Realized P&L
+$110
Unrealized P&L
+$41
Hit rate
77.5%
Resolved
37
Trades
229
lifetime
Volume
$22.5K
lifetime
Avg / trade
$98
Open exposure
$1.61K
12 positions
First seen
2026-11-06
last 11-11 16:52
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 6 days
Categories
Other
97% 65% +$110
Politics
3% — —
Tech
0% — —
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
6 active days in 12wk • peak 92 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
W50 Chihuahua: Jessica Hinojosa Gomez vs Anastasia Zolotareva Jessica Hinojosa Gomez +500 $299 72¢ $362 +$63 11-11 17:56
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by December 31? No +300 $276 92¢ $278 +$2 11-11 01:03
Will Bad Bunny be the #1 searched person on Google this year? No +200 $190 94¢ $189 -$1 11-11 00:33
Will Marco Rubio leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +200 $170 90¢ $181 +$11 11-07 18:56
Jensen Huang announced resignation or removal by December 31, 2026? No +200 $168 84¢ $169 +$1 11-11 00:41
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 70% or higher? No +200 $168 74¢ $148 -$20 11-10 02:21
Will "The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping" Opening Weekend Box Office be at least 130m? No +200 $58 43¢ $86 +$28 11-10 07:22
Will the highest score achieved on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 65% or higher? No +200 $118 37¢ $74 -$44 11-09 20:52
Will the highest score achieved by a SpaceXAI Grok model on Humanity’s Last Exam in 2026 be 60% or higher? No +68 $59 87¢ $59 +$0 11-10 21:58
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +40 $37 94¢ $38 +$0 11-09 09:14
Claude 6 released by March 31, 2027? No +24 $15 66¢ $16 +$1 11-09 22:08
Will the next Fable model (5.2+) debut at a score of at least 1540 by June 30, 2027? No +6 $5 94¢ $6 +$1 11-09 19:37