Junior-Baggy — Polymarket

Realized P&L (24h)

—

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

—

Resolved (24h)

Trades (24h)

192 lifetime

Volume (24h)

$1.70K lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

3 positions

First seen

2026-01-18

last 11-08 08:44

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 44 days

Categories

Other

83% 31% +$45

Politics

11% 22% -$74

Pop-Culture

2% 0% -$6

Sports

2% 33% -$3

Crypto

1% 0% -$19

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions (3) Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	+5	$2	63¢	$3	+$1	11-02 05:27
US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	+3	$3	86¢	$3	+$0	11-03 00:45
Spread: Texans (-4.5)	Texans	+5	$3	52¢	$3	$0	11-03 09:52

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$207	191	191	+0	Yes	+$167	05-15 14:36
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$160	276	276	+0	No	+$60	05-21 07:20
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$127	456	456	+0	Yes	+$37	05-22 08:41
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$118	178	178	+0	No	+$18	05-20 17:39
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 400 419	2	$90	205	205	+0	No	+$80	01-26 21:03
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	5	$87	1,776	1,429	+347	No	-$43	05-22 13:00
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	2	$55	100	100	+0	No	+$15	05-17 12:47
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$52	1,038	1,038	+0	No	-$28	05-21 23:41
will trump meet with volodymyr zelenskyy in march 2026 235	1	$50	89	0	+89	No	-$50	03-02 11:35
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$47	158	158	+0	Yes	-$13	05-22 21:48
Will Donald Trump post 160-179 Truth Social posts from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	4	$40	2,816	0	+2,816	No	-$40	05-15 15:53
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 340 359	4	$36	323	323	+0	Yes	+$6	01-31 12:21
Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	2	$34	187	187	+0	No	-$6	05-22 11:11
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	2	$30	160	0	+160	No	-$30	05-22 21:49
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$30	288	0	+288	No	-$30	05-22 08:07
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$30	158	0	+158	No	-$30	05-21 23:54
will the us next strike iran before march 2026 et	1	$26	100	0	+100	Yes	+$74	02-20 09:41
Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?	1	$20	439	0	+439	No	-$20	05-22 08:29
Will Donald Trump post 80-99 Truth Social posts from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	1	$20	138	0	+138	No	-$20	05-16 09:54
elon musk of tweets january 20 january 27 440 459	2	$14	114	114	+0	No	+$4	01-26 18:16
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 180 199	2	$14	200	200	+0	No	+$12	02-07 15:04
elon musk of tweets january 27 february 3 320 339	2	$13	173	173	+0	No	+$3	01-31 12:21
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$10	1,360	0	+1,360	No	-$10	05-22 11:14
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$10	88	0	+88	No	-$10	05-22 11:15
us strikes iran by january 24 2026 318	1	$10	500	0	+500	No	-$10	01-24 18:40
elon musk of tweets february 6 february 13 220 239	1	$10	649	0	+649	No	-$10	02-09 14:38
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$10	43	0	+43	No	-$10	05-16 09:37
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	1	$10	167	0	+167	No	-$10	05-22 07:38
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	1	$10	59	0	+59	No	-$10	08-03 12:09
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	1	$10	166	0	+166	No	-$10	05-22 21:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
11-08 08:44:18	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xbb7fdd…
11-08 07:55:58	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0xe4cf0e…
11-07 23:14:34	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x7917eb…
11-06 02:18:33	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	79¢	$2	0x74c72c…
11-05 07:33:55	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 5?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc44a8e…
11-05 07:02:09	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 5?	No	SELL	0	84¢	$0	0x428dc8…
11-04 01:42:48	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x92a83b…
11-04 01:36:46	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0x597814…
11-04 01:24:54	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	99¢	$0	0xb67d85…
11-04 01:12:24	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x247ace…
11-03 18:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on November 3?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x39880b…
11-03 17:57:42	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on November 5?	No	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x975ff5…
11-03 17:56:45	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 3?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xba63c3…
11-03 17:15:27	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 3?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x4e6e22…
11-03 16:39:48	Will the highest temperature in Munich be 10°C on November 5?	No	BUY	2	81¢	$1	0xf02c69…
11-03 09:52:45	Spread: Texans (-4.5)	Texans	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x561d40…
11-03 07:43:58	Will the highest temperature in Houston be between 82-83°F on November 3?	No	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xb14b35…
11-03 05:58:12	Chennai Open: Jil Teichmann vs Joanna Garland	Jil Teichmann	BUY	6	37¢	$2	0xd254b3…
11-03 03:31:45	Kings vs. Mavericks	Kings	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0xe414a3…
11-03 03:26:13	Celtics vs. Rockets	Celtics	SELL	6	16¢	$1	0x08d3dd…
11-03 02:50:25	Kings vs. Mavericks	Kings	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa79a59…
11-03 01:31:13	Celtics vs. Rockets	Celtics	BUY	6	39¢	$2	0xf245fc…
11-03 00:45:37	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	SELL	2	72¢	$1	0x8a9e50…
11-03 00:44:10	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	SELL	0	94¢	$0	0x47839e…
11-03 00:06:12	Will "Thriller - Michael Jackson" be the #2 US song this week?	Yes	BUY	5	33¢	$2	0x411743…
11-02 14:59:42	Rolex Paris Masters: Cameron Norrie vs Matteo Arnaldi	Cameron Norrie	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0x758da8…
11-02 14:36:03	Will "Housewife - Tate McRae" be the #1 song this week?	Yes	BUY	3	85¢	$2	0x61492a…
11-02 13:21:31	Keith Rabois Combo: Republicans win 5 (TX, IA, KS, AK, MI, OH)	No	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0x2a9f36…
11-02 09:56:09	US-Iran Hormuz Agreement by November 30?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xce353f…
11-02 08:54:42	Will the Democrats win the Nevada governor race in 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0xf6a702…
11-02 07:59:52	Will the highest temperature in Paris be 11°C on November 4?	No	BUY	3	80¢	$2	0x7e3868…
11-02 06:53:55	Will the Democratic Party control the House after the 2026 Midterm elections?	Yes	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x54a6c0…
11-02 06:21:42	Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 21°C on November 3?	No	BUY	2	79¢	$1	0xc86c72…
11-02 06:12:34	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x7f6377…
11-02 05:27:45	Will Gadi Eizenkot be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xf2ac96…
11-02 01:46:04	Charlottesville: Dominick Mosejczuk vs Kenta Miyoshi	Dominick Mosejczuk	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x564860…
11-02 00:09:28	Will Gemini Carbon be released between November 9 and November 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xd8baaa…
11-01 23:33:07	Queretaro: Tatjana Maria vs Bianca Andreescu	Tatjana Maria	BUY	6	41¢	$2	0xcc0825…
11-01 22:01:01	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 3?	Yes	BUY	5	24¢	$1	0x6930da…
11-01 21:01:28	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 20°C on November 2?	No	BUY	2	78¢	$2	0x660fc6…
11-01 20:00:00	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on November 3?	No	BUY	3	81¢	$2	0x30cc9a…
11-01 19:40:04	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0x888ebc…
11-01 19:37:39	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	SELL	0	100¢	$0	0xaab26f…
11-01 19:23:30	Will Vivek Ramaswamy pull the Amy Acton mother ad?	Yes	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x96cd1b…
11-01 18:43:07	Will Democrats win the Texas, Michigan, and Maine Senate seats?	Yes	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x5c0152…
11-01 18:04:58	Cardinals vs. Cowboys	Cardinals	BUY	9	23¢	$2	0x592cbc…
11-01 17:07:01	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 82-83°F on November 2?	Yes	BUY	6	38¢	$2	0xa968ed…
10-25 18:08:54	CA Central Córdoba vs. CA Vélez Sarsfield: O/U 2.5	Over	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0xd5cd78…
10-25 17:36:17	Dolphins vs. Jets	Jets	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x444d09…
10-25 16:43:41	Counter-Strike: FURIA vs Natus Vincere (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	FURIA	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xddce85…
10-25 16:38:38	Browns vs. Titans	Titans	BUY	7	46¢	$3	0xbceaf2…
10-25 16:09:00	Will Stade Rennais FC 1901 win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	55¢	$3	0x303109…
10-25 14:20:54	Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	10	34¢	$3	0x2ab368…
10-25 14:09:11	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x463954…
10-25 13:30:50	Will Genoa CFC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	7	43¢	$3	0xf5fb5f…
10-25 13:21:30	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Over	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x93eabe…
10-25 12:59:50	Athletic Club vs. Getafe CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	7	54¢	$4	0x36f390…
10-25 12:53:08	Map Handicap: MOUZ (-1.5) vs 9z (+1.5)	9z	BUY	7	55¢	$4	0x3ffa09…
10-25 12:23:44	Buccaneers vs. Panthers	Panthers	BUY	6	60¢	$4	0xbb7ee1…
10-25 11:59:42	Will Celtic FC win on 2026-10-25?	Yes	BUY	6	59¢	$4	0xa6bbbd…
10-25 09:43:23	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-10-25?	No	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0x806dd3…
10-25 03:03:33	Syracuse vs. North Carolina	Syracuse	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc4f198…
10-25 02:47:02	Counter-Strike: BetBoom Team vs Nemiga (BO3) - PGL Masters Bucharest Group Stage	Nemiga	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0xc4afad…
10-25 00:29:57	Pan Pacific Open, Qualification: Heather Watson vs Alycia Parks	Heather Watson	BUY	7	50¢	$3	0x1df931…
10-24 22:57:30	LoL: Dplus KIA vs T1 (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Dplus KIA	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0xd0cb8e…
10-24 21:17:45	LoL: Invictus Gaming vs Team Secret Whales (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Team Secret Whales	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x55541e…
10-24 20:12:23	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0xa824fe…
10-24 20:12:23	LoL: LYON vs Karmine Corp (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Karmine Corp	BUY	7	58¢	$4	0x713c12…
10-24 19:07:30	LoL: G2 Esports vs LOS (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	LOS	BUY	22	21¢	$5	0x0f0097…
10-24 18:48:26	Will Tigres de la UANL win on 2026-10-24?	No	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x0beb40…
10-24 18:42:26	Club León FC vs. Deportivo Toluca FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	10	44¢	$5	0x7c2723…
10-24 18:22:15	Spread: FC Internazionale Milano (-1.5)	FC Internazionale Milano	BUY	9	51¢	$5	0xa81698…
10-24 18:01:05	LoL: CTBC Flying Oyster vs Movistar KOI (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Movistar KOI	BUY	7	69¢	$5	0xe96b13…
10-24 17:59:30	Bucks vs. 76ers: O/U 236.5	Under	BUY	8	54¢	$4	0xc0e4ca…
10-24 17:19:03	Spread: SS Lazio (-1.5)	SS Lazio	BUY	8	44¢	$4	0x8991b6…
10-24 17:11:45	LoL: Top Esports vs Anyone's Legend (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage	Top Esports	BUY	11	42¢	$4	0xc9fa20…
10-24 17:04:00	Hawai'i vs. Northern Illinois: O/U 47.5	Over	BUY	8	55¢	$5	0x6d9948…
10-24 16:50:45	Kansas State vs. Arizona State: O/U 51.5	Under	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xdec2b7…
10-24 16:47:18	Nets vs. Cavaliers: O/U 227.5	Over	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0xbbf2af…
10-24 16:29:29	Will Likud win 25-29 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election?	No	BUY	6	79¢	$5	0x6ce209…
10-24 16:25:08	Chelsea FC vs. Tottenham Hotspur FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x4e2b3a…
10-24 16:08:03	Will UD Las Palmas vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol B end in a draw?	No	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x473362…
10-24 16:01:20	Will Student List – Students Win win the most seats in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election?	No	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x12664b…
10-24 15:57:02	Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-10-24?	Yes	BUY	9	52¢	$5	0xed5dd9…
10-24 15:56:15	SSC Napoli vs. AS Roma: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x292860…
08-03 12:09:14	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from July 28 to August 4, 2026?	Yes	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x448bf4…
05-22 21:57:49	Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	166	6¢	$10	0x1c9226…
05-22 21:57:26	Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	85	12¢	$10	0x2d6f4e…
05-22 21:49:13	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	97	21¢	$20	0x78eeec…
05-22 21:48:39	Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	SELL	158	11¢	$17	0x68edd8…
05-22 20:30:21	Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	62	16¢	$10	0x6d75f3…
05-22 13:00:11	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	347	3¢	$10	0x234887…
05-22 11:15:57	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	88	11¢	$10	0x75fa4b…
05-22 11:14:45	Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,360	1¢	$10	0xc4ddc1…
05-22 11:11:04	Will "Iceman" - Drake debut week album sales be between 400k and 450k?	Yes	SELL	187	8¢	$14	0xcf65e6…
05-22 08:41:53	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	SELL	147	18¢	$26	0x145c93…
05-22 08:29:52	Will Elon Musk post 760-779 tweets in May 2026?	Yes	BUY	439	5¢	$20	0x9778c3…
05-22 08:07:16	Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 19 to May 26, 2026?	Yes	BUY	288	10¢	$30	0xe0f771…
05-22 07:55:29	Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	117	26¢	$30	0x44cb9e…
05-22 07:38:23	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	Yes	BUY	167	6¢	$10	0xe1b957…