Lawful-Sailor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$571

Unrealized P&L

-$5

Hit rate

60.6%

Resolved

324

Trades

503

lifetime

Volume

$8.37K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$17

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-19

last 10-31 09:05

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 64 days

Categories

Other

74% 29% -$467

Crypto

24% 31% -$58

Sports

1% 0% -$46

Politics

0% 25% +$8

Tech

0% 0% -$8

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Yes		+147	$5	0¢	$0	-$5	10-16 06:51

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
dota2 navi ngx 2026 01 20	4	$413	338	338	+0	Nigma Galaxy	+$263	01-20 18:58
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	3	$270	210	210	+0	Team Spirit	+$150	05-29 10:07
bitcoin above 88k on january 25	2	$191	287	281	+7	Yes	+$101	01-25 16:52
dota2 flc tundra 2026 02 05	2	$148	98	98	+0	Team Falcons	+$47	02-05 21:14
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs PlayTime (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	5	$144	227	227	+0	PlayTime	+$74	05-22 18:57
dota2 xtreme ref 2026 01 30 game1	2	$131	100	100	+0	Team Refuser	+$67	01-30 10:23
dota2 og ts8 2026 02 05	4	$119	97	97	+0	Team Spirit	+$59	02-05 10:09
dota2 aur1 ts8 2026 02 01	6	$118	200	0	+200	Aurora	-$118	02-01 17:04
dota2 ts8 tundra 2026 02 05	3	$104	70	70	+0	Team Spirit	+$36	02-05 16:21
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 260 279	3	$103	106	106	+0	No	+$24	02-06 15:42
dota2 mouz liquid 2026 01 29	2	$102	71	71	+0	Team Liquid	+$39	01-29 12:13
Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	1	$100	317	0	+317	Aurora	-$100	05-30 16:30
dota2 xtreme navi 2026 02 05	3	$97	112	64	+49	Natus Vincere	+$1	02-05 19:37
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs PlayTime (BO1) - DreamLeague Group B	3	$96	132	71	+61	PlayTime	+$2	05-18 10:16
Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner	3	$91	158	71	+86	Tundra Esports	+$21	05-22 11:00
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs BetBoom Team - Game 1 Winner	2	$91	66	66	+0	Team Spirit	+$41	05-19 15:54
dota2 ty ts8 2026 02 07	2	$90	255	0	+255	Team Yandex	-$90	02-07 15:20
dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	2	$90	68	68	+0	LGD Gaming	+$44	06-07 13:05
Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	3	$89	135	68	+68	Aurora	-$11	05-30 15:31
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GamerLegion (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	3	$89	94	71	+23	Team Falcons	+$19	05-17 13:24
Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$87	57	57	+0	PARIVISION	+$27	05-14 14:27
Dota 2: BetBoom Team vs Xtreme Gaming - Game 1 Winner	2	$85	78	78	+0	BetBoom Team	+$71	05-16 19:45
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 280 299	2	$79	59	59	+0	Yes	+$39	02-06 16:56
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	2	$79	59	59	+0	Aurora	+$39	05-28 11:11
dota2 liquid heroic 2026 02 05	2	$79	50	50	+0	Team Liquid	+$21	02-05 18:42
Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	4	$76	90	57	+33	Team Falcons	+$12	05-23 11:16
dota2 mouz ty 2026 02 05	2	$74	54	54	+0	MOUZ	+$34	02-05 13:00
Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	2	$72	50	50	+0	Team Liquid	+$24	05-13 13:21
Dota 2: Xtreme Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - DreamLeague Group B	2	$70	50	50	+0	Natus Vincere	+$30	05-17 16:00
Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	4	$66	482	482	+0	open	—	05-24 16:46

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-31 09:05:55	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-31 09:05 UTC	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x361cff…
10-31 08:39:43	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs GamerLegion (BO3) - PARI Universe Playoffs	GamerLegion	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x624771…
10-30 15:56:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 30, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	28	18¢	$5	0x35c3cd…
10-24 13:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 24, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x760a83…
10-23 12:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x36ef25…
10-23 12:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xd41b99…
10-23 08:37:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Up	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xba152d…
10-23 07:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 23, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xdd08c8…
10-16 06:52:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x94bedc…
10-16 06:51:49	Will Bitcoin dip to $67,500 in October?	Yes	BUY	147	3¢	$5	0x160f4d…
10-02 10:11:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - October 2, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0xaf1602…
10-01 06:45:11	bitcoin above 86k on october 1 2026	Yes	BUY	148	7¢	$10	0xfa74e3…
10-01 06:41:23	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:40 UTC	Up	BUY	32	19¢	$6	0x4ca727…
10-01 06:31:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-10-01 06:30 UTC	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0xbd26b7…
09-30 09:31:12	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:30 UTC	Down	SELL	45	19¢	$9	0xd493d5…
09-30 09:30:41	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:30 UTC	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xb45912…
09-30 09:14:20	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:15 UTC	Down	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x89890d…
09-30 09:13:36	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:10 UTC	Up	SELL	8	94¢	$7	0xb02307…
09-30 09:09:57	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-30 09:10 UTC	Up	BUY	8	51¢	$4	0x7e1a0b…
09-28 12:51:26	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:50 UTC	Down	BUY	19	36¢	$7	0x710053…
09-28 12:06:00	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 12:05 UTC	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x6cffdb…
09-28 10:43:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:40 UTC	Down	SELL	36	33¢	$12	0x2799cb…
09-28 10:40:38	BTC Up/Down 5m · 2026-09-28 10:40 UTC	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x7bc90f…
09-28 07:37:59	bitcoin above 80k on september 28 2026	No	BUY	277	2¢	$5	0xcab98b…
07-14 16:39:04	dota2 lgd mouz 2026 07 14	MOUZ	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0x6851e4…
06-14 12:54:43	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Catalunya Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	485	3¢	$16	0xecd342…
06-07 15:47:37	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	118	17¢	$20	0x1543d0…
06-07 14:49:46	dota2 ty lgd 2026 06 07 game1	LGD Gaming	BUY	45	33¢	$15	0xcfc72d…
06-07 14:40:37	Will Kimi Antonelli win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	No	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x2b3a46…
06-07 14:39:48	Will Lewis Hamilton win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	30	19¢	$6	0x8ae8c1…
06-07 13:05:58	Will Charles Leclerc win the 2026 F1 Monaco Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	86	7¢	$6	0xa07451…
06-07 13:05:25	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0x99f3f6…
06-07 09:12:30	dota2 bb4 lgd 2026 06 07	LGD Gaming	BUY	68	34¢	$23	0xd67d4d…
06-05 12:56:43	dota2 lgd liquid 2026 06 05	Team Liquid	BUY	62	24¢	$15	0xeb8b89…
06-04 13:01:51	dota2 flc liquid 2026 06 04 game1	Team Liquid	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x8922de…
06-02 10:15:14	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - Esports World Cup Western Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs	Natus Vincere	BUY	81	37¢	$30	0xd92f70…
05-31 10:48:10	Roland Garros ATP: Jesper de Jong vs Alexander Zverev	Jesper de Jong	BUY	100	8¢	$8	0x24d24f…
05-31 10:44:00	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 31?	No	BUY	200	0¢	$1	0x760f07…
05-31 10:43:37	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 31?	Yes	BUY	25	32¢	$8	0xd55e9f…
05-31 10:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	42	44¢	$18	0x00830b…
05-31 10:41:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x9c6f62…
05-31 10:13:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	36	14¢	$5	0x9cabf4…
05-30 17:04:26	Will Paris Saint-Germain FC win on 2026-05-30?	Yes	BUY	94	16¢	$15	0xe88722…
05-30 16:30:43	Dota 2: Team Liquid vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	Team Liquid	BUY	317	32¢	$100	0xd00f0b…
05-30 15:31:32	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	Aurora	SELL	68	58¢	$39	0x5df1fe…
05-30 15:31:11	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	Tundra Esports	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0x0a4d85…
05-30 14:29:47	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Yandex (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	Team Spirit	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0xa47d06…
05-30 13:02:00	Dota 2: Aurora vs Tundra Esports (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	Aurora	BUY	68	37¢	$25	0xc2bdd7…
05-30 12:06:59	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs OG (BO3) - BLAST Slam Last Chance Qualifier	OG	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x7f91de…
05-29 17:06:53	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	55	55¢	$30	0xa10860…
05-29 16:04:14	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	55	18¢	$10	0xe81918…
05-29 16:00:04	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	SELL	10	71¢	$7	0x650ced…
05-29 15:47:46	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs LGD Gaming (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	50	60¢	$30	0xdda4d9…
05-29 10:08:52	Dota 2: Aurora vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	OG	BUY	45	29¢	$13	0x479a54…
05-29 10:07:00	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	SELL	210	100¢	$210	0xcbffc1…
05-29 09:37:52	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	63	16¢	$10	0x593d55…
05-29 09:17:55	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0x8f88b8…
05-29 08:45:33	Dota 2: Tundra Esports vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	95	21¢	$20	0x7cbf9a…
05-28 15:16:41	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	85	13¢	$11	0x965563…
05-28 14:21:11	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0x34e2a0…
05-28 14:20:22	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0x3f4985…
05-28 13:36:52	Dota 2: Team Yandex vs Aurora (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x592d6c…
05-28 13:35:51	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x805862…
05-28 11:24:50	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs PARIVISION (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0xcc9685…
05-28 11:11:53	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	SELL	59	100¢	$59	0x88053d…
05-28 10:51:16	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x57cd46…
05-28 09:46:03	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Spirit	BUY	70	10¢	$7	0x0ba043…
05-27 18:11:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x8e7798…
05-27 17:00:35	Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs Team Liquid (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	LGD Gaming	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd506ed…
05-27 16:28:02	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs Team Yandex (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Yandex	BUY	84	6¢	$5	0xd884b2…
05-27 16:24:22	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	SELL	37	99¢	$37	0xa1385e…
05-27 15:34:59	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Spirit (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Aurora	BUY	37	35¢	$13	0x907633…
05-27 15:05:16	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs BetBoom Team (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	BetBoom Team	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x0b5c31…
05-27 11:10:02	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Tundra Esports (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Tundra Esports	BUY	27	15¢	$4	0xa53082…
05-26 08:53:07	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs GLYPH (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	Team Falcons	BUY	76	17¢	$13	0xa49609…
05-26 08:35:16	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs OG (BO1) - BLAST Slam Group Stage	OG	BUY	60	27¢	$16	0x8ac4da…
05-24 20:45:01	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	77	6¢	$5	0x2db920…
05-24 20:07:20	Will Max Verstappen win the 2026 F1 Canadian Grand Prix?	Yes	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x47dbe0…
05-24 20:03:33	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora (BO5) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x3c1e67…
05-24 18:45:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xec31cf…
05-24 18:44:16	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner	PARIVISION	SELL	42	100¢	$42	0xf7431b…
05-24 17:20:06	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 3 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x47fae2…
05-24 17:18:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	SELL	46	39¢	$18	0x5c71a3…
05-24 17:17:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	46	28¢	$13	0x95b277…
05-24 16:46:54	Will China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	7¢	$14	0x4bac78…
05-24 16:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	46¢	$7	0x200a2c…
05-24 14:49:15	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Aurora - Game 1 Winner	Aurora	BUY	103	29¢	$30	0x38d999…
05-23 18:00:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x37a6b9…
05-23 17:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x185e15…
05-23 17:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x11c9a8…
05-23 17:17:45	Dota 2: Aurora vs Team Falcons - Game 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	81	43¢	$35	0x9ad934…
05-23 15:51:58	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Team Spirit	BUY	128	47¢	$60	0xe9aa50…
05-23 15:11:29	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 2 Winner	Team Spirit	BUY	82	24¢	$20	0xaaa8da…
05-23 14:15:10	Dota 2: PARIVISION vs Team Spirit - Game 1 Winner	PARIVISION	BUY	77	13¢	$10	0x7eb1b5…
05-23 13:58:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0x521848…
05-23 13:54:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	SELL	31	92¢	$29	0x395c83…
05-23 13:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0xf0cce2…
05-23 11:16:26	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	PlayTime	BUY	33	21¢	$7	0x9c57b7…
05-23 11:15:59	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	Team Falcons	SELL	57	78¢	$44	0x02958c…
05-23 11:00:28	Dota 2: Team Falcons vs PlayTime - Game 1 Winner	Team Falcons	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0xb4319f…