Realized P&L
+$67.1K
Unrealized P&L
+$9.83K
Hit rate
57.9%
Resolved
1,423
Trades
28,062
lifetime
Volume
$7.16M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$255
Open exposure
$130.7K
14 positions
First seen
2026-01-01
last 10-27 12:56
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 219 days
Categories
Other
50% 54% -$8,805
Politics
38% 62% +$71,195
Sports
11% 53% +$2,652
Crypto
1% 73% +$695
Tech
0% 100% +$1,359
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
68 active days in 12wk • peak 901 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +59,699 $42,200 78¢ $46.3K +$4,067 10-27 12:40
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +54,401 $38,225 80¢ $43.2K +$5,024 10-27 12:20
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? No +15,000 $8,550 70¢ $10.6K +$2,025 08-04 11:16
Will Likud win 30-34 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10,000 $9,120 95¢ $9.5K +$390 10-27 12:20
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election? Yes -9,184 -$5,235 46¢ $-4270 +$964 10-11 16:06
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,995 $3,434 77¢ $3.1K -$376 09-14 00:34
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -5,000 -$1,890 54¢ $-2713 -$823 06-10 21:38
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? Yes -5,000 -$2,931 46¢ $-2275 +$656 07-03 22:33
Will Karen Bass win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +4,000 $1,350 55¢ $2.2K +$830 06-07 15:11
Will Yashar win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? No +10,000 $2,800 20¢ $2.0K -$750 10-27 11:40
Will Nithya Raman win the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election? No +4,000 $3,123 46¢ $1.8K -$1,293 06-11 08:52
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? No +25,000 $1,872 6¢ $1.5K -$372 10-26 20:11
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +3,000 $1,560 34¢ $1.0K -$532 09-30 11:52
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel? No +190 $158 92¢ $175 +$17 10-01 12:20