Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$225

Unrealized P&L

-$31

Hit rate

45.0%

Resolved

188

Trades

4,953

lifetime

Volume

$128.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$26

Open exposure

$407

8 positions

First seen

2026-07-05

last 10-26 07:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 77 days

Categories

Other

43% 54% -$119

Politics

40% 54% -$126

Tech

15% 67% -$22

Crypto

2% 29% -$25

Sports

0% 67% +$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

76 active days in 12wk • peak 275 trades/day

Open positions (8) Resolved markets (22) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	No	+200	$182	98¢	$196	+$15	09-29 19:49
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+200	$184	92¢	$185	+$1	09-18 18:56
Will OpenAI announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+200	$16	8¢	$15	-$1	09-18 14:45
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	No	+7	$7	90¢	$6	$0	09-21 19:49
Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2026?	Yes	+200	$30	2¢	$4	-$26	09-29 20:47
Will NuScale announce bankruptcy by December 31, 2027?	Yes	+7	$1	11¢	$1	+$0	09-21 23:23
will ohio enact a data center moratorium by december 31 2026	No	+0	$0	97¢	$0	+$0	09-30 19:14
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	Yes	+0	$19	18¢	$0	-$19	08-02 03:05

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	404	$15.2K	16,121	16,121	+0	Yes	-$23	08-11 15:31
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	507	$9.7K	9,661	7,310	+2,351	open	—	10-26 07:54
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	100	$8.5K	17,215	17,215	+0	open	—	08-02 03:05
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by July 24?	64	$5.5K	5,010	5,010	+0	No	+$10	07-29 18:41
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 4?	76	$5.2K	4,528	4,528	+0	Yes	-$8	09-09 19:52
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by september 30 20260702154339440	19	$4.2K	2,725	2,725	+0	No	-$7	08-13 08:59
will openais astra model be released by september 3 2026	50	$4.1K	2,200	2,200	+0	No	+$55	09-03 22:16
Gemini 4.0 released by October 31, 2026?	54	$3.3K	1,891	1,891	+0	Yes	+$62	10-08 18:47
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	31	$3.1K	3,044	3,044	+0	open	—	08-23 15:25
Will Donald Trump publicly insult someone on August 23, 2026?	35	$2.8K	1,744	1,744	+0	No	+$8	08-25 18:38
Next Google Gemini Flash Model (3.8+) released by September 2, 2026?	32	$2.7K	1,382	1,382	+0	Yes	+$11	09-02 15:43
strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by august 31 20260702154212320	15	$1.9K	1,108	1,108	+0	No	+$4	08-10 14:51
us x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	24	$1.8K	4,200	4,200	+0	No	-$90	08-25 22:19
yabloko effectively banned from 2026 russian elections by september 17 20260807161302974	32	$1.8K	1,605	1,605	+0	Yes	+$46	08-10 18:32
Will Yulia Navalnaya win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026?	80	$1.7K	3,192	3,172	+20	No	-$82	10-09 08:46
israel x iran ceasefire continues through july 25 20260716224448967 454	34	$1.7K	6,812	6,812	+0	Yes	-$85	07-25 19:09
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1520?	21	$1.4K	802	802	+0	No	+$6	09-08 17:20
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$1.4K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$0	08-14 18:18
Will OpenAI’s Astra model debut on the Arena Leaderboard at a score of at least 1480?	29	$1.4K	1,153	1,153	+0	No	-$26	09-06 01:26
israel x iran ceasefire continues through august 2 20260727170555149	106	$1.4K	4,008	4,008	+0	Yes	+$23	08-04 17:56
Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	28	$1.3K	860	860	+0	Yes	-$37	10-08 01:13
Will Russia enter Mykolaivka by September 30, 2026?	25	$1.2K	999	999	+0	Yes	-$4	09-29 15:24
Will no Millennium Prize Problem be solved by AI by December 31, 2027?	9	$1.2K	678	678	+0	open	—	09-10 22:01
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 31 2026	22	$1.1K	654	654	+0	open	—	10-20 10:33
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 65% or higher?	36	$910	728	728	+0	open	—	10-25 20:51
will the next gpt sol model 5pt7 debut at a score of at least 1470 by june 30 2027	32	$856	563	562	+0	No	-$8	09-24 00:30
Will GitHub's longest critical incident in August 2026 be between 6 and 12 hours?	45	$836	531	531	+0	Yes	+$26	09-01 07:09
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	22	$833	1,746	1,746	+0	open	—	10-23 04:41
Will the first announced price of the foldable iPhone be at least $2,200?	18	$825	461	461	+0	No	+$34	09-09 16:24
Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 55% or higher?	103	$824	3,796	3,796	+0	open	—	10-24 22:23

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 07:54:09	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	30	25¢	$8	0x488926…
10-26 07:53:45	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	100	24¢	$24	0x1d12f1…
10-26 07:52:48	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	100	25¢	$25	0x048864…
10-26 07:51:35	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xf372e0…
10-26 07:36:59	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x2a2611…
10-26 07:31:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x8fc83a…
10-26 07:13:24	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	100	80¢	$80	0xd15ebf…
10-26 07:12:59	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	200	82¢	$164	0x4062c0…
10-26 07:12:26	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0x705bf0…
10-26 07:12:03	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	100	80¢	$80	0xfdbde8…
10-26 07:11:57	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	100	79¢	$79	0xcefeed…
10-26 07:06:36	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	100	77¢	$77	0x1a4f5b…
10-26 07:04:26	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xcefd8c…
10-26 07:03:42	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xfe4266…
10-26 07:01:23	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xfa1b09…
10-26 07:01:18	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	200	77¢	$154	0x0fe076…
10-26 06:45:26	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0x30864b…
10-26 06:44:14	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0xd109f0…
10-26 06:43:56	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	73¢	$36	0x843bac…
10-26 06:43:27	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	74¢	$37	0xf011cb…
10-26 06:43:06	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xd07c75…
10-26 06:42:42	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	55	28¢	$15	0xe85317…
10-26 06:42:20	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xe8972d…
10-26 06:42:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x0c91d1…
10-26 06:23:02	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	27¢	$1	0x035b1a…
10-26 06:21:27	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	200	20¢	$40	0x97b73e…
10-26 06:08:44	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	18	83¢	$15	0x40791d…
10-26 06:07:57	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	100	84¢	$84	0xd9f751…
10-26 05:51:39	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	75¢	$38	0x9abf0d…
10-26 05:49:42	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x6f8d40…
10-26 05:49:18	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x0514c9…
10-26 05:48:18	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x050b25…
10-26 05:47:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x888ffe…
10-26 05:47:14	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x5f673c…
10-26 05:46:48	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xf7cd12…
10-26 05:39:35	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x9690f2…
10-26 05:39:29	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x698b4c…
10-26 05:26:18	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	150	13¢	$20	0xf5fce5…
10-26 05:26:17	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xae44d4…
10-26 05:25:54	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xa01666…
10-26 05:25:35	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xf2e657…
10-26 05:25:17	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x81ec9e…
10-26 05:24:53	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0xb9e04c…
10-26 05:24:32	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x936add…
10-26 05:24:06	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xd3bcbd…
10-26 05:23:45	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0xe6aa6c…
10-26 05:23:12	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	50	87¢	$44	0x8ad16e…
10-26 05:22:38	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x89662c…
10-26 05:22:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x9c6d6a…
10-26 05:21:41	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0x3a135e…
10-26 05:21:05	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	50	88¢	$44	0x16d1c0…
10-26 05:20:24	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	88¢	$4	0x46765b…
10-26 05:20:12	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	70	85¢	$60	0x86fe19…
10-26 05:20:09	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x89e5f8…
10-26 05:20:06	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x862453…
10-26 05:20:03	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0xccc132…
10-26 05:20:00	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x35860d…
10-26 05:17:14	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	85¢	$4	0x1ba5c5…
10-26 05:03:32	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x80f4b5…
10-26 05:03:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x72a356…
10-26 05:02:50	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0xc8d5e3…
10-26 05:02:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x11667a…
10-26 05:02:09	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x798303…
10-26 05:01:50	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	50	72¢	$36	0x0f14fd…
10-26 05:01:08	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	46	28¢	$13	0xc75cde…
10-26 05:00:45	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x2a6ee9…
10-26 05:00:26	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xb203e3…
10-26 05:00:00	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xff4af1…
10-26 04:59:29	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x3f651e…
10-26 04:44:06	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0xca81ee…
10-26 04:39:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x07f675…
10-26 04:39:20	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xf95bff…
10-26 04:38:30	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	200	16¢	$32	0xb8886b…
10-26 04:37:57	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xcddd24…
10-26 04:36:08	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0xb3d2c3…
10-26 04:35:48	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0xce0814…
10-26 04:35:29	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x65c182…
10-26 04:34:59	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	SELL	100	88¢	$88	0x4da8f2…
10-26 04:29:12	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	3	87¢	$3	0x8df28d…
10-26 04:29:06	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x00ddd3…
10-26 04:29:03	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0x34bcd2…
10-26 04:29:00	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf56b72…
10-26 04:28:36	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	87¢	$4	0xf98aef…
10-26 04:28:12	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc3fb6b…
10-26 04:28:11	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xc7232a…
10-26 04:28:08	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xb094cd…
10-26 04:28:05	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x9132b1…
10-26 04:28:00	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xf0f358…
10-26 04:27:54	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0x22de37…
10-26 04:27:20	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xf00ebe…
10-26 04:27:14	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	5	83¢	$4	0xe3fc5d…
10-26 04:16:09	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	100	76¢	$76	0x037827…
10-26 04:15:15	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0xa0866f…
10-26 04:15:05	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x60752b…
10-26 04:14:18	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	No	BUY	100	72¢	$72	0x843b14…
10-26 04:13:57	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x15017c…
10-26 04:13:36	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0xf2ba86…
10-26 04:13:09	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0x692dc9…
10-26 04:12:33	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xd528db…
10-26 04:04:17	Will GPT Astra 6.1+ debut with an HLE-Diamond score of 70% or higher?	Yes	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x2aa5e4…