Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$7.23K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

83.4%

Resolved

593

Trades

2,088

lifetime

Volume

$128.4K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$62

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 10-26 00:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 28 days

Categories

Crypto

84% 79% -$3,003

Other

12% 47% -$2,505

Politics

3% 50% -$1,736

Tech

0% 50% +$16

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 31 859 245	17	$5.7K	3,466	3,466	+0	No	+$1,131	01-29 20:30
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	8	$4.4K	8,692	715	+7,977	Yes	-$3,196	03-24 16:28
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3	$2.3K	1,368	1,368	+0	No	+$206	03-24 16:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:25 UTC	3	$1.8K	987	981	+6	Up	+$177	03-07 09:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 01:30 UTC	6	$1.5K	839	835	+4	Down	+$132	03-07 01:35
will clair obscur expedition 33 win game of the year in the 2025 steam awards	1	$1.5K	0	1,502	-1,502	No	-$2	01-03 20:28
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:10 UTC	3	$1.5K	1,010	505	+505	Up	+$5	03-07 04:14
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 11:50 UTC	11	$1.1K	653	648	+5	Down	+$147	03-07 11:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:30 UTC	6	$1.1K	652	647	+5	Up	+$145	03-07 07:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 11:40 UTC	2	$1.1K	579	577	+2	Up	+$73	03-07 11:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:55 UTC	3	$1.1K	574	573	+2	Down	+$69	03-07 04:00
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:40 UTC	2	$1.1K	574	572	+2	Down	+$68	03-07 08:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:25 UTC	9	$1.1K	572	570	+2	Down	+$66	03-07 04:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 08:30 UTC	2	$1.1K	572	570	+2	Down	+$66	03-07 08:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 11:35 UTC	2	$1.1K	571	569	+2	Up	+$65	03-07 11:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:40 UTC	2	$1.1K	569	567	+2	Down	+$63	03-07 03:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 06:10 UTC	2	$1.1K	564	563	+1	Down	+$59	03-07 06:15
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:40 UTC	2	$1.1K	562	560	+1	Down	+$56	03-07 10:45
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:50 UTC	2	$1.0K	553	552	+1	Down	+$48	03-07 09:55
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 04:45 UTC	5	$1.0K	545	544	+1	Down	+$40	03-07 04:50
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 11:30 UTC	16	$1.0K	544	543	+1	Down	+$39	03-07 11:34
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:25 UTC	5	$1.0K	544	543	+1	Up	+$38	03-07 07:30
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:05 UTC	21	$1.0K	543	542	+1	Up	+$38	03-07 09:09
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 11:20 UTC	23	$1.0K	536	536	+1	Down	+$31	03-07 11:24
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 12:00 UTC	16	$1.0K	535	535	+1	Up	+$30	03-07 12:04
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 07:15 UTC	5	$1.0K	534	534	+0	Down	+$29	03-07 07:20
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 03:35 UTC	2	$1.0K	534	533	+0	Down	+$28	03-07 03:40
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 06:20 UTC	2	$1.0K	529	529	+0	Down	+$24	03-07 06:25
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 09:30 UTC	4	$1.0K	528	528	+0	Up	+$23	03-07 09:35
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-03-07 10:45 UTC	5	$1.0K	528	527	+0	Up	+$23	03-07 10:49

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-26 00:08:00	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	22	0¢	$0	0x06293c…
10-26 00:07:47	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	SELL	24	0¢	$0	0x04313d…
10-25 23:52:44	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	886	1¢	$12	0x6978fe…
10-25 22:48:05	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	110	38¢	$42	0x580d68…
10-25 22:47:59	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	251	38¢	$95	0x0acf20…
10-25 22:47:35	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	41¢	$9	0x66573d…
10-25 22:47:30	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	SELL	27	79¢	$21	0x03fcbd…
10-25 22:47:26	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	31	67¢	$21	0x40fe8c…
10-25 22:47:21	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	36¢	$16	0xea05b6…
10-25 22:47:17	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	45	37¢	$17	0xbe9371…
10-25 22:47:12	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	60	18¢	$11	0x00daee…
10-25 22:47:06	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	100	6¢	$6	0xd2026d…
10-25 22:47:02	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	SELL	125	29¢	$36	0x1e63fc…
10-25 22:39:36	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	230	32¢	$73	0x38f002…
10-25 22:38:41	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	SELL	92	80¢	$74	0xb58a97…
10-25 20:38:38	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	34	69¢	$23	0x6cb23b…
10-25 20:37:24	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	SELL	23	99¢	$23	0x1f9d46…
10-25 20:15:20	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	106	71¢	$76	0xf25625…
10-25 20:11:18	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	SELL	98	78¢	$76	0x0faa83…
10-24 07:55:26	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	8	80¢	$7	0x077226…
10-24 07:55:08	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	125	80¢	$100	0xa78ab2…
10-23 09:29:15	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	BUY	30	84¢	$25	0x365fac…
10-23 09:29:09	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	38	78¢	$30	0xb6bd65…
10-22 16:01:38	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24?	Yes	BUY	23	88¢	$20	0x60b241…
10-22 16:01:35	US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31?	Yes	BUY	54	74¢	$40	0xfa9bc4…
10-22 09:39:47	Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	No	BUY	125	24¢	$30	0x1604d3…
10-22 09:39:44	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x934d87…
10-22 09:39:42	Will the Republicans win the Ohio governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	60	20¢	$12	0x0c3144…
10-22 09:39:39	Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0x8d0c64…
10-14 13:44:11	another fed rate hike in 2026	Yes	SELL	73	88¢	$64	0x6052b1…
10-14 13:44:09	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	123	42¢	$52	0xa39a24…
10-14 01:11:37	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	230	15¢	$35	0xd9d054…
10-13 22:09:19	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0xed07ca…
10-13 10:55:52	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	45	20¢	$9	0x44008f…
10-10 01:17:47	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	230	12¢	$28	0xcd05ff…
10-09 16:25:48	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	SELL	26	55¢	$14	0x5384d4…
10-08 18:21:24	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	9	85¢	$8	0xde68a7…
10-08 18:21:24	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	14	88¢	$12	0x3c112b…
10-08 18:21:24	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x0018e4…
10-08 07:48:28	Israel military action against Lebanon on October 8?	Yes	BUY	15	80¢	$12	0xf090f3…
10-08 07:44:43	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	SELL	45	23¢	$10	0xdbc86e…
10-07 19:54:08	Will Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	Yes	BUY	24	63¢	$15	0xf60414…
10-07 19:52:13	Will Iliana Iotova win the next Bulgarian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0xa1f3cc…
10-07 19:48:55	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xbb4b63…
10-07 19:46:43	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	SELL	67	90¢	$60	0xbd591d…
10-07 13:52:50	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	28¢	$11	0x2acfca…
10-06 18:51:26	Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?	No	BUY	67	75¢	$50	0x59e79e…
10-06 11:35:42	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	76¢	$15	0xf170f3…
10-05 21:52:10	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$0	0x2044d1…
10-05 21:51:50	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	23	84¢	$19	0x2c135f…
10-05 12:26:46	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	11,000	0¢	$11	0x8732fe…
10-04 22:30:08	Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x46160a…
10-04 22:29:31	Will Eduardo Braide win the Governor of Maranhão election?	Yes	BUY	13	97¢	$12	0x7e3b97…
10-04 22:29:31	Will Arthur Henrique win the 2026 Roraima gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	19	98¢	$19	0x6661a4…
10-04 22:29:28	Will Dr. Daniel Santos win the Governor of Pará election?	Yes	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x4ae332…
10-04 22:23:31	Will Fábio win the 2026 Sergipe gubernatorial election?	Yes	BUY	19	93¢	$18	0xe49649…
10-04 22:18:05	Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?	Yes	SELL	28	97¢	$27	0x65d3dc…
10-04 22:17:11	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	SELL	67	98¢	$65	0xd464cd…
10-04 17:42:22	Will Renan Santos finish in third place in the first round of the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0xf559da…
10-04 17:20:02	Will Lula win the most votes in the first round of the 2026 Brazil presidential election?	No	BUY	67	30¢	$20	0x5947dc…
10-03 01:28:30	Will Raquel Lyra win the Pernambuco Governor election?	Yes	BUY	28	43¢	$12	0xc3b5f3…
10-03 01:21:39	Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	22	57¢	$13	0xafcf00…
10-03 01:01:57	Will the Democrats win the Iowa Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x334cc2…
10-03 01:01:56	Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xf71272…
10-03 01:01:56	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	No	BUY	26	47¢	$12	0x234d7d…
10-03 00:31:11	Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	39	38¢	$15	0x9384a9…
10-03 00:31:11	Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027?	No	BUY	18	85¢	$15	0x87d813…
10-03 00:30:06	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	21	73¢	$15	0x9a5085…
10-02 22:20:00	Another Fed rate hike in 2026?	Yes	BUY	19	72¢	$14	0xf90b71…
10-02 22:20:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	78	18¢	$14	0xea718a…
09-08 19:37:01	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18,020	0¢	$58	0x0fcfb7…
08-27 17:32:46	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	92	61¢	$56	0xfd6ecc…
08-27 15:43:52	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	9	61¢	$6	0x071f2e…
08-08 09:29:51	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	17,263	0¢	$52	0x180c52…
08-08 09:24:54	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	59	92¢	$55	0x869d68…
06-21 21:23:40	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	9,856	0¢	$49	0xd53ed3…
06-21 21:23:20	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	SELL	59	86¢	$51	0x2f9918…
06-21 19:53:56	Will Geraldo Alckmin win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	748	0¢	$3	0x20d244…
06-21 19:53:40	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	567	1¢	$3	0x5677b2…
06-11 05:51:49	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	101	45¢	$45	0xadd181…
06-11 05:51:21	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	1,701	3¢	$48	0x6c3dd2…
06-10 19:56:09	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	51	6¢	$3	0xba77ac…
06-10 12:31:51	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,200	5¢	$60	0x1d4d7d…
06-10 12:31:15	Will Roberto Sánchez Palomino win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	1,017	5¢	$50	0xfb1ceb…
06-10 12:30:54	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	SELL	286	42¢	$120	0x04ef59…
06-10 10:07:34	Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	Yes	BUY	286	42¢	$120	0xe3f01a…
06-10 09:57:15	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	8	83¢	$7	0x00d26b…
06-10 09:27:15	Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	No	BUY	110	83¢	$91	0x161ff8…
04-04 15:49:09	US forces enter Iran by December 31?	No	BUY	805	13¢	$104	0x1c946d…
03-31 14:34:23	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	30	90¢	$27	0xd9489f…
03-31 14:32:45	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	2,000	41¢	$820	0xae9c82…
03-24 16:28:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	2,137	60¢	$1,272	0x73a56d…
03-24 16:28:29	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	SELL	1,368	93¢	$1,272	0x048302…
03-20 00:02:47	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	No	BUY	643	88¢	$566	0xabbaa6…
03-20 00:02:25	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	1,312	38¢	$500	0x4d61cf…
03-19 23:54:01	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	1,020	36¢	$370	0x3bc254…
03-19 17:49:23	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	437	23¢	$100	0xb57bd6…
03-17 00:06:09	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	271	96¢	$260	0xeaa172…
03-16 18:09:41	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	271	74¢	$200	0xe04c0f…
03-13 10:04:33	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	415	15¢	$64	0xf5085e…