Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$94

Unrealized P&L

+$14

Hit rate

92.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$202

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-01-31

last 10-16 17:09

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 20 days

Categories

Sports

56% 56% +$95

Politics

27% — —

Other

14% 83% -$1

Tech

3% 100% +$0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (28) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes		-2,562	-$18	0¢	$-4	+$14	05-09 11:24

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	2	$101	195	0	+195	Kings	+$94	03-16 14:24
Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	30	$37	2,443	2,443	+0	open	—	05-24 18:38
Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	5	$18	0	2,562	-2,562	open	—	05-09 11:24
nba mia hou 2026 03 21	1	$2	4	0	+4	Rockets	+$2	03-21 06:19
nhl ott nyr 2026 03 23	1	$2	5	0	+5	Senators	-$2	03-23 06:56
nhl ott wsh 2026 03 18	1	$2	4	0	+4	Capitals	+$2	03-18 12:01
cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	1	$2	4	0	+4	Tennessee Volunteers	-$2	03-22 07:47
nba lal det 2026 03 23	1	$2	4	0	+4	Pistons	+$2	03-23 11:44
fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	1	$2	3	0	+3	Under	+$1	07-07 12:01
cbb day ncw 2026 03 21	1	$2	3	0	+3	Dayton Flyers	+$1	03-21 12:18
nhl nyi tor 2026 03 17	1	$2	3	0	+3	Islanders	+$1	03-17 12:23
nba okc bos 2026 03 25	1	$1	2	0	+2	Celtics	-$1	03-25 09:47
elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	01-31 18:14
fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	1	$1	3	0	+3	Over	+$1	07-07 12:00
nhl min col 2026 03 08	1	$1	3	0	+3	Avalanche	-$1	03-08 12:14
Will Qwen have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	10-16 17:09
fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	1	$1	2	0	+2	England	-$1	07-17 05:57
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 9?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	09-07 18:15
atp glinka ymer 2026 08 19	1	$1	2	0	+2	Daniil Glinka	-$1	08-19 14:26
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 15:03
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 15:07
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 15:07
fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	1	$1	2	0	+2	Spain	-$1	07-17 12:06
nhl sea fla 2026 03 24	1	$1	2	0	+2	Panthers	-$1	03-24 07:25
Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-07 15:05
spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 15:05
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 15:03
Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 14:55
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	1	$1	1	0	+1	No	+$0	06-07 15:07
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	1	$1	1	0	+1	Yes	+$0	06-07 15:03

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
10-16 17:09:27	Will Qwen have the second highest OpenRouter market share the week of October 12?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x46016b…
09-07 18:15:03	Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 89°F or below on September 9?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x09528c…
08-19 14:26:43	atp glinka ymer 2026 08 19	Elias Ymer	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xe68324…
07-17 12:06:06	fifwc esp arg 2026 07 19 team to advance	Argentina	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf9bab9…
07-17 05:57:15	fifwc fra eng 2026 07 18 team to advance	France	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x29c2ae…
07-07 12:01:05	fifwc che col 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x4ac881…
07-07 12:00:17	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 total 2pt5	Over	BUY	3	50¢	$1	0x22362e…
06-07 15:07:57	Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa673a3…
06-07 15:07:46	Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x683a28…
06-07 15:07:37	Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x366ba4…
06-07 15:07:30	Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfee235…
06-07 15:07:21	Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x252684…
06-07 15:06:45	Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x9ce8fd…
06-07 15:06:36	Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from June 9 to June 16, 2026?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xeb80fa…
06-07 15:06:13	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.2T?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xdd570b…
06-07 15:06:04	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1T?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xa4d189…
06-07 15:05:55	spacex ipo closing market cap above 4t	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x51a311…
06-07 15:05:18	Will SpaceX IPO by August 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xcaafc6…
06-07 15:05:10	Will SpaceX IPO by September 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd9784a…
06-07 15:05:03	Will SpaceX IPO by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x26de83…
06-07 15:04:16	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 26°C on June 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xc09d66…
06-07 15:03:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the June 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xec916a…
06-07 15:03:18	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa5d2f3…
06-07 15:03:09	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x84d514…
06-07 15:03:00	Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the June 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7119bf…
06-07 14:55:45	Will 50-74 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x54a0b6…
06-07 14:55:28	Will 25-49 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between May 25-June 1?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50025f…
05-24 18:38:07	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	127	1¢	$1	0x14577b…
05-24 18:21:21	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	38	1¢	$0	0x4f8b9d…
05-24 18:11:31	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0bfdf9…
05-24 18:01:01	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	217	1¢	$2	0xd43fd2…
05-24 17:58:30	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x1005c4…
05-24 17:55:11	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xf46c6f…
05-24 17:45:09	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	109	1¢	$1	0x163e52…
05-24 17:40:34	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	188	1¢	$2	0x1beba9…
05-24 17:39:29	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x664c90…
05-24 17:36:52	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x7d042c…
05-24 17:17:28	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x0edfb4…
05-24 17:08:52	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	208	1¢	$2	0xdd65d5…
05-24 16:57:43	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0xa26ead…
05-24 16:48:29	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	55	1¢	$0	0xf3c047…
05-24 16:48:11	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	188	1¢	$2	0xb3623e…
05-24 16:47:19	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0xd08e3d…
05-24 16:46:54	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x1f858e…
05-24 16:43:08	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	3	1¢	$0	0x013509…
05-24 16:38:25	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	199	1¢	$2	0x481f82…
05-24 16:27:06	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	272	1¢	$2	0xe595a1…
05-24 16:09:46	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	244	1¢	$2	0xe8caa1…
05-24 15:57:26	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	42	1¢	$0	0x5bf385…
05-24 15:54:50	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x9019df…
05-24 15:48:59	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	2	1¢	$0	0x0426e7…
05-24 15:27:57	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	9	1¢	$0	0x61d713…
05-24 15:23:38	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	227	1¢	$2	0x893538…
05-24 15:22:38	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0x494cc4…
05-24 15:14:02	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	224	1¢	$2	0xb37e89…
05-24 15:09:31	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	53	1¢	$0	0x36ba50…
05-10 00:02:52	Will Bernie Sanders win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	Yes	BUY	2,443	1¢	$17	0x16d0fa…
05-09 11:24:37	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	865	1¢	$6	0x973612…
05-09 10:09:45	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	725	1¢	$5	0xde05ff…
05-09 08:30:47	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	780	1¢	$5	0xc1196b…
05-09 07:11:48	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	1	1¢	$0	0x81478a…
05-09 06:20:53	Will Kristi Noem win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	Yes	SELL	190	1¢	$1	0x63d3e9…
03-25 09:47:27	nba okc bos 2026 03 25	Thunder	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xa8d977…
03-24 07:25:37	nhl sea fla 2026 03 24	Kraken	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x3407fd…
03-23 11:44:09	nba lal det 2026 03 23	Pistons	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0xb82081…
03-23 06:56:19	nhl ott nyr 2026 03 23	Rangers	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xaf1cba…
03-22 07:47:33	cbb tenn vir 2026 03 22	Virginia Cavaliers	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x188b4c…
03-21 12:18:41	cbb day ncw 2026 03 21	Dayton Flyers	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x0eec28…
03-21 06:19:17	nba mia hou 2026 03 21	Rockets	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x9a5883…
03-18 12:01:41	nhl ott wsh 2026 03 18	Capitals	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0xd3631f…
03-17 12:23:17	nhl nyi tor 2026 03 17	Islanders	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x367c21…
03-16 14:24:57	nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	Kings	BUY	193	52¢	$100	0x501eb0…
03-16 12:07:53	nhl lak nyr 2026 03 16	Kings	BUY	3	52¢	$1	0x2d3522…
03-08 12:14:03	nhl min col 2026 03 08	Wild	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf05fce…
01-31 18:14:10	elon musk of tweets february 3 february 10 200 219	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf0e875…