Married-Forever — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$66

Unrealized P&L

+$4

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

586

Trades

1,046

lifetime

Volume

$3.20K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$506

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 10-31 22:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 17 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 41% -$66

Politics

16% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 320 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	No		-526	-$511	96¢	$-506	+$4	09-27 02:10

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026?	5	$511	0	526	-526	open	—	09-27 02:10
bitcoin up or down september 26 2026 11pm et	6	$83	82	30	+52	Down	+$2	09-27 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	15	$50	81	25	+56	Up	+$10	10-06 07:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	16	$44	74	23	+51	Up	-$10	10-07 23:44
Solana Up or Down - October 7, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	9	$41	56	34	+22	Up	+$3	10-07 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	12	$41	47	40	+7	Up	+$16	10-07 19:24
ethereum up or down september 26 2026 11pm et	3	$35	36	17	+19	Down	+$5	09-27 03:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	7	$33	45	0	+45	Down	-$11	10-06 23:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	8	$32	40	26	+14	Down	+$6	10-08 22:28
Solana Up or Down - October 7, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	6	$30	86	13	+73	Down	-$10	10-07 23:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	6	$24	74	0	+74	Down	+$39	10-06 06:59
ETH Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-11 14:10 UTC	11	$23	57	18	+39	Up	-$2	10-11 14:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	9	$22	56	28	+28	Up	+$26	10-06 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$18	35	10	+25	Down	+$24	10-07 19:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	5	$18	28	8	+20	Up	-$2	10-06 21:57
XRP Up or Down - October 6, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	5	$17	22	8	+14	Up	-$9	10-06 19:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	7	$17	25	12	+13	Up	-$3	10-07 19:54
Solana Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	5	$15	24	6	+18	Down	$0	10-07 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$15	39	0	+39	Up	+$24	10-07 18:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	4	$14	31	0	+31	Up	+$6	10-06 13:48
Solana Up or Down - October 7, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	5	$14	36	0	+36	Down	-$10	10-07 23:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	3	$14	16	8	+8	Down	-$6	10-06 23:58
ethereum up or down september 27 2026 5am et	4	$13	15	5	+10	Up	+$0	09-27 09:46
bitcoin up or down september 27 2026 4am et	6	$12	15	15	+0	Up	-$4	09-27 08:58
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-04 14:00 UTC	7	$10	20	8	+12	Down	-$2	10-04 14:04
bitcoin up or down september 28 2026 9am et	4	$10	10	10	+0	Up	-$3	09-28 13:51
BTC Up/Down 4h · 2026-09-27 04:00 UTC	6	$10	20	10	+10	Up	-$4	09-27 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 10, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	8	$10	151	0	+151	Down	-$10	10-10 20:24
Ethereum Up or Down - October 7, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	3	$10	27	0	+27	Down	-$10	10-07 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	6	$10	124	0	+124	Up	-$10	10-07 17:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 22:05:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x2c27cb…
10-31 22:05:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x3068e0…
10-31 22:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0x00fa8f…
10-31 22:02:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	73¢	$4	0xbb8f6a…
10-31 22:00:03	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x718fbe…
10-31 21:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x4c7c24…
10-31 21:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x45f39e…
10-31 21:43:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x2fec8a…
10-31 21:14:00	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	16¢	$1	0x6ab6a2…
10-31 21:06:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0xf17d69…
10-31 19:55:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x060bd1…
10-31 19:31:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x8e7461…
10-31 19:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0xf6571f…
10-31 19:16:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x6065b0…
10-31 19:00:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x28f559…
10-31 18:59:03	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	45¢	$2	0x9d400d…
10-31 18:58:51	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x59f71f…
10-31 18:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xca282b…
10-31 18:07:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	86¢	$4	0x677f6f…
10-31 18:00:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xd7241e…
10-31 17:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x78e0e4…
10-31 17:00:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xf0b2c4…
10-31 16:36:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:35PM-12:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xed639f…
10-31 16:30:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	5	71¢	$4	0x90c2f8…
10-31 16:27:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	80¢	$4	0x92ea56…
10-31 16:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x210763…
10-31 16:21:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Down	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0x2e412d…
10-31 16:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	81¢	$4	0x9c11f2…
10-31 16:00:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x67d39c…
10-31 15:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x33334a…
10-31 15:33:36	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0x3be43a…
10-31 15:12:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x86dd18…
10-31 15:11:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	31¢	$2	0x9e9213…
10-31 15:03:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xd52382…
10-31 14:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0xe649ae…
10-31 14:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	89¢	$4	0xaf4e45…
10-31 14:55:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	29¢	$1	0x11c4de…
10-31 14:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0x7ea29e…
10-31 14:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	67¢	$3	0x05df5c…
10-31 14:27:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	7	16¢	$1	0x77e4fd…
10-31 14:13:24	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xdadf65…
10-31 14:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xb4e616…
10-31 13:50:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xab3b35…
10-31 12:28:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	63¢	$3	0x1bd7d0…
10-31 12:28:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xdf0836…
10-31 12:24:01	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xb555f4…
10-31 12:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x804090…
10-31 11:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x1775b3…
10-31 10:48:28	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0x5792f2…
10-31 10:28:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	14	8¢	$1	0x72fe94…
10-31 09:18:51	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Down	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0xad8ae7…
10-31 08:38:54	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0xf6174c…
10-31 06:54:01	Solana Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	68¢	$3	0xab6b8d…
10-31 06:53:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	11¢	$1	0x1c8acb…
10-31 06:33:49	XRP Up or Down - October 31, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	19¢	$0	0xbc4351…
10-31 04:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	12	11¢	$1	0xdd7c07…
10-31 04:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	7	41¢	$3	0x5ccd2f…
10-31 04:53:52	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	8	20¢	$2	0x9b1828…
10-31 04:48:58	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Down	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0x6fe445…
10-31 04:23:30	Ethereum Up or Down - October 31, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x02d858…
10-31 03:48:15	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x9e10ea…
10-31 03:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	6	19¢	$1	0xbb636a…
10-31 03:08:15	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0xd1291e…
10-31 03:03:39	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x1c83f8…
10-31 01:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x561cb7…
10-31 01:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0x46e676…
10-31 00:44:00	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf247d6…
10-31 00:28:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	70¢	$4	0x28e19d…
10-31 00:28:36	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x0b721c…
10-31 00:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:15PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x615264…
10-31 00:13:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x9616c6…
10-30 23:58:37	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	13	9¢	$1	0xb587f3…
10-30 23:48:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x82297e…
10-30 23:18:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x39b4c0…
10-30 23:18:19	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x66143f…
10-30 22:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x7e504d…
10-30 22:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x5885ff…
10-30 22:58:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	41	4¢	$2	0x2aea76…
10-30 22:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xeac6f0…
10-30 22:23:52	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb23d77…
10-30 21:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	2¢	$0	0x3efd0b…
10-30 21:40:21	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x97030d…
10-30 20:58:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x72baef…
10-30 20:53:55	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0x05c21a…
10-30 20:43:46	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 4:30PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8c6a1d…
10-30 20:38:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	37	3¢	$1	0xa5c10c…
10-30 20:38:49	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf86edb…
10-30 20:27:25	Solana Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x22a833…
10-30 20:18:55	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0xd837b2…
10-30 19:58:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0xfb3383…
10-30 19:28:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 3:15PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x82b348…
10-30 18:47:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0x731130…
10-30 18:43:45	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	72	2¢	$2	0x7c6aaf…
10-30 18:43:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	49	2¢	$1	0x5f8322…
10-30 18:43:36	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	55	2¢	$1	0xb38c68…
10-30 17:19:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0x1308a2…
10-30 16:23:40	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	47	3¢	$1	0x42f0d8…
10-30 16:07:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x76da1f…
10-30 14:48:49	XRP Up or Down - October 30, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0x286e44…
10-30 14:43:39	Ethereum Up or Down - October 30, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xe8a58b…