Spherical-Cope — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.65K

Unrealized P&L

-$752

Hit rate

99.8%

Resolved

2,046

Trades

9,737

lifetime

Volume

$1.78M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$183

Open exposure

$50.0K

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 10-28 17:33

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 105 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$1,648

Tech

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 142 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (27) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	+54,538	$45,736	81¢	$44.2K	-$1,560	10-28 17:33
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?	No	-5,901	-$5,075	96¢	$-5674	-$599	05-19 21:08
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	-1,574	-$1,588	12¢	$-181	+$1,407	07-26 13:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	4	$92.0K	46,167	46,167	+0	No	+$277	10-02 08:54
Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	18	$59.3K	62,585	8,046	+54,538	open	—	10-28 17:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	85	$26.1K	18,982	20,556	-1,574	open	—	07-26 13:14
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	3	$20.1K	10,198	10,198	+0	open	—	10-02 13:21
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on July 22?	13	$18.0K	18,001	0	+18,001	No	+$19	07-22 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 26°C on July 22?	6	$16.0K	16,001	0	+16,001	No	+$16	07-22 00:09
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by September 30?	67	$10.2K	5,613	5,613	+0	No	+$112	05-23 23:42
Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	3	$10.0K	10,063	0	+10,063	No	+$77	09-29 17:10
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on August 17?	19	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-16 16:20
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on August 16?	21	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-15 19:00
Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C on August 12?	10	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-12 03:59
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 29°C on August 17?	23	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-17 21:57
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 23°C on August 22?	8	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-22 23:13
Will the highest temperature in London be 23°C on August 20?	8	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-20 15:22
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 16?	8	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-16 09:23
Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on August 16?	8	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-16 11:22
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C or below on August 17?	8	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-16 22:32
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 24°C or below on August 12?	8	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-12 16:59
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 32°C on August 21?	13	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-21 13:26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 10°C on August 20?	9	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-19 21:40
Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on August 11?	8	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-11 07:11
Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on August 17?	10	$8.0K	8,008	0	+8,008	No	+$8	08-16 20:02
Will the highest temperature in London be 20°C or below on August 19?	25	$7.5K	7,503	0	+7,503	No	+$10	08-19 14:45
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 9°C or below on August 12?	15	$7.2K	7,162	0	+7,162	No	+$7	08-12 05:13
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 11°C on August 12?	18	$7.1K	7,124	0	+7,124	No	+$7	08-12 11:27
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 31°C on August 11?	28	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	08-11 09:49
Will the highest temperature in London be 25°C on August 17?	7	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	08-17 22:16
Will the highest temperature in London be 26°C on August 17?	7	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	08-17 22:22
Will the highest temperature in Milan be 28°C on August 17?	7	$7.0K	7,007	0	+7,007	No	+$7	08-17 22:26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on August 12?	16	$6.5K	6,498	0	+6,498	No	+$6	08-12 11:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-28 17:33:58	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0x77b7ed…
10-27 18:06:08	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x99773f…
10-26 19:47:32	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0xf3e1b1…
10-26 19:47:32	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	290	84¢	$243	0x73de2c…
10-26 19:47:32	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x05f417…
10-22 18:15:38	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	7,612	83¢	$6,318	0xd9fecb…
10-22 14:14:21	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x2de957…
10-22 13:27:32	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	11	84¢	$9	0x68758c…
10-22 08:59:17	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	200	84¢	$168	0x15cf3c…
10-22 06:59:24	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0xb26294…
10-22 00:49:53	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	12	84¢	$10	0x0a492c…
10-21 13:13:03	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	269	84¢	$226	0x8b1854…
10-21 13:13:03	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	1,514	84¢	$1,272	0x2f8e66…
10-19 21:06:24	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	25	84¢	$21	0x92f0da…
10-19 21:01:42	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	SELL	5,302	84¢	$4,453	0xaac07b…
10-08 19:13:27	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Yandex - Game 2 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	203	81¢	$165	0xf3f8fb…
10-03 04:03:54	Will Anthropic announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2028?	No	BUY	11,958	84¢	$10,045	0x080c98…
10-02 13:21:44	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	SELL	10,198	98¢	$10,045	0x8d7038…
10-02 08:54:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	26,167	100¢	$26,140	0x4392ec…
10-01 19:39:45	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xabdc23…
10-01 11:02:47	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	3,149	99¢	$3,108	0x39a272…
10-01 11:02:23	Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	No	BUY	7,049	99¢	$6,950	0x211cff…
09-29 17:10:17	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	BUY	4,040	100¢	$4,030	0xf9d65d…
09-29 14:45:05	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0xf419a2…
09-29 14:43:48	Will the US announce a diesel export ban by September 30?	No	BUY	6,000	99¢	$5,934	0xcc9fd2…
09-29 14:41:53	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	SELL	10,000	100¢	$9,990	0xf3da93…
09-25 23:40:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by September 30?	No	BUY	46,167	99¢	$45,843	0x86425b…
09-21 03:11:34	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 70-71°F on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc2f109…
09-21 01:01:44	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be 59°F or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4a71e5…
09-20 23:44:52	Will the highest temperature in New York City be 59°F or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x126426…
09-20 22:29:13	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 20°C or below on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa8241e…
09-20 18:55:05	Will the highest temperature in Atlanta be between 82-83°F on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9e9e29…
09-20 18:31:40	Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x928b83…
09-20 18:06:37	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x146b4b…
09-20 18:06:09	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 19°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc680c1…
09-20 17:56:13	Will the highest temperature in Austin be between 92-93°F on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xddeb7c…
09-20 17:43:33	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 19°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0b5ad7…
09-20 17:27:25	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 16°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x273ed8…
09-20 17:08:55	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 27°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61a7b9…
09-20 17:06:30	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 23°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x61be7c…
09-20 17:06:30	Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 21°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x166927…
09-20 16:59:09	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 27°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef4847…
09-20 16:27:21	Will the lowest temperature in Amsterdam be 17°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdab9ff…
09-20 16:09:00	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 29°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xde77cf…
09-20 16:09:00	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 30°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5d83d5…
09-20 16:08:58	Will the lowest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 28°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe87c6d…
09-20 16:07:30	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 18°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdfdb34…
09-20 16:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 24°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfc17e3…
09-20 16:06:40	Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 25°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5dc91…
09-20 16:06:39	Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 23°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x90c3a5…
09-20 16:06:39	Will the lowest temperature in Zhengzhou be 22°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7aac80…
09-20 16:06:39	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a17fd…
09-20 16:06:39	Will the lowest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x3b1cbc…
09-20 16:06:39	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 25°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0174dd…
09-20 16:06:37	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 26°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf9498e…
09-20 16:06:37	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 23°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1fdcdf…
09-20 16:06:37	Will the lowest temperature in Chongqing be 24°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x0089ca…
09-20 16:05:58	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 23°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe618cd…
09-20 16:05:58	Will the lowest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x439140…
09-20 16:05:57	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 21°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8ff829…
09-20 16:05:57	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 22°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x4c4eeb…
09-20 16:05:57	Will the lowest temperature in Beijing be 20°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x223ca7…
09-20 16:05:55	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8656ad…
09-20 16:04:54	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 19°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf61e45…
09-20 16:04:54	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 20°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x559269…
09-20 16:00:13	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc855f…
09-20 15:06:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 26°C on September 21?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6edeaf…
09-20 15:06:09	Will the lowest temperature in Tokyo be 23°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x39f588…
09-20 15:06:07	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 21°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x56a3ed…
09-20 15:05:09	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 23°C or higher on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xb38dac…
09-20 15:05:09	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 22°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x14d4f8…
09-20 15:05:09	Will the lowest temperature in Busan be 21°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x12dc0c…
09-20 14:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 80-81°F on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdefe22…
09-20 14:49:30	Will the lowest temperature in Paris be 15°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x049913…
09-20 14:06:01	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 24°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6a381e…
09-20 14:04:51	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 29°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe13422…
09-20 13:42:43	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 24°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1e9282…
09-20 13:35:36	Will the lowest temperature in Shanghai be 25°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa375ae…
09-20 13:34:45	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 8°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18744f…
09-20 13:04:30	Will the lowest temperature in Wellington be 9°C on September 21?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd2784a…
09-20 12:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Miami be 77°F or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x103696…
09-20 12:56:19	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 26°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf055b5…
09-20 12:54:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc76138…
09-20 12:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 22°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2877b8…
09-20 12:32:58	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 23°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x26a0c5…
09-20 12:01:30	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6aa9aa…
09-20 12:01:09	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 31°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbebe58…
09-20 12:00:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x84dd2a…
09-20 11:56:03	Will the highest temperature in Milan be 25°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x623c9e…
09-20 11:05:51	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 25°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xe5d5f6…
09-20 10:55:57	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 23°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5c986c…
09-20 10:02:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xedb124…
09-20 09:33:31	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 28°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xed501c…
09-20 09:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 20°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa32f48…
09-20 09:32:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C or below on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x5bbfeb…
09-20 09:25:27	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 22°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x458cee…
09-20 09:05:28	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 24°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7b1d86…
09-20 09:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 22°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x526f26…
09-20 09:05:27	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 23°C on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x174196…
09-20 08:56:12	Will the lowest temperature in Seattle be between 54-55°F on September 20?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x6b1a4f…