Legitimate-Bagpipe — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$346

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

79.8%

Resolved

194

Trades

2,148

lifetime

Volume

$34.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$16

Open exposure

$20

5 positions

First seen

2026-02-28

last 10-19 08:23

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 68 days

Categories

Other

87% 28% -$585

Politics

12% 40% +$287

Crypto

1% 23% +$3

Sports

0% 0% -$50

Tech

0% 0% -$1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (5) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+17	$5	42¢	$7	+$2	08-15 21:47
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+83	$5	6¢	$5	$0	08-15 21:46
will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	+4	$1	100¢	$4	+$3	08-20 13:00
Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+1,833	$10	0¢	$3	-$7	09-22 22:41
Will Yair Lapid be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+580	$4	0¢	$2	-$2	05-05 14:56

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	183	$7.7K	8,419	7,309	+1,110	No	+$322	03-31 17:58
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	189	$6.2K	6,440	6,295	+145	No	+$119	03-31 11:53
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	102	$3.3K	4,445	3,984	+461	No	+$36	03-30 23:28
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	128	$2.5K	4,282	4,337	-55	Yes	+$165	03-27 21:53
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	123	$1.8K	2,328	2,368	-40	Yes	+$214	03-07 22:06
will crude oil cl hit high 130 by end of march 366 294	58	$1.1K	1,871	1,889	-17	No	+$70	03-22 16:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in April?	29	$787	1,186	1,164	+22	No	+$87	04-27 23:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $70 in April?	50	$779	3,613	3,934	-321	No	-$458	04-23 18:40
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	92	$730	800	778	+22	Yes	+$85	03-07 17:36
will crude oil cl hit high 140 by end of march 934 621	52	$637	2,122	2,247	-125	No	-$15	03-22 16:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	18	$590	1,109	197	+912	Yes	+$387	04-08 08:58
will crude oil cl hit high 150 by end of march 138 937 747	66	$586	2,917	2,930	-13	No	+$33	03-22 19:59
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	58	$571	7,185	7,385	-200	No	-$2	03-22 18:33
will crude oil cl hit high 180 by end of march 692	62	$529	5,143	5,243	-100	No	-$10	03-22 18:47
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $60 in April?	43	$419	6,579	7,121	-542	No	-$101	04-23 09:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	16	$364	981	279	+702	Yes	-$66	04-28 10:32
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	26	$345	531	531	+0	Yes	-$77	02-28 21:45
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	8	$286	450	446	+4	Yes	-$122	04-27 23:54
Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	7	$250	955	0	+955	No	-$250	05-30 17:16
will crude oil cl hit low 80 by end of march 459 543 676 456 138 869 867 397	29	$198	1,933	1,339	+594	No	-$33	03-31 03:41
will iran strike israel on march 6	54	$197	769	290	+479	No	-$20	03-10 07:47
Will 80 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	14	$174	443	443	+0	No	-$130	04-23 18:41
us x iran ceasefire by march 6	3	$167	101	101	+0	No	+$7	03-01 14:10
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $75 in April?	14	$158	406	396	+10	No	-$83	04-23 18:40
Will 60 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	10	$151	287	486	-199	No	-$81	04-23 18:41
will crude oil cl hit high 90 by end of march 124 949 438 563 647 712 323	19	$151	135	125	+10	Yes	+$34	03-07 02:19
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $170 in April?	13	$140	1,261	1,223	+38	No	+$17	04-07 22:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in April?	10	$139	320	317	+3	No	+$11	04-07 22:40
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $160 in April?	9	$137	900	890	+10	No	+$18	04-07 22:40
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by April 30?	9	$131	206	206	+0	No	-$73	04-23 18:41

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-19 08:23:42	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28?	No	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x16edc8…
10-15 22:26:27	Will the Bank of Israel increase the Bank of Israel Interest Rate after the October decision?	Yes	BUY	145	1¢	$1	0xf6de48…
09-22 22:41:58	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xfbc3da…
09-22 02:13:05	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x7d6225…
09-21 21:55:43	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	167	0¢	$1	0xe3f2b7…
09-21 20:49:45	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x9e5763…
09-21 04:22:43	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0x4bc435…
09-20 17:52:25	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3689de…
09-20 14:52:10	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x59d3f8…
09-20 14:37:39	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbb5fa4…
09-20 14:12:27	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x05b08e…
09-20 13:57:00	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x5cd358…
09-20 10:57:12	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2a4d67…
09-20 06:25:07	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xbb2439…
09-20 03:42:58	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc0f12d…
09-20 03:29:31	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x1a3f90…
09-20 02:52:28	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xfdddde…
09-19 21:52:14	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc4fd1c…
09-19 20:59:30	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x916cef…
09-19 19:07:17	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x2ab301…
09-19 13:26:14	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	91	0¢	$0	0x7190ff…
09-19 10:58:59	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x032026…
09-19 00:09:18	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x89562e…
09-18 23:56:31	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x48b0ca…
09-18 22:28:12	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x71f90d…
09-18 22:25:42	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x772f58…
09-18 22:23:22	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xd5d9b3…
09-18 21:29:12	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x26f101…
09-18 13:25:56	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe639a1…
09-18 09:39:36	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x5c32bf…
09-18 09:31:09	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x242db6…
09-18 06:14:28	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xe88915…
09-18 05:05:31	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xc391d9…
09-18 05:01:00	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x35b86a…
09-18 00:44:18	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe4c7b9…
09-18 00:41:09	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xe1b150…
09-17 21:42:49	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x9c19fe…
09-17 21:14:04	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x713902…
09-17 20:16:57	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xad861d…
09-17 18:38:57	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x9ec28b…
09-17 17:51:00	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	117	0¢	$1	0x197fe5…
09-17 16:31:00	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xfa73cd…
09-17 15:30:52	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xdae0ab…
09-17 14:35:57	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xa48c19…
09-17 14:08:49	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	35	0¢	$0	0x3b543d…
09-17 09:34:40	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0x3fab32…
09-17 08:38:06	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xc0088c…
09-17 08:27:39	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x0a300a…
09-17 06:44:34	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	1	0¢	$0	0xbb6556…
09-17 05:29:30	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xcbe840…
09-17 05:14:57	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x41ebfe…
09-17 03:57:27	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0xddda1f…
09-17 01:38:22	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x8a51f3…
09-16 20:11:12	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	833	1¢	$5	0x6d9b8f…
09-16 20:10:28	Will Itamar Ben Gvir be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	517	0¢	$3	0xa600b7…
09-14 21:50:21	Mitch McConnell votes in the Senate by September 30?	Yes	SELL	25	85¢	$21	0x6abd2c…
09-03 16:35:37	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0x178d23…
09-03 16:35:30	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xe9f822…
09-03 16:35:28	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd77329…
09-01 18:05:01	Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?	No	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xd50c7f…
09-01 18:02:10	Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through September 30?	No	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0x303cc2…
08-27 09:03:45	Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?	No	BUY	162	4¢	$6	0x02aadf…
08-27 09:03:15	Will Benjamin Netanyahu visit New York City by September 30?	No	BUY	547	4¢	$20	0x96e4ff…
08-21 07:09:10	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	73	7¢	$5	0xd78e1e…
08-21 07:08:36	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by august 31	Yes	BUY	45	1¢	$0	0x0101a1…
08-20 13:03:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-20 13:00 UTC	Down	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x333e88…
08-20 13:00:49	will anthropic ipo by october 31 2026	No	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xfb5947…
08-20 13:00:45	will anthropic ipo by september 30 2026 733	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xdab6b8…
08-20 12:53:07	us x iran ceasefire continues through september 15	No	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x6ad2b8…
08-20 12:52:49	us x iran ceasefire continues through august 25	No	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x4161d7…
08-19 04:42:22	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0xf416f6…
08-19 04:41:40	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	100	10¢	$10	0x580660…
08-19 04:39:22	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642 513 584 641 939 632 729	No	SELL	100	92¢	$92	0xf53774…
08-19 04:38:43	mitch mcconnell votes in the senate by september 30	Yes	BUY	25	20¢	$5	0xdff136…
08-18 09:04:07	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x7c5c54…
08-18 09:04:01	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	50	10¢	$5	0x2a1506…
08-15 21:49:31	israel x iran ceasefire continues through september 30	No	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0xdf32ba…
08-15 21:47:13	Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0x5ac5f4…
08-15 21:46:58	Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0xf507ce…
08-07 11:18:33	bitcoin above 64k on august 7 2026	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9df4ce…
08-07 11:18:24	bitcoin above 66k on august 7 2026	Yes	BUY	26	4¢	$1	0x807d28…
08-07 11:12:28	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x218ee4…
08-07 11:09:54	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 31 2026 20260713152715084 642	No	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x6d5728…
08-07 11:08:00	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710 178	No	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0x0c4848…
08-06 15:29:30	us announces end of iranian blockade by august 15 2026 20260713152715083 347	No	BUY	143	35¢	$50	0x4fe926…
07-23 06:17:22	will benjamin netanyahu visit new york city by september 30 20260722053445710	No	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0xfc3937…
07-19 21:50:48	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	SELL	105	5¢	$5	0xff09d3…
07-12 14:31:19	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x27ad3c…
07-12 14:30:35	Will Argentina win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x296190…
07-06 18:14:38	fifwc prt esp 2026 07 06 team to advance	Portugal	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x3e3ed3…
07-04 20:55:46	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x68097a…
07-04 19:48:32	Will Paraguay vs. France end in a draw?	Yes	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x883358…
07-04 04:12:07	Will Morocco win on 2026-07-04?	Yes	BUY	98	52¢	$51	0x553d39…
06-29 20:41:44	Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x2b7329…
06-21 05:11:40	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0xb08ba1…
06-21 04:41:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xca9b33…
06-21 04:41:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xbfa483…
06-21 04:36:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0xea3c8d…
06-21 04:36:25	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	0	0¢	$0	0x1886d9…
06-21 04:33:32	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x0b829f…