Growing-Tortilla — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$20

Unrealized P&L

-$7

Hit rate

83.6%

Resolved

261

Trades

316

lifetime

Volume

$2.80K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$13

3 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 07-12 17:18

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 85 days

Categories

Crypto

68% 98% +$2

Sports

15% 51% +$4

Other

10% 54% -$27

Politics

7% 62% +$1

Activity

No trades in the last 84 days (last trade 2026-07-12).

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	+7	$5	88¢	$6	+$1	06-22 11:58
Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	+36	$10	14¢	$5	-$5	07-10 09:09
russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	+13	$5	18¢	$2	-$3	06-28 19:35

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Supreme Court rules in favor of Trump's tariffs?	4	$30	21	21	+0	No	+$0	02-10 20:37
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	5	$30	19	19	+0	No	$0	03-01 05:43
Will the Minnesota Wild win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	4	$28	15	15	+0	No	+$0	02-26 23:10
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	6	$28	17	17	+0	Yes	$0	03-19 14:14
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	2	$22	44	44	+0	No	+$4	06-14 21:58
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$21	13	13	+0	No	+$1	06-15 02:58
bitcoin up or down april 20 2026 9am et	2	$21	13	13	+0	Down	-$6	04-20 13:57
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$20	12	12	+0	Yes	+$0	02-10 22:53
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$0	03-02 14:31
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	2	$20	11	11	+0	No	$0	02-25 12:35
Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?	5	$19	26	8	+18	Yes	+$7	07-10 08:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	1	$19	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	05-20 07:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11PM ET	1	$19	19	0	+19	Up	+$0	05-17 03:50
bitcoin up or down march 23 2026 11am et	1	$19	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	03-23 15:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 11AM ET	1	$19	19	0	+19	Up	+$0	05-14 15:55
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 10pm et	1	$18	19	0	+19	Down	+$0	03-28 02:50
bitcoin up or down march 24 2026 3pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	Down	+$0	03-24 19:58
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by end of 2026?	2	$18	16	16	+0	Yes	$0	02-09 00:36
bitcoin up or down march 27 2026 9pm et	1	$18	18	0	+18	Down	+$0	03-28 01:50
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?	3	$18	175	0	+175	No	-$18	07-12 17:18
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?	2	$18	17	17	+0	No	+$0	07-09 14:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5AM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	05-16 09:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	1	$17	18	0	+18	Down	+$0	05-19 11:50
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 10am et	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	04-12 14:57
bitcoin up or down april 21 2026 5pm et	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	04-21 21:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	06-02 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	05-17 22:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	1	$17	17	0	+17	Up	+$0	05-26 05:50
bitcoin up or down april 12 2026 8am et	1	$16	16	0	+16	Down	+$0	04-12 12:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 3PM ET	1	$16	17	0	+17	Down	+$0	05-14 19:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-12 17:18:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	30	25¢	$7	0xfa143c…
07-12 17:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	76	6¢	$4	0xa9ecb2…
07-12 17:04:43	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 36°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	70	8¢	$6	0x3527b4…
07-12 16:09:44	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 35°C on July 12?	No	BUY	40	13¢	$5	0x3d3554…
07-12 12:27:58	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x3374b3…
07-11 19:21:10	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	16	25¢	$4	0x136fab…
07-11 19:21:08	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	10	19¢	$2	0x2a93f9…
07-11 18:51:04	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 11?	Yes	BUY	96	3¢	$3	0x6da2cb…
07-10 09:47:19	Will the highest temperature in London be 27°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xc69d74…
07-10 09:18:08	Will the highest temperature in London be 30°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	0	17¢	$0	0xcf9304…
07-10 09:09:52	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0xd997e3…
07-10 09:09:52	Will Édouard Philippe win the 2027 French presidential election?	Yes	BUY	18	27¢	$5	0x79624f…
07-10 08:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0xfcd871…
07-10 08:16:02	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x96b739…
07-10 08:15:59	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	7	56¢	$4	0xce07a5…
07-10 05:12:07	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	SELL	8	58¢	$5	0x65ed81…
07-10 00:18:13	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 36°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x958b08…
07-09 21:31:49	Will the highest temperature in London be 29°C on July 10?	Yes	BUY	21	39¢	$8	0xe7daf9…
07-09 17:02:22	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?	Yes	SELL	9	84¢	$8	0x995041…
07-09 16:45:31	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?	No	SELL	5	59¢	$3	0x5cfcf8…
07-09 16:24:53	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 86-87°F on July 9?	No	BUY	8	59¢	$5	0x00d3b1…
07-09 15:07:19	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 33°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	11	77¢	$8	0x24f792…
07-09 15:07:14	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0xd27798…
07-09 15:06:08	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0xb41235…
07-09 14:44:26	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 39°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0x5e1e88…
07-09 14:09:44	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	SELL	17	52¢	$9	0xe4c9ca…
07-09 13:53:17	Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 84-85°F on July 9?	Yes	BUY	17	50¢	$9	0x942c14…
07-09 11:34:11	Will the highest temperature in London be 34°C on July 9?	Yes	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x87c9fc…
06-28 19:35:31	russia ukraine peace talks by december 31 2026 20260609012542189	No	BUY	13	40¢	$5	0x56ce31…
06-26 23:27:52	mlb phi nym 2026 06 26	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	13	68¢	$9	0x4ed906…
06-25 00:08:20	mlb cle cws 2026 06 24	Cleveland Guardians	BUY	9	74¢	$7	0x6a33a6…
06-24 01:54:41	mlb chc nym 2026 06 22	Chicago Cubs	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0xefc78b…
06-24 01:52:28	mlb lad min 2026 06 23 spread away 4pt5	Minnesota Twins	BUY	10	54¢	$6	0x05ac6a…
06-24 00:31:55	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 23 spread home 3pt5	Washington Nationals	BUY	15	35¢	$5	0xac06c1…
06-23 03:13:52	mlb atl sd 2026 06 22 spread away 1pt5	San Diego Padres	BUY	7	79¢	$6	0x15e616…
06-23 00:32:55	mlb phi wsh 2026 06 22 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	16	57¢	$9	0xb3c2da…
06-22 11:58:47	russia x ukraine ceasefire by december 31 2026	No	BUY	7	80¢	$5	0xcf76cc…
06-21 21:56:50	mlb bal lad 2026 06 21	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	5	91¢	$5	0x4af4d0…
06-20 05:08:13	mlb bal lad 2026 06 19	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0xfbb83f…
06-18 23:24:58	mlb cws nyy 2026 06 18 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0x3ea76d…
06-17 23:33:41	mlb sf atl 2026 06 17	San Francisco Giants	BUY	21	46¢	$10	0x2fc484…
06-17 20:41:35	mlb tb lad 2026 06 17 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	11	22¢	$2	0x47c889…
06-17 20:40:43	mlb tb lad 2026 06 17 total 8pt5	Under	BUY	11	27¢	$3	0x05a2b3…
06-17 18:23:20	mlb sd stl 2026 06 17 total 10pt5	Under	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x530daa…
06-17 03:00:39	mlb bal sea 2026 06 16	Baltimore Orioles	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x779b33…
06-15 02:58:52	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	13	82¢	$11	0x594a0c…
06-14 21:58:51	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	44	29¢	$13	0x8e7147…
06-13 20:13:27	mlb lad cws 2026 06 13 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xeaaf90…
06-13 19:53:40	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 4pt5	Over	BUY	55	9¢	$5	0xee64e8…
06-13 19:22:01	fifwc qat che 2026 06 13 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0x761026…
06-13 17:51:48	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	44	21¢	$9	0xbcee57…
06-13 17:45:21	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	13	74¢	$10	0xcfc770…
06-13 11:11:24	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	7	37¢	$3	0x4002f0…
06-12 02:35:46	nhl las car 2026 06 11 total 5pt5	Over	BUY	17	74¢	$13	0xcedda8…
06-11 03:13:13	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 3pt5	Spurs	BUY	8	83¢	$6	0xd73b0b…
06-11 02:09:48	mlb min det 2026 06 10 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	9	69¢	$6	0x54ca97…
06-11 01:35:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x612c07…
06-11 01:27:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	7	84¢	$6	0x400ec5…
06-11 01:26:51	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread away 8pt5	Spurs	BUY	13	69¢	$9	0x7c5db1…
06-11 00:52:37	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10 spread home 1pt5	Spurs	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x073e3e…
06-10 23:20:15	mlb stl nym 2026 06 10	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x7f1241…
06-10 18:42:28	mlb nyy cle 2026 06 10 total 9pt5	Under	BUY	8	64¢	$5	0x50e290…
06-10 02:09:31	wnba phx gsv 2026 06 09 spread home 7pt5	Phoenix Mercury	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x33b607…
06-10 00:49:51	mlb min det 2026 06 09 total 9pt5	Over	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8311a7…
06-09 23:41:55	mlb atl cws 2026 06 09	Chicago White Sox	BUY	11	44¢	$5	0xf2de15…
06-09 01:23:07	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x38b3a4…
06-07 20:55:33	mlb laa lad 2026 06 07 spread away 1pt5	Los Angeles Angels	BUY	24	36¢	$9	0x336c19…
06-06 17:31:13	mlb sea det 2026 06 06	Seattle Mariners	BUY	9	57¢	$5	0x7cbfc5…
06-06 02:57:49	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread away 1pt5	Knicks	BUY	7	91¢	$6	0x035dc6…
06-06 02:50:54	nba nyk sas 2026 06 05 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x25c451…
06-05 02:34:16	mlb lad ari 2026 06 04	Los Angeles Dodgers	BUY	14	53¢	$7	0x7f19f8…
06-04 02:41:12	nba nyk sas 2026 06 03 spread home 3pt5	Knicks	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xfb8baf…
06-04 01:55:43	mlb tex stl 2026 06 03 spread home 3pt5	Texas Rangers	BUY	17	58¢	$10	0x175cd3…
06-03 01:02:57	San Diego Padres vs. Philadelphia Phillies	Philadelphia Phillies	BUY	9	86¢	$8	0x880756…
06-02 19:58:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x19ecf1…
06-01 22:51:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6PM ET	Up	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xeed07a…
06-01 10:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6AM ET	Down	BUY	9	97¢	$9	0x934ca3…
05-31 19:08:33	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	12	83¢	$10	0xbb0b8c…
05-31 19:07:09	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	8	99¢	$8	0x5e1f7a…
05-31 19:07:07	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xbe6eee…
05-30 15:02:24	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-2.5)	Arsenal FC	BUY	9	94¢	$8	0x2aff7b…
05-30 03:50:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11PM ET	Down	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x20ff09…
05-30 01:54:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 9PM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xcd44c1…
05-29 03:51:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x305baa…
05-28 20:51:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xc54530…
05-28 19:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$14	0x9e1ddd…
05-26 05:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 1AM ET	Up	BUY	17	99¢	$17	0x6f625a…
05-22 22:51:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	11	100¢	$11	0x41e2e5…
05-22 11:53:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 7AM ET	Up	BUY	15	99¢	$15	0x2816d4…
05-21 19:51:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x66e075…
05-20 07:51:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3AM ET	Down	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x423752…
05-20 02:51:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	99¢	$13	0x7c8dbb…
05-19 16:50:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 12PM ET	Up	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x92a4c6…
05-19 11:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7AM ET	Down	BUY	18	99¢	$17	0x9ab08c…
05-19 07:50:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x055159…
05-18 19:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3PM ET	Up	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xcdc2ee…
05-18 07:55:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 18, 3AM ET	Up	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x0cf8a4…
05-18 03:54:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 11PM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$9	0x9510bd…
05-17 22:50:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6PM ET	Down	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0xafec85…
05-17 12:11:17	Rayo Vallecano de Madrid vs. Villarreal CF: O/U 5.5	Under	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9ae3b3…