Insecure-Lobby-Unibody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$61

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$797

lifetime

Avg / trade

$27

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-29

last 06-01 05:37

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

67% 0% $-72

Politics

19% 100% +$10

Crypto

14% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	4	$261	336	329	+7	open	—	05-05 15:46
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	7	$164	27	147	-120	open	—	05-01 12:04
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	2	$108	264	264	+0	open	—	05-06 00:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$103	207	0	+207	open	—	05-02 01:44
S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	2	$72	162	0	+162	No	$-72	05-07 16:46
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	4	$39	67	26	+41	No	+$10	05-07 14:58
Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	3	$18	31	31	+0	open	—	05-05 22:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-29 02:59
Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$10	0	12	-12	open	—	06-01 05:36
U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	1	$6	0	6	-6	open	—	06-01 05:36
Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	1	$3	0	6	-6	open	—	06-01 05:37
Will Trump say "Record" during astronaut greeting?	1	$1	40	0	+40	open	—	04-29 20:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	open	—	04-29 01:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 05:37:02	Tom Holland as Spider-Man?	No	SELL	6	44¢	$3	0x0483a6…
06-01 05:36:44	U.S. Embassy in Damascus reopened by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	6	98¢	$6	0xe3132c…
06-01 05:36:37	Sudan civil war ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	12	81¢	$10	0x34770c…
05-07 16:46:34	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	54	13¢	$7	0x681f1f…
05-07 15:05:59	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $735 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	108	60¢	$65	0x49bfca…
05-07 14:58:50	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	SELL	26	17¢	$4	0x092527…
05-07 12:27:06	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	No	BUY	41	79¢	$32	0xfc073c…
05-06 01:29:02	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	15	10¢	$1	0xdaf83f…
05-06 01:28:48	US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	Yes	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xd92707…
05-06 00:51:58	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	SELL	264	21¢	$55	0xf9ae04…
05-06 00:28:08	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	Yes	BUY	264	20¢	$53	0xab1f0b…
05-05 22:55:28	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0x1beef2…
05-05 15:46:56	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	329	39¢	$128	0x8a25e5…
05-05 04:56:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	29	40¢	$12	0xb66621…
05-05 04:56:32	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	40¢	$120	0x7e28c3…
05-02 01:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	203	49¢	$100	0x7649b6…
05-02 01:43:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	75¢	$3	0x6334a4…
05-01 12:04:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	28	98¢	$28	0x4fff7b…
05-01 02:34:48	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xffb6e6…
05-01 02:12:26	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	50	95¢	$48	0x2b9eab…
05-01 02:10:36	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	44	95¢	$41	0x725197…
05-01 01:47:00	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	SELL	20	94¢	$19	0x831c1f…
05-01 01:17:42	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	20	88¢	$18	0xf308fc…
05-01 00:56:18	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	7	86¢	$6	0xb2df61…
04-29 20:03:02	Will Trump say "Record" during astronaut greeting?	Yes	BUY	40	3¢	$1	0x65bc2a…
04-29 19:54:04	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	7	20¢	$1	0xd2c27d…
04-29 18:06:32	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	BUY	16	49¢	$8	0xb99886…
04-29 18:02:52	Will Jerome Powell depart as Fed Chair by May 16 2026?	No	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x445207…
04-29 02:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Up	BUY	20	54¢	$11	0x9b65b0…
04-29 01:48:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xde22c6…