Useless-Burn — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.16K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 06-08 11:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

40% 100% +$0

Politics

37% 100% +$4

Other

21% — —

Sports

3% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$294	152	152	+0	open	—	04-07 06:12
Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$217	110	110	+0	open	—	01-23 06:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	1	$210	210	0	+210	open	—	05-13 17:00
Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	2	$200	101	100	+0	open	—	01-16 05:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	05-15 12:56
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	1	$200	202	0	+202	open	—	04-29 10:07
Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	04-14 05:17
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$200	201	0	+201	open	—	04-22 07:49
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	1	$200	200	0	+200	open	—	05-23 05:48
lol tes we 2026 04 08	1	$150	203	0	+203	open	—	04-08 12:24
LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	2	$149	111	111	+0	open	—	05-24 13:35
bitcoin above 80k on february 6	1	$125	125	0	+125	open	—	02-06 10:21
us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	02-10 03:31
Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	02-04 05:22
bitcoin above 86k on february 1	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	02-01 14:05
bitcoin above 60k on february 15	1	$120	120	0	+120	open	—	02-15 13:19
will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	1	$110	120	0	+120	open	—	02-27 08:04
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$110	111	0	+111	open	—	01-27 08:50
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	01-23 06:35
over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	1	$110	110	0	+110	open	—	01-10 15:30
will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$105	106	0	+106	open	—	02-20 05:55
lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	1	$105	117	0	+117	open	—	03-17 06:18
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	1	$100	104	0	+104	No	+$4	05-10 02:52
Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1	$100	101	0	+101	open	—	01-16 05:25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	1	$100	100	0	+100	No	+$0	05-08 05:48
Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	01-29 11:39
bitcoin above 58k on february 24	1	$100	100	0	+100	open	—	02-24 11:48
lol al blg 2026 06 08	2	$97	102	0	+102	open	—	06-08 11:15
Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	01-29 11:39
us x iran ceasefire by march 15	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-11 11:07

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 11:15:49	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	100	95¢	$95	0xea362c…
06-08 05:52:58	lol al blg 2026 06 08	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	81¢	$2	0x8cf501…
05-24 13:35:27	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Weibo Gaming	SELL	111	44¢	$49	0xab5421…
05-24 05:44:53	LoL: Weibo Gaming vs LGD Gaming (BO5) - LPL Play-In	Weibo Gaming	BUY	111	90¢	$100	0x6ed069…
05-23 05:48:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x26f6d8…
05-15 12:59:20	LoL: Gen.G vs T1 (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	T1	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x06c532…
05-15 12:56:32	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x969b23…
05-15 12:09:44	LoL: Top Esports vs Bilibili Gaming (BO3) - LPL Group Ascend	Bilibili Gaming	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x23a175…
05-13 17:00:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 13, 2026?	No	BUY	210	100¢	$210	0x7b9ff4…
05-13 14:27:15	LoL: BNK FEARX vs Gen.G (BO3) - LCK Rounds 1-2	Gen.G	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x8e1bc7…
05-10 02:52:21	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 11, 2026?	No	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0xc9d39d…
05-08 05:48:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $84,000 on May 8?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xdfa16a…
04-29 10:07:02	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	202	99¢	$200	0x3d0dd4…
04-22 07:49:32	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	201	100¢	$200	0x37f638…
04-14 05:17:45	Genius FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x6a7129…
04-08 12:24:43	lol tes we 2026 04 08	Top Esports	BUY	203	74¢	$150	0x8cfbaf…
04-07 06:12:21	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	152	97¢	$148	0x259006…
04-05 14:35:11	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	152	96¢	$146	0x4abba8…
03-17 06:18:57	lol gen jdg 2026 03 17	Gen.G	BUY	117	90¢	$105	0x2842e0…
03-11 11:07:41	us x iran ceasefire by march 15	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x8e983b…
03-06 09:36:29	Opinion FDV above $1.5B one day after launch?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6ef33a…
03-03 03:24:23	Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xf29140…
03-03 03:24:07	bitcoin above 58k on march 3	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x01e422…
02-27 08:04:41	will paul thomas anderson win best director at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	120	92¢	$110	0x49314d…
02-27 06:30:02	will bitcoin dip to 55k in february 2026 644 513 935	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc64665…
02-27 06:29:30	will hamnet win best adapted screenplay at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x7162e5…
02-24 11:48:08	bitcoin above 58k on february 24	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x54f971…
02-20 05:56:12	will germany win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8959c8…
02-20 05:56:04	will france win the second most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaf21b6…
02-20 05:55:12	will norway win the most medals in the 2026 winter olympics	Yes	BUY	106	99¢	$105	0x9a588a…
02-15 13:19:11	bitcoin above 60k on february 15	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xf50a17…
02-15 12:34:07	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xf959c8…
02-15 12:33:51	us strikes iran by february 15 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x528d74…
02-10 03:32:03	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xf49f5e…
02-10 03:31:49	us strikes iran by february 9 2026 113 751	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xacb486…
02-06 10:21:21	bitcoin above 80k on february 6	No	BUY	125	100¢	$125	0xfc85c9…
02-04 05:23:10	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5e02cf…
02-04 05:22:48	Tria FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x27e329…
02-04 05:22:36	Tria FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x5318e5…
02-01 14:06:20	will bitcoin dip to 45k in february 2026 429 933 793	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2b9224…
02-01 14:05:30	bitcoin above 86k on february 1	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x584125…
01-29 11:39:36	Moonbirds FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x36abc0…
01-29 11:39:08	Moonbirds FDV above $700M one day after launch?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9096e9…
01-27 08:51:11	will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x20e40c…
01-27 08:51:05	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xcffa82…
01-27 08:50:55	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x24cd1b…
01-27 08:50:31	no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	111	99¢	$110	0x673475…
01-23 06:36:44	fed decreases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x3b7ae9…
01-23 06:35:12	Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x834dc5…
01-23 06:34:44	Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	110	100¢	$110	0x776df3…
01-20 08:02:00	Sentient FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	110	97¢	$107	0x508b8c…
01-20 07:54:42	Seeker FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0xc97aa8…
01-20 07:54:10	Trove FDV above $40M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe5d88d…
01-20 07:53:54	Trove FDV above $20M one day after launch?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x47b0f4…
01-16 05:25:58	Over $16M committed to the Space public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0xbf1a0e…
01-16 05:25:42	footballfun fdv above 70m one day after launch	Yes	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x74cf6a…
01-16 05:25:12	Fogo FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0x38b533…
01-16 05:24:56	Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x26f3cd…
01-13 11:39:37	Fogo FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xbcf9d3…
01-13 11:38:51	us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	No	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x0ea7cc…
01-13 11:38:23	will logan pauls psa 10 pokmon illustrator sale price be over 18 million 565	No	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x39fab2…
01-10 15:30:42	over 200m committed to the ranger public sale 184 417 328 897 999	No	BUY	110	100¢	$110	0x3c5df5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	43	$270.9K	3,866	05-22 23:12
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	42	$29.1K	9,900	04-16 06:42
Pleasing-Elm 0x4ffe…9f71	41	$5.37K	1,090	05-21 21:38
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	41	$2.76K	1,506	06-08 10:04
(anonymous) 0x9474…5091	37	$4.24K	2,815	05-13 05:22
Rude-Ecology 0x7ac4…4f44	36	$1.62K	882	05-13 18:32
Straight-Wrinkle 0x8765…ed81	33	$839	469	03-24 18:55
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	32	$59.9K	342	06-07 22:39