Eminent-Deer-Inequality — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$12

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$109

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-07 14:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 58% $-12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 54 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (24) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	6	$16	13	13	+0	Up	$-2	05-05 18:29
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	2	$11	7	7	+0	Yes	+$1	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$11	7	7	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	10	$10	12	10	+2	Up	+$0	05-05 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	5	$6	9	9	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$5	8	6	+2	Down	$-3	05-05 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$5	18	2	+16	Up	$-3	05-05 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	Up	+$0	05-05 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	5	$5	6	3	+2	Up	$-1	05-05 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	3	$3	3	2	+1	Down	$-1	05-05 18:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-05 18:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	3	$3	9	0	+9	Up	$-3	05-04 23:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 12:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 12:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 18:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	2	$2	5	0	+5	Up	+$3	05-04 23:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Up	$-1	05-04 23:30
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-05 11:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	1	$1	2	0	+2	Down	$-1	05-05 12:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 12:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-05 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Down	+$0	05-04 22:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	Up	+$0	05-05 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 14:59:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x9c6a8c…
05-07 14:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x4fdb40…
05-05 22:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x7e3da1…
05-05 18:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x75b028…
05-05 18:54:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3e427b…
05-05 18:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xb80ebc…
05-05 18:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	67¢	$1	0xe55406…
05-05 18:35:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x56d381…
05-05 18:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x30edad…
05-05 18:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x0d9025…
05-05 18:29:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x07a8dd…
05-05 18:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	87¢	$1	0xd1b66b…
05-05 18:27:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x02dab9…
05-05 18:27:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	30¢	$3	0xe0dd38…
05-05 18:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x853e74…
05-05 18:24:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	SELL	7	75¢	$6	0xd9ed6d…
05-05 18:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Down	BUY	7	67¢	$5	0x377d74…
05-05 18:24:02	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	SELL	7	86¢	$6	0x4b96c4…
05-05 18:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x8e9fc0…
05-05 18:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	6	20¢	$1	0x7c0e8c…
05-05 18:15:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa0a4af…
05-05 18:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3807a4…
05-05 18:07:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7b2589…
05-05 18:06:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	1	73¢	$1	0xd0c971…
05-05 18:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5e4c18…
05-05 18:06:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	20¢	$1	0x39e248…
05-05 18:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcb6298…
05-05 18:06:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	3	61¢	$2	0x9e5374…
05-05 18:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0x122b41…
05-05 18:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x52aacf…
05-05 18:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x852a59…
05-05 18:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x982980…
05-05 18:04:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	6	13¢	$1	0x5b5556…
05-05 18:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x51623a…
05-05 18:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x297f23…
05-05 18:00:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xf93546…
05-05 17:57:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x150d34…
05-05 12:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0x81bf25…
05-05 12:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xfb56bb…
05-05 12:26:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xc85a63…
05-05 12:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x71a844…
05-05 12:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xfed86c…
05-05 12:09:46	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xd0d2b2…
05-05 12:04:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0x0eed8d…
05-05 12:00:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xf4a5a3…
05-05 11:40:48	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x106b53…
05-05 11:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x873252…
05-05 11:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0xfeacca…
05-05 11:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xe27f0c…
05-05 11:31:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	SELL	2	39¢	$1	0xa2d8f8…
05-05 11:31:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xfad48d…
05-05 11:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4faf2a…
05-05 11:27:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x25e091…
05-05 11:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x7bc49a…
05-05 11:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0x275f18…
05-05 11:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xc5c2ae…
05-04 23:30:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x8dee60…
05-04 23:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x963755…
05-04 23:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x09e6ec…
05-04 23:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xb20458…
05-04 23:11:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x973525…
05-04 23:10:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x444778…
05-04 22:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x70c4cf…