Front-Tire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$51

Unrealized P&L

+$5

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

649

lifetime

Volume

$1.06K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-18

last 06-15 07:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

80% — —

Other

11% 0% $-51

Politics

9% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

20 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes		+78	$4	11¢	$9	+$5	06-15 07:09

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	32	$96	10,724	+10,724	open	—	03-04 19:18
bitcoin above 76k on march 5	8	$87	2,443	+2,443	open	—	03-05 06:00
bitcoin above 76k on march 6	37	$44	6,111	+6,111	open	—	03-06 06:12
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$26	1,093	+1,093	open	—	01-23 04:37
bitcoin above 100k on january 19	5	$25	11,666	+11,666	open	—	01-19 02:14
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	15	$25	1,138	+1,138	No	$-25	04-25 09:33
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	16	$18	6,219	+6,219	open	—	04-26 07:28
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	1	$16	500	+500	No	$-16	03-06 01:00
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	2	$15	97	+97	open	—	01-25 03:06
bitcoin up or down on january 21	3	$15	82	+82	open	—	01-21 11:58
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	6	$15	3,250	+3,250	open	—	03-02 17:26
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	9	$14	1,417	+1,417	open	—	02-23 03:36
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	25	$14	4,258	+4,258	open	—	04-19 04:49
will bitcoin reach 100k january 26 1	4	$12	1,153	+1,153	open	—	01-29 19:38
will bitcoin reach 96k january 26 1	4	$12	350	+350	open	—	01-29 19:37
will bitcoin reach 98k january 26 1	4	$12	521	+521	open	—	01-29 19:38
bitcoin up or down on january 29	4	$12	213	+213	open	—	01-29 14:37
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$12	1,643	+1,643	open	—	03-10 03:04
will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	3	$11	341	+341	open	—	03-03 15:33
will bitcoin reach 102k january 26 1	3	$11	1,458	+1,458	open	—	01-29 06:16
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	3	$11	803	+803	open	—	01-29 06:17
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	14	$10	2,817	+2,817	No	$-10	05-12 05:46
bitcoin above 98k on january 19	2	$10	1,737	+1,737	open	—	01-19 03:02
bitcoin above 96k on january 29	2	$10	1,108	+1,108	open	—	01-28 03:36
bitcoin above 96k on january 28	2	$10	5,477	+5,477	open	—	01-27 20:22
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	7	$10	1,661	+1,661	open	—	04-18 14:07
bitcoin above 92k on january 23	1	$10	182	+182	open	—	01-23 06:10
bitcoin above 96k on january 19	2	$10	350	+350	open	—	01-19 03:01
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	6	$10	742	+742	open	—	04-26 07:28
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	7	$10	2,649	+2,649	open	—	04-26 05:11

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-15 07:09:12	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xdd8d7e…
06-03 03:43:00	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x2c738f…
06-03 03:40:59	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0xae2fe0…
05-12 05:46:36	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x17878c…
05-11 05:39:54	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xf7f356…
05-07 02:05:44	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd48666…
05-06 04:42:32	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xd849cf…
05-04 07:13:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,530	0¢	$3	0xb039b2…
05-04 04:28:28	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb21e97…
05-03 14:15:36	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x9f0783…
05-03 13:29:00	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe47cfc…
05-03 13:28:58	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x390ae4…
05-03 12:57:34	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x8a8c68…
05-03 12:24:14	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf37fc8…
05-03 12:18:54	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa30be1…
05-03 12:18:52	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd400db…
05-03 12:17:38	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xaf0854…
05-02 11:10:06	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$2	0x84a3dd…
04-26 07:28:38	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2544cc…
04-26 07:28:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x1dbcc0…
04-26 05:12:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x67efaf…
04-26 05:12:10	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x61ea19…
04-26 05:11:30	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x074f7f…
04-26 05:11:12	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x1e90dd…
04-26 05:10:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc26d93…
04-26 05:10:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x3dac44…
04-25 09:35:56	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x94d8e8…
04-25 09:35:22	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa08c80…
04-25 09:35:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x87b5f2…
04-25 09:34:42	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xeb8817…
04-25 09:34:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x2e746b…
04-25 09:33:16	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$3	0x003162…
04-20 07:32:36	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x3805ef…
04-20 07:29:54	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xacae50…
04-20 05:10:50	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xf1097b…
04-20 05:08:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x657fe9…
04-19 04:49:34	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xebe145…
04-18 14:07:52	will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xeb6b7d…
04-18 14:07:00	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdf105d…
04-18 10:43:06	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0xb70236…
04-17 07:19:40	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$2	0xd81480…
04-17 05:45:24	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1dcf80…
04-17 05:39:28	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x2c9e07…
04-17 05:38:50	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x387157…
04-17 05:35:02	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa60be1…
04-17 05:35:02	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	155	2¢	$3	0x84a16b…
04-17 05:31:10	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x22784b…
04-17 05:27:42	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	149	2¢	$3	0x58e39d…
04-17 04:35:48	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x294dc2…
04-17 04:27:26	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x2e8e1c…
04-17 04:26:06	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x72c524…
04-17 04:24:00	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xbb9ed3…
04-17 03:29:36	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x3ca783…
04-17 03:27:52	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0061a1…
04-17 03:18:44	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xf96a16…
04-17 03:16:52	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0e7d98…
04-16 13:55:40	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	143	1¢	$1	0x061231…
04-15 19:48:10	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x8c970a…
04-15 19:47:50	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x5648de…
04-15 16:07:44	will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	162	1¢	$2	0x6682bf…
04-15 16:07:10	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd90d55…
04-15 15:17:18	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0xd29e24…
04-15 15:17:04	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	667	0¢	$2	0x524a3a…
04-15 15:16:44	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x9eac11…
04-15 15:16:32	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xfebedf…
04-15 15:16:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	62	2¢	$1	0x26aa4d…
04-15 15:13:52	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	137	1¢	$1	0x194ef3…
04-14 06:10:03	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	95	2¢	$2	0x0afc6a…
04-14 06:09:13	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x7d7ea7…
04-14 06:08:07	will bitcoin reach 82k on april 14	Yes	BUY	210	1¢	$2	0xc995e6…
04-14 06:05:39	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x58aa9c…
04-14 03:51:45	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x1100a7…
04-14 03:51:33	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0x1f0eae…
04-14 03:51:19	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	400	0¢	$2	0x4405a9…
04-14 03:51:03	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	286	1¢	$2	0x963fd3…
04-14 03:50:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0x5533fd…
04-13 18:55:45	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	429	1¢	$3	0xbd87ee…
04-13 18:11:49	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 13	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xc24045…
04-13 18:11:13	will bitcoin reach 76k on april 13	Yes	BUY	79	1¢	$1	0x90f54f…
04-13 18:10:39	will bitcoin reach 78k on april 13	Yes	BUY	357	0¢	$1	0x79d560…
04-13 13:22:41	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	142	0¢	$1	0xc68982…
04-13 10:42:53	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	4	0¢	$0	0xd2e328…
04-13 10:30:13	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2	0¢	$0	0x6ab306…
04-13 09:16:37	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	186	0¢	$1	0xbbe0e1…
04-13 07:18:53	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	666	0¢	$3	0x493d25…
04-13 07:15:01	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 13	Yes	BUY	16	7¢	$1	0xf10141…
04-13 06:17:17	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	300	1¢	$2	0xa5bcf5…
04-13 05:43:53	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	81	0¢	$0	0xfbc30f…
04-13 05:43:27	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	168	0¢	$1	0x92f9e9…
04-13 05:43:27	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	25	0¢	$0	0x65b577…
04-13 05:11:57	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 13	Yes	BUY	9	8¢	$1	0xff13c0…
04-13 05:00:29	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 13	Yes	BUY	5	8¢	$0	0x481093…
04-13 05:00:17	will bitcoin reach 74k on april 13	Yes	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x41f494…
04-10 08:08:37	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x539823…
04-10 07:31:31	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0x8c65cf…
04-10 07:00:37	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xdcaec5…
04-10 05:25:57	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	72	0¢	$0	0x2d1e42…
04-10 05:18:53	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	40	0¢	$0	0xb228dc…
04-10 05:13:51	will bitcoin reach 84k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	188	0¢	$1	0xa6d80a…
04-10 05:13:03	will bitcoin reach 80k april 6 12	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xd6d670…