Realized P&L
-$1
Unrealized P&L
-$27
Hit rate
16.5%
Resolved
2
Trades
14
lifetime
Volume
$126
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$90
7 positions
First seen
2026-05-08
last 05-14 05:54
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 1 day
Not enough resolved markets yet to plot a curve.
Categories
Other
56% 50% $-1
Politics
44%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
5 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026? No +53 $49 94¢ $49 +$0 05-10 18:58
Will Trump say "Tariff" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes +63 $50 30¢ $19 $-31 05-13 22:43
Will AfD win the most seats in the 2026 Mecklenburg-Vorpommern parliamentary elections? Yes +11 $10 88¢ $10 $-0 05-09 19:52
Will China announce a U.S. oil purchase by May 22? Yes +33 $5 29¢ $9 +$5 05-14 00:24
Will Jordan Bardella win the 2027 French presidential election? Yes +4 $1 24¢ $1 $-0 05-13 21:08
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes +3 $2 28¢ $1 $-1 05-14 05:54
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping? Yes -2 $-1 27¢ $-1 +$0 05-14 05:54