Unkempt-Ficlet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.9%

Resolved

105

Trades

126

lifetime

Volume

$1.53K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-13

last 10-29 09:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 33 days

Categories

Other

56% 99% +$6

Politics

27% 86% -$40

Crypto

17% 100% +$1

Tech

1% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

27 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	6	$136	73	73	+0	No	+$1	08-31 21:43
LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	2	$126	64	64	+0	Yes	+$1	09-10 15:35
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	2	$126	63	63	+0	No	+$0	09-07 12:18
us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	2	$110	55	55	+0	No	+$0	08-13 18:39
Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	1	$66	66	0	+66	Yes	+$0	10-03 11:48
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	1	$64	64	0	+64	No	+$0	09-15 23:45
Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	1	$59	62	0	+62	No	+$2	08-05 09:24
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	2	$59	71	0	+71	Yes	-$49	10-25 23:16
Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	1	$58	58	0	+58	Yes	+$0	09-23 05:28
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	08-15 23:50
us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	1	$55	55	0	+55	No	+$0	08-14 03:18
US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	1	$52	53	0	+53	No	+$1	09-28 23:58
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	2	$52	26	26	+0	open	—	10-29 09:09
will spy reach 770 in june 2026	1	$41	41	0	+41	No	+$0	06-29 17:41
kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	1	$38	38	0	+38	No	+$0	07-29 23:06
Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	2	$37	19	19	+0	No	+$0	08-31 19:48
Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	2	$35	18	18	+0	No	+$0	08-31 19:49
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	1	$33	34	0	+34	No	+$0	08-31 20:19
pltr above 124 on march 31 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	Yes	+$0	03-31 03:11
Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	1	$20	20	0	+20	No	+$0	05-13 07:24
nvda above 230 on february 27 2026	1	$13	13	0	+13	No	+$0	02-24 22:54
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 756	2	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	01-15 18:58
Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	1	$12	12	0	+12	No	+$0	06-26 14:42
Will Solana reach $190 in October?	2	$11	5	5	+0	open	—	10-28 03:45
will tesla be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-17 07:03
Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	2	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	05-08 20:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	09-22 23:29
will solana dip to 50 in january 2026	1	$7	7	0	+7	No	+$0	01-14 20:55
Will Solana reach $160 in September?	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	09-26 23:17
msft above 585 on january 30 2026	1	$6	6	0	+6	No	+$0	01-13 23:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-29 09:09:46	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$26	0x5ca758…
10-28 19:44:19	Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	26	98¢	$26	0x49f2c6…
10-28 03:45:39	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x1e6725…
10-25 23:16:27	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0x2ea01f…
10-20 21:56:26	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the second round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election by less than 4%?	Yes	BUY	11	17¢	$2	0x2fa80b…
10-15 07:11:58	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	61	83¢	$50	0xec586f…
10-07 20:58:07	Will Solana reach $190 in October?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf77519…
10-03 11:48:08	Will Flavio Bolsonaro qualify for Brazil's presidential runoff?	Yes	BUY	66	99¢	$66	0x5a9e99…
09-28 23:58:53	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 30, 2026?	No	BUY	53	97¢	$52	0x866658…
09-26 23:17:36	Will Solana reach $160 in September?	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x4cbbaf…
09-23 05:28:43	Will Xi Jinping visit US by September 24?	Yes	BUY	58	100¢	$58	0x46e8f6…
09-22 23:29:59	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0x48e542…
09-15 23:45:25	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by September 15?	No	BUY	64	100¢	$64	0x8a0065…
09-10 15:35:07	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	64	100¢	$63	0x10230b…
09-10 04:29:03	LAPTOP FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	64	98¢	$62	0x1fbf36…
09-07 12:18:24	US announces end of Iranian blockade by September 7, 2026?	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0xd0ab3c…
09-05 12:37:52	us announces end of iranian blockade by september 7 2026	No	BUY	63	99¢	$63	0x3c2a9c…
08-31 21:43:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0xb8a0a1…
08-31 20:19:15	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by August 31?	No	BUY	34	99¢	$33	0x48855c…
08-31 19:49:27	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x5d320b…
08-31 19:48:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x709a6c…
08-27 15:28:33	Will Ethereum dip to $1,700 in August?	No	BUY	18	100¢	$18	0x6a7294…
08-27 14:46:04	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x9547da…
08-26 17:12:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $57,500 in August?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0xd9c0cb…
08-26 01:08:55	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	26	92¢	$24	0xa0f67c…
08-26 01:08:52	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	SELL	30	92¢	$28	0x6d2ea2…
08-24 13:17:40	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc86a88…
08-24 08:48:31	US announces end of Iranian blockade by August 31, 2026?	No	BUY	28	95¢	$27	0xc11dc4…
08-22 20:01:31	Will Moonshot be the second-best AI lab at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe4d2ee…
08-22 17:17:24	Will Elon Musk post 100-119 tweets from August 21 to August 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	0¢	$0	0x109a89…
08-18 14:17:15	will bitcoin reach 85k in august 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa54b52…
08-18 13:09:51	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	BUY	28	89¢	$25	0x00e165…
08-15 23:50:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347 987 697 628 574 676	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0x1315dd…
08-14 03:18:27	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 14 2026	No	BUY	55	99¢	$55	0xcd3c7b…
08-13 18:39:09	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	SELL	55	100¢	$55	0xec94c8…
08-10 09:30:24	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	55	100¢	$55	0xdc666d…
08-09 23:48:00	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x42cf17…
08-08 13:23:09	will wti reach 140 in august 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x4af0ce…
08-06 21:25:45	Will Z.ai have the best AI model at the end of August 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xb52d67…
08-05 09:24:47	Will Shri Thanedar be the Democratic Nominee for MI-13?	No	BUY	62	96¢	$59	0xe1a3bf…
07-31 18:40:35	will xauusd reach 4300 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x48e4b7…
07-29 23:06:54	kharg island no longer under iranian control by july 31	No	BUY	38	100¢	$38	0x3a597f…
07-29 03:10:15	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $70 in July?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xe9d2f1…
07-28 06:53:09	will bitcoin reach 77pt5k in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe75cdb…
07-28 04:06:42	will xauusd dip to 3700 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xac3a84…
07-27 18:55:04	Will OpenAI have the second best AI model at the end of July 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xbf25a0…
07-26 15:36:06	will wti reach 120 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x5a1a86…
07-25 19:21:51	Will Apple be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on July 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x392012…
07-25 03:44:43	will nvda dip to 152 in july 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x107c78…
07-24 09:42:06	will xagusd reach 70 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x702000…
07-23 19:00:25	will wti dip to 60 in july 2026 528 175	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe7f379…
07-22 02:46:30	will spy dip to 670 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1b70fb…
07-21 20:06:33	will bitcoin dip to 47pt5k in july 2026 918	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4b89d3…
07-21 03:42:16	will xagusd dip to 44 in july 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8d4df6…
06-29 17:41:19	will spy reach 770 in june 2026	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xbb6eeb…
06-28 05:21:02	will ng dip to 3 00 in june 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x600737…
06-27 05:33:08	will ng dip to 2 80 in june 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf0ddef…
06-26 14:42:19	Will Gold (GC) settle over $7,000 on the final trading day of June 2026?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x72b7ff…
05-20 13:39:12	Will Solana reach $150 in May?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x45ca2c…
05-13 07:24:25	Will Ukraine be the Jury Winner in the Eurovision 2026 Grand Final?	No	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x3690b7…
05-12 01:31:36	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xafa1ab…
05-10 01:41:17	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x354b3e…
05-09 15:56:17	Will Solana reach $170 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbce7dc…
05-09 07:11:29	Will ByteDance have the second best AI model at the end of May 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x10b038…
05-08 20:33:19	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xac4c90…
05-08 08:53:13	Will Alphabet Inc. (GOOGL) hit (LOW) $290 in May?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2e6e7a…
05-08 03:13:24	Will Saudi Aramco be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x16bd9e…
05-07 17:26:32	Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x1a48bf…
05-07 09:12:39	Will Bitcoin dip to $40,000 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x927d1f…
05-06 15:35:29	Will Microsoft be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xdc6aa5…
05-05 21:55:22	Will xAI have the #1 AI model at the end of May 2026 (Style Control On)?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xbd94bd…
05-05 18:24:44	Will Amazon be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x82d2a1…
04-27 11:32:28	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x308440…
04-26 14:39:24	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.40 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x13cc16…
04-24 14:49:06	Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $310 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xb6d740…
04-23 16:11:34	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x2209fb…
04-22 15:05:04	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $3,900 in April?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7cfef8…
04-21 09:29:08	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $240 end of April?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x62ac58…
04-19 06:33:46	will the bank of russia increase the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd8db3d…
04-18 14:51:16	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf5638a…
04-18 09:05:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x6eed18…
04-17 13:22:22	Will BNB dip to $100 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x43b327…
04-17 06:49:40	Will Ethereum dip to $200 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xfb4b83…
04-15 11:06:34	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $250 end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1252ab…
04-14 11:56:01	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x50bbf4…
03-31 03:11:03	pltr above 124 on march 31 2026	Yes	BUY	28	100¢	$28	0xedc4bb…
03-30 05:49:04	nvda above 190 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa462c5…
03-28 04:56:37	will ethereum dip to 1000 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd2a632…
03-26 22:26:35	meta above 760 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xbbafa2…
03-20 12:02:41	will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfc2f5a…
03-19 07:27:01	will xrp reach 2pt6 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x724b87…
03-15 22:16:49	will xrp dip to 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb31408…
03-15 11:25:03	will amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 453	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb33d07…
03-14 00:44:23	googl above 360 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c711e…
03-10 13:48:47	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x418f32…
03-09 05:44:01	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa27cb1…
03-07 07:29:03	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xb29f1b…
03-05 13:05:17	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8dc699…
03-03 00:56:43	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x5575cd…
02-27 13:43:43	will xai have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd3fd74…