Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.2%

Resolved

125

Trades

129

lifetime

Volume

$129

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-08-24

last 11-02 03:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 47 days

Categories

Other

88% 48% -$1

Politics

11% 69% +$5

Tech

1% 100% +$2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

53 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	2	$2	3	+3	Yes	$0	10-18 00:14
us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	2	$2	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-08 06:21
Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	2	$2	5	+5	No	-$1	10-07 16:24
will pltr reach 192 by october 5 2026 from october 5	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	-$1	10-05 17:51
will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-01 03:27
will nvda dip to 212 by august 31 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	08-31 00:15
SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-07 04:49
trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	09-19 04:58
will meta dip to 570 by august 31 2026 from september 1	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-02 06:10
Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-21 14:45
Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 28 2026?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-28 19:39
Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	10-06 20:47
Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	1	$1	1	+1	No	+$0	09-24 03:08
will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt25 in september	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-27 18:37
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-17 23:30
will mu dip to 930 by october 12 2026 from october 13	1	$1	2	+2	Yes	-$1	10-14 01:34
will nvda reach 224 by september 14 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	09-13 21:36
spx up or down on october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	Down	+$1	10-16 01:08
Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-18 00:07
will ewy reach 187 by september 7 2026	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	+$2	09-10 21:57
spy up or down on october 1 2026	1	$1	1	+1	Up	+$0	10-01 11:36
saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	1	$1	5	+5	No	-$1	09-25 17:26
Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 14 2026?	1	$1	4	+4	Yes	+$3	09-14 05:38
next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	10-14 17:59
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	1	$1	3	+3	Down	+$2	09-18 15:16
Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	1	$1	2	+2	No	-$1	09-08 01:00
Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	10-25 06:01
Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	1	$1	2	+2	No	+$1	11-01 19:36
Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	1	$1	1	+1	Yes	+$0	09-09 17:38
US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	1	$1	3	+3	Yes	-$1	09-10 13:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-02 03:44:01	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on November 2?	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x04f2ae…
11-01 19:36:15	Will Flutter Entertainment (FLUT) beat quarterly earnings?	No	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x673461…
10-25 14:48:38	Will EU emergency diesel stocks be at least 35M tonnes at end of October 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x44b62e…
10-25 06:01:36	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 29?	Yes	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xace5ac…
10-24 00:20:27	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 29, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd428ba…
10-19 12:05:30	Will Tesla, Inc. (TSLA) hit (HIGH) $382.50 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0x07eeab…
10-19 04:05:18	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (HIGH) $540 Week of October 19 2026?	No	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x324b90…
10-18 20:04:36	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 24, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x563d9a…
10-18 12:00:32	Will United Airlines (UAL) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xb5622f…
10-18 00:14:06	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xbe7acf…
10-18 00:07:11	Will Ally (ALLY) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x59e89f…
10-17 23:30:38	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 21, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x0e5674…
10-17 23:14:26	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 21?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x57c766…
10-17 14:12:12	Saudi Arabia military action against Yemen on October 18?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x383e3a…
10-16 09:22:15	will hood dip to 100 by october 12 2026 from october 15	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x953d1e…
10-16 01:08:37	spx up or down on october 16 2026	Down	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x2ab052…
10-15 10:47:51	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 15?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x95fd8b…
10-15 02:00:04	will the tesla roadster fly for 1s	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x13d472…
10-14 17:59:46	next fable model 5pt2 released by october 16 2026	Yes	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xdec8f9…
10-14 09:50:22	will tsla reach 382 50 by october 12 2026	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x19409f…
10-14 01:34:46	will mu dip to 930 by october 12 2026 from october 13	No	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xab4fea…
10-13 15:26:31	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $115 Week of October 12 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x77ce54…
10-13 07:03:53	spy up or down on october 13 2026	Down	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xd1c8db…
10-12 23:00:32	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $525 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe9141e…
10-12 14:59:57	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x201d2d…
10-12 06:48:04	Gemini Argon released by October 16, 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xdfef70…
10-11 22:47:56	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (HIGH) $63 Week of October 12 2026?	No	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa46ae4…
10-11 14:27:46	Will Riyadh airport be closed by October 15?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xd608bc…
10-11 02:56:12	Will Goldman Sachs (GS) beat quarterly earnings?	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xeb67ec…
10-09 11:28:31	Gemini 4.0 released by October 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xd32f05…
10-09 03:23:48	S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on October 9?	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x5b0e66…
10-08 19:21:47	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x692d61…
10-08 08:29:37	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $1,050 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xf57c23…
10-08 00:29:11	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $775 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xf7f5b8…
10-07 16:24:25	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x8a8a9f…
10-07 16:24:05	Will Coinbase Global, Inc. (COIN) hit (HIGH) $190 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0xa69853…
10-07 04:49:24	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 7?	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x341b60…
10-06 20:47:42	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $154 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x246b72…
10-06 12:47:21	Will Natural Gas (NG) hit (HIGH) $3.30 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x9ea081…
10-06 04:42:21	Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by October 12, 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x31a46c…
10-06 04:39:27	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on October 6?	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x96472c…
10-06 02:06:10	Will Microsoft Corporation (MSFT) hit (LOW) $517.50 Week of October 5 2026?	No	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x5cff4d…
10-05 17:51:16	will pltr reach 192 by october 5 2026 from october 5	No	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x991d18…
10-05 09:45:29	Will Airbnb, Inc. (ABNB) hit (LOW) $156 Week of October 5 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x89432c…
10-05 00:36:50	will coin dip to 177 50 by october 5 2026	No	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x787c3e…
10-02 16:03:23	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $770 on October 2?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x0b8fed…
10-02 07:39:12	will wti dip to 90 by september 28 2026 from october 1	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x829616…
10-01 23:22:50	will xagusd dip to 60 by september 28 2026 from october 1	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x841fce…
10-01 11:36:06	spy up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xad2777…
10-01 03:27:59	will rklb reach 74 by september 28 2026 from september 30	No	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xb3ad2d…
09-30 18:49:56	Will OpenAI resume US ChatGPT Pro signups by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x64a1e8…
09-30 10:07:36	will spy dip to 755 by september 28 2026	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xde29cb…
09-29 23:58:42	will xagusd reach 63 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x7428f9…
09-29 03:39:21	will openais valuation hit high 975b by september 30 20260829011000014	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xe6cea8…
09-28 19:39:12	Will Netflix, Inc. (NFLX) hit (HIGH) $70 Week of September 28 2026?	No	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x7655ae…
09-28 10:49:36	will meta reach 780 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x6089b3…
09-28 02:37:23	will aapl reach 344 by september 28 2026	No	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xbe6cc2…
09-27 18:37:05	will the 10 year treasury yield hit 5pt25 in september	Yes	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xbce7f0…
09-27 08:19:54	will the 5 year treasury yield hit 5pt10 in september	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xb5ed0e…
09-26 07:53:27	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in September?	No	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x1cefa4…
09-25 17:26:56	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 30	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x194d6b…
09-25 08:53:39	spy up or down on september 25 2026	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x6d4c5c…
09-24 23:13:21	Trump renames AI by September 30?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x569d14…
09-24 11:09:38	Will Trump say "Mineral" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x8a6099…
09-24 03:08:50	Will Trump say "Garden" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x01e296…
09-23 18:26:59	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during his remarks at Xi Jinping's State Arrival?	No	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x03c8bf…
09-23 10:02:40	Will South Korea ETF (EWY) hit (HIGH) $194 Week of September 21 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0xe0d1af…
09-23 00:30:16	will xagusd dip to 65 by september 21 2026 from september 22	Yes	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x290e4b…
09-22 14:51:51	SPY (SPY) Up or Down on September 22?	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x0cb65f…
09-22 06:46:36	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $112.50 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xf57e98…
09-21 22:45:52	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,250 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x6b8b6d…
09-21 14:45:38	Will S&P 500 (SPY) hit (LOW) $755 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x4bb755…
09-21 06:44:36	Will Amazon.com, Inc. (AMZN) hit (HIGH) $260 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0x858dd0…
09-20 21:39:25	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $228 Week of September 21 2026?	No	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7362fd…
09-19 04:58:49	trump x greenland deal signed by september 23	No	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xecb6ec…
09-18 15:16:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on September 18?	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x2d66e4…
09-17 22:12:48	saudi oil pipeline east west restarts by september 22	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xcaed5e…
09-16 22:57:30	will ewy dip to 173 by september 14 2026	Yes	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xb0c0c7…
09-16 13:31:55	will spy reach 770 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x7aa638…
09-16 05:29:48	spx up or down on september 16 2026	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x65dd75…
09-16 05:18:55	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (LOW) $60 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0xc77da0…
09-15 20:50:01	will warsh say anchor during september press conference 20260909	No	BUY	1	68¢	$1	0xe0fb8c…
09-15 18:37:58	will warsh say pandemic during september press conference 20260909	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xf4e79f…
09-15 09:45:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 Week of September 14 2026?	No	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xdb512a…
09-14 22:20:15	will wti dip to 100 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xcc82f9…
09-14 13:53:51	will hood reach 117 50 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0xf53ca1…
09-14 05:38:00	Will Rocket Lab USA, Inc. (RKLB) hit (HIGH) $68 Week of September 14 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xc4a09d…
09-13 21:36:45	will nvda reach 224 by september 14 2026	No	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xeab039…
09-13 06:58:22	Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by September 14?	No	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0x4bbe41…
09-11 15:16:31	Will Micron Technology, Inc. (MU) hit (LOW) $960 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x2fbbe2…
09-11 06:13:13	spx up or down on september 11 2026	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x9e2100…
09-10 21:57:37	will ewy reach 187 by september 7 2026	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x60073d…
09-10 13:21:52	US x Iran Effective Ceasefire by September 11?	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xe21c81…
09-10 04:44:39	spy up or down on september 10 2026	Down	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x074aca…
09-09 17:38:33	Will Trump say "MAGA" or "Make America Great Again" during RNC Convention?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x637a8e…
09-09 09:37:06	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $94 on September 9?	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe05408…
09-09 00:32:42	Will Macy's say "Automation" during earnings call?	Yes	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0xac97f2…
09-08 14:35:49	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (LOW) $115 Week of September 7 2026?	No	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x565d8f…
09-08 06:21:10	us x iran effective ceasefire by september 4	Yes	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x3f3a54…
09-08 01:00:16	Will Robinhood Markets, Inc. (HOOD) hit (HIGH) $130 Week of September 7 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x01fa73…