Intrepid-Laptop — Polymarket

Realized P&L (90d)

-$862

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.4%

Resolved (90d)

205

Trades (90d)

1,198

2,971 lifetime

Volume (90d)

$11.2K

$19.0K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-19

last 09-26 14:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Crypto

64% 49% -$432

Other

34% 28% -$1,132

Pop-Culture

2% 100% +$108

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

28 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get less than 20 million views on week 1?	18	$625	1,114	102	+1,013	No	-$489	09-02 20:20
Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	14	$363	517	517	+0	No	+$108	09-10 15:48
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	17	$354	740	740	+0	No	-$100	09-19 20:31
Will "Onslaught" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 2m?	6	$352	300	300	+0	Yes	+$206	09-06 10:52
Will Grand Theft Auto VI Extended Look get between 20 and 22 million views on week 1?	7	$326	343	343	+0	Yes	+$78	09-03 16:16
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:45 UTC	14	$252	168	168	+0	Down	+$32	08-20 14:48
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:15 UTC	15	$239	171	171	+0	Up	-$1	08-20 20:19
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:40 UTC	16	$230	199	141	+58	Down	-$30	08-20 14:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:35 UTC	17	$219	214	140	+74	Down	-$41	08-20 14:39
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:20 UTC	21	$217	261	205	+56	Down	+$47	08-13 14:24
Will the GTA 6 extended look be at least 30 minutes long?	2	$214	122	122	+0	No	+$14	08-26 13:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:15 UTC	21	$197	121	121	+0	Up	+$7	08-13 14:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:40 UTC	12	$195	161	109	+52	Up	+$11	08-20 15:44
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 14:55 UTC	14	$192	180	99	+81	Up	-$48	08-20 14:59
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 8m and 9m?	8	$174	505	505	+0	No	+$4	08-30 16:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 20:05 UTC	11	$157	103	103	+0	Down	+$17	08-20 20:09
Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 5th Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 22m?	24	$149	524	524	+0	No	-$103	08-30 16:59
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-13 14:05 UTC	13	$146	467	204	+263	Up	+$44	08-13 14:09
Will "The End of Oak Street" 2nd Weekend Box Office be less than 9m?	4	$146	225	0	+225	Yes	+$79	08-23 06:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-07 02:20 UTC	2	$139	91	91	+0	Down	+$39	08-07 02:22
Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	21	$138	450	450	+0	No	-$26	09-21 14:56
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:15 UTC	10	$138	145	145	+0	Down	+$24	08-20 15:19
Will "Insidious: Out of the Further" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 25m and 28m?	16	$135	283	207	+76	Yes	+$41	08-24 05:31
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:10 UTC	11	$134	112	83	+29	Up	+$4	08-20 15:14
Will "The End of Oak Street" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 20m and 23m?	4	$133	112	112	+0	Yes	+$47	08-16 15:49
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 08:55 UTC	17	$132	91	91	+0	Down	+$2	08-20 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 15:05 UTC	11	$131	106	78	+29	Down	+$15	08-20 15:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 09:05 UTC	10	$131	80	80	+0	Up	+$18	08-20 09:08
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 17:55 UTC	10	$129	93	93	+0	Down	+$9	08-20 17:59
Will "The Dog Stars" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 8m?	5	$126	400	400	+0	Yes	+$34	08-30 16:58

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-26 14:28:15	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	125	39¢	$49	0xc9fe9f…
09-26 13:58:32	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 19m and 22m?	Yes	BUY	0	22¢	$0	0x5341de…
09-26 13:32:09	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	SELL	71	72¢	$52	0x67c9db…
09-21 19:32:07	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	16	9¢	$2	0x1c8ef9…
09-21 15:36:40	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	SELL	100	2¢	$2	0xfdeb62…
09-21 14:56:45	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	SELL	37	0¢	$0	0x10ec79…
09-21 13:31:06	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	BUY	84	4¢	$4	0xdd4050…
09-21 13:23:38	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	BUY	16	4¢	$1	0x8eb3a8…
09-21 08:52:41	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	40	11¢	$4	0x7113dc…
09-21 08:52:41	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x04e0e2…
09-21 06:49:38	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?	Yes	SELL	100	0¢	$0	0x69df4f…
09-20 19:23:14	Will "Primetime" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 16m and 19m?	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x7df7ea…
09-20 17:20:25	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	SELL	69	2¢	$1	0x2ae4ab…
09-20 15:52:55	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	SELL	1	2¢	$0	0xfa1972…
09-20 14:54:07	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	SELL	6	2¢	$0	0x96b308…
09-20 14:33:18	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	SELL	172	2¢	$3	0xa852ca…
09-20 14:11:49	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	SELL	65	2¢	$1	0x9b8e40…
09-20 08:28:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x60c47c…
09-20 08:26:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-20 08:25 UTC	Down	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0xc8da78…
09-19 20:31:23	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	Yes	SELL	390	0¢	$2	0x827ba0…
09-19 16:34:15	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	1	91¢	$1	0xe0cf4a…
09-19 16:33:42	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x3a25ea…
09-19 16:32:18	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	Up	SELL	2	72¢	$2	0xc917e8…
09-19 16:31:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-19 16:30 UTC	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe31db6…
09-19 11:48:12	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	24	3¢	$1	0xfddf3b…
09-19 11:48:12	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	35	3¢	$1	0xdbc30c…
09-19 11:48:12	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xc076b6…
09-19 08:25:19	Will "Spider-Man: Brand New Day" 8th Weekend Box Office be between 4.5m and 5m?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0x17e4b5…
09-19 02:13:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	82¢	$4	0x706cc1…
09-19 02:12:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	69¢	$2	0x82f461…
09-19 02:11:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0xf6ae07…
09-19 02:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x0b5367…
09-19 02:08:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0x0ef98b…
09-19 02:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xf2d42f…
09-19 02:06:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x455a9d…
09-19 02:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	66¢	$3	0xc3c811…
09-19 02:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x2ef50c…
09-18 21:01:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 18, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x9e78f3…
09-18 19:14:15	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	Yes	BUY	159	31¢	$49	0x79f528…
09-18 17:05:09	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	SELL	100	50¢	$50	0x32b512…
09-18 16:16:00	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	Yes	BUY	87	36¢	$31	0x931bba…
09-18 15:55:31	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	SELL	51	15¢	$8	0x28f9ff…
09-18 15:31:43	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	SELL	157	16¢	$25	0xf31083…
09-18 09:25:25	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	Yes	BUY	144	35¢	$50	0x22aedb…
09-18 09:22:22	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	SELL	226	16¢	$36	0xfb6333…
09-18 09:20:16	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	SELL	200	5¢	$10	0xa8d57b…
09-17 15:05:00	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	BUY	1	20¢	$0	0x748a86…
09-17 14:34:55	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x4e1084…
09-17 12:44:22	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 65m and 70m?	Yes	BUY	100	27¢	$27	0xdebe64…
09-17 12:44:22	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	BUY	0	6¢	$0	0x4059c3…
09-17 12:44:21	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	95	11¢	$10	0xed069a…
09-17 12:44:21	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	32	11¢	$4	0x8055f9…
09-17 12:44:21	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	BUY	39	6¢	$3	0x3c0953…
09-17 12:04:13	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	63	11¢	$7	0x15839e…
09-17 12:03:31	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	BUY	94	6¢	$6	0xf63518…
09-17 12:02:49	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	100	11¢	$11	0x66381c…
09-17 12:02:49	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	60	11¢	$7	0x583a6c…
09-17 12:02:49	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	BUY	30	6¢	$2	0x19aa41…
09-17 12:02:49	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 55m and 60m?	Yes	BUY	36	7¢	$2	0x14b95b…
09-17 10:04:06	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	0	10¢	$0	0x45163d…
09-17 10:00:25	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	Yes	SELL	200	47¢	$94	0x807f7c…
09-11 08:06:09	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 38m?	No	BUY	200	9¢	$18	0xe2dec2…
09-11 08:06:09	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	41	2¢	$1	0x3bc8df…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	41	1¢	$1	0xba1836…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	22	1¢	$0	0xb4e628…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	Yes	BUY	58	7¢	$4	0xad6aeb…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 38m and 41m?	Yes	BUY	42	7¢	$3	0xab6e2e…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9b5aad…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	30	2¢	$0	0x8793e0…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x824ba7…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	31	1¢	$0	0x6beeb9…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	42	2¢	$1	0x2eec9e…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$0	0x262328…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x18f3c0…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	12	2¢	$0	0x16d252…
09-11 08:06:07	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	12	1¢	$0	0x13ea73…
09-11 07:58:19	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 51m?	Yes	BUY	230	1¢	$2	0x9e49f0…
09-11 07:15:58	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x8f75d7…
09-11 06:45:06	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	7	1¢	$0	0x6efe07…
09-11 06:00:58	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0x60557e…
09-11 06:00:57	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdb64f5…
09-11 06:00:57	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	23	1¢	$0	0xd64168…
09-11 06:00:57	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	30	1¢	$0	0x0892b1…
09-11 05:17:22	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 41m and 44m?	Yes	BUY	51	2¢	$1	0x233bcd…
09-11 05:16:31	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 51m?	Yes	BUY	120	1¢	$1	0x5f5d95…
09-11 05:16:00	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	9	1¢	$0	0x417f1e…
09-11 05:15:58	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	171	1¢	$2	0x895bc2…
09-10 20:15:31	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	SELL	102	6¢	$6	0x98afb2…
09-10 15:51:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x5b3703…
09-10 15:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 10, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Down	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x59fd55…
09-10 15:48:10	kanye west performs in russia by october 31	No	SELL	5	72¢	$4	0x94ad37…
09-09 21:12:09	Kanye West performs in Russia by October 31?	No	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0x8c506b…
09-09 15:41:07	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	Yes	BUY	35	12¢	$4	0x9a1582…
09-09 15:23:57	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 44m and 47m?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x9442e2…
09-09 15:19:34	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	40	8¢	$3	0x0d7c4c…
09-09 14:58:27	Will "Practical Magic 2" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 47m and 51m?	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x3d72c5…
09-09 14:09:48	Will "Runner" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 3m?	Yes	BUY	61	7¢	$4	0xf301a3…
09-09 13:44:58	Will "Resident Evil" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 70m?	Yes	SELL	150	21¢	$31	0xb66f90…
09-09 09:35:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x16785d…
09-09 09:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - September 9, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xe71254…