Disgusting-Farmland — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.0%

Resolved

Trades

149

lifetime

Volume

$557

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-15 18:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

60% 49% $-17

Other

30% 0% $-12

Sports

10% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 72 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (13) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Fulham FC win on 2026-05-02?	3	$39	180	175	+5	open	—	04-28 02:36
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-02?	3	$37	90	88	+2	open	—	04-28 02:36
Will the Boston Celtics win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	3	$30	40	20	+20	open	—	04-28 03:09
Will the Oklahoma City Thunder win the 2026 NBA Finals?	3	$29	37	18	+19	open	—	04-28 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	6	$24	20	20	+0	open	—	05-04 07:21
Will Coventry City FC win on 2026-05-02?	3	$23	24	24	+0	open	—	04-28 02:36
Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-05-03?	2	$20	48	0	+48	open	—	04-28 03:09
Will the Liberal Democrats win at least 700 council seat elections in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections?	2	$18	34	34	+0	Yes	$-2	04-30 10:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	3	$17	15	15	+0	open	—	05-04 14:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	4	$15	12	12	+0	open	—	05-04 13:06
Will Everton FC win on 2026-05-04?	1	$10	66	0	+66	No	$-10	04-28 03:08
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-04-29?	1	$10	26	0	+26	open	—	04-28 03:08
Will Brentford FC win on 2026-05-02?	1	$10	18	0	+18	open	—	04-28 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	3	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	05-04 01:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	3	$9	8	8	+0	open	—	05-04 03:27
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	05-15 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	3	$9	7	7	+0	Down	+$4	05-06 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	2	$8	7	7	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 03:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	2	$8	5	5	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 05:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 05:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 11:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Down	+$1	05-05 11:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	05-04 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	3	$7	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 13:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	2	$7	4	4	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 02:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-06 04:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 08:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	2	$6	12	0	+12	Up	$-6	05-05 11:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	3	$5	8	3	+5	Up	$-1	05-06 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 10:15PM-10:30PM ET	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-04 02:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 18:20:19	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	89¢	$4	0xc70c67…
05-15 17:02:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x59e644…
05-06 06:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x011077…
05-06 06:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	48¢	$1	0x7d7ec2…
05-06 06:07:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0xe794c5…
05-06 06:05:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	3	50¢	$2	0x4a5f57…
05-06 06:02:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x57cb05…
05-06 06:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	SELL	3	68¢	$2	0x03e9cc…
05-06 06:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x90aad1…
05-06 05:52:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0xbe94b7…
05-06 05:30:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x75586a…
05-06 05:20:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x81f282…
05-06 05:15:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xabab58…
05-06 05:15:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:15AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0xb52bd6…
05-06 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xe0436f…
05-06 04:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x03f5e3…
05-06 04:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	SELL	4	94¢	$4	0xcbc363…
05-06 04:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:40AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x816f58…
05-06 04:32:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30AM-12:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x7a46ad…
05-06 03:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	SELL	7	76¢	$5	0x5d1f88…
05-06 03:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	7	36¢	$3	0x1d122d…
05-06 03:23:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	25¢	$3	0xb6d697…
05-06 03:08:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	95¢	$4	0x911a60…
05-06 03:08:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	95¢	$3	0x39cc70…
05-06 03:05:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	7	33¢	$2	0x79b3a2…
05-06 03:01:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0x8b9b22…
05-06 02:45:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x027ac3…
05-06 02:00:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x637a77…
05-06 02:00:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x72a722…
05-06 01:57:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	65¢	$3	0xbc3b78…
05-06 01:44:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:45PM-10:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x04f763…
05-06 01:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0xf4797e…
05-05 11:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	SELL	6	72¢	$4	0xc15e0c…
05-05 11:48:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	SELL	5	83¢	$4	0x021b0e…
05-05 11:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	6	46¢	$3	0x8552c7…
05-05 11:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x4e3411…
05-05 11:40:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:40AM-7:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0x0a3d69…
05-05 11:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x0147b8…
05-05 11:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0xbc9eb1…
05-05 11:26:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x838127…
05-05 11:22:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0x47191d…
05-05 08:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x4b3c6a…
05-05 08:48:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	68¢	$3	0x0f1986…
05-05 08:19:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	15	19¢	$3	0x94b652…
05-05 07:17:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	6	48¢	$3	0x01c5cd…
05-05 07:15:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	63¢	$3	0xd06cea…
05-05 07:14:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	74	4¢	$3	0xc8994e…
05-05 06:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 2:30AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x2971ac…
05-05 05:56:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	92¢	$5	0xfbff11…
05-05 05:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	58¢	$3	0x782668…
05-05 05:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	64¢	$3	0x48be66…
05-05 05:29:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:30AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x9fa38e…
05-05 02:47:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	3	98¢	$3	0x0e2940…
05-05 02:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xec4be3…
05-05 02:45:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x9c3cde…
05-04 15:42:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	85¢	$3	0x4cc6b3…
05-04 15:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x969cd6…
05-04 15:25:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	54¢	$2	0xaf5421…
05-04 15:24:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x6a545b…
05-04 15:01:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xeed1c8…
05-04 14:55:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xe6b304…
05-04 14:50:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0x1f1e4e…
05-04 14:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xd10b84…
05-04 14:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:45AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0xf62e5f…
05-04 14:31:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:30AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x67d5aa…
05-04 14:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xc4071a…
05-04 14:30:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x4b94df…
05-04 14:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Down	BUY	15	14¢	$2	0xadb447…
05-04 13:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0xa43a5d…
05-04 13:18:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	2	69¢	$1	0x0ae1e7…
05-04 13:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0x00c10c…
05-04 13:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	68¢	$3	0xd22032…
05-04 13:07:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	26¢	$2	0xf3856c…
05-04 13:06:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	SELL	12	76¢	$9	0xb11d3b…
05-04 13:05:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xb42d33…
05-04 13:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xc6b49a…
05-04 13:05:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x26378f…
05-04 11:58:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x77eca8…
05-04 11:48:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0xb594ac…
05-04 10:33:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	91¢	$3	0x5c5d76…
05-04 10:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	3	51¢	$2	0xbd1b82…
05-04 10:27:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x69fca2…
05-04 10:26:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	47¢	$2	0x5dffc3…
05-04 10:15:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0x3ca451…
05-04 10:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	4	40¢	$2	0x645d0a…
05-04 10:05:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xcfb3fd…
05-04 09:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0xc07af1…
05-04 07:21:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	SELL	20	75¢	$15	0xc06a15…
05-04 07:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xcbc1f1…
05-04 07:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xadc284…
05-04 07:16:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x375fa2…
05-04 07:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x8d3dd3…
05-04 07:16:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6077f7…
05-04 07:04:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0xb4e0f1…
05-04 07:01:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	56¢	$2	0xd61643…
05-04 06:55:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	53¢	$2	0x29c198…
05-04 06:35:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x19e1e9…
05-04 05:24:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	87¢	$3	0x507d37…
05-04 05:20:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	55¢	$2	0xd4cec8…
05-04 05:18:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x077510…