Blind-Man — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$213

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

6,579

lifetime

Volume

$69.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$11

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 08-10 10:42

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

55% 100% +$66

Other

28% — —

Crypto

18% 100% +$146

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

73 active days in 12wk • peak 185 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	217	$3.3K	4,786	4,806	-20	open	—	02-28 06:49
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 14	232	$2.6K	5,265	4,964	+301	open	—	06-14 21:11
Zama auction clearing price above $0.05?	111	$2.3K	4,087	4,222	-135	open	—	01-26 12:02
Will Donald Trump announce that the United States blockade of the Strait of Hormuz has been lifted by May 31, 2026?	148	$2.3K	2,802	2,583	+219	open	—	05-31 21:30
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?	218	$2.0K	3,822	3,822	+0	open	—	06-22 04:04
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	144	$2.0K	3,214	2,858	+356	open	—	05-01 05:56
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	181	$1.9K	5,912	5,440	+472	open	—	04-01 10:34
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	231	$1.9K	4,921	3,674	+1,247	open	—	04-01 20:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	112	$1.8K	3,906	3,820	+86	open	—	05-22 18:04
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	131	$1.8K	2,737	2,637	+100	open	—	08-06 13:17
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	67	$1.7K	1,436	1,446	-10	open	—	02-28 19:03
us strikes iran by february 13 2026 721 759 497 124 197 797 992 641 418 789 676 262 791 574 169 647 275 931	85	$1.5K	2,510	2,500	+10	open	—	02-02 12:35
iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	178	$1.5K	3,485	3,485	+0	open	—	07-23 18:38
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	159	$1.4K	5,995	5,899	+95	open	—	05-14 17:14
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	43	$1.4K	1,388	1,288	+100	open	—	06-03 23:17
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 15 2889	78	$1.2K	1,356	1,245	+111	open	—	06-14 08:02
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	126	$1.2K	4,847	4,717	+130	open	—	06-13 02:06
us strikes iran by january 23 2026 494 711 798 734 155	44	$1.1K	1,376	1,446	-70	open	—	01-15 15:27
starmer out by june 22 2026	119	$1.1K	1,895	1,749	+146	open	—	06-22 08:34
masoud pezeshkian out by march 31	121	$1.0K	1,632	1,762	-130	open	—	04-01 05:18
will bitcoin reach 85k in february 2026	112	$950	3,137	2,770	+367	open	—	02-10 15:07
US strikes Iran by March 7, 2026?	53	$939	905	920	-15	open	—	02-28 06:38
iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	127	$915	3,807	3,807	+0	open	—	07-11 23:52
Over $10M committed to the P2P Protocol public sale?	59	$910	1,322	1,333	-11	open	—	03-31 19:02
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	117	$833	6,007	5,986	+22	open	—	03-14 17:51
Aztec FDV above $300M one day after launch?	176	$809	3,055	2,453	+602	open	—	02-13 20:55
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	53	$782	1,586	1,495	+91	Yes	+$66	03-16 14:32
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	44	$752	1,306	1,326	-20	open	—	04-01 17:23
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	23	$738	705	935	-230	open	—	02-11 16:44
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	64	$731	1,770	1,729	+41	open	—	04-12 21:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-10 16:39:10	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	30	11¢	$3	0x60f5cb…
08-10 16:31:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	33	12¢	$4	0x3e105a…
08-10 15:49:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	60	22¢	$13	0x1e7e2a…
08-10 13:41:45	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	SELL	50	4¢	$2	0x2ed33a…
08-10 10:42:57	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0x5801c1…
08-10 10:42:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	10	10¢	$1	0xc58f77…
08-10 10:10:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 12 2026	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xbe8f9b…
08-10 10:09:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	70	11¢	$8	0xe7ad67…
08-10 07:56:18	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	30	13¢	$4	0xe7b251…
08-10 06:13:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 11 2026	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x245d7f…
08-10 05:54:45	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0xf92f6e…
08-09 19:04:30	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	40	12¢	$5	0x305cda…
08-09 18:09:33	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	110	9¢	$10	0xecc5b9…
08-09 17:59:34	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	SELL	50	9¢	$5	0x052491…
08-09 17:47:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	30	14¢	$4	0xb9cdd0…
08-09 16:58:55	us x iran effective ceasfire by july 31 20260715194822045	No	BUY	160	9¢	$14	0x9756fa…
08-09 16:06:33	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	60	12¢	$7	0x1550ce…
08-09 15:34:49	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	40	17¢	$7	0xbcd492…
08-09 14:30:54	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	80	20¢	$16	0x242a88…
08-09 14:23:15	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	110	13¢	$14	0xc57b93…
08-09 13:04:15	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	SELL	68	7¢	$5	0x6f671f…
08-09 12:19:25	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	35	72¢	$25	0x8b318f…
08-09 12:09:46	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	SELL	35	70¢	$25	0x1ec3d6…
08-09 12:07:42	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	No	BUY	70	56¢	$39	0x81e462…
08-09 11:50:24	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	50	28¢	$14	0xa6921f…
08-09 11:49:22	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	50	9¢	$5	0x633288…
08-09 11:36:27	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	SELL	68	7¢	$5	0x27d81c…
08-09 11:34:25	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	SELL	110	7¢	$8	0x284f5e…
08-09 06:02:21	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x6b1f4f…
08-08 20:38:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	50	8¢	$4	0x451598…
08-08 19:28:13	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	100	4¢	$4	0x95cb8b…
08-08 18:59:24	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	60	8¢	$5	0x700bbc…
08-08 13:20:49	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	63	4¢	$3	0x33c93d…
08-08 06:29:43	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0xbbc2ee…
08-08 06:28:57	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	60	4¢	$3	0x8681d4…
08-08 06:08:12	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0xdb7022…
08-08 01:15:12	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	98	5¢	$5	0x29d811…
08-07 16:40:39	iran leadership change by august 31 669 893	Yes	SELL	52	6¢	$3	0xcc2876…
08-07 14:23:13	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	12	13¢	$2	0x6f2543…
08-07 14:23:07	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739 824	Yes	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x39ed50…
08-07 14:20:07	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	BUY	50	6¢	$3	0x1186a1…
08-07 14:09:51	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xad1a3b…
08-07 13:59:57	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x564658…
08-07 13:53:55	iran leadership change by august 31 669	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0x6d48fb…
08-07 13:49:45	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	100	13¢	$13	0x9552a6…
08-07 02:41:06	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	SELL	100	8¢	$8	0xece738…
08-06 13:17:18	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0x18c7d6…
08-06 13:10:20	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	62	13¢	$8	0xc2b94b…
08-06 08:38:29	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0x35216d…
08-05 18:32:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	16¢	$16	0xef1e4f…
08-05 15:07:35	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	SELL	25	14¢	$4	0xd20def…
08-05 14:32:41	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	BUY	25	18¢	$4	0x05b88f…
08-05 14:05:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	12	15¢	$2	0xc0bc48…
08-05 14:03:56	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	15¢	$6	0x0b2348…
08-05 13:33:05	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	SELL	16	15¢	$2	0x4b2727…
08-05 13:16:36	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0x88b128…
08-05 13:10:50	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	BUY	9	12¢	$1	0x450f60…
08-05 12:41:12	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0xf7f7b8…
08-05 12:40:50	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x9f1b05…
08-05 12:39:50	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	SELL	58	14¢	$8	0xde467f…
08-05 12:29:35	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	BUY	50	15¢	$8	0x7b4978…
08-05 11:50:12	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	BUY	8	22¢	$2	0x824b02…
08-05 10:21:02	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0x508a23…
08-05 07:57:21	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	SELL	40	34¢	$14	0x3f2c4a…
08-05 07:54:08	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0xa7d218…
08-05 07:52:00	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x2f9da7…
08-05 07:49:54	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0x2bcacb…
08-05 07:49:27	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xcc3d27…
08-05 07:47:44	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	13¢	$3	0xeef9c3…
08-05 07:46:45	squid fdv above 100m one day after launch 392	No	BUY	40	35¢	$14	0xb59794…
08-05 06:10:11	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	54	14¢	$8	0x3916dc…
08-04 22:51:32	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	SELL	50	12¢	$6	0x4adee1…
08-04 20:41:38	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	16	14¢	$2	0x81932a…
08-04 20:39:41	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	5	14¢	$1	0xa2ca8c…
08-04 20:39:39	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0xf1f605…
08-04 20:39:39	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	1	14¢	$0	0xb77a13…
08-04 17:22:15	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	150	7¢	$11	0x74cda4…
08-04 16:19:02	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	SELL	50	15¢	$8	0x1c82d4…
08-04 16:04:51	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	SELL	30	17¢	$5	0xb18427…
08-04 14:50:08	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	SELL	80	19¢	$15	0xfddfa7…
08-04 14:39:57	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0x6963c2…
08-04 14:39:45	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x21542c…
08-04 14:16:38	squid fdv above 200m one day after launch 483	Yes	SELL	90	5¢	$4	0xd723d5…
08-04 14:13:17	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	30	16¢	$5	0xa908c5…
08-04 14:09:02	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	SELL	30	20¢	$6	0x70ae35…
08-04 14:07:27	squid fdv above 200m one day after launch 483	Yes	BUY	20	7¢	$1	0x3f785e…
08-04 14:01:06	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	30	21¢	$6	0x76b801…
08-04 13:26:44	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x6472db…
08-04 13:16:05	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	78	13¢	$10	0x8e0f7d…
08-04 13:15:48	squid fdv above 150m one day after launch 822	Yes	BUY	2	13¢	$0	0xd847af…
08-02 19:59:05	Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x29ca80…
08-02 18:39:18	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	20	18¢	$4	0xb9f01e…
08-02 13:02:51	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	54	18¢	$10	0xc61bfd…
08-02 11:40:18	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	BUY	30	14¢	$4	0x51244b…
08-02 10:15:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	100	28¢	$28	0x1739d0…
08-02 07:30:15	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	29¢	$29	0x52ce63…
08-02 06:57:00	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	22	17¢	$4	0xc58c38…
08-02 06:08:48	iran leadership change by september 30 20260629144005163 739	Yes	BUY	100	7¢	$7	0xbc4a22…
08-02 04:28:36	will wildberries announce bankruptcy before 2027 20260723171611669	Yes	SELL	30	16¢	$5	0xc2d0ac…
08-01 23:31:12	Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	41¢	$12	0xa20438…