Heavy-Ellipse — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

99.3%

Resolved

295

Trades

295

lifetime

Volume

$3.68K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 11-04 04:27

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 234 days

Categories

Other

97% 100% +$6

Politics

3% 80% -$24

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

68 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 26°C or below on May 15?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-15 03:58
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on May 14?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-14 06:58
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$25	25	+25	No	-$25	05-15 05:54
Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 31°C on May 13?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-13 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 35°C on May 12?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 09:58
Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 66-67°F on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-12 03:44
Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 16:48
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 22°C or higher on May 11?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-11 06:08
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 10?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-10 04:29
Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C or higher on May 9?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-09 05:18
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 32°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	Yes	+$0	05-08 10:27
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 15°C or below on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 05:20
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 29°C on May 8?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-08 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Jakarta be 34°C on May 7?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 10:16
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 66-67°F on May 6?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-07 01:30
Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 35°C on May 6?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-06 12:13
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 64-65°F on May 5?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-06 04:07
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 31°C on May 5?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-05 11:16
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 72-73°F on May 4?	1	$25	25	+25	No	+$0	05-05 02:28
Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on May 4?	1	$24	25	+25	No	+$0	05-04 09:14
Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 34°C on May 4?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-04 01:29
Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 24°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 12:24
Will the highest temperature in Manila be 31°C on May 3?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-03 01:31
Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 23°C on May 2?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$0	05-02 04:20
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	1	$24	24	+24	No	+$1	04-12 02:16
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by June 30, 2026?	1	$23	24	+24	No	+$0	04-08 10:11
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-07 06:50
highest temperature in shenzhen on april 6 2026 30c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-06 09:35
highest temperature in beijing on april 5 2026 22c	1	$23	23	+23	No	+$0	04-05 08:46
highest temperature in lucknow on april 4 2026 35c	1	$23	23	+23	Yes	+$0	04-04 13:24

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-04 04:27:30	Will the highest temperature in Moscow be 2°C on November 4?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x684687…
11-03 17:20:58	Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on November 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa0ee5a…
11-02 06:48:52	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 30°C on November 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeb3384…
10-31 15:58:34	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 12°C on October 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x16f951…
10-30 14:59:01	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 19°C on October 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x8e0e6f…
10-29 17:55:37	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 17°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x277b04…
10-29 09:31:38	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 18°C on October 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x669fc1…
10-28 08:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 27°C on October 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x40ce71…
10-27 10:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 32°C on October 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x76ff9a…
10-26 09:45:26	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 25°C on October 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x31ec55…
10-24 11:52:09	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 23°C on October 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5f28f6…
10-22 10:46:14	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 34°C on October 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4a01cc…
10-20 08:12:14	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 15°C on October 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x348432…
10-19 09:30:54	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf7b641…
10-18 10:18:50	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 33°C on October 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x57934a…
10-17 15:46:36	Will the highest temperature in Madrid be 25°C on October 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4e4197…
10-16 14:08:28	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 16°C on October 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f5ccb…
10-15 14:05:52	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 28°C on October 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x87122b…
10-14 10:18:52	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on October 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x25ffe3…
10-13 10:31:44	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 41°C or higher on October 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb416c6…
10-12 10:52:26	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on October 12?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xeabe1c…
10-11 09:17:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on October 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1f03fb…
10-08 12:33:20	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on October 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5393a8…
10-07 15:45:29	Will the highest temperature in Warsaw be 22°C on October 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9c64bd…
10-06 15:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 15°C on October 6?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6f127…
10-05 06:29:20	Will the highest temperature in Cape Town be 20°C or below on October 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91c2da…
10-03 09:19:24	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on October 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7cd59b…
10-02 14:00:54	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 19°C on October 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1ca3cb…
10-01 09:28:33	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on October 1?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x30d360…
09-30 14:22:35	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 29°C on September 30?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe0fd32…
09-30 03:30:45	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 17°C on September 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc584fa…
09-28 10:08:08	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 24°C on September 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x79dfa4…
09-27 09:09:35	Will the highest temperature in Qingdao be 26°C on September 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x33ee80…
09-25 16:54:03	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 22°C on September 25?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4783a5…
09-24 09:09:50	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on September 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd9c67b…
09-23 10:21:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xdecf90…
09-22 08:38:06	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x053476…
09-21 09:49:54	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 21?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd6768e…
09-20 05:58:27	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 15°C on September 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb6979e…
09-19 09:11:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 19?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x221b1d…
09-18 07:52:25	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 33°C on September 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x91979b…
09-17 04:15:28	Will the highest temperature in Wuhan be 20°C or below on September 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x782e20…
09-16 08:59:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 32°C on September 16?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe96674…
09-15 10:25:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 36°C on September 15?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x951769…
09-14 09:20:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on September 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x717215…
09-13 03:38:21	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 33°C on September 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3f9f22…
09-11 09:26:45	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 29°C on September 11?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7bc03c…
09-10 08:48:00	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 22°C on September 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x134d30…
09-09 02:42:18	Will the highest temperature in Karachi be 27°C on September 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa2dfb9…
09-08 06:20:24	Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 13°C on September 8?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xf0ea0c…
09-07 08:48:57	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 24°C or below on September 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xb5526b…
09-06 11:44:22	Will the highest temperature in Lucknow be 33°C on September 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x95b370…
09-05 06:14:03	Will the highest temperature in Taipei be 33°C on September 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x1727b5…
09-04 01:03:45	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on September 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cd308…
09-02 07:58:39	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on September 2?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x42a507…
08-30 14:12:31	Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 27°C on August 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa67a34…
08-29 09:46:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on August 29?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x431fc3…
08-28 09:47:30	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 30°C on August 28?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x701f6a…
08-27 09:13:10	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on August 27?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa5b6ae…
08-26 08:49:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 36°C on August 26?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x35d2a9…
08-25 09:45:36	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 34°C on August 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc34208…
08-24 15:06:46	Will the highest temperature in Helsinki be 18°C on August 24?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xba1ae4…
08-24 01:09:58	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 20°C on August 23?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x4832b1…
08-22 09:08:34	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on August 22?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x94f456…
08-21 08:33:13	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 35°C on August 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7006a6…
08-20 09:16:07	Will the highest temperature in Kuala Lumpur be 34°C on August 20?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd8d048…
08-18 08:33:58	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5c4534…
08-17 08:32:52	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 35°C on August 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe8267d…
08-16 14:27:00	Will the highest temperature in Amsterdam be 24°C on August 16?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xbb5f3b…
08-15 16:08:45	Will the highest temperature in Tel Aviv be 33°C on August 15?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x821eff…
08-14 07:00:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on August 14?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe5095f…
08-13 09:08:12	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 13?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xe6e3fe…
08-12 09:23:09	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 38°C on August 12?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x696f3d…
08-11 07:05:22	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 34°C on August 11?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x911333…
08-10 08:22:24	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 33°C on August 10?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x01ea1e…
08-09 07:09:06	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 33°C on August 9?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x7e1647…
08-08 07:51:04	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 29°C on August 8?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x9b42cd…
08-07 08:25:10	Will the highest temperature in Manila be 30°C on August 7?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x85ba7e…
08-06 08:10:03	Will the highest temperature in Seoul (Incheon) be 36°C on August 6?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x17e112…
08-05 08:06:48	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on August 5?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd94afe…
08-04 08:31:12	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on August 4?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xa9f661…
08-03 07:47:27	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C or higher on August 3?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x07c04d…
08-02 06:37:15	Will the highest temperature in Tokyo be 35°C on August 2?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc7fde5…
08-01 07:18:23	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 40°C on August 1?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0abcca…
07-31 14:15:36	Will the highest temperature in Jeddah be 42°C on July 31?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd3676e…
07-30 07:26:51	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 33°C on July 30?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xff05f4…
07-29 07:17:36	Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 33°C on July 29?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x2e9756…
07-28 07:16:16	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 28?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedc5ed…
07-27 09:40:51	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on July 27?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xcd66ea…
07-26 08:12:36	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on July 26?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0391b3…
07-25 09:14:00	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 36°C on July 25?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x5b916d…
07-24 13:40:21	Will the highest temperature in Istanbul be 29°C on July 24?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xedeed1…
07-23 08:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C on July 23?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x24228f…
07-22 02:13:22	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 98-99°F on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x64fc69…
07-21 09:23:42	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 21?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xc54a4e…
07-21 00:26:36	Will the highest temperature in San Francisco be between 74-75°F on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x189357…
07-20 08:36:31	Will the highest temperature in Singapore be 33°C on July 20?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x0a28bd…
07-18 23:30:33	Will the highest temperature in Los Angeles be between 78-79°F on July 18?	Yes	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x060245…
07-18 07:13:42	Will the highest temperature in Chongqing be 35°C or higher on July 18?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x3cb697…
07-17 07:30:10	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 37°C or higher on July 17?	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x65861e…