Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$28.4K

Unrealized P&L

+$58.1K

Hit rate

73.6%

Resolved

Trades

1,898

lifetime

Volume

$1.14M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$601

Open exposure

$156.8K

2 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 10-27 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 36 days

Categories

Politics

51% 84% -$197

Other

48% 62% +$28,661

Crypto

0% 55% -$67

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

17 active days in 12wk • peak 23 trades/day

Open positions (2) Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes		+162,475	$97,881	96¢	$156.0K	+$58,095	10-14 05:17
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes		+31,259	$808	2¢	$781	-$27	10-27 18:29

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	102	$149.5K	94,400	60,000	+34,400	Yes	+$4,309	01-28 16:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	25	$97.9K	162,475	0	+162,475	open	—	10-14 05:17
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$92.6K	50,000	50,000	+0	Yes	-$2,353	04-05 17:03
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	366	$91.5K	6,665	104,595	-97,930	No	-$945	01-30 11:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	32	$84.8K	47,206	42,206	+5,000	No	+$2,395	04-05 17:31
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	171	$80.2K	91,577	0	+91,577	Yes	+$11,422	02-13 13:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	62	$66.7K	33,900	33,899	+1	Yes	+$409	04-16 13:43
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	110	$64.4K	33,779	50,300	-16,521	No	+$679	01-30 11:09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	19	$56.1K	29,988	49,400	-19,412	No	+$1,571	01-29 08:33
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	1	$50.4K	57,309	0	+57,309	Yes	+$6,877	09-15 11:13
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	137	$45.7K	26,792	26,792	+0	No	+$662	04-05 17:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the July 2026 meeting?	32	$43.2K	58,498	0	+58,498	Yes	+$15,259	07-28 17:19
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	9	$36.6K	38,542	38,542	+0	Yes	-$8,875	02-12 12:59
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	31	$23.1K	25,100	6,700	+18,400	No	-$238	02-13 14:22
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$20.4K	22,000	1,000	+21,000	No	+$1,660	01-28 14:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$20.3K	10,443	10,443	+0	No	+$264	04-16 13:44
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	3	$16.1K	16,718	0	+16,718	No	+$606	01-29 13:03
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	22	$15.2K	11,239	5,869	+5,371	Yes	+$1,735	09-16 20:22
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$10.2K	10,000	1,150	+8,850	Yes	+$33	02-13 14:21
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$5	04-16 13:45
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	30	$9.4K	10,500	0	+10,500	No	+$1,140	01-16 12:14
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	26	$6.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	No	-$90	04-24 14:17
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	143	$6.6K	42,000	0	+42,000	No	-$6,640	05-30 14:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	16	$5.7K	16,339	16,339	+0	No	-$3,101	04-15 15:14
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	5	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	No	+$138	01-11 21:00
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	29	$3.8K	4,417	0	+4,417	Yes	+$616	04-15 18:20
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	2	$3.5K	1,900	1,900	+0	No	+$129	01-18 12:35
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	8	$3.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	-$136	04-17 00:41
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	24	$3.0K	4,949	5,083	-134	No	-$2,297	03-25 16:36
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	1	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	No	+$120	01-13 06:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-27 18:29:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	840	2¢	$18	0xa8118c…
10-27 18:29:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	31	2¢	$1	0xa02ad0…
10-27 18:29:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,885	2¢	$41	0x51e2a9…
10-27 18:29:32	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x2fba65…
10-27 18:03:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	144	2¢	$3	0x603b17…
10-27 15:54:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	282	2¢	$6	0xcd9d4f…
10-27 15:38:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	135	2¢	$3	0xa00366…
10-27 15:30:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,031	2¢	$24	0x74d7b4…
10-25 14:20:59	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	2¢	$1	0x6e2989…
10-25 11:11:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,829	2¢	$65	0xffaace…
10-25 11:02:30	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	48	2¢	$1	0x969ec7…
10-25 10:58:39	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0x9b45e1…
10-22 05:12:21	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5,522	3¢	$160	0x0ac569…
10-22 05:11:08	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x3ce6e7…
10-22 04:58:53	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	300	2¢	$7	0x8d11b5…
10-22 04:58:14	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	2¢	$2	0x88feba…
10-22 04:52:48	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	769	2¢	$18	0x2c228a…
10-19 14:12:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	165	3¢	$4	0xcd7f8f…
10-19 14:12:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x9025ca…
10-19 14:12:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	250	3¢	$7	0x8d4614…
10-19 14:12:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	196	3¢	$5	0x41df71…
10-19 14:12:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	847	3¢	$23	0x2775ea…
10-19 14:12:41	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	894	3¢	$24	0x110e6d…
10-18 16:05:17	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x5465fa…
10-18 15:35:23	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	545	3¢	$15	0xf1c786…
10-18 14:32:18	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	646	3¢	$18	0xd76ae9…
10-18 13:31:33	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xab54f4…
10-18 13:31:27	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$56	0x33004b…
10-18 12:26:42	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0xc4a86c…
10-18 12:21:20	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	3¢	$0	0x1728f2…
10-18 12:21:11	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	3¢	$56	0x9190cf…
10-16 17:13:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	198	3¢	$5	0xb2a10f…
10-16 17:13:46	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	431	3¢	$12	0x6f6bd1…
10-16 17:13:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	209	3¢	$6	0xb26f9c…
10-16 17:13:45	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	101	3¢	$3	0x3d9c7e…
10-15 13:54:22	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 50+ bps after the December 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,400	3¢	$39	0x74e71b…
10-14 05:17:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36,675	81¢	$29,707	0xce2945…
10-12 13:15:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7,800	83¢	$6,474	0x938d97…
09-17 19:06:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,620	50¢	$810	0xea77fd…
09-17 18:59:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,730	50¢	$865	0x04f41e…
09-17 18:58:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	50¢	$1,000	0x29910a…
09-17 18:48:58	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	60	50¢	$30	0x7adb1c…
09-17 18:46:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	50¢	$33	0xc40c40…
09-17 18:43:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	12,525	50¢	$6,263	0x6e56dd…
09-17 18:27:45	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19,636	51¢	$10,014	0xf0c4da…
09-17 18:25:24	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	364	51¢	$186	0x48b22d…
09-17 17:59:18	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	16,123	52¢	$8,384	0x8d276a…
09-17 17:46:10	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x8c18d6…
09-17 17:34:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	11	52¢	$6	0x84b8fe…
09-17 17:28:04	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	52¢	$260	0x6f5124…
09-17 17:21:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	338	52¢	$176	0xb9f957…
09-17 17:20:40	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	51	52¢	$27	0x804954…
09-17 17:20:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	239	52¢	$124	0x773fba…
09-17 17:20:30	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x559665…
09-17 17:20:19	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	50	52¢	$26	0xff9b3b…
09-17 17:09:37	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	52¢	$52	0x203e49…
09-17 17:02:33	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,698	52¢	$883	0x1880eb…
09-17 16:48:34	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xbb7b38…
09-17 15:42:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	775	52¢	$403	0x01b5ae…
09-17 10:21:46	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30,000	53¢	$15,900	0x85d37c…
09-17 10:18:16	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30,000	54¢	$16,200	0x05c562…
09-16 20:22:46	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,292	99¢	$2,257	0x3463f4…
09-16 19:25:57	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2	98¢	$2	0xe2e778…
09-16 18:42:04	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	2,500	98¢	$2,462	0x04a4ee…
09-16 18:39:18	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	116	99¢	$114	0x206823…
09-15 11:22:46	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	74	98¢	$73	0x5107be…
09-15 11:22:40	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xa9c06f…
09-15 11:13:57	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	57,309	88¢	$50,432	0x4099e1…
09-14 20:35:15	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	86	94¢	$81	0x1a1814…
09-14 17:18:36	No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	44	94¢	$41	0x86b8c1…
09-14 17:09:36	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	782	99¢	$771	0xd9015c…
09-14 06:00:43	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	87	99¢	$86	0x6335b7…
09-01 15:56:19	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	100	88¢	$88	0x335bd1…
09-01 15:55:21	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	43	88¢	$38	0x4ac0bc…
09-01 15:55:12	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0xfe6eef…
09-01 15:55:12	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,442	88¢	$1,269	0x73133c…
09-01 15:55:12	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	627	88¢	$552	0x2ccd85…
09-01 14:42:28	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	15	88¢	$13	0x40e449…
09-01 05:27:49	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,150	89¢	$2,804	0xbcd2da…
08-26 17:27:33	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xdefda1…
08-17 02:41:04	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	748	73¢	$546	0xba9d00…
08-17 02:36:55	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	95	73¢	$70	0x6ea0bb…
08-17 02:36:12	Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1,156	73¢	$844	0x224298…
08-05 08:59:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	21	9¢	$2	0xf30820…
08-05 08:59:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	20	9¢	$2	0x73b6bc…
08-05 08:59:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	214	9¢	$19	0x6b0af8…
08-05 08:59:51	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	448	9¢	$39	0x3d8060…
08-05 08:59:50	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	25	9¢	$2	0xc0cb95…
08-05 08:59:50	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	17	9¢	$1	0x759c52…
08-05 07:33:11	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xe61905…
08-05 07:30:44	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0x0eca79…
08-05 07:30:33	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	18	9¢	$2	0xf03f8a…
08-05 07:28:41	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	3	9¢	$0	0xac8e7a…
08-05 06:01:24	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	54	9¢	$5	0x2ac66c…
08-05 05:34:48	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	157	9¢	$14	0x75cfd8…
08-05 05:25:20	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	9	9¢	$1	0x76c81d…
08-04 21:35:08	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	201	9¢	$18	0x30519f…
08-04 21:04:18	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xf017da…
08-04 19:24:42	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	2	9¢	$0	0xd53cfa…
08-04 18:59:59	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on August 31?	Yes	BUY	100	9¢	$9	0x7f52aa…