Front-Tire — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$804

Unrealized P&L

-$6

Hit rate

3.8%

Resolved

180

Trades

695

lifetime

Volume

$1.28K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 07-06 02:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 53 days

Categories

Crypto

66% 9% -$377

Other

13% 0% -$166

Sports

13% 0% -$161

Politics

8% 0% -$99

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-06).

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		+75	$6	2¢	$1	-$5	05-12 05:35
Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes		+28	$1	1¢	$0	-$1	05-12 05:46

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	32	$96	10,724	+10,724	No	-$96	03-04 19:18
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	7	$91	1,454	+1,454	No	-$91	07-03 00:23
bitcoin above 76k on march 5	8	$87	2,443	+2,443	No	-$87	03-05 06:00
Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	10	$70	1,305	+1,305	No	-$70	07-06 02:30
bitcoin above 76k on march 6	37	$44	6,111	+6,111	No	-$44	03-06 06:12
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	32	$43	4,028	+4,028	No	-$43	05-08 04:34
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	4	$26	1,093	+1,093	No	-$26	01-23 04:37
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$25	4,033	+4,033	No	-$25	05-11 05:39
bitcoin above 100k on january 19	5	$25	11,666	+11,666	No	-$25	01-19 02:14
fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	1	$20	60	+60	England	-$20	07-06 01:49
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	16	$18	6,219	+6,219	No	-$18	04-26 07:28
Insurrection Act invoked by January 31?	2	$15	97	+97	No	-$15	01-25 03:06
bitcoin up or down on january 21	3	$15	82	+82	Down	-$15	01-21 11:58
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	6	$15	3,250	+3,250	No	-$15	03-02 17:26
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	9	$14	1,417	+1,417	No	-$14	02-23 03:36
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	25	$14	4,258	+4,258	No	-$14	04-19 04:49
will bitcoin reach 100k january 26 1	4	$12	1,153	+1,153	No	-$12	01-29 19:38
will bitcoin reach 96k january 26 1	4	$12	350	+350	No	-$12	01-29 19:37
bitcoin up or down on january 29	4	$12	213	+213	Down	-$12	01-29 14:37
will bitcoin reach 98k january 26 1	4	$12	521	+521	No	-$12	01-29 19:38
will bitcoin reach 110k in march 2026	2	$12	1,643	+1,643	No	-$12	03-10 03:04
will bitcoin reach 80k march 2 8	3	$11	341	+341	No	-$11	03-03 15:33
will bitcoin reach 100k in january 2026	3	$11	803	+803	No	-$11	01-29 06:17
will bitcoin reach 102k january 26 1	3	$11	1,458	+1,458	No	-$11	01-29 06:16
Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	14	$10	2,817	+2,817	No	-$10	05-12 05:46
bitcoin above 96k on january 28	2	$10	5,477	+5,477	No	-$10	01-27 20:22
bitcoin above 98k on january 19	2	$10	1,737	+1,737	No	-$10	01-19 03:02
will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	7	$10	1,661	+1,661	No	-$10	04-18 14:07
bitcoin above 96k on january 29	2	$10	1,108	+1,108	No	-$10	01-28 03:36
bitcoin above 92k on january 23	1	$10	182	+182	No	-$10	01-23 06:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-06 02:30:53	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x9c4ee9…
07-06 02:28:11	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	580	4¢	$23	0x21b71f…
07-06 02:26:23	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x867aeb…
07-06 01:49:34	fifwc mex eng 2026 07 05 team to advance	Mexico	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xa1b2a2…
07-03 00:23:37	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	550	4¢	$20	0xd64258…
06-28 08:57:19	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x398e56…
06-28 03:30:55	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	175	6¢	$10	0x659ff8…
06-19 03:40:46	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	65	7¢	$5	0x3f7d3c…
06-18 05:09:25	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	55	8¢	$4	0x9a160e…
06-15 11:45:13	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	90	4¢	$4	0xb2cc66…
06-15 07:09:12	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xdd8d7e…
06-06 04:03:12	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	225	10¢	$22	0x3362a5…
06-03 03:43:00	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x2c738f…
06-03 03:40:59	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	46	5¢	$2	0xae2fe0…
05-26 17:24:35	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	32	5¢	$1	0x079c50…
05-26 04:21:47	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	250	5¢	$12	0xa1cdb1…
05-24 12:49:54	Will Mexico reach the 2026 FIFA World Cup final?	Yes	BUY	255	10¢	$25	0xff9e24…
05-24 12:47:28	Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	Yes	BUY	284	9¢	$25	0x02df16…
05-12 05:46:36	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x17878c…
05-12 05:46:03	Republicans win Trifecta with Senate Supermajority in midterms?	Yes	BUY	28	4¢	$1	0x117444…
05-12 05:43:13	Ukraine coup attempt by June 30?	Yes	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x1ae4a7…
05-12 05:35:19	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0x9bc598…
05-12 04:50:34	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0xc19d90…
05-11 07:03:49	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0xb527db…
05-11 07:01:06	Nothing Ever Happens: Obama	Something	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xfc0b7c…
05-11 05:39:54	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xf7f356…
05-11 05:39:02	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xf3f00e…
05-08 04:34:37	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	425	1¢	$3	0x3f69b3…
05-08 03:35:42	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	12	0¢	$0	0x1ea70c…
05-08 03:35:34	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	74	0¢	$0	0xf797f3…
05-07 02:05:44	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xd48666…
05-07 02:03:37	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0xb388e7…
05-06 08:43:42	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	47	0¢	$0	0xd9628a…
05-06 08:43:20	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	13	0¢	$0	0x84a27d…
05-06 08:16:24	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xbc3c3f…
05-06 08:16:04	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0xd71fb2…
05-06 08:15:54	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	10	0¢	$0	0x23b65f…
05-06 08:15:54	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	0¢	$0	0x19d4fc…
05-06 05:49:34	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	0¢	$0	0xfd4ef1…
05-06 05:49:24	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x6496d9…
05-06 05:48:56	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	101	0¢	$1	0x852401…
05-06 04:43:12	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x726f7d…
05-06 04:42:32	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	167	1¢	$1	0xd849cf…
05-06 04:40:56	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	221	2¢	$4	0x238f92…
05-06 04:39:58	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	1,516	0¢	$8	0xe4681c…
05-04 07:13:24	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	2,530	0¢	$3	0xb039b2…
05-04 04:28:28	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0xb21e97…
05-03 20:10:08	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	39	1¢	$0	0xdf4bf4…
05-03 20:09:34	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xeea150…
05-03 14:15:36	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$2	0x9f0783…
05-03 13:29:00	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe47cfc…
05-03 13:28:58	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x390ae4…
05-03 12:57:34	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x8a8c68…
05-03 12:24:14	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0xf37fc8…
05-03 12:18:54	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xa30be1…
05-03 12:18:52	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	2	1¢	$0	0xd400db…
05-03 12:17:38	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xaf0854…
05-03 09:01:14	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0xee3422…
05-03 08:31:48	Will Viktor Orbán be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	10	5¢	$0	0x680ce9…
05-03 03:44:46	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0xd116bc…
05-03 03:43:26	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	75	2¢	$1	0xf6511b…
05-02 11:10:06	Kevin Warsh Fed Chair nomination withdrawn by May 15?	Yes	BUY	400	1¢	$2	0x84a3dd…
05-02 10:59:16	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	600	0¢	$2	0xd25cf5…
05-02 10:57:08	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	155	1¢	$2	0x01961f…
04-26 07:28:38	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	2,000	0¢	$2	0x2544cc…
04-26 07:28:24	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	222	1¢	$2	0x1dbcc0…
04-26 05:12:24	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	53	4¢	$2	0x67efaf…
04-26 05:12:10	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x61ea19…
04-26 05:11:30	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x074f7f…
04-26 05:11:12	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x1e90dd…
04-26 05:10:54	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xc26d93…
04-26 05:10:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	125	1¢	$1	0x3dac44…
04-25 09:35:56	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x94d8e8…
04-25 09:35:22	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0xa08c80…
04-25 09:35:08	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x87b5f2…
04-25 09:34:42	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xeb8817…
04-25 09:34:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	154	1¢	$2	0x2e746b…
04-25 09:33:16	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	124	2¢	$3	0x003162…
04-20 07:32:36	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	66	5¢	$3	0x3805ef…
04-20 07:29:54	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	3¢	$1	0xacae50…
04-20 05:10:50	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xf1097b…
04-20 05:08:00	Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0x657fe9…
04-19 04:49:34	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	333	0¢	$1	0xebe145…
04-18 14:07:52	will bitcoin reach 82k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xeb6b7d…
04-18 14:07:00	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0xdf105d…
04-18 10:43:06	will bitcoin reach 84k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	128	1¢	$1	0xb70236…
04-17 07:19:40	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	140	2¢	$2	0xd81480…
04-17 05:45:24	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x1dcf80…
04-17 05:39:28	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	63	2¢	$1	0x2c9e07…
04-17 05:38:50	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	7	2¢	$0	0x387157…
04-17 05:35:02	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0xa60be1…
04-17 05:35:02	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	155	2¢	$3	0x84a16b…
04-17 05:31:10	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	14	2¢	$0	0x22784b…
04-17 05:27:42	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	149	2¢	$3	0x58e39d…
04-17 04:35:48	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	52	2¢	$1	0x294dc2…
04-17 04:27:26	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x2e8e1c…
04-17 04:26:06	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x72c524…
04-17 04:24:00	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	111	2¢	$2	0xbb9ed3…
04-17 03:29:36	bitcoin above 72k on april 17	No	BUY	53	2¢	$1	0x3ca783…
04-17 03:27:52	Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$1	0x0061a1…