Careless-Harp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$82

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

78.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$862

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-15

last 06-13 21:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Other

63% 65% -$78

Sports

24% 75% -$11

Pop-Culture

13% 50% +$8

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-06-13).

Open positions Resolved markets (26) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will one battle after another win exactly 6 awards at the oscars	3	$108	121	0	+121	Yes	+$13	03-16 02:29
will f1 win best sound at the 98th academy awards	4	$85	46	46	+0	Yes	+$6	03-16 01:49
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	3	$77	40	40	+0	Yes	+$3	03-16 02:27
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$64	78	0	+78	Yes	+$14	05-16 02:23
will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	3	$55	29	29	+0	Yes	+$3	03-16 01:09
Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	2	$48	55	55	+0	No	-$42	06-13 21:01
will all the empty rooms win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 268	3	$46	27	27	+0	Yes	+$7	03-16 01:23
will the perfect neighbor win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	3	$46	66	0	+66	No	-$46	03-16 01:11
Will Brazil be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?	1	$45	140	0	+140	No	-$45	06-13 16:23
will frankenstein win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	2	$40	20	20	+0	Yes	+$1	03-15 23:57
will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	3	$37	22	22	+0	Yes	+$7	03-16 02:06
will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	2	$22	12	12	+0	Yes	+$2	03-16 01:50
will the singers win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	2	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$11	03-16 00:23
will frankenstein win best makeup and hairstyling at the 98th academy awards	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	03-15 23:57
will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	2	$21	11	11	+0	Yes	+$1	03-15 23:45
will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	2	$21	16	16	+0	Yes	+$1	03-16 01:52
will golden kpop demon hunters win best original song at the 98th academy awards	1	$20	24	0	+24	Yes	+$4	03-15 19:05
will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	2	$20	25	0	+25	No	-$20	03-16 00:02
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	1	$15	19	0	+19	Yes	+$4	03-15 18:49
will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	2	$14	9	9	+0	Yes	+$4	03-15 23:44
Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	1	$14	0	169	-169	Yes	+$14	05-20 23:26
will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	2	$7	123	0	+123	No	-$7	03-15 19:27
will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	36	0	+36	No	-$5	03-15 18:53
will butterfly win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	1	$5	8	0	+8	No	-$5	03-15 19:11
will one battle after another win exactly 5 awards at the oscars	1	$5	17	0	+17	No	-$5	03-15 19:20
will hamnet win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	1	$1	25	0	+25	No	-$1	03-15 19:02

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-13 21:01:57	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	SELL	55	6¢	$3	0xab99d2…
06-13 16:24:57	Will Switzerland win on 2026-06-13?	Yes	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0xa2483b…
06-13 16:23:54	Will Brazil be the furthest advancing CONMEBOL nation at the World Cup?	Yes	BUY	140	32¢	$45	0x201bff…
05-20 23:26:46	Will Neymar play in the World Cup?	No	SELL	169	8¢	$14	0xbbc08b…
05-16 02:23:19	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	78	82¢	$64	0xf8f20d…
03-16 02:29:07	will one battle after another win exactly 6 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	42	95¢	$40	0xb9ddfb…
03-16 02:27:57	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	40	100¢	$40	0x1ebdd2…
03-16 02:06:45	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	24	94¢	$22	0x60d945…
03-16 02:06:29	will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x2307e3…
03-16 01:57:49	will one battle after another win exactly 6 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	48	89¢	$43	0x5766af…
03-16 01:56:45	will one battle after another win exactly 6 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	31	82¢	$25	0x154beb…
03-16 01:52:57	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	16	65¢	$11	0xd65de3…
03-16 01:50:35	will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	12	100¢	$12	0x6f7d3b…
03-16 01:49:23	will f1 win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	46	100¢	$46	0x874bfa…
03-16 01:26:09	will f1 win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xa876e4…
03-16 01:23:39	will all the empty rooms win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 268	Yes	SELL	27	100¢	$27	0x935005…
03-16 01:11:13	will all the empty rooms win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 268	Yes	BUY	19	74¢	$14	0xdf12d4…
03-16 01:11:05	will the perfect neighbor win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	74¢	$15	0xb1dcee…
03-16 01:09:53	will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	29	100¢	$29	0xd14b07…
03-16 00:26:25	will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	18	86¢	$16	0x48da5e…
03-16 00:23:37	will the singers win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	16	100¢	$16	0x9cdd9c…
03-16 00:05:05	will the perfect neighbor win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	31	67¢	$21	0x21fe6a…
03-16 00:02:13	will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	85¢	$10	0xf9d2e4…
03-15 23:57:57	will frankenstein win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x7b4f44…
03-15 23:57:47	will frankenstein win best makeup and hairstyling at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x49b2e7…
03-15 23:48:01	will frankenstein win best costume design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	20	96¢	$19	0x9b3970…
03-15 23:45:23	will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	11	100¢	$11	0x79cc6f…
03-15 23:44:09	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	9	100¢	$9	0xd00147…
03-15 19:27:25	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	33	7¢	$2	0xfbe74f…
03-15 19:27:03	will f1 win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0xc90f2b…
03-15 19:26:27	will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x275159…
03-15 19:20:13	will one battle after another win exactly 5 awards at the oscars	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x7601a0…
03-15 19:15:57	will sentimental value win best international feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x451011…
03-15 19:15:21	will frankenstein win best makeup and hairstyling at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	93¢	$10	0x6e0413…
03-15 19:13:51	will frankenstein win best production design at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	91¢	$10	0x7641ed…
03-15 19:13:23	will f1 win best sound at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x407a30…
03-15 19:12:21	will sinners win best casting at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	13	76¢	$10	0x054b47…
03-15 19:11:43	will the perfect neighbor win best documentary feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	14	69¢	$10	0x333d89…
03-15 19:11:25	will butterfly win best animated short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x040690…
03-15 19:09:43	will the singers win best live action short film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8db09f…
03-15 19:08:49	will all the empty rooms win best documentary short film at the 98th academy awards 268	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd49861…
03-15 19:05:51	will golden kpop demon hunters win best original song at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	24	84¢	$20	0xad346f…
03-15 19:02:37	will hamnet win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x4f7e39…
03-15 19:01:53	will kpop demon hunters win best animated feature film at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x4b1327…
03-15 19:01:33	will one battle after another win best film editing at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xcc8ab9…
03-15 19:00:11	will train dreams win best cinematography at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	90	6¢	$5	0xe7f763…
03-15 18:58:33	will amy madigan win best supporting actress at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xe78caa…
03-15 18:53:43	will stellan skarsgrd win best supporting actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x0c35e3…
03-15 18:51:19	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	16	92¢	$15	0x2287db…
03-15 18:50:29	will michael b jordan win best actor at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0x0ad376…
03-15 18:49:03	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	19	79¢	$15	0x86e5ed…