Silly-Cattle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$5.55K

Unrealized P&L

+$26.3K

Hit rate

57.5%

Resolved

1,451

Trades

28,581

lifetime

Volume

$7.46M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$261

Open exposure

$90.5K

9 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 11-13 09:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 226 days

Categories

Other

49% 54% -$10,371

Politics

39% 61% +$11,211

Sports

11% 53% +$2,652

Crypto

1% 73% +$695

Tech

0% 100% +$1,359

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

67 active days in 12wk • peak 901 trades/day

Open positions (9) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	+39,737	$20,462	99¢	$39.5K	+$19,056	11-04 01:46
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	+33,000	$27,634	100¢	$32.9K	+$5,218	11-13 09:31
Will Axel Kicillof win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	No	+15,000	$8,550	68¢	$10.1K	+$1,575	08-04 11:16
Will Javier Milei win the 2027 Argentina presidential election?	Yes	-9,184	-$5,235	44¢	$-3995	+$1,240	10-11 16:06
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden?	No	+3,995	$3,434	47¢	$1.9K	-$1,558	09-14 00:34
Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	+1,700	$1,615	95¢	$1.6K	+$7	11-07 15:00
Will Avigdor Lieberman be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+8,128	$138	4¢	$350	+$211	10-27 20:46
Will Naftali Bennett be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	No	+190	$158	97¢	$184	+$26	10-01 12:20
Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	+0	-$558	33¢	$0	+$558	11-05 12:14

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	589	$1.12M	330,162	986,607	-656,445	Yes	-$317,135	10-26 00:02
Will Flávio Bolsonaro win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	956	$1.10M	971,166	381,722	+589,444	No	+$366,160	10-26 00:00
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	165	$123.1K	92,000	92,000	+0	open	—	10-27 21:17
Will VfB Stuttgart win on 2026-09-09?	228	$109.4K	350,000	200,439	+149,561	Yes	-$26,563	09-09 17:11
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the September 2026 meeting?	78	$97.6K	110,000	0	+110,000	No	+$12,400	09-16 14:52
Will Lamine Yamal win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	91	$95.9K	97,245	7,064	+90,182	No	+$7,574	10-26 18:35
Will Sevilla FC win on 2026-09-11?	271	$88.3K	90,000	90,000	+0	Yes	+$1,500	09-11 20:18
Will United Russia (ER) gain the most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?	47	$65.8K	75,309	0	+75,309	Yes	+$9,462	09-20 19:02
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	35	$61.0K	82,401	30,000	+52,401	Yes	-$56,245	10-27 22:47
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the October 2026 meeting?	1	$55.4K	55,555	0	+55,555	No	+$167	10-28 14:40
Will Renan Santos win the 2026 Brazilian presidential election?	75	$53.9K	55,000	10,110	+44,890	No	+$2,284	09-24 11:34
atp bublik paul 2026 09 04	18	$52.1K	70,000	30,000	+40,000	Tommy Paul	-$14,900	09-04 15:58
Will Harry Kane win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	178	$51.7K	58,386	27,945	+30,441	Yes	+$7	10-26 20:42
Will Kylian Mbappé win the 2026 Ballon d'Or?	76	$50.4K	76,356	0	+76,356	No	+$16,634	10-26 16:28
Will Real Betis Balompié win on 2026-09-14?	400	$40.2K	55,000	0	+55,000	Yes	-$40,200	09-14 17:33
Will Keiko Fujimori win the 2026 Peruvian presidential election?	64	$38.7K	7,000	34,000	-27,000	Yes	-$476	06-11 14:47
Bucknell vs. VMI	3	$37.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	Bucknell	+$13,000	09-12 17:40
Will Club Atlético de Madrid win on 2026-09-05?	34	$31.6K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$8,380	09-05 16:20
Will Como 1907 win on 2026-09-10?	177	$31.5K	70,000	0	+70,000	Yes	-$31,500	09-10 15:00
Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-09-11?	3	$30.5K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	-$30,500	09-11 18:42
Will SSC Napoli win on 2026-09-13?	24	$30.3K	30,000	30,000	+0	Yes	+$900	09-13 17:05
Will Arsenal FC win on 2026-09-19?	230	$28.4K	20,000	20,000	+0	No	+$11,580	09-19 16:28
Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	77	$27.6K	33,000	0	+33,000	open	—	11-13 09:31
Will Valencia CF win on 2026-05-14?	70	$26.7K	27,748	19,415	+8,333	No	+$3,741	05-14 16:59
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	66	$26.7K	32,206	2,000	+30,206	No	+$7,277	04-12 20:32
FC Zurich vs. FC Vaduz: O/U 3.5	1	$24.0K	50,000	0	+50,000	Under	+$26,000	09-13 11:47
Will Aston Villa FC win on 2026-09-16?	359	$23.8K	46,681	0	+46,681	Yes	-$23,807	09-16 18:00
Will AC Milan win on 2026-09-12?	1	$22.8K	40,000	0	+40,000	No	+$17,200	09-12 04:29
Will AFC Bournemouth win on 2026-09-17?	75	$22.8K	40,000	0	+40,000	Yes	-$22,800	09-17 17:47
Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-09-07?	14	$22.5K	50,000	0	+50,000	Yes	+$27,500	09-07 15:28

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-13 09:31:07	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,886	100¢	$1,880	0xe495cf…
11-13 09:00:16	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x84726a…
11-13 08:43:46	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x967ad8…
11-13 08:43:46	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x51c091…
11-13 08:43:45	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0c2669…
11-13 08:26:15	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	333	100¢	$332	0x203553…
11-13 08:24:00	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,333	100¢	$1,329	0xc174d3…
11-13 06:09:43	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,434	100¢	$1,430	0x3365e8…
11-10 19:52:16	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	445	98¢	$436	0xf016f9…
11-10 19:52:12	Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	Yes	SELL	1,750	98¢	$1,715	0xa36c5a…
11-10 10:52:18	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	358	89¢	$317	0xb02cda…
11-07 15:00:39	Will Bad Bunny be the top artist for 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,700	95¢	$1,615	0x5e63e8…
11-06 21:42:37	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	1,846	77¢	$1,425	0xdbb4b7…
11-06 21:42:16	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	15	77¢	$12	0x79c93f…
11-06 21:41:03	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	200	77¢	$154	0x9ef80b…
11-06 21:41:03	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	139	77¢	$107	0x437d7e…
11-06 12:35:57	Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	No	BUY	820	78¢	$643	0xc3d15b…
11-05 12:14:03	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	18	43¢	$8	0x609275…
11-05 12:14:00	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	200	43¢	$86	0x2574b1…
11-05 04:13:12	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	215	43¢	$92	0xc6a7f7…
11-05 04:03:46	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	1	43¢	$0	0xc4c269…
11-05 03:24:58	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	164	43¢	$71	0xf04af1…
11-05 02:38:39	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	90	43¢	$39	0xea7c63…
11-05 01:36:33	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x571206…
11-05 01:05:31	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	14	43¢	$6	0xefd960…
11-05 01:04:51	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	42	43¢	$18	0xbdfb62…
11-05 00:57:49	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x38c296…
11-05 00:32:48	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0x5f2cb5…
11-05 00:32:42	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	12	43¢	$5	0xa9193e…
11-04 23:46:37	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x733eb9…
11-04 23:34:01	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0x1166df…
11-04 21:42:40	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	10	43¢	$4	0x983584…
11-04 20:12:57	Israeli election results in a hung parliament?	Yes	SELL	565	43¢	$243	0x3f08c5…
11-04 16:21:55	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xbd978b…
11-04 16:21:55	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	16	96¢	$16	0x53f977…
11-04 16:21:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xfe83be…
11-04 16:21:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe230bc…
11-04 16:21:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe0c503…
11-04 16:21:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xdb6fc4…
11-04 16:21:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xcfd55a…
11-04 16:21:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x987736…
11-04 16:21:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x78fe58…
11-04 16:21:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x6706c5…
11-04 16:21:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x38a223…
11-04 16:21:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x18ad0c…
11-04 16:21:24	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x171aa0…
11-04 16:20:55	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0xbb0d49…
11-04 16:20:55	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	524	96¢	$503	0x4fad9e…
11-04 16:20:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc9c35f…
11-04 16:20:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xa8bbfb…
11-04 16:20:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x924062…
11-04 16:20:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x8cb044…
11-04 16:20:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x76137d…
11-04 16:20:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x6a2bfd…
11-04 16:20:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x4e4141…
11-04 16:20:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x362f08…
11-04 16:20:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x26b7b0…
11-04 16:20:52	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x14266e…
11-04 16:20:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf9261c…
11-04 16:20:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf08f88…
11-04 16:20:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xc3379f…
11-04 16:20:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xbb4c8d…
11-04 16:20:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x860d7e…
11-04 16:20:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x4ef72c…
11-04 16:20:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x42a83c…
11-04 16:20:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x3045db…
11-04 16:20:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x2f3619…
11-04 16:20:21	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x00667d…
11-04 16:19:49	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf85563…
11-04 16:19:49	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xf16f50…
11-04 16:19:49	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xe8d95f…
11-04 16:19:49	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xdc518a…
11-04 16:19:49	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xda29dc…
11-04 16:19:49	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x6a2a48…
11-04 16:19:49	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x560639…
11-04 16:19:49	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x20bfca…
11-04 16:19:49	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x14ac69…
11-04 16:19:49	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x078c7c…
11-04 16:19:42	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	2,000	96¢	$1,920	0xc97d6f…
11-04 16:19:40	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x7ef3bd…
11-04 16:19:40	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0x62765d…
11-04 16:19:40	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	96¢	$960	0x1d4326…
11-04 16:19:39	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	289	96¢	$277	0xf81d5f…
11-04 16:19:36	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	375	96¢	$360	0x53f193…
11-04 16:19:10	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xb8adde…
11-04 16:19:09	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	125	96¢	$120	0x747136…
11-04 16:18:39	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xec0fa8…
11-04 16:18:39	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	50	96¢	$48	0xd5ee38…
11-04 16:18:39	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	391	96¢	$375	0x81b885…
11-04 16:18:39	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	85	96¢	$81	0x02a728…
11-04 16:18:01	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	215	96¢	$206	0xd4e013…
11-04 16:18:01	Will Dan Sullivan win the Alaska Senate race in 2026?	No	BUY	1,630	96¢	$1,564	0x89f662…
11-04 12:30:52	Will the Republican Party candidate win the 2026 Guam gubernatorial election?	Yes	SELL	172	99¢	$171	0x84bc04…
11-04 01:46:03	Will Republicans lose the Alaska, Iowa, Kansas, Maine, Michigan, Ohio, and Texas Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	480	85¢	$408	0xa02f64…
11-04 01:43:04	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	938	2¢	$19	0xfab7c0…
11-04 01:43:04	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	2¢	$1	0xe80a0d…
11-04 01:43:04	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	133	2¢	$3	0xe14a1c…
11-04 01:43:04	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	418	2¢	$8	0xc24fc2…
11-04 01:43:04	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,000	2¢	$40	0xb7ed0f…
11-04 01:43:04	Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,800	2¢	$36	0x584a27…