Bitcoin Up or Down - July 4, 7:45AM-7:50AM ET | Polymarket | Vike

Total volume

$59,050

Trades

6,325

Unique wallets

1,288

Liquidity

$0

End date

2026-07-04

First seen

2026-07-04

last 07-04 11:50

YES price (mid)

last 60 days, hourly

Not enough snapshot data yet — the snapshot daemon polls every 5 min.

YES holders

(anon) +3,359 Haunting-Cheese +2,293 (anon) +1,409 (anon) +1,385 (anon) +1,148 Svelte-Chicory +1,100 Livid-Fortune +850 Rash-Alternative +800

NO holders

(anon) +1,451 (anon) +1,429 All-Peasant-Drug +1,073 Svelte-Chicory +1,072 Modest-Signal +983 Rash-Alternative +960 (anon) +932 (anon) +932

Cohort breakdown

who's buying — by wallet tier SMI: -5.3¢ (top1%: 32% YES on $18.2K vs crowd: 38% YES on $53.7K)

By volume tier

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🐋 Whale	160	$9.4K	$16.6K	$7.2K
🐬 Dolphin	451	$8.3K	$11.5K	$3.2K
🐟 Fish	423	$2.0K	$4.5K	$2.5K
🦐 Shrimp	254	$558	$828	$271

By P&L percentile

Tier	Wallets	YES buy	NO buy	Net bias
🎯 Top 1%	200	$5.9K	$12.3K	$6.4K
🏆 Top 5%	197	$2.9K	$4.8K	$1.8K
✅ Top 10%	63	$255	$394	$139
Median	69	$50	$153	$103
Below median	282	$733	$2.4K	$1.6K
⚠️ Bottom 10%	182	$897	$3.4K	$2.5K
🔻 Bottom 5%	193	$4.3K	$4.8K	$497
💀 Bottom 1%	102	$5.1K	$5.2K	$113

Wallet leaderboard (60) Recent trades

Wallet	Side	Net shares	Cost basis	Volume	Trades	Last activity
(anonymous) 0x143e…375b	Up	+3,359	$1,800	$1,800	6	07-04 11:41
Haunting-Cheese 0xee65…cfc9	Up	+2,293	$73	$73	47	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0x82c8…da77	Down	+1,451	$887	$887	81	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Down	+1,429	$907	$907	57	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0x82c8…da77	Up	+1,409	$720	$720	42	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0x13e0…5204	Up	+1,385	$503	$503	66	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0x64fe…3586	Up	+1,148	$500	$500	1	07-04 11:45
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Up	+1,100	$387	$387	76	07-04 11:49
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Down	+1,073	$570	$642	25	07-04 11:50
Svelte-Chicory 0x9412…0cd0	Down	+1,072	$617	$617	48	07-04 11:49
Modest-Signal 0x36de…5c48	Down	+983	$490	$490	1	07-04 11:45
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Down	+960	$464	$464	6	07-04 11:48
(anonymous) 0x923b…9541	Down	+932	$923	$923	25	07-04 11:50
(anonymous) 0x1cb4…3839	Down	+932	$500	$500	5	07-04 11:45
Livid-Fortune 0x5c6a…3b2e	Up	+850	$176	$176	21	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0x8441…bc73	Down	+849	$663	$663	84	07-04 11:49
Rash-Alternative 0xf353…6685	Up	+800	$409	$409	5	07-04 11:48
(anonymous) 0x0240…78f2	Up	+700	$360	$367	12	07-04 11:48
(anonymous) 0xbe1a…03a9	Up	+700	$350	$350	13	07-04 11:45
(anonymous) 0x8441…bc73	Up	+677	$187	$187	41	07-04 11:49
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	Up	+659	$616	$871	58	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0x564a…0517	Down	+655	$592	$592	2	07-04 11:49
Zany-Imbalance 0x2ef9…b403	Down	+629	$600	$600	6	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0xe76a…37c4	Up	+600	$300	$300	9	07-04 11:45
(anonymous) 0xc550…e090	Up	+600	$300	$300	8	07-04 11:45
(anonymous) 0xed3e…2a9e	Up	+600	$300	$300	10	07-04 11:45
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Up	+525	$137	$137	69	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Down	+476	$314	$314	49	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0xb202…2d3c	Down	+460	$463	$507	13	07-04 11:49
Detailed-Jacket 0xb207…c751	Down	+450	$202	$202	1	07-04 11:41
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Down	+439	$329	$329	7	07-04 11:49
Flaky-Wreck 0x0484…1b1a	Up	+420	$153	$153	10	07-04 11:49
Flaky-Wreck 0x0484…1b1a	Down	+420	$251	$251	8	07-04 11:49
Formal-Seaweed 0x6f39…5030	Down	+416	$199	$199	86	07-04 11:43
(anonymous) 0x5b87…b6bd	Up	+411	$123	$123	24	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0x27f6…400b	Up	+400	$270	$270	16	07-04 11:47
(anonymous) 0x568b…0b3b	Down	+386	$218	$218	61	07-04 11:48
Threadbare-Girdle 0x9020…5f4b	Down	+385	$369	$369	11	07-04 11:49
Threadbare-Girdle 0x9020…5f4b	Up	+385	$12	$12	12	07-04 11:49
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	Up	+380	$103	$103	9	07-04 11:49
Vigilant-Forever 0xfeb9…95c9	Down	+380	$197	$197	33	07-04 11:47
(anonymous) 0x8805…721f	Down	+378	$360	$360	18	07-04 11:49
Vigilant-Forever 0xfeb9…95c9	Up	+378	$171	$171	45	07-04 11:48
(anonymous) 0x4c94…ffad	Up	+365	$144	$144	54	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0xf9b7…a37c	Down	+365	$205	$205	48	07-04 11:48
(anonymous) 0xaad6…8848	Down	+363	$240	$240	4	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0x5b87…b6bd	Down	+362	$263	$263	21	07-04 11:49
Suburban-Characterization 0x251c…541f	Down	+360	$200	$200	9	07-04 11:48
French-Console 0x1895…02fb	Up	+357	$176	$176	2	07-04 11:45
Responsible-Carboxyl 0x72ab…e1ee	Up	+342	$153	$153	11	07-04 11:47
Windy-Turban 0xe290…a33f	Down	+329	$184	$184	36	07-04 11:48
Legitimate-Randomization 0x1faa…ad8a	Up	+324	$0	$12	24	07-04 11:49
(anonymous) 0x62c4…0f96	Down	+323	$300	$300	1	07-04 11:49
Cluttered-Tattler 0xc2e0…129b	Down	+316	$212	$212	1	07-04 11:45
Responsible-Carboxyl 0x72ab…e1ee	Down	+314	$104	$104	19	07-04 11:46
Young-Orator 0x5bb4…692a	Down	+313	$110	$110	4	07-04 11:47
Young-Orator 0x5bb4…692a	Up	+262	$107	$107	5	07-04 11:48
(anonymous) 0x48ac…4a7e	Up	+259	$94	$94	2	07-04 11:46
Artistic-Design 0x55ae…f5df	Up	+250	$2	$2	1	07-04 11:49
Silly-Briefly 0x3f2f…8150	Up	+248	$98	$98	3	07-04 11:47