Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$131

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

74.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,604

lifetime

Volume

$926.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$578

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-01

last 05-03 12:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% — —

Other

37% 50% $-131

Crypto

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

23 active days in 12wk • peak 122 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
no change in fed interest rates after january 2026 meeting	102	$149.5K	94,400	60,000	+34,400	open	—	01-28 16:07
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	4	$92.6K	50,000	50,000	+0	open	—	04-05 17:03
Will Trump nominate Scott Bessent as the next Fed chair?	366	$91.5K	6,665	104,595	-97,930	open	—	01-30 11:05
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 7th 659	32	$84.8K	47,206	42,206	+5,000	open	—	04-05 17:31
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	171	$80.2K	91,577	0	+91,577	open	—	02-13 13:31
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	62	$66.7K	33,900	33,899	+1	open	—	04-16 13:43
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	110	$64.4K	33,779	50,300	-16,521	open	—	01-30 11:09
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	19	$56.1K	29,988	49,400	-19,412	open	—	01-29 08:33
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	137	$45.7K	26,792	26,792	+0	open	—	04-05 17:31
US strikes Iran by March 31, 2026?	9	$36.6K	38,542	38,542	+0	open	—	02-12 12:59
Will Trump nominate Rick Rieder as the next Fed chair?	31	$23.1K	25,100	6,700	+18,400	open	—	02-13 14:22
us strikes iran by january 31 2026 165	3	$20.4K	22,000	1,000	+21,000	open	—	01-28 14:16
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$20.3K	10,443	10,443	+0	open	—	04-16 13:44
us strikes iran by january 30 2026 273 584 555 114 476	3	$16.1K	16,718	0	+16,718	open	—	01-29 13:03
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	2	$10.2K	10,000	1,150	+8,850	open	—	02-13 14:21
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	5	$9.4K	5,000	5,000	+0	Yes	+$5	04-16 13:45
us strikes iran by january 17 2026 625	30	$9.4K	10,500	0	+10,500	open	—	01-16 12:14
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	26	$6.7K	10,000	10,000	+0	open	—	04-24 14:17
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	16	$5.7K	16,339	16,339	+0	open	—	04-15 15:14
us strikes iran by january 11 2026 946	5	$4.9K	5,000	0	+5,000	open	—	01-11 21:00
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	29	$3.8K	4,417	0	+4,417	open	—	04-15 18:20
another us strike on venezuela by january 31 867	2	$3.5K	1,900	1,900	+0	open	—	01-18 12:35
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	8	$3.3K	4,000	4,000	+0	Yes	$-136	04-17 00:41
deepseek v4 released by march 31 446 353 924 266 292	24	$3.0K	4,949	5,083	-134	open	—	03-25 16:36
us strikes iran by january 13 2026 771	1	$2.9K	3,000	0	+3,000	open	—	01-13 06:57
Will Trump nominate Christopher Waller as the next Fed chair?	3	$2.5K	0	19,400	-19,400	open	—	01-19 05:52
us strikes iran by january 16 2026 498	1	$1.9K	2,500	0	+2,500	open	—	01-15 04:52
will alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	74	$1.8K	6,559	6,585	-27	open	—	02-07 13:00
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	13	$1.7K	4,000	3,500	+500	open	—	01-29 07:48
spx opens up or down on april 6 2026	9	$756	1,402	0	+1,402	open	—	04-06 13:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-03 12:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	164	50¢	$82	0x83762b…
05-03 12:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xae640e…
05-03 12:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x51eb69…
05-03 12:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	16	50¢	$8	0x19eb39…
05-03 12:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xe727cb…
05-03 12:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	46¢	$1	0xb50631…
05-03 12:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	40	46¢	$18	0x751bc0…
05-03 12:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x562832…
05-03 12:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	98	46¢	$45	0x0c4409…
05-03 12:22:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Down	BUY	18	46¢	$8	0x0189d8…
04-27 17:55:56	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	856	0¢	$1	0x5735d0…
04-24 14:17:18	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	2,027	37¢	$750	0xc67de8…
04-24 14:15:00	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	85	37¢	$32	0xafe08c…
04-24 14:14:42	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	1,000	37¢	$370	0x6dca89…
04-24 14:13:44	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	300	37¢	$111	0x91b129…
04-24 14:13:36	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	55	37¢	$20	0x595271…
04-24 14:13:32	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	500	37¢	$185	0x0a4210…
04-24 14:13:28	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	16	37¢	$6	0xb9ea29…
04-24 14:13:28	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	18	37¢	$7	0x7275ee…
04-24 14:12:26	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	2,990	31¢	$927	0xa9fc14…
04-24 14:11:40	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	10	31¢	$3	0x21fc04…
04-24 14:10:18	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	803	30¢	$241	0x43bcad…
04-24 14:08:06	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	20	30¢	$6	0xd92668…
04-24 14:03:34	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	1,734	30¢	$520	0x25b0b8…
04-24 12:57:18	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,402	1¢	$44	0xe7b82d…
04-24 05:11:12	Will DeepSeek have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	4,450	0¢	$13	0x073aaf…
04-18 14:48:16	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	50	30¢	$15	0x691dbf…
04-18 14:30:20	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	226	30¢	$68	0x27d4bd…
04-17 09:12:42	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	154	30¢	$46	0xdaf4d3…
04-17 00:41:38	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	500	40¢	$200	0xc2251f…
04-16 20:23:52	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	SELL	14	30¢	$4	0xfbecc7…
04-16 16:39:06	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	2,600	39¢	$1,004	0x5bca20…
04-16 16:38:48	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	SELL	900	40¢	$360	0x6e8a50…
04-16 13:45:12	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	SELL	5,000	94¢	$4,690	0x6f5605…
04-16 13:44:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	10,443	98¢	$10,264	0x9d8fb8…
04-16 13:43:22	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	33,899	99¢	$33,560	0x4f4d0a…
04-16 10:13:56	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	1,106	30¢	$332	0xa5f958…
04-16 05:26:20	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0x317ba1…
04-15 19:00:56	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	79	30¢	$24	0x0d3d25…
04-15 18:58:50	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	15	40¢	$6	0x0dff5e…
04-15 18:58:10	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,985	40¢	$794	0x54fa81…
04-15 18:54:44	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	4,212	94¢	$3,947	0xa199b2…
04-15 18:38:04	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa73e5d…
04-15 18:38:00	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	3,790	30¢	$1,137	0x185098…
04-15 18:20:02	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2,000	88¢	$1,760	0xdc243d…
04-15 15:14:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	SELL	16,339	8¢	$1,307	0xfd226e…
04-15 12:26:10	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	1,111	45¢	$500	0x055a04…
04-15 01:40:58	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	3,890	38¢	$1,478	0x1fc608…
04-15 01:38:08	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	726	38¢	$276	0xc1a386…
04-14 18:05:10	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0x868211…
04-14 18:05:10	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	289	86¢	$249	0x50986d…
04-14 18:05:08	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	80	86¢	$69	0x47ecfb…
04-14 18:05:08	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	42	86¢	$36	0x0af9ff…
04-14 18:03:32	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	20	86¢	$17	0xec7016…
04-14 18:03:32	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x7d9278…
04-14 18:03:32	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	179	86¢	$154	0x0b6c0a…
04-14 17:17:06	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$2	0x9234bc…
04-14 17:00:14	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	29	86¢	$25	0x8f7383…
04-14 16:51:42	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	23	86¢	$19	0x9a1107…
04-14 16:04:05	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x37ebcb…
04-14 16:02:33	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	8	86¢	$7	0xeebd78…
04-14 15:55:13	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0x64a822…
04-14 15:53:51	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4	86¢	$3	0x780ed6…
04-14 15:52:29	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x55b992…
04-14 15:19:29	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	88	86¢	$76	0x62dd77…
04-14 15:18:39	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0x109065…
04-14 15:18:37	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	30	86¢	$26	0xebd45f…
04-14 15:18:37	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	99	86¢	$85	0x02bf7a…
04-14 15:15:57	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	19	86¢	$16	0x80110e…
04-14 15:15:57	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	186	86¢	$160	0x224d6c…
04-14 15:06:19	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	500	86¢	$430	0xd1eb0d…
04-14 15:01:39	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	86¢	$56	0xd6b1f7…
04-14 15:01:39	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	65	86¢	$56	0xc46bab…
04-14 15:01:39	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	46	86¢	$39	0x17395a…
04-14 15:01:39	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	163	86¢	$140	0x07fe05…
04-14 11:15:59	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	41	77¢	$31	0x7c877a…
04-14 11:06:37	No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	377	77¢	$290	0xa8e3fb…
04-14 05:19:49	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	21	38¢	$8	0xafd488…
04-14 04:01:35	Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	Yes	BUY	363	38¢	$138	0x8e62fc…
04-13 00:55:01	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	68	94¢	$63	0x2fb231…
04-12 22:13:29	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	348	45¢	$157	0xebb905…
04-12 17:34:49	Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 15?	Yes	BUY	541	45¢	$243	0x1450fa…
04-10 19:08:17	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	72	94¢	$68	0xaa18ba…
04-10 17:32:05	Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?	Yes	BUY	648	94¢	$607	0xda913f…
04-10 17:10:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10,443	96¢	$10,000	0xf438d2…
04-07 22:44:53	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	6	97¢	$6	0x17dd0f…
04-07 22:44:23	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	507	97¢	$494	0xb57753…
04-07 22:32:41	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	68	97¢	$67	0x394439…
04-07 22:22:31	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3,615	97¢	$3,521	0x6e061c…
04-07 22:19:43	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	86	97¢	$84	0x03258f…
04-07 22:17:09	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	0	97¢	$0	0x9b17d0…
04-07 22:17:01	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	38	97¢	$37	0xe5635f…
04-07 22:05:13	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xc8a22f…
04-07 22:04:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	36	97¢	$36	0xfda815…
04-07 22:01:05	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	34	97¢	$33	0x1eeb12…
04-07 21:56:21	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	47	97¢	$45	0x57b7af…
04-07 21:54:25	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	54	97¢	$52	0x52e900…
04-07 21:52:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	695	97¢	$677	0xea6a85…
04-07 21:52:17	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	4,807	97¢	$4,682	0x2840bf…
04-07 03:59:59	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	638	98¢	$625	0xfc18b7…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	58	$13.1M	19,335	05-23 04:20
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	53	$48.2K	18,600	04-17 00:24
Fruitful-Heroine 0x1e98…6345	50	$20.5K	8,895	05-28 11:47
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	45	$519.9K	9,774	06-01 06:21
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	43	$115.2K	671	05-24 13:38
Double-Valley 0xec82…6eaa	43	$22.5K	7,854	05-28 11:47
Impressionable-Set 0xd6c2…a53d	42	$119.5K	3,531	05-23 16:10
(anonymous) 0xd6ee…37a2	41	$52.6K	4,395	03-28 16:11