Large-Cocktail — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$368

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

3.8%

Resolved

Trades

3,284

lifetime

Volume

$32.2K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-01

last 06-03 04:21

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

89% 25% $-325

Other

8% 0% $-44

Politics

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 53 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	9	$1.4K	869	869	+0	open	—	05-17 20:59
btc updown 15m 1774043100	2	$1.2K	843	831	+13	open	—	03-20 21:52
btc updown 15m 1773924300	2	$967	649	640	+10	open	—	03-19 12:50
btc updown 15m 1774034100	6	$928	795	783	+12	open	—	03-20 19:28
btc updown 15m 1773958500	4	$729	563	555	+8	open	—	03-19 22:24
btc updown 15m 1773882900	2	$581	316	315	+1	open	—	03-19 01:29
btc updown 5m 1773586200	2	$573	314	313	+1	open	—	03-15 14:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	7	$550	938	0	+938	open	—	05-17 20:52
btc updown 15m 1773868500	2	$543	311	309	+2	open	—	03-18 21:29
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	9	$542	513	513	+0	open	—	03-08 22:31
btc updown 15m 1773932400	2	$541	359	354	+5	open	—	03-19 15:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	3	$535	1,120	1,120	+0	Down	$-265	05-05 23:20
btc updown 15m 1774038600	12	$528	490	398	+92	open	—	03-20 20:42
btc updown 15m 1773883800	2	$527	322	318	+4	open	—	03-19 01:44
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 liv1	2	$520	286	286	+0	open	—	03-18 20:50
ucl fcb1 new 2026 03 18 fcb1	2	$429	263	263	+0	open	—	03-18 20:47
btc updown 15m 1774042200	6	$427	468	258	+210	open	—	03-20 21:39
btc updown 15m 1774047600	2	$416	837	824	+13	open	—	03-20 23:07
btc updown 15m 1773580500	4	$376	335	286	+49	open	—	03-15 13:29
btc updown 5m 1770894000	2	$345	293	288	+4	open	—	02-12 11:04
btc updown 15m 1773481500	5	$332	271	205	+65	open	—	03-14 09:53
btc updown 15m 1773486900	2	$326	236	232	+4	open	—	03-14 11:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	2	$303	207	207	+0	open	—	05-28 14:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	3	$300	613	0	+613	open	—	05-17 21:02
btc updown 15m 1773266400	4	$294	322	319	+3	open	—	03-11 22:14
btc updown 15m 1773518400	3	$280	183	181	+2	open	—	03-14 20:12
bitcoin up or down on march 7	2	$274	176	174	+3	open	—	03-07 19:13
ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	2	$269	174	171	+2	open	—	04-08 20:47
btc updown 15m 1773925200	5	$260	188	186	+2	open	—	03-19 13:11
btc updown 15m 1773576900	8	$245	212	209	+3	open	—	03-15 12:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 04:21:49	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,250	0¢	$5	0xc5fe38…
06-03 04:19:06	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	12,338	0¢	$37	0x2a7459…
06-03 04:02:30	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	12,338	0¢	$49	0x5b21e5…
05-29 15:17:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	SELL	74	74¢	$55	0xffca72…
05-29 15:16:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	74	63¢	$47	0xbafe6c…
05-28 21:20:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	SELL	128	51¢	$65	0x4f8d7a…
05-28 21:17:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Down	BUY	128	39¢	$50	0x7674c3…
05-28 21:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xdfccaf…
05-28 21:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x654ad8…
05-28 21:10:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x13ba68…
05-28 21:09:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0xadd6c6…
05-28 21:08:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	167	12¢	$20	0x01ac4a…
05-28 14:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	SELL	207	98¢	$203	0xd7ed5d…
05-28 14:00:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	207	48¢	$100	0x546fb9…
05-28 13:56:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0xcf4b0b…
05-28 13:55:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0xd51a5c…
05-28 13:55:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0x215bcb…
05-28 13:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	83	6¢	$5	0x6a1d13…
05-28 13:50:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	400	25¢	$100	0x19cc4c…
05-28 13:36:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	100	5¢	$5	0xe4f9dc…
05-28 13:35:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x03f15f…
05-28 13:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x79b1be…
05-17 21:02:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	240	42¢	$100	0xb7bf93…
05-17 21:02:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	189	53¢	$100	0x6528fe…
05-17 21:02:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x9f0bea…
05-17 20:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	607	89¢	$542	0xd0657b…
05-17 20:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	262	84¢	$221	0x62c28f…
05-17 20:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	138	72¢	$100	0xe54643…
05-17 20:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	140	72¢	$100	0xcfc3de…
05-17 20:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	137	73¢	$100	0x60b568…
05-17 20:55:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	141	71¢	$100	0xa512cd…
05-17 20:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	142	70¢	$100	0x4c9533…
05-17 20:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	24	68¢	$17	0xae060d…
05-17 20:55:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0x002962…
05-17 20:52:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0xd34d66…
05-17 20:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0xc218cd…
05-17 20:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	172	58¢	$100	0xc360d7…
05-17 20:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xe908f9…
05-17 20:51:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0x9c3ed3…
05-17 20:51:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xe72e3e…
05-17 20:51:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	Up	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0xca5294…
05-17 20:49:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	402	25¢	$100	0x3b8dc8…
05-17 20:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	Up	BUY	218	46¢	$100	0x741ce9…
05-17 20:03:33	FC Barcelona vs. Real Betis Balompié: Both Teams to Score	No	BUY	371	54¢	$200	0x17e987…
05-05 23:20:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1,120	12¢	$135	0x251355…
05-05 23:16:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x8a1450…
05-05 23:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:15PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	735	41¢	$300	0x1493ea…
05-05 23:03:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:00PM-7:15PM ET	Down	BUY	288	69¢	$200	0x98f241…
05-05 23:01:36	Counter-Strike: ALKA vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs	QUINTESSÊNCIA	SELL	169	34¢	$57	0x9ba581…
05-05 22:40:46	Counter-Strike: ALKA vs QUINTESSÊNCIA (BO3) - Gamers Club Liga Série A Playoffs	QUINTESSÊNCIA	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x99ea80…
05-05 22:32:48	Counter-Strike: ALKA vs QUINTESSÊNCIA - Map 1 Winner	ALKA	BUY	246	0¢	$1	0xd916a1…
05-05 22:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x6df1ec…
05-05 22:03:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	50	12¢	$6	0xc6d5ce…
05-05 22:02:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x78897a…
05-05 22:01:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 6:00PM-6:15PM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x08bf17…
05-05 21:54:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb8e4d6…
05-05 21:52:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	9¢	$1	0xdd2f35…
05-05 21:50:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0x516fb5…
04-08 20:47:05	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	SELL	171	99¢	$170	0x67ab10…
04-08 19:11:13	ucl psg1 liv1 2026 04 08 psg1	Yes	BUY	174	57¢	$99	0x769e28…
04-07 19:22:53	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	75	33¢	$25	0x6d7be2…
04-02 13:28:17	btc updown 15m 1775135700	Down	BUY	347	1¢	$3	0x632099…
04-02 13:24:51	btc updown 15m 1775135700	Down	BUY	136	30¢	$41	0x500bf7…
03-21 07:14:25	will another country conduct military action against iran by april 15 2026	No	SELL	50	72¢	$36	0x6f1e58…
03-20 23:07:37	btc updown 15m 1774047600	Up	SELL	824	2¢	$15	0x0dc13f…
03-20 23:00:15	btc updown 15m 1774047600	Up	BUY	837	48¢	$402	0x2e4af9…
03-20 22:45:41	btc updown 15m 1774046700	Down	BUY	370	54¢	$200	0x578f83…
03-20 22:29:51	btc updown 15m 1774045800	Down	BUY	191	52¢	$100	0x63a35b…
03-20 21:52:15	btc updown 15m 1774043100	Up	SELL	831	85¢	$704	0x33c981…
03-20 21:45:39	btc updown 15m 1774043100	Up	BUY	843	58¢	$486	0x9f3816…
03-20 21:39:19	btc updown 15m 1774042200	Up	BUY	72	69¢	$50	0xc9f2f5…
03-20 21:38:47	btc updown 15m 1774042200	Up	BUY	133	75¢	$100	0x9bf694…
03-20 21:34:33	btc updown 15m 1774042200	Up	SELL	258	61¢	$157	0x3bc1e5…
03-20 21:27:25	btc updown 15m 1774042200	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x4ae02d…
03-20 21:24:59	btc updown 15m 1774042200	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0x579101…
03-20 21:24:51	btc updown 15m 1774042200	Up	BUY	109	46¢	$50	0xdba9b6…
03-20 21:13:59	btc updown 15m 1774040400	Up	SELL	31	86¢	$27	0x6b08cd…
03-20 21:09:41	btc updown 15m 1774040400	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x9dc8a9…
03-20 21:09:37	btc updown 15m 1774040400	Up	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x15ba82…
03-20 20:42:37	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x8d790b…
03-20 20:41:33	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0xf531ba…
03-20 20:41:33	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe60efe…
03-20 20:41:33	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Up	BUY	2	15¢	$0	0xace3e6…
03-20 20:41:33	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x7fd460…
03-20 20:41:33	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Up	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x7c0deb…
03-20 20:41:33	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0x6fa548…
03-20 20:41:33	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Up	BUY	1	15¢	$0	0x451e8d…
03-20 20:41:33	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0x3742dc…
03-20 20:41:31	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Up	BUY	4	15¢	$1	0xcdd073…
03-20 20:33:07	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Down	SELL	398	79¢	$316	0x1424ce…
03-20 20:30:03	btc updown 15m 1774038600	Down	BUY	404	49¢	$200	0x87320a…
03-20 20:27:03	btc updown 15m 1774037700	Up	SELL	134	1¢	$1	0x8f1320…
03-20 20:20:25	btc updown 15m 1774037700	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xd0d4da…
03-20 20:17:13	btc updown 15m 1774037700	Up	BUY	123	41¢	$50	0xe2f966…
03-20 20:14:25	btc updown 15m 1774036800	Up	SELL	97	94¢	$91	0x044f64…
03-20 20:06:43	btc updown 15m 1774036800	Up	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x0bb5bb…
03-20 20:03:47	btc updown 15m 1774036800	Up	SELL	31	48¢	$15	0x3ead5e…
03-20 20:02:27	btc updown 15m 1774036800	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x465194…
03-20 19:28:21	btc updown 15m 1774034100	Up	SELL	42	49¢	$21	0x37dfa0…
03-20 19:27:29	btc updown 15m 1774034100	Up	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0x170075…