern Munich win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	11	37¢	$4	0x3e2546…
04-26 20:21:26	Will PSG win the 2025–26 Champions League?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x77a870…
04-26 20:21:04	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xa991f2…
04-26 20:18:58	Will Finland win Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa0c851…
04-26 20:18:30	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0xde0a22…
04-26 20:17:42	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0xb236fa…
04-26 20:17:34	Will Bitcoin dip to $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcb3b3f…
04-26 20:17:16	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xadf802…
04-26 20:16:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xf9df89…
04-26 20:16:18	Lakers vs. Rockets	Lakers	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xac71c4…
04-26 20:16:06	Putin meets with Iranian officials by May 15?	No	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x20a60c…
04-26 20:14:54	Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc9488d…
04-26 20:13:44	Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from April 28 to May 5, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x76efa5…
04-26 20:13:08	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x41c1fa…
04-26 20:12:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	Yes	BUY	27	4¢	$1	0x6c4727…
03-27 14:54:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	73	63¢	$46	0x8df75b…
03-27 14:53:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	258	18¢	$46	0x27db16…
03-27 14:50:57	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	145	20¢	$29	0x3743ec…
03-27 14:50:25	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	SELL	5	46¢	$2	0xcbe61b…
03-27 14:50:19	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0xce76a1…
03-27 14:50:09	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	5	76¢	$4	0xff51a5…
03-27 14:49:47	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0xa33a17…
03-27 14:49:05	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0x54f414…
03-27 14:48:15	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x1cafc0…
03-27 14:46:59	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	65	20¢	$13	0x5db46a…
03-27 14:46:47	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	No	SELL	8	67¢	$5	0x7a79cd…
03-27 14:46:33	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0xaff97e…
03-24 00:56:33	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	38	16¢	$6	0x1ee0fb…
03-24 00:54:57	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	Yes	BUY	144	16¢	$23	0x43b780…
03-05 03:43:35	will iran strike jordan in march	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xc9bd44…
03-05 03:43:25	will iran strike bahrain in march	No	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x0f5a7c…
03-05 03:43:01	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	No	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xd26a7e…
03-05 03:42:03	will us or israel strike iran on march 6 2026	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0x55b1b1…
03-05 03:41:31	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	19	11¢	$2	0x1bc8fa…
03-05 03:41:23	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0x19e34b…
03-05 03:41:15	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xb58c50…
03-05 03:40:35	will crude oil cl settle at 60 65 in march 449	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x055920…
03-05 03:39:57	Will the Fed cut rates before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xc11f53…
03-05 03:39:23	Will there be a US x Iran ceasefire before Kevin Warsh is confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd44686…
03-05 03:38:57	will plc win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian chamber of representatives election	Yes	BUY	4	45¢	$2	0xc2bd80…
03-05 03:38:35	will pcc win the second most seats in the 2026 colombian senate election	Yes	BUY	3	63¢	$2	0x1a16b4…
03-01 11:49:27	will china invade taiwan by march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0x2e3387…
03-01 11:48:57	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x66b013…
03-01 11:48:49	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 20 39	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa91c57…
03-01 11:48:37	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xee112d…
02-28 17:48:55	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0xf0e7b7…
02-28 17:47:31	elon musk of tweets march 3 march 10 0 19	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xe282eb…
02-28 17:47:25	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 0 19	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xb20957…
02-28 17:47:17	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 200 219	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x33bd0c…
02-28 17:47:03	us forces enter iran by march 3 882 999	Yes	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x2482ce…
02-28 17:46:35	lol mkoi kc 2026 02 28	Movistar KOI	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0x240400…
02-28 17:46:25	nhl pit nyr 2026 02 28	Rangers	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xf9bcc5…
02-28 17:46:17	bun dor bay 2026 02 28 dor	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x060e59…
02-28 17:46:05	epl lee mac 2026 02 28 lee	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9317e1…
02-28 17:45:45	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	Yes	BUY	11	28¢	$3	0x0fa224…
02-28 17:45:33	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x4af14e…
02-28 17:45:23	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x172884…
02-23 20:17:36	Will Bitcoin hit $60k or $80k first?	$80k	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xdafadd…
02-23 20:16:50	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xe9b0f2…
02-23 20:15:48	us strikes iran by february 25 2026	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xf6a72d…
02-23 20:15:48	israel strikes iran by february 28 2026	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0xeb8016…
02-23 20:15:14	will the epstein files be the 1 apple podcast by march 15	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf6766e…
02-23 20:14:52	microstrategy announces 1000 btc purchase february 24 march 2	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x506d3c…
02-23 20:14:32	elon musk of tweets february 26 february 28 0 39	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0xcc4599…
02-23 20:14:02	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x998f79…
02-23 20:13:02	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc01a79…
02-23 20:12:34	will henry kissinger be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x74f653…
02-23 20:12:20	will oprah winfrey be named in newly released epstein files by february 28	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x3dc56c…
02-23 20:09:52	Will the Court Force Trump to Refund Tariffs?	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x96e16f…
02-23 20:09:00	will trump say crypto or bitcoin during the 2026 state of the union address 556	No	BUY	3	76¢	$2	0xe7b762…
02-23 20:08:40	will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb75351…
02-23 20:08:34	will trump say job 20 times during the 2026 state of the union address 563	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x15fe2f…
02-23 20:08:26	will trump say america or american 25 times during the 2026 state of the union address 819	No	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x647f6b…
02-23 20:07:26	us anti cartel ground operation in mexico by march 31	Yes	BUY	17	18¢	$3	0xec6e5e…
02-23 20:06:50	US strikes Iran by March 2, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0xd2265c…
02-23 20:06:36	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	Yes	BUY	64	5¢	$3	0x3bece5…
02-23 20:06:28	us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	Yes	BUY	27	11¢	$3	0xbae30a…
02-12 00:26:57	will trump and netanyahu not shake hands by february 13 2026	Yes	BUY	199	1¢	$1	0xb6d86f…
02-12 00:25:51	another us government shutdown by february 14	Yes	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x0f8f98…
02-12 00:25:39	will norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x4161a5…
02-12 00:25:27	will gold gc hit high 5500 by end of february 743 796 985 593 523 417 437	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf440f6…
02-12 00:25:09	will gold gc hit high 10000 by end of february	Yes	BUY	214	0¢	$1	0xef420c…
02-12 00:24:15	spx opens up or down on february 12 2026	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x7b8db6…
02-12 00:23:35	btc updown 15m 1770855300	Up	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x1b6146…
01-14 22:55:50	trumprx launched by january 31 2026	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x46cb82…
01-14 22:54:38	another critical cloudflare incident by february 28	No	BUY	6	66¢	$4	0x4c2f22…
01-14 22:53:40	grok 4pt20 released by january 31 273	No	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x2029bf…
01-14 21:59:56	will elon musks net worth be less than 620b on january 31	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xced7ad…
01-14 21:59:10	deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x1fd017…
01-14 21:58:14	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x10e361…
01-14 21:58:08	will alphabet be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	Yes	BUY	6	84¢	$5	0x0789cd…