Naughty-Pick — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$23.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$621

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-27

last 11-04 07:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 35 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 70% -$8

Other

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin above 74k on april 6	1	$2.1K	2,096	0	+2,096	No	+$6	04-06 02:10
xrp above 1 on april 5	1	$2.1K	2,089	0	+2,089	Yes	+$4	04-05 02:10
will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 4	1	$2.1K	2,086	0	+2,086	No	+$4	04-04 02:34
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 3	1	$2.1K	2,082	0	+2,082	No	+$6	04-03 02:30
will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on april 2	1	$2.1K	2,076	0	+2,076	No	+$4	04-02 04:34
will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 1	1	$2.1K	2,072	0	+2,072	No	+$4	04-01 04:17
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	1	$2.1K	2,068	0	+2,068	No	+$4	03-31 03:47
ethereum above 1800 on march 30	1	$2.1K	2,064	0	+2,064	Yes	+$4	03-30 05:36
will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 29	1	$2.1K	2,059	0	+2,059	No	+$4	03-29 01:49
will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 28	1	$2.1K	2,056	0	+2,056	No	+$4	03-28 02:57
ethereum above 1800 on march 27	1	$2.0K	2,052	0	+2,052	Yes	+$4	03-27 05:06
bitcoin above 68k on august 20 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	-$16	08-19 03:55
bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	1	$16	16	0	+16	Yes	+$0	08-11 04:42
amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	1	$15	16	0	+16	No	+$0	06-09 06:26
bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	Yes	+$0	08-06 02:55
bitcoin above 68k on july 9 2026	1	$15	15	0	+15	No	+$0	07-08 04:14
bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	07-13 07:40
bitcoin above 58k on july 31 2026	1	$14	14	0	+14	Yes	+$0	07-30 02:49
bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	Yes	+$0	07-24 07:18
bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	07-01 07:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	1	$11	12	0	+12	No	+$0	05-18 11:16
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-12 08:17
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-30 12:22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 4?	1	$11	11	0	+11	No	+$0	05-03 12:12
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	1	$9	9	0	+9	Yes	+$0	09-09 06:34
Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	06-25 08:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 13	1	$6	2,110	0	+2,110	No	-$6	04-13 03:42
will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 20	1	$6	2,069	0	+2,069	No	-$6	04-21 00:12
Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	06-20 06:55
100kt meteor strike in 2026?	1	$5	0	6	-6	open	—	11-04 07:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 07:49:07	100kt meteor strike in 2026?	No	SELL	6	93¢	$5	0x3f63f1…
09-09 06:34:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on September 10?	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x8e53f4…
08-19 03:55:51	bitcoin above 68k on august 20 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x95a224…
08-11 04:42:43	bitcoin above 60k on august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x55b517…
08-06 02:55:27	bitcoin above 60k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x9800d2…
07-30 02:49:36	bitcoin above 58k on july 31 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x13fd45…
07-24 07:18:21	bitcoin above 60k on july 25 2026	Yes	BUY	13	100¢	$13	0x3ae7a4…
07-13 07:40:28	bitcoin above 60k on july 13 2026	Yes	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x5ba223…
07-08 04:14:46	bitcoin above 68k on july 9 2026	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x2eba37…
07-01 07:31:58	bitcoin above 64k on july 2 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x367d09…
06-25 08:12:02	Will S&P 500 (SPX) hit $6,000 (LOW) in June?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf923ea…
06-20 06:55:10	Will Base launch a token by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x94eacb…
06-09 06:26:45	amzn above 285 on june 12 2026	No	BUY	16	100¢	$15	0x51cfa3…
05-30 12:22:34	Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $68,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xbebefe…
05-18 11:16:36	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 19?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$11	0x37b871…
05-12 08:17:25	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 13?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x4a3f8a…
05-03 12:12:40	Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on May 4?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x372adf…
04-21 00:12:50	will bitcoin dip to 73k on april 20	Yes	BUY	2,069	0¢	$6	0xd93bc8…
04-19 08:41:32	will the price of bitcoin be between 68000 70000 on april 19	Yes	BUY	2,093	0¢	$4	0x5096bc…
04-17 10:30:28	solana above 100 on april 17	Yes	BUY	2,105	0¢	$4	0x3b94a1…
04-16 21:01:16	will ethereum dip to 2100 on april 16	Yes	BUY	2,121	0¢	$4	0x00c51c…
04-14 04:15:43	ethereum above 2600 on april 14	Yes	BUY	2,088	0¢	$4	0xd69c32…
04-13 03:42:23	will the price of bitcoin be between 64000 66000 on april 13	Yes	BUY	2,110	0¢	$6	0xe30bd3…
04-11 02:48:15	will the price of solana be between 60 70 on april 11	Yes	BUY	2,096	0¢	$4	0x7d461e…
04-10 04:06:53	will the price of xrp be between 0pt90 1pt00 on april 10	Yes	BUY	2,091	0¢	$4	0xc019d7…
04-09 07:18:05	will the price of solana be between 110 120 on april 9	Yes	BUY	2,091	0¢	$4	0xec7d13…
04-06 02:10:15	bitcoin above 74k on april 6	No	BUY	2,096	100¢	$2,089	0xc815fc…
04-05 02:10:17	xrp above 1 on april 5	Yes	BUY	2,089	100¢	$2,085	0x9ba2a3…
04-04 02:34:21	will the price of ethereum be between 1700 1800 on april 4	No	BUY	2,086	100¢	$2,081	0x2f41b9…
04-03 02:30:35	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on april 3	No	BUY	2,082	100¢	$2,076	0x5c9e6c…
04-02 04:34:43	will the price of bitcoin be less than 60000 on april 2	No	BUY	2,076	100¢	$2,072	0x79b2c8…
04-01 04:17:37	will the price of ethereum be between 1800 1900 on april 1	No	BUY	2,072	100¢	$2,068	0x1ab413…
03-31 03:47:25	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on march 31	No	BUY	2,068	100¢	$2,064	0xa4210d…
03-30 05:36:44	ethereum above 1800 on march 30	Yes	BUY	2,064	100¢	$2,059	0x7daf52…
03-29 01:49:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 72000 74000 on march 29	No	BUY	2,059	100¢	$2,055	0x0a0293…
03-28 02:57:03	will the price of ethereum be less than 1700 on march 28	No	BUY	2,056	100¢	$2,052	0x896ef0…
03-27 05:06:05	ethereum above 1800 on march 27	Yes	BUY	2,052	100¢	$2,048	0x984699…