Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$381

Unrealized P&L

-$40

Hit rate

78.4%

Resolved

Trades

606

lifetime

Volume

$21.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$36

Open exposure

$2.30K

12 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-30 23:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 19 days

Categories

Politics

41% 67% +$286

Other

39% 47% +$56

Crypto

20% 50% +$39

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

33 active days in 12wk • peak 64 trades/day

Open positions (12) Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	No		-1,321	-$860	86¢	$-1143	-$283	09-08 15:17
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?	No		-225	-$194	97¢	$-219	-$25	05-06 06:29
Will Hyperliquid reach $200 by December 31, 2026?	No		+191	$172	97¢	$186	+$14	09-21 10:15
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	No		+200	$162	85¢	$170	+$8	10-29 12:19
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No		+200	$138	74¢	$148	+$10	10-01 19:48
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes		+200	$135	70¢	$141	+$6	10-30 23:53
Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	No		+100	$86	96¢	$96	+$10	10-29 16:11
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	—	+100	$56	84¢	$85	+$28	10-18 20:18
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+200	$53	27¢	$54	+$1	10-29 15:38
Will Hyperliquid reach $150 by December 31, 2026?	No		+40	$31	95¢	$38	+$7	09-21 11:34
Will Bitcoin have the best performance in 2026?	Yes		-300	-$132	6¢	$-17	+$116	05-05 23:47
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	Yes		+0	-$69	15¢	$0	+$69	09-22 10:42

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will lus marques mendes win the 2026 portugal presidential election	44	$5.7K	3,357	3,516	-159	No	+$115	01-14 20:26
Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	22	$1.0K	1,200	1,000	+200	open	—	10-29 15:38
will andr ventura win the first round by at least 4	22	$968	613	472	+141	No	+$23	01-18 11:37
will antnio jos seguro win the 2026 portugal presidential election	6	$920	737	737	-0	Yes	+$5	01-14 23:56
Will Lighter reach $6 before 2027?	10	$860	0	1,321	-1,321	open	—	09-08 15:17
Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	13	$800	645	445	+200	open	—	10-30 23:53
will antnio jos seguro win the first round	12	$644	700	700	+0	Yes	+$304	01-18 20:14
Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	13	$580	452	352	+100	open	—	10-18 20:18
Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	8	$560	500	300	+200	open	—	10-01 19:48
will joo cotrim figueiredo win the 2026 portugal presidential election 643	7	$481	300	300	+0	No	+$1	01-15 00:47
Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	17	$441	500	300	+200	open	—	10-29 12:19
will antnio jos seguro win the 1st round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	10	$391	300	300	+0	Yes	+$205	01-18 20:16
will joo cotrim de figueiredo qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$380	600	600	+0	No	-$4	01-16 23:09
Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	4	$374	500	500	+0	open	—	09-27 11:24
Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	7	$368	200	200	+0	open	—	10-06 00:19
will andr ventura qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$353	584	584	+0	Yes	-$37	01-18 12:22
Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	7	$336	220	220	+0	open	—	10-05 07:33
will bitcoin reach 105k in january 2026	4	$312	200	200	+0	No	+$32	01-17 13:07
will magnus carlsen win the 20252026 speed chess championship	21	$287	499	355	+144	Yes	-$26	01-19 01:48
will any presidential candidate win outright in the first round of the portuguese election	5	$279	283	0	+283	No	+$3	01-02 00:34
will lus marques mendes qualify for the second round of the 2026 portugal presidential election	4	$264	438	0	+438	No	+$174	01-10 22:40
Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	10	$263	262	262	+0	open	—	09-30 23:33
Will MrBeast's next video get between 30 and 35 million views on day 1?	8	$238	600	600	+0	Yes	-$10	09-19 19:00
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 30 minutes and 1 hour and 45 minutes 328 877	20	$235	500	500	+0	Yes	+$15	01-24 20:08
Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	6	$234	300	300	+0	open	—	10-01 13:21
will hikaru nakamura win the 20252026 speed chess championship	39	$234	834	607	+227	No	-$33	02-04 12:21
Will MrBeast's next video get between 25 and 30 million views on day 1?	18	$233	443	443	+0	No	+$18	09-19 23:31
will alex honnold free solo taipei 101 in between 1 hour and 15 minutes and 1 hour and 30 minutes 363	13	$220	500	500	+0	No	$0	01-25 01:48
Record crypto liquidation in 2026?	1	$194	0	225	-225	open	—	05-06 06:29
will alireza firouzja win the 20252026 speed chess championship	26	$186	1,010	469	+541	No	-$26	02-07 12:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-30 23:53:52	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	75¢	$75	0xfa13e0…
10-29 16:11:08	Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0xa236a9…
10-29 16:06:40	Will Hyperliquid reach $130 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	86¢	$43	0x0d064c…
10-29 15:38:46	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	71¢	$142	0xc1e375…
10-29 15:09:32	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	57¢	$114	0xae2321…
10-29 13:24:38	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	16	47¢	$8	0x33dca4…
10-29 13:23:56	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	174	47¢	$82	0xe8a89b…
10-29 12:19:31	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	132	81¢	$107	0x936574…
10-29 11:51:31	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	48	81¢	$39	0xe6c89a…
10-29 11:51:29	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	81¢	$16	0xbcfa04…
10-29 10:50:25	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	200	26¢	$52	0x0f9a90…
10-28 16:21:43	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	200	23¢	$46	0xe85e99…
10-25 00:36:42	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	52	71¢	$37	0xf9a05b…
10-24 10:08:35	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	28	71¢	$20	0x3c14ab…
10-24 10:01:39	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0xbafffe…
10-24 09:57:41	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	145	74¢	$107	0xf8ff58…
10-23 19:54:36	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	55	75¢	$41	0xd2c60e…
10-23 19:54:27	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	144	75¢	$108	0x23fdd7…
10-23 17:10:35	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	51	75¢	$38	0xbcf666…
10-23 17:10:35	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	50	75¢	$38	0x3686dc…
10-20 14:36:14	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	190	39¢	$74	0x0f9000…
10-20 09:39:45	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xe9a216…
10-20 07:02:50	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	39¢	$2	0xd4560d…
10-18 20:18:47	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	71¢	$71	0xafea11…
10-18 19:06:05	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	30¢	$90	0x5ad3e9…
10-17 13:08:54	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	43¢	$29	0xd8a5e7…
10-17 11:58:11	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	10	47¢	$5	0xdc2fe7…
10-17 11:58:00	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	43¢	$57	0x31194c…
10-16 19:46:47	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	132	44¢	$58	0xe254c7…
10-16 19:36:19	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x286501…
10-11 07:54:40	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	115	74¢	$85	0xd032a7…
10-11 07:54:28	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	20	74¢	$15	0xe9353f…
10-11 07:53:46	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	60	74¢	$44	0xdd0296…
10-06 11:01:58	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	5	74¢	$4	0xd5f612…
10-06 00:19:22	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	SELL	103	95¢	$98	0xe79daa…
10-05 07:33:10	Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	83¢	$83	0xa1db46…
10-02 08:53:26	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	66¢	$79	0x8346bd…
10-02 02:39:09	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	24	47¢	$11	0xa2c862…
10-02 02:39:05	Amazon (AMZN) Up or Down on October 2?	Down	BUY	50	47¢	$24	0x341c9d…
10-02 00:48:03	aapl up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	81	47¢	$38	0x4836f5…
10-02 00:19:18	nvda up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	10	47¢	$4	0x25981c…
10-02 00:04:24	amzn up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xa06bdf…
10-01 23:50:17	nvda up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe6501d…
10-01 23:28:59	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	73¢	$73	0x3c93fb…
10-01 23:28:38	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x3b33fa…
10-01 23:04:48	nvda up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x412b5f…
10-01 23:04:41	nvda up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0xf52d47…
10-01 22:54:18	msft up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	100	47¢	$47	0xa37541…
10-01 22:42:47	aapl up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$3	0x364535…
10-01 21:34:24	amzn up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x8f430e…
10-01 21:04:53	msft up or down on october 2 2026	Up	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1d10b7…
10-01 20:47:24	amzn up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x1313d8…
10-01 19:48:56	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0xdd1f7a…
10-01 18:06:23	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	88	71¢	$62	0xc7bef3…
10-01 18:04:36	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	63	71¢	$45	0x3c9baa…
10-01 17:33:23	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	100	16¢	$16	0xca6f43…
10-01 17:28:42	amzn up or down on october 1 2026	Up	SELL	100	43¢	$43	0xd334d6…
10-01 16:56:08	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	SELL	95	50¢	$48	0x98af5b…
10-01 16:56:08	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x2b9999…
10-01 16:55:47	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	34	71¢	$24	0xec4f28…
10-01 14:24:51	amzn up or down on october 1 2026	Up	BUY	100	23¢	$23	0x40ff1e…
10-01 13:52:03	aapl up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0x9e030a…
10-01 13:49:27	nvda up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	19	47¢	$9	0xe666be…
10-01 13:40:17	nvda up or down on october 2 2026	Down	BUY	47	47¢	$22	0x7e3d49…
10-01 13:21:57	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	100	33¢	$33	0x0020e5…
10-01 13:08:17	Microsoft (MSFT) Up or Down on October 1?	Down	BUY	100	19¢	$19	0xd44adc…
10-01 12:47:44	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	100	33¢	$33	0x5a93fc…
10-01 12:47:21	Extended FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	25	69¢	$17	0xa68479…
10-01 11:54:24	Variational FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	72¢	$72	0x73acf7…
09-30 23:33:33	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	62	50¢	$31	0xa7348d…
09-30 21:59:39	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	78¢	$78	0x38a6b7…
09-29 06:25:48	Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xae4a18…
09-29 03:15:33	Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	20	71¢	$14	0x928967…
09-29 02:27:02	Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	50	71¢	$36	0x86c884…
09-28 16:48:26	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	71¢	$5	0xc1ce3b…
09-28 16:46:09	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	71¢	$11	0x6371f8…
09-28 16:39:50	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	78	71¢	$55	0x52ff49…
09-28 11:15:11	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	61¢	$20	0xea373d…
09-27 21:51:30	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x08d768…
09-27 21:20:27	Will Pump.fun reach $0.0058 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x2142cd…
09-27 11:24:20	Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	SELL	300	38¢	$114	0x645e0c…
09-26 08:06:39	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	20	41¢	$8	0xbf7413…
09-26 04:58:35	Will Ethena reach $0.28 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	6¢	$12	0x480884…
09-26 00:04:23	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	23	75¢	$17	0x6d32d3…
09-25 15:59:14	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	42	41¢	$17	0xe66e23…
09-23 05:48:41	Will Zcash dip to $600 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	120	76¢	$91	0x660603…
09-23 02:47:19	Will Zcash dip to $700 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	67¢	$67	0xb02e25…
09-23 02:39:08	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	39	61¢	$24	0xbb6162…
09-23 00:10:20	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	20	61¢	$12	0x5b7e02…
09-22 21:20:52	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	9	61¢	$5	0xd94af5…
09-22 17:56:04	Will Zcash reach $2000 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	61¢	$19	0xe6e46a…
09-22 17:37:37	Will Hyperliquid reach $100 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	75¢	$8	0x981e8e…
09-22 17:21:31	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0xa52bd6…
09-22 13:47:34	Variational FDV above $4B one day after launch?	No	BUY	60	91¢	$54	0xbd243f…
09-22 10:42:33	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	58¢	$15	0x8e18cf…
09-22 09:52:36	Extended FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	37	42¢	$16	0x532d49…
09-22 08:10:37	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x25d6f1…
09-22 07:58:46	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0xccb9c0…
09-22 04:12:18	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x7c79c5…
09-22 04:04:46	Will Hyperliquid reach $110 by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	58¢	$1	0x457eae…