Humble-Analyst — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$345

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

50.8%

Resolved

Trades

283

lifetime

Volume

$1.66K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 06-03 17:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 37% $-345

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 160 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	6	$359	299	299	+0	Down	+$79	05-09 13:39
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	10	$200	242	242	+0	Up	+$40	05-09 13:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	8	$132	248	160	+87	Down	$-16	05-09 14:03
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	11	$122	272	0	+272	Down	$-118	05-09 14:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	12	$120	388	388	+0	Down	$-78	05-09 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	6	$68	412	0	+412	Up	$-68	05-09 13:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:50AM-7:55AM ET	15	$54	388	0	+388	Up	$-54	05-09 11:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	15	$48	383	383	+0	Up	$-38	05-09 13:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	10	$47	78	78	+0	Up	+$11	05-08 13:54
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	23	$46	531	0	+531	Down	$-46	05-08 14:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	8	$38	98	32	+67	Up	+$10	05-08 11:19
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	15	$36	123	0	+123	Up	$-36	05-08 13:34
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	12	$30	252	0	+252	Up	$-30	05-09 11:59
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	11	$28	421	0	+421	Down	$-28	05-09 13:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	9	$24	51	0	+51	Down	+$27	05-08 13:36
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$22	15	15	+0	Down	+$8	05-09 13:21
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	5	$21	45	45	+0	Up	+$5	05-08 14:06
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	5	$21	35	35	+0	Down	+$9	05-08 11:29
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	5	$20	125	12	+113	Up	+$4	05-08 14:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	6	$19	61	0	+61	Down	+$42	05-09 13:38
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$19	25	19	+6	Down	+$5	05-08 13:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	9	$18	260	0	+260	Up	$-18	05-08 13:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	9	$18	46	0	+46	Down	+$28	05-08 13:23
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	8	$15	119	29	+91	Down	$-13	05-08 14:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	4	$14	99	8	+91	Up	+$2	05-08 11:26
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET	7	$13	100	0	+100	Up	$-13	05-08 11:47
Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	2	$12	25	0	+25	Down	$-12	05-10 11:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$12	48	40	+8	Up	+$8	05-08 13:04
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	2	$11	18	12	+6	Down	$-5	05-08 13:13
Ethereum Up or Down - May 8, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	5	$10	24	0	+24	Up	$-10	05-08 13:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 17:40:18	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	325	0¢	$1	0xf51ed1…
05-10 11:04:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	21	47¢	$10	0xd0f0a0…
05-10 11:04:01	Ethereum Up or Down - May 10, 7:05AM-7:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xecfe1d…
05-09 14:07:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x0fed8a…
05-09 14:06:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x81e039…
05-09 14:06:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xb4deac…
05-09 14:06:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0xb09a56…
05-09 14:06:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x88d7bf…
05-09 14:05:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0xc5eb9f…
05-09 14:05:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	78	39¢	$30	0x19e263…
05-09 14:04:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x397789…
05-09 14:03:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xdca2a6…
05-09 14:03:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x23f79e…
05-09 14:03:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	12	16¢	$2	0x82b81c…
05-09 14:02:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	58	51¢	$30	0x0023ae…
05-09 14:02:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	59	51¢	$30	0xa3d3d1…
05-09 14:01:45	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	100	17¢	$17	0x54c755…
05-09 14:01:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	SELL	60	20¢	$12	0xd6533e…
05-09 14:00:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0x81c036…
05-09 14:00:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	69	43¢	$30	0xc5f581…
05-09 14:00:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0xbfb959…
05-09 13:57:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x07679e…
05-09 13:57:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	SELL	108	3¢	$3	0x2aaf26…
05-09 13:57:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	134	88¢	$117	0xca2a8a…
05-09 13:56:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	108	9¢	$10	0x3f16d5…
05-09 13:54:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x3ee2cc…
05-09 13:54:41	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x7dacfd…
05-09 13:54:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	72	4¢	$3	0x63d457…
05-09 13:54:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	316	6¢	$18	0x7742a3…
05-09 13:53:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	20	10¢	$2	0x8f8211…
05-09 13:53:35	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x6ed0a6…
05-09 13:53:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0x108d68…
05-09 13:53:19	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xf5118f…
05-09 13:53:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0xd12d24…
05-09 13:53:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xb91a5c…
05-09 13:52:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x5c3cf4…
05-09 13:51:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	86	12¢	$10	0xf660ff…
05-09 13:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0xcb3dc7…
05-09 13:51:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x604482…
05-09 13:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0xa86934…
05-09 13:51:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x647cb3…
05-09 13:50:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	82	36¢	$30	0xf72af6…
05-09 13:50:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	5	37¢	$2	0xc77830…
05-09 13:50:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	72	42¢	$30	0x01c99f…
05-09 13:49:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	383	1¢	$5	0xcb84fb…
05-09 13:49:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	91	2¢	$2	0x858903…
05-09 13:48:39	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x6d2f74…
05-09 13:48:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x91f153…
05-09 13:48:23	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	24	8¢	$2	0xd37c30…
05-09 13:48:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x767eb4…
05-09 13:48:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xee1c08…
05-09 13:47:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0x03cffd…
05-09 13:47:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x506ed5…
05-09 13:47:25	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x6e4136…
05-09 13:47:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x2cbaef…
05-09 13:46:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xd3ac82…
05-09 13:46:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0xb3cccc…
05-09 13:46:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x9af1d6…
05-09 13:46:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	43	23¢	$10	0x81af18…
05-09 13:45:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	SELL	39	1¢	$0	0xfa6a04…
05-09 13:44:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	5¢	$2	0x2133da…
05-09 13:39:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	SELL	299	73¢	$219	0x044ea2…
05-09 13:38:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	20¢	$2	0xd28049…
05-09 13:36:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x76cfd9…
05-09 13:36:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0xe05561…
05-09 13:35:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x5b41d4…
05-09 13:35:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	28	35¢	$10	0x286440…
05-09 13:35:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	35¢	$2	0x84ec4b…
05-09 13:34:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	58	35¢	$20	0xb2d198…
05-09 13:34:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xa209e1…
05-09 13:34:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xabf218…
05-09 13:34:07	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	11¢	$2	0x49f66c…
05-09 13:26:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	8¢	$2	0x181623…
05-09 13:26:43	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x2a301b…
05-09 13:26:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xfeaa6f…
05-09 13:26:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0x5b5f5e…
05-09 13:26:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	205	15¢	$30	0x58c40f…
05-09 13:26:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Down	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0xfc4ebf…
05-09 13:25:21	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x7805d0…
05-09 13:25:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x68075e…
05-09 13:25:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x7d305d…
05-09 13:25:00	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	62	49¢	$30	0xdbccb8…
05-09 13:23:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x9a44c6…
05-09 13:22:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x0be8fc…
05-09 13:22:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	67	3¢	$2	0x4b81c6…
05-09 13:22:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	60	3¢	$2	0xa18a79…
05-09 13:22:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x8302e5…
05-09 13:21:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0xffd04d…
05-09 13:21:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x1488e0…
05-09 13:21:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0xebbe79…
05-09 13:21:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	SELL	15	99¢	$15	0x106552…
05-09 13:19:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x2e7f04…
05-09 13:19:27	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x7c8df8…
05-09 13:19:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4775f2…
05-09 13:18:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xd3254d…
05-09 13:18:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x1fffcd…
05-09 11:59:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	4¢	$2	0x66e778…
05-09 11:58:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0x09ae78…
05-09 11:58:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	22	9¢	$2	0xcfc313…
05-09 11:58:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	27	7¢	$2	0x62e287…