Disguised-Soprano — Polymarket

Realized P&L (7d)

-$268

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.6%

Resolved (7d)

Trades (7d)

105

2,782 lifetime

Volume (7d)

$1.35K

$55.9K lifetime

Avg / trade

$20

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-03

last 11-09 20:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 141 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 46% -$4,077

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

75 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-19 02:35 UTC	1	$438	492	+492	Down	-$438	07-19 02:37
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-18 23:15 UTC	1	$407	474	+474	Up	+$67	07-18 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	1	$300	500	+500	Up	-$300	09-01 11:27
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:50 UTC	1	$300	640	+640	Down	-$300	08-31 21:52
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 02:20 UTC	2	$300	2,224	+2,224	Up	-$300	09-01 02:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	1	$300	1,379	+1,379	Up	-$300	09-01 07:32
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 03:05 UTC	1	$300	614	+614	Down	+$314	09-01 03:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	1	$300	821	+821	Down	-$300	09-01 12:12
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-08-31 21:15 UTC	1	$300	412	+412	Down	+$112	08-31 21:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	1	$300	495	+495	Up	-$300	09-01 07:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 06:10 UTC	1	$300	546	+546	Up	+$246	09-01 06:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 1, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	1	$300	429	+429	Up	+$129	09-01 09:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-01 05:05 UTC	1	$300	1,378	+1,378	Up	-$300	09-01 05:07
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-28 02:55 UTC	1	$291	433	+433	Down	-$291	07-28 02:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	5	$289	425	+425	Up	-$289	09-23 06:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - September 23, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	4	$260	563	+563	Down	+$304	09-23 07:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 23:15 UTC	1	$250	342	+342	Up	-$250	07-27 23:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 8, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	1	$250	397	+397	Down	-$250	10-08 04:18
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 16:40 UTC	1	$250	316	+316	Up	+$67	07-26 16:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	1	$250	490	+490	Down	-$250	10-07 14:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	1	$250	277	+277	Up	+$27	10-07 09:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	1	$250	260	+260	Down	+$10	10-07 10:43
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 03:15 UTC	1	$250	373	+373	Up	+$123	07-27 03:17
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-26 21:10 UTC	1	$250	358	+358	Up	+$108	07-26 21:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$250	312	+312	Up	-$250	10-07 19:33
BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-07-27 06:45 UTC	1	$250	324	+324	Down	+$75	07-27 06:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$249	423	+423	Down	+$173	10-06 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$249	324	+324	Up	+$75	10-07 19:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$249	268	+268	Down	-$249	10-08 01:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - October 7, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	1	$249	280	+280	Down	+$31	10-08 00:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-09 20:08:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 3:05PM-3:10PM ET	Up	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x9dbfef…
11-09 18:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0xa1e84f…
11-09 14:53:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x9f98e9…
11-09 11:43:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x515ff8…
11-09 05:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 9, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Down	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x6f9693…
11-09 04:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	56	36¢	$20	0x3a4679…
11-08 22:17:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x45e055…
11-08 18:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0x53a16e…
11-08 15:18:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	41	48¢	$20	0x8a4ea8…
11-08 14:02:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x73219a…
11-08 11:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xd89f22…
11-08 08:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x34fe39…
11-08 07:57:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x6435eb…
11-08 07:27:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x85b2ca…
11-08 07:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	22	18¢	$4	0x733088…
11-08 06:27:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 8, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	BUY	12	77¢	$9	0xb9a7bc…
11-08 04:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x19ad1d…
11-08 04:07:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xd340ca…
11-08 04:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x92f97f…
11-08 02:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:30PM-9:35PM ET	Up	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x714a62…
11-08 02:17:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa37aac…
11-08 01:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	BUY	10	87¢	$9	0x9f5af7…
11-08 01:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xe10e4a…
11-08 00:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xd99b74…
11-07 22:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x6e56c0…
11-07 21:42:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xf47cb6…
11-07 21:38:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x11f93a…
11-07 18:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xe14776…
11-07 18:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	26	42¢	$11	0x9cb7ec…
11-07 18:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	43¢	$4	0x14747a…
11-07 16:52:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 11:50AM-11:55AM ET	Up	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3b4f57…
11-07 15:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x73a5b2…
11-07 15:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	21	13¢	$3	0x7ea10d…
11-07 15:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	72	10¢	$7	0x7d846a…
11-07 14:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	7	48¢	$3	0x8da7c0…
11-07 14:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	22	47¢	$10	0x2b39ff…
11-07 14:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0x013701…
11-07 13:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xe08709…
11-07 11:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xeda0cb…
11-07 11:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x0a6b6e…
11-07 09:47:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x759163…
11-07 08:13:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	40	47¢	$19	0x5c5d5e…
11-07 06:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x9901dc…
11-07 06:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 7, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	BUY	17	57¢	$10	0x8a1aaf…
11-07 02:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x3aa58f…
11-07 01:57:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x88a9cf…
11-06 22:42:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	59¢	$9	0x7ec22a…
11-06 22:32:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	24	40¢	$10	0x08596e…
11-06 22:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x87217f…
11-06 21:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x1853a6…
11-06 21:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x3189b5…
11-06 20:58:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xdd9440…
11-06 17:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	54	37¢	$20	0xca965f…
11-06 14:13:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	55	36¢	$20	0xd271d9…
11-06 11:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xb3b4e6…
11-06 06:47:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 6, 1:45AM-1:50AM ET	Down	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x2cc8ee…
11-06 03:23:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Up	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x858e51…
11-06 03:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xb53186…
11-06 00:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	45	44¢	$20	0x437880…
11-06 00:02:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x7e4d0e…
11-05 21:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Down	BUY	60	33¢	$20	0xdbf60f…
11-05 20:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	39¢	$10	0xb8c903…
11-05 14:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	49	40¢	$20	0xd56680…
11-05 13:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xcdc76e…
11-05 12:07:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0xda11c6…
11-05 11:42:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x2946c8…
11-05 08:07:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 3:05AM-3:10AM ET	Down	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xebe51a…
11-05 06:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 5, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0xdf0ae7…
11-04 20:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	47	42¢	$20	0x7c4d9b…
11-04 20:37:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x5136b9…
11-04 20:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf92cce…
11-04 19:42:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x6e5c1c…
11-04 19:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	65	31¢	$20	0x90e690…
11-04 17:28:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xde251e…
11-04 17:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	22	44¢	$10	0xf72ece…
11-04 14:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xf420db…
11-04 14:07:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	Down	BUY	142	7¢	$10	0x8c5603…
11-04 13:23:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	48	41¢	$20	0x75ef3a…
11-04 12:37:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 7:35AM-7:40AM ET	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x1c4d6a…
11-04 10:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Down	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x01335f…
11-04 05:32:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 4, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x2d7a84…
11-04 04:03:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x23c832…
11-04 03:48:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xb85d64…
11-04 03:43:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x15d31e…
11-04 03:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x2b34df…
11-04 03:22:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xf8b82a…
11-04 02:52:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0x958904…
11-04 01:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	49	41¢	$20	0xc7f9c7…
11-03 23:08:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	42	47¢	$20	0x796711…
11-03 23:02:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	17	60¢	$10	0x539033…
11-03 22:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x382aa4…
11-03 22:02:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xc11a60…
11-03 21:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	8	33¢	$3	0x0253d9…
11-03 21:32:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Down	BUY	20	37¢	$7	0xd49919…
11-03 21:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x4d68e4…
11-03 17:53:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 12:50PM-12:55PM ET	Up	BUY	52	38¢	$20	0x9cabdb…
11-03 14:42:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xff684f…
11-03 14:22:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0xfa2b21…
11-03 12:27:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	46	43¢	$20	0x339dcc…
11-03 12:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - November 3, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xe84672…