Disguised-Soprano — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3.75K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

54.4%

Resolved

2,082

Trades

2,621

lifetime

Volume

$53.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$21

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 10-27 23:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 128 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 47% -$3,752

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

72 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:35 UTC	1	$438	492	+492	Down	-$438	07-19 02:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:15 UTC	1	$407	474	+474	Up	+$67	07-18 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$300	500	+500	Up	-$300	09-01 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:50 UTC	1	$300	640	+640	Down	-$300	08-31 21:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:20 UTC	2	$300	2,224	+2,224	Up	-$300	09-01 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$300	1,379	+1,379	Up	-$300	09-01 07:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:05 UTC	1	$300	614	+614	Down	+$314	09-01 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$300	821	+821	Down	-$300	09-01 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:15 UTC	1	$300	412	+412	Down	+$112	08-31 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$300	495	+495	Up	-$300	09-01 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 06:10 UTC	1	$300	546	+546	Up	+$246	09-01 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$300	429	+429	Up	+$129	09-01 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:05 UTC	1	$300	1,378	+1,378	Up	-$300	09-01 05:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:55 UTC	1	$291	433	+433	Down	-$291	07-28 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	5	$289	425	+425	Up	-$289	09-23 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$260	563	+563	Down	+$304	09-23 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:15 UTC	1	$250	342	+342	Up	-$250	07-27 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$250	397	+397	Down	-$250	10-08 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:40 UTC	1	$250	316	+316	Up	+$67	07-26 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$250	490	+490	Down	-$250	10-07 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$250	277	+277	Up	+$27	10-07 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$250	260	+260	Down	+$10	10-07 10:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 03:15 UTC	1	$250	373	+373	Up	+$123	07-27 03:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 21:10 UTC	1	$250	358	+358	Up	+$108	07-26 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$250	312	+312	Up	-$250	10-07 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 06:45 UTC	1	$250	324	+324	Down	+$75	07-27 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$249	423	+423	Down	+$173	10-06 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$249	324	+324	Up	+$75	10-07 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$249	268	+268	Down	-$249	10-08 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$249	280	+280	Down	+$31	10-08 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 23:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	60	39¢	$23	0x9676bf…
10-27 19:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xde5354…
10-27 14:42:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa00b12…
10-27 07:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0x625b5b…
10-27 04:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 27, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x76d97e…
10-27 01:58:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x3f841f…
10-27 00:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x781684…
10-26 22:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x6654a0…
10-26 22:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x869222…
10-26 15:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 26, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x9c0843…
10-23 12:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xfb7d33…
10-23 09:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x06116c…
10-23 08:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x673e85…
10-22 21:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Down	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xd0bbf8…
10-22 17:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x2bd016…
10-22 06:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 22, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xafd02e…
10-21 23:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x2ea293…
10-21 23:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0xa02e24…
10-21 19:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa05f88…
10-21 16:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 21, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xb49b25…
10-20 14:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x613856…
10-20 12:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x42ad26…
10-20 10:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	88¢	$6	0xb0250c…
10-20 10:13:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	78¢	$4	0x74c571…
10-20 04:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 20, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0xd499d3…
10-19 23:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xeec555…
10-19 23:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Up	BUY	13	78¢	$10	0x4071ab…
10-19 18:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x6520f1…
10-19 18:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0x7e89d9…
10-19 16:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Down	BUY	13	72¢	$9	0xca6444…
10-19 15:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 19, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Down	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0x29401d…
10-19 03:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	65	46¢	$30	0xd16e71…
10-18 06:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-18 06:20 UTC	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0xe4aab2…
10-18 05:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	78¢	$20	0xe25361…
10-18 05:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	20	68¢	$14	0xe6d78d…
10-18 05:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0xe389a4…
10-18 05:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 18, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	4	69¢	$3	0x12d718…
10-18 00:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 17, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Down	BUY	21	91¢	$19	0xb9c7c8…
10-17 20:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 20:40 UTC	Up	BUY	27	74¢	$20	0xfa43ce…
10-17 18:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 18:55 UTC	Down	BUY	27	75¢	$20	0x1c316a…
10-17 15:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:40 UTC	Up	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0x5017fb…
10-17 15:08:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 15:05 UTC	Up	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x948336…
10-17 13:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 13:40 UTC	Down	BUY	28	69¢	$19	0xa00899…
10-17 12:33:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 12:30 UTC	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xe03d7c…
10-17 10:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 10:05 UTC	Down	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0xc98b67…
10-17 09:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x84eef6…
10-17 07:53:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 07:50 UTC	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x7bf308…
10-17 05:18:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 05:15 UTC	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x0e101c…
10-17 01:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-17 01:45 UTC	Up	BUY	34	59¢	$20	0xd155bb…
10-16 21:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 21:05 UTC	Up	BUY	22	89¢	$20	0xc3fcc8…
10-16 15:43:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:40 UTC	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xe19ced…
10-16 15:38:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 15:35 UTC	Down	BUY	36	56¢	$20	0xbcfcea…
10-16 14:23:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	76¢	$19	0x630fec…
10-16 14:03:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x6e7b53…
10-16 13:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 13:05 UTC	Down	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x0c1728…
10-16 11:48:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-16 11:45 UTC	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xce6688…
10-16 08:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Down	BUY	22	87¢	$19	0x7ecbfb…
10-16 07:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	29	69¢	$20	0x386a3f…
10-16 07:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	29	68¢	$20	0x0e384e…
10-16 06:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	20	97¢	$19	0xd4da2e…
10-16 02:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0xd24c7b…
10-16 02:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	27	73¢	$20	0x1a80dc…
10-16 00:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	24	83¢	$20	0x0c988a…
10-16 00:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Down	BUY	28	72¢	$20	0xb3e5df…
10-15 19:28:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	21	94¢	$20	0x5b6311…
10-15 18:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	26	75¢	$19	0x40c99f…
10-15 11:38:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 15, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Up	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xa160dd…
10-15 09:08:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	26	78¢	$20	0xd49805…
10-15 08:23:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 08:20 UTC	Up	BUY	25	79¢	$20	0x3aa299…
10-15 07:03:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 07:00 UTC	Up	BUY	32	61¢	$20	0xd9d63c…
10-15 02:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xc81577…
10-15 02:28:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 02:25 UTC	Down	BUY	8	58¢	$5	0x04e2e6…
10-15 00:58:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-15 00:55 UTC	Down	BUY	16	62¢	$10	0xa82bdd…
10-14 15:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 15:10 UTC	Up	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x59d7d5…
10-14 14:03:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 14:00 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0xde7989…
10-14 11:38:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:35 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x9ca368…
10-14 11:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 11:15 UTC	Down	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0x85042a…
10-14 10:28:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 10:25 UTC	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0xb77d62…
10-14 07:33:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:30 UTC	Down	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0xba4c5a…
10-14 07:23:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 07:20 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x932b63…
10-14 05:23:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 05:20 UTC	Up	BUY	18	53¢	$10	0x63cd90…
10-14 04:08:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 04:05 UTC	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x5a763a…
10-14 02:23:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:20 UTC	Up	BUY	13	75¢	$10	0xc003b5…
10-14 02:08:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 02:05 UTC	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x4ea4c3…
10-14 00:08:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-14 00:05 UTC	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0xcfaad0…
10-13 22:13:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 22:10 UTC	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x192942…
10-13 18:18:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 18:15 UTC	Down	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xa6fed2…
10-13 17:28:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 17:25 UTC	Up	BUY	15	67¢	$10	0x0987d9…
10-13 15:58:03	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 15:55 UTC	Up	BUY	13	73¢	$9	0x771720…
10-13 14:58:02	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 14:55 UTC	Down	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xd152a9…
10-13 12:13:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 12:10 UTC	Down	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x89605c…
10-13 11:33:05	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 11:30 UTC	Up	BUY	14	74¢	$10	0x341757…
10-13 09:43:04	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-13 09:40 UTC	Up	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x244fe3…
10-12 23:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Down	BUY	20	48¢	$10	0xbf52f5…
10-12 22:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	18	52¢	$10	0x57d3e6…
10-12 20:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x009445…
10-12 19:33:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xeb3da6…
10-12 17:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x0f06e6…
10-12 13:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	15	66¢	$10	0xdd6f15…
10-12 07:38:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 12, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x97bd24…