Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$61

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 05-21 05:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 100% +$0

Politics

29% — —

Other

26% 100% +$1

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	4	$236	120	120	+0	open	—	02-25 11:20
Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$218	115	115	+0	open	—	01-23 11:52
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	1	$178	180	0	+180	open	—	04-05 13:38
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	1	$177	180	0	+180	open	—	03-30 12:59
Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	1	$172	172	0	+172	open	—	03-23 12:43
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	02-01 14:03
Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	03-06 09:16
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	1	$150	150	0	+150	open	—	03-13 08:37
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$144	145	0	+145	open	—	03-14 13:23
Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$140	140	0	+140	Yes	+$0	02-13 08:58
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	02-04 04:07
bitcoin above 72k on february 25	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	02-25 11:21
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	2	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	02-10 03:35
Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$130	130	0	+130	open	—	01-29 11:33
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$130	131	0	+131	open	—	01-28 12:47
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	1	$125	126	0	+126	open	—	03-02 12:40
gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 11pt49	1	$120	133	0	+133	open	—	01-15 06:49
bitcoin above 84k on january 23	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	01-23 12:57
lol blg g2 2026 03 18	1	$100	123	0	+123	open	—	03-18 05:44
ethereum above 2900 on january 9	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-09 15:57
Over $25M committed to the Trove public sale?	1	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	01-11 14:29
lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-18 05:44
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-02 12:41
Immunefi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-23 12:57
Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-28 12:47
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$6	7	0	+7	open	—	04-21 07:04
Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	02-13 08:58
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	01-29 11:33
LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-03 04:22
LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	1	$4	5	0	+5	open	—	05-02 07:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 05:49:17	LoL: JD Gaming vs Anyone's Legend (BO5) - Esports World Cup China Qualifier Phase 2	JD Gaming	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x284171…
05-18 07:38:58	LoL: KT Rolster vs HANJIN BRION (BO3) - Esports World Cup Korea Qualifier Playoffs	KT Rolster	BUY	2	75¢	$2	0xeb0ee5…
05-14 06:46:20	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs JD Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	JD Gaming	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0xce8d6c…
05-10 03:44:58	LoL: T1 vs Dplus KIA (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x212382…
05-03 04:22:20	LoL: Ninjas in Pyjamas vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xe9d009…
05-02 07:12:34	LoL: Team WE vs JD Gaming - Game 1 Winner	JD Gaming	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x735f11…
04-26 07:56:18	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	4	80¢	$3	0xdcd37c…
04-21 07:04:08	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	7	83¢	$6	0xa11561…
04-05 13:38:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	180	99¢	$178	0x26474e…
03-30 12:59:52	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	180	98¢	$177	0x143870…
03-23 12:43:39	Will Backpack launch a token by March 31?	Yes	BUY	172	100¢	$172	0xf6df29…
03-18 05:44:57	lol fox1 tsw 2026 03 18	BNK FEARX	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x8a73f5…
03-18 05:44:29	lol blg g2 2026 03 18	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	123	81¢	$100	0xc02e87…
03-14 13:23:37	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	145	99¢	$144	0xb7a24e…
03-13 08:37:19	will crude oil cl hit high 140 by march 13	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x6838f7…
03-06 09:16:35	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0xece56a…
03-02 12:41:01	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	Yes	BUY	20	100¢	$20	0xc9243d…
03-02 12:40:47	us x iran ceasefire by march 2	No	BUY	126	99¢	$125	0x1968f4…
02-25 11:21:06	bitcoin above 72k on february 25	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x34f166…
02-25 11:20:48	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	SELL	120	99¢	$119	0x82bcaa…
02-21 05:37:36	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	28	98¢	$27	0xe21e7a…
02-21 05:36:32	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	80	98¢	$78	0x1b520d…
02-21 05:36:26	will bitcoin dip to 50k in february 2026 273 489 988	No	BUY	12	98¢	$12	0x82b62b…
02-17 10:56:43	us strikes iran by february 17 2026 833	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdc8064…
02-17 10:56:23	will bitcoin dip to 40k in february 2026 785 212 222	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x1916c1…
02-13 08:58:53	Espresso FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x6a1b0e…
02-13 08:58:43	Espresso FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x195f91…
02-10 03:35:25	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbe4d8b…
02-10 03:35:25	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	50	100¢	$50	0x31b656…
02-07 11:41:59	will peoples party pple win the most seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	Yes	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x9d84b3…
02-04 04:07:30	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x8b84d5…
02-04 04:07:24	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xec5a2e…
02-04 04:07:04	us strikes iran by february 3 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xe3c177…
02-01 14:03:40	bitcoin above 84k on february 1	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xba4121…
02-01 14:03:30	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	150	100¢	$150	0x337658…
01-29 11:33:46	Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd52085…
01-29 11:33:00	Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0xb0fc97…
01-28 12:48:03	Moonbirds FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x30c672…
01-28 12:47:23	Over $3M committed to the Fabric public sale?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x94500f…
01-28 12:47:11	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0xa0c18e…
01-23 12:57:54	Immunefi FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x447f8c…
01-23 12:57:22	bitcoin above 84k on january 23	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x3e71d8…
01-23 11:52:40	Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	115	100¢	$115	0x365ba4…
01-18 12:20:08	Sentient FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	115	90¢	$104	0x9d744d…
01-18 08:31:26	Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe85de5…
01-18 08:31:14	will ethereum dip to 2000 in january 2026 647	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0b3bd4…
01-18 08:31:06	will ethereum dip to 2200 in january 2026 518	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x6cb302…
01-15 06:50:50	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x64b84c…
01-15 06:50:06	iran strike on israel by january 15	No	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x592629…
01-15 06:49:22	gs quarterly earnings gaap eps 01 15 2026 11pt49	Yes	BUY	133	90¢	$120	0xcdbf9e…
01-11 14:29:04	Over $25M committed to the Trove public sale?	No	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x5a0527…
01-09 15:57:30	ethereum above 2900 on january 9	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x2d01e5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	36	$18.9K	7,720	04-16 04:23
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	33	$4.16K	924	05-18 02:38
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	32	$254.3K	3,148	05-14 11:28
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	29	$1.78K	1,261	05-21 10:43
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	29	$1.47K	352	03-27 09:14
Vacant-Challenge 0x3078…0389	27	$23.6K	3,637	04-18 09:07
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	26	$29.8K	2,498	03-27 12:03
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	26	$1.14K	731	04-12 22:19