Popular-Trousers — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$953

Unrealized P&L

-$0

Hit rate

91.7%

Resolved

2,198

Trades

5,111

lifetime

Volume

$381.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$75

Open exposure

$100

1 position

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-22 01:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 123 days

Categories

Other

64% 88% +$961

Sports

17% 88% +$38

Politics

17% 67% -$62

Pop-Culture

1% 100% +$23

Tech

1% 100% +$4

Crypto

0% 47% -$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 104 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will 6 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?	No		-100	-$99	100¢	$-100	$0	05-07 00:43

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	65	$21.1K	10,812	10,812	+0	No	+$8	02-10 00:27
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	28	$9.3K	4,791	4,791	+0	Yes	+$2	01-27 03:30
us strikes iran by february 8 2026	22	$9.0K	4,561	4,561	+0	No	+$2	02-08 08:26
us strikes iran by february 26 2026 368	14	$7.6K	3,832	3,832	+0	No	-$1	02-26 15:10
will the new england patriots win super bowl 2026	13	$4.3K	2,922	2,922	+0	No	+$0	01-20 14:55
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	25	$4.2K	2,142	2,142	+0	No	+$1	03-02 09:46
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	35	$4.0K	0	7,807	-7,807	No	-$58	01-24 00:50
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	64	$3.4K	0	6,758	-6,758	No	+$2	01-24 14:49
us strikes iran by january 26 2026 337 214 511	34	$3.1K	0	5,743	-5,743	No	-$5	01-26 08:57
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	33	$3.0K	3,600	3,000	+600	No	+$96	09-04 02:57
us x iran ceasefire by march 2	16	$2.4K	1,243	1,149	+94	No	+$0	03-02 10:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	7	$2.3K	1,386	1,004	+382	No	+$10	03-31 12:30
Will USA win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	2	$2.1K	1,100	1,100	+0	No	+$7	07-02 01:32
us strikes iran by february 12 2026 525	11	$2.0K	1,031	1,031	+0	No	+$0	02-11 13:09
nba det cha 2026 04 10	13	$2.0K	0	4,006	-4,006	Pistons	+$29	04-10 23:44
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	2	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	No	+$1	08-31 06:02
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	3	$2.0K	1,000	1,000	+0	Yes	+$4	06-12 15:28
fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	5	$2.0K	1,008	1,008	+0	No	+$2	01-20 11:14
another us government shutdown by february 14	44	$2.0K	304	3,787	-3,483	No	+$31	02-07 01:18
will the los angeles rams win super bowl 2026	3	$1.9K	1,281	1,281	+0	No	+$0	01-21 12:58
us strikes iran by february 4 2026	6	$1.9K	938	937	+0	No	+$0	02-04 12:00
us strikes iran by february 7 2026	4	$1.8K	893	893	+0	No	+$1	02-07 10:35
us strikes iran by february 6 2026 242 933 289 312 673 611 155 294	10	$1.6K	821	821	+0	No	+$1	02-05 13:40
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	10	$1.5K	0	2,850	-2,850	No	-$11	05-06 13:58
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	5	$1.5K	200	2,600	-2,400	No	-$1	06-21 10:53
cbb utsa ntx 2026 01 21 total 138pt5	5	$1.4K	728	728	+0	Over	+$25	01-22 03:17
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	25	$1.4K	0	2,906	-2,906	Yes	+$47	01-27 00:58
cbb flam south 2026 02 26	2	$1.4K	682	682	+0	Florida A&M Rattlers	+$0	02-27 04:13
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	7	$1.3K	1,200	1,200	+0	Yes	-$114	09-04 05:04
Atlanta Braves vs. Cincinnati Reds	5	$1.2K	600	600	+0	Atlanta Braves	+$5	05-30 01:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-22 01:30:12	Spread: Bucks (-4.5)	Wizards	BUY	100	98¢	$98	0x0c269c…
10-22 01:22:14	Spread: Bucks (-7.5)	Wizards	BUY	45	99¢	$45	0x7068d7…
10-22 01:19:32	Bucks vs. Wizards: O/U 224.5	Over	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xa5ffcc…
10-21 01:57:00	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 246.5	Under	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x16f66d…
10-21 01:52:38	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 243.5	Under	SELL	200	100¢	$200	0x857bf5…
10-21 01:51:09	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 246.5	Under	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xed672e…
10-21 01:27:17	nba phi nyk 2026 10 20 total 243pt5	Under	BUY	200	99¢	$198	0x07b840…
10-21 01:27:06	76ers vs. Knicks: O/U 246.5	Under	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0x96ba26…
10-18 12:33:24	Beijing Guoan FC vs. Qingdao Xihaian FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x32b3b6…
10-18 02:50:54	El Paso Locomotive FC vs. Sacramento Republic FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	28¢	$6	0xf20e19…
10-17 15:08:17	1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x34f48b…
10-17 15:05:29	1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	18¢	$4	0xd1704b…
10-17 15:04:54	1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	55¢	$6	0x55ad93…
10-17 15:02:29	1. FC Union Berlin vs. BV Borussia 09 Dortmund: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	62¢	$6	0xb9a49c…
10-17 14:41:15	Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xcc5b53…
10-17 14:34:41	Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0x012ac6…
10-17 14:33:45	Gençlerbirliği SK vs. Galatasaray SK: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	65¢	$6	0xfa3a76…
10-11 14:33:00	OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xfa489c…
10-11 14:33:00	OGC Nice vs. RC Strasbourg Alsace: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x3ea35e…
10-11 14:32:27	Gaziantep FK vs. Çorum FK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	56¢	$0	0xac1cb2…
10-11 14:32:25	Gaziantep FK vs. Çorum FK: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	56¢	$11	0x1291dd…
10-11 14:13:13	PEC Zwolle vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0x4ede47…
10-11 14:11:28	Telstar 1963 vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	41¢	$4	0xf55369…
10-11 14:07:24	PEC Zwolle vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9bcf3c…
10-11 14:07:16	PEC Zwolle vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	53¢	$4	0x906677…
10-11 14:05:51	Telstar 1963 vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x1b9666…
10-11 13:56:39	Telstar 1963 vs. ADO Den Haag: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	10	67¢	$7	0x4c8060…
10-11 13:54:45	PEC Zwolle vs. SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	10	69¢	$7	0x84f9b0…
10-11 13:30:07	Elche CF vs. RC Celta de Vigo: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x894cec…
10-11 13:22:01	Liaoning Tieren FC vs. Wuhan San Zhen FC: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0x99f0bc…
10-11 13:18:39	Will Standard Liege vs. Royal Charleroi SC end in a draw?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0xc2103f…
10-11 13:15:25	FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	Over	SELL	9	77¢	$7	0xb8be2a…
10-11 13:13:45	Hertha BSC vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	38¢	$8	0xb8bac4…
10-11 13:05:39	FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	0	58¢	$0	0x80790f…
10-11 13:05:37	FC St. Pauli 1910 vs. Karlsruher SC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0x58abd6…
10-11 13:04:51	Hertha BSC vs. SpVgg Greuther Fürth: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	58¢	$12	0xe4fe30…
10-11 12:59:04	VfL Bochum vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x85e229…
10-11 12:59:01	VfL Bochum vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x69cdd2…
10-11 12:57:52	VfL Bochum vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x57adb5…
10-11 12:37:03	VfL Bochum vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	18	42¢	$8	0x7f144c…
10-11 12:37:00	VfL Bochum vs. DSC Arminia Bielefeld: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x84f31e…
10-11 12:36:42	Motherwell FC vs. Celtic FC: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0x881664…
10-11 12:36:34	Will Standard Liege vs. Royal Charleroi SC end in a draw?	No	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0xa5fdae…
10-11 12:35:45	Will Standard Liege vs. Royal Charleroi SC end in a draw?	No	BUY	15	60¢	$9	0xe4deb1…
10-11 12:35:25	Standard Liege vs. Royal Charleroi SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	0	41¢	$0	0xbc9658…
10-11 12:35:22	Standard Liege vs. Royal Charleroi SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	18	41¢	$7	0xa439fd…
10-11 12:35:22	Standard Liege vs. Royal Charleroi SC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x95e65e…
10-11 12:26:39	Southampton FC vs. Portsmouth FC: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x4e8618…
10-11 12:14:40	Como 1907 vs. AS Roma: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	20	45¢	$9	0x76143c…
09-05 11:13:43	Avispa Fukuoka vs. FC Mito Holly Hock: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0x9dc8cd…
09-04 05:04:28	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	600	41¢	$246	0x61d2f7…
09-04 02:57:06	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	56¢	$168	0xbaa47d…
09-04 02:56:49	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	56¢	$168	0xab61d1…
09-04 02:55:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	57¢	$171	0x1ba988…
09-04 02:34:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	57¢	$171	0x9f93b5…
09-03 11:09:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0x8c764f…
09-03 10:01:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	300	50¢	$150	0xae6e93…
09-03 06:07:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	92	48¢	$44	0x438b15…
09-03 06:06:51	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	208	48¢	$100	0x622f8c…
09-03 04:23:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	47¢	$1	0xcc7d54…
09-03 04:21:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	297	47¢	$140	0x016d32…
09-03 03:08:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	46	46¢	$21	0x11da4c…
09-03 03:08:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	63	46¢	$29	0x308519…
09-03 03:08:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	41	46¢	$19	0xe72398…
09-03 03:08:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	149	46¢	$69	0x100bdb…
09-03 02:06:54	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	45¢	$135	0x96efc4…
09-02 12:22:03	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	41¢	$123	0x7ba497…
09-02 11:32:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0xf8ed19…
09-02 11:06:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	40¢	$120	0x96724d…
09-02 10:57:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x18ec6c…
09-02 09:09:00	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	68	40¢	$27	0xbe3ce3…
09-02 09:05:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	40¢	$1	0xb7b14f…
09-02 08:58:15	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	230	40¢	$92	0xdb647f…
09-02 08:43:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0xf5aca5…
09-02 08:30:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	40¢	$120	0x46f6f5…
09-02 08:01:36	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0xafc5d3…
09-02 07:44:10	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x99f74b…
09-02 07:40:12	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	39¢	$117	0x8299b2…
09-02 07:23:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0xbdc8b1…
09-02 06:56:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	38¢	$114	0x8918a1…
09-02 06:38:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	60¢	$180	0xf76cab…
09-02 06:14:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x2b9bdf…
09-02 06:03:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	60¢	$180	0x05f353…
09-02 05:46:07	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	300	38¢	$114	0x50da13…
09-02 05:45:03	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	60¢	$180	0x81ef9d…
09-02 05:00:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	279	40¢	$112	0xb2d62a…
09-02 05:00:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x4541c0…
09-02 05:00:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x0438c9…
09-02 04:59:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xa9a935…
09-02 01:18:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	14	40¢	$5	0x4ee11d…
08-31 06:02:49	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	1,000	99¢	$992	0x338211…
08-31 03:51:55	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1,000	99¢	$991	0xb37f95…
08-09 05:01:25	lec tol laf 2026 08 08 total 0pt5	Over	BUY	10	37¢	$4	0x93cb63…
08-09 03:52:39	lec tol laf 2026 08 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0x26d750…
08-09 03:52:37	lec tol laf 2026 08 08 total 1pt5	Over	BUY	14	60¢	$8	0x66933d…
08-09 03:44:21	uslc mon new 2026 08 08 total 5pt5	Over	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0x244ded…
08-09 03:27:33	lec rsl atla 2026 08 08 total 4pt5	Over	SELL	10	35¢	$4	0x29cb98…
08-09 03:26:51	lec tol laf 2026 08 08 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	20	55¢	$11	0xd1802b…
08-09 03:25:34	lec tol laf 2026 08 08 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	15	36¢	$5	0x355259…
08-09 03:25:19	lec tol laf 2026 08 08 total 3pt5	Over	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xa5be3d…