Cuddly-Prostacyclin — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$636

Unrealized P&L

-$1

Hit rate

94.5%

Resolved

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$88.5K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$300

Open exposure

$22

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-21

last 10-15 03:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 45 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 94% +$22

Other

26% 88% +$71

Politics

22% 100% +$3

Sports

7% 71% -$747

Tech

1% 100% +$13

Pop-Culture

0% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	No		-22	-$21	100¢	$-22	-$1	06-07 02:55
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No		+0	$0	98¢	$0	+$0	07-10 08:22

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	110	$15.0K	7,517	7,517	+0	No	+$3	02-10 07:20
will ethereum reach 4400 in february 2026	14	$10.3K	5,191	5,191	+0	No	+$9	02-05 12:03
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$5.3K	5,284	0	+5,284	No	+$11	02-24 13:50
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$4.1K	2,081	2,081	+0	No	+$2	02-18 20:04
will bnb reach 1300 in january	1	$4.1K	4,116	0	+4,116	No	+$12	01-21 09:56
Will Solana reach $140 in April?	1	$3.6K	3,559	0	+3,559	No	+$4	04-28 02:07
Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	3	$3.2K	1,598	1,598	+0	open	—	05-23 02:13
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	6	$3.0K	1,498	1,498	+0	open	—	05-23 02:14
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.9K	1,456	1,456	+0	open	—	05-27 01:54
Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	2	$2.8K	1,423	1,423	+0	open	—	05-13 14:32
Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	1	$2.8K	2,808	0	+2,808	No	+$3	05-27 01:55
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	7	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	Yes	+$1	02-13 14:52
Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	4	$2.0K	1,024	1,024	+0	No	+$1	05-13 11:38
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$2.0K	1,023	1,023	+0	open	—	06-17 17:01
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	1	$2.0K	2,008	0	+2,008	No	+$2	03-22 07:45
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	2	$1.9K	968	968	+0	open	—	07-08 03:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	2	$1.7K	1,655	0	+1,655	No	+$2	05-27 01:55
will xrp dip to 0pt2 in february 2026	3	$1.2K	602	601	+1	No	+$1	02-05 08:15
cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	2	$1.1K	1,109	1,109	+0	Alabama Crimson Tide	-$11	03-22 07:32
will xrp reach 4 in january 2026	3	$1.1K	1,111	0	+1,111	No	+$6	01-21 19:23
will solana dip to 20 in february 2026	3	$1.0K	515	515	+0	No	+$1	02-05 12:29
will solana reach 200 in february 2026	2	$1.0K	511	511	+0	No	+$1	02-08 06:00
Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	2	$1.0K	509	509	+0	open	—	05-21 07:51
will xrp reach 3pt4 in february 2026	1	$1.0K	1,011	0	+1,011	No	+$3	02-18 07:31
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$1.0K	612	612	+0	Yes	+$0	02-11 13:30
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	1	$968	970	0	+970	No	+$2	03-19 08:07
will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	1	$887	888	0	+888	No	+$1	03-28 02:19
will bnb reach 1200 in february	2	$779	392	390	+2	No	+$1	02-11 06:53
nba dal mem 2026 03 12	1	$752	2,151	0	+2,151	Mavericks	-$752	03-12 15:10
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	1	$708	709	0	+709	No	+$1	04-25 14:36

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-15 03:30:32	will xrp reach 4 in october 2026	No	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x699cce…
09-28 03:42:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x03574e…
09-28 03:42:23	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in September?	No	BUY	23	100¢	$23	0x881110…
09-28 03:42:03	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$22	0x4fe90d…
08-26 16:19:03	Will XRP reach $3.00 in August?	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0x4ec6ff…
08-26 04:02:21	Will Sarah Knafo win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x72befa…
07-23 02:36:42	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the July 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	41	100¢	$41	0xb7fb1a…
07-10 08:22:34	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xe981fb…
07-09 23:50:50	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x5a9bcd…
07-09 23:23:41	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xb77c0e…
07-09 17:39:43	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x149d9a…
07-08 21:47:16	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x66dac6…
07-08 21:29:13	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$61	0x34fa25…
07-08 20:56:19	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	88	99¢	$87	0x25fd60…
07-08 03:10:47	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	968	99¢	$956	0x9ec8cf…
07-07 09:09:34	Will Mikel Oyarzabal be the top goalscorer at the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0xaabc9a…
07-07 09:09:05	Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	288	99¢	$284	0x80e311…
07-07 09:08:46	Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	968	99¢	$955	0x71e3aa…
06-17 17:01:19	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,023	98¢	$1,008	0xbc5e0a…
06-17 01:37:34	will spacexs valuation hit low 1pt3t by june 30	No	BUY	25	98¢	$24	0xbc5201…
06-07 02:57:54	Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,023	98¢	$1,007	0x9127a0…
06-07 02:56:55	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x11d6de…
06-07 02:56:30	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	102	100¢	$101	0xc1a27e…
06-07 02:55:55	Will 2026 rank as the sixth-hottest year on record or lower?	No	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xf4234c…
05-27 01:57:58	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on May 31?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x2b8fac…
05-27 01:55:41	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1,616	100¢	$1,614	0xe3043c…
05-27 01:55:15	Will Dogecoin reach $0.25 in May?	No	BUY	2,808	100¢	$2,806	0x7282a7…
05-27 01:54:28	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	1,456	99¢	$1,438	0x47ad19…
05-23 02:14:53	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	446	99¢	$440	0x6f3c8a…
05-23 02:14:08	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	118	99¢	$116	0x803ce5…
05-23 02:13:12	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	500	99¢	$493	0xac3a92…
05-23 02:13:00	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	724	99¢	$719	0xb1a477…
05-23 02:11:25	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	251	99¢	$247	0x969656…
05-23 02:10:12	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	SELL	184	99¢	$182	0x8b9553…
05-23 01:55:09	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	874	99¢	$868	0xf36bae…
05-21 07:54:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	39	100¢	$39	0x4f1875…
05-21 07:53:11	Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,498	99¢	$1,477	0xa42a85…
05-21 07:52:52	Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	No	BUY	1,456	99¢	$1,439	0xfdff2e…
05-21 07:51:32	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	SELL	509	99¢	$505	0xb8037f…
05-13 14:32:16	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	SELL	1,423	99¢	$1,412	0x91d7f3…
05-13 11:38:20	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	39	99¢	$38	0x82100f…
05-13 11:36:18	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x027efb…
05-13 11:05:58	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	902	99¢	$892	0x1cacb3…
05-12 02:32:28	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$199	0x3f75a1…
05-12 02:31:29	Will bitcoin hit $1m before GTA VI?	No	BUY	150	51¢	$76	0x4eab3b…
05-12 02:30:08	Will James Talarico win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	No	BUY	1,423	99¢	$1,410	0x9e297d…
05-12 02:29:17	Will Sweden win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,024	99¢	$1,012	0xf6276d…
05-12 02:27:57	Will Gérald Darmanin win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	1,598	99¢	$1,585	0xe42506…
05-12 02:27:41	Will Bernard Cazeneuve win the 2027 French presidential election?	No	BUY	509	99¢	$505	0xe9e722…
04-28 02:09:22	Will Elon Musk’s net worth be between $600b and $610b on April 30?	No	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x091ecc…
04-28 02:08:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	211	100¢	$211	0xc25048…
04-28 02:07:34	Will Solana reach $140 in April?	No	BUY	3,559	100¢	$3,555	0x52dfee…
04-25 14:36:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xee6284…
04-25 14:36:28	Will Saudi Aramco be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	52	100¢	$52	0x919d91…
04-25 14:36:02	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	No	BUY	709	100¢	$708	0xcb3bd1…
04-19 05:58:56	Will Dogecoin reach $0.20 in April?	No	BUY	42	99¢	$42	0xc3492c…
04-19 05:07:18	Will Elon Musk post 1560-1599 tweets in April 2026?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x79736d…
04-14 06:43:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2fd671…
04-14 06:43:15	highest temperature in seoul on april 15 2026 12c	No	BUY	101	100¢	$101	0x135fb2…
04-14 03:11:51	atp varilla mena 2026 04 14	Juan Pablo Varillas	SELL	98	58¢	$57	0x93acc5…
04-14 03:07:15	atp varilla mena 2026 04 14	Juan Pablo Varillas	BUY	98	58¢	$57	0x1312b7…
04-08 03:57:05	Will Baidu have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x530389…
03-28 02:19:13	will silver si hit high 140 by end of march	No	BUY	888	100¢	$887	0x636f06…
03-28 02:18:35	will fewer than 70 tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	No	BUY	54	100¢	$54	0xcf3a53…
03-28 02:18:27	will 70 to 99 tornadoes occur in the united states in march 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x18c28a…
03-28 02:18:09	elon musk of tweets march 26 march 28 115 139	No	BUY	41	99¢	$41	0x82ffd6…
03-28 02:17:31	AI Industry Downturn by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	121	100¢	$121	0xfa7303…
03-22 08:26:37	will miami fl win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	SELL	31	100¢	$31	0x598c90…
03-22 07:45:59	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 437	Yes	BUY	33	98¢	$32	0x6c7bc2…
03-22 07:45:49	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	109	99¢	$108	0x1d2e1c…
03-22 07:45:37	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	14	92¢	$13	0xa1d6d7…
03-22 07:45:03	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	No	BUY	2,008	100¢	$2,006	0x2204b2…
03-22 07:32:21	cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	Texas Tech Red Raiders	SELL	1,109	51¢	$566	0x0f9cbd…
03-22 06:27:23	cbb txtech ala 2026 03 22	Texas Tech Red Raiders	BUY	1,109	52¢	$577	0xcd0d39…
03-22 04:50:07	will silver si hit high 170 by end of march	No	BUY	433	100¢	$432	0x11fec0…
03-22 04:49:47	will miami fl win the 2026 ncaa tournament	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0x311fe2…
03-19 08:07:35	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	970	100¢	$968	0xece3b4…
03-17 10:33:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	22	95¢	$21	0x2af362…
03-17 03:11:17	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	22	95¢	$21	0xa30afc…
03-12 15:13:15	Will Drake release Iceman before GTA VI?	Yes	BUY	31	94¢	$29	0xe23ce9…
03-12 15:11:23	nba chi lal 2026 03 12	Lakers	BUY	14	83¢	$12	0x29adef…
03-12 15:10:53	nba dal mem 2026 03 12	Grizzlies	BUY	2,151	35¢	$752	0x8f77cd…
03-12 15:09:49	dota2 aur1 ty 2026 03 12	Team Yandex	BUY	13	67¢	$9	0x2d2bc8…
03-12 15:07:53	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	SELL	300	96¢	$289	0x113209…
03-12 15:06:55	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	300	96¢	$289	0x5ec188…
03-02 15:03:47	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 1pt2	Yes	BUY	16	82¢	$13	0x461710…
03-02 08:17:13	kr quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 05 2026 1pt2	Yes	BUY	6	82¢	$5	0x553bcb…
03-02 02:57:27	tgt quarterly earnings nongaap eps 03 03 2026 2pt16	Yes	BUY	54	75¢	$41	0x4c363a…
03-02 02:48:25	gpt 5pt3 released by march 31 2026 735 745 742	Yes	BUY	25	96¢	$24	0xebd5d4…
03-02 02:47:43	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	94	99¢	$93	0x113f02…
02-28 08:37:43	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	SELL	654	4¢	$26	0x0ac9b1…
02-25 14:31:14	real quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 0pt04	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x5cfa3c…
02-24 23:38:14	real quarterly earnings nongaap eps 02 26 2026 0pt04	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xa8ef44…
02-24 13:50:24	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	109	94¢	$102	0x2597e2…
02-24 13:50:00	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	5,284	100¢	$5,273	0x567f2c…
02-24 13:49:30	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	94	99¢	$93	0x553a04…
02-24 13:49:10	Will Liam rank #1 among boy names on the SSA’s official list for 2025?	Yes	SELL	20	86¢	$17	0xe632c2…
02-19 18:33:44	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	No	SELL	54	100¢	$54	0x1c37b1…
02-19 16:29:58	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	No	SELL	20	100¢	$20	0x8f8056…
02-19 14:21:14	will gold gc hit high 6600 by end of february 828 163 164 179 126 514	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9c044b…