Limited-Grabbag — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$861

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

61.7%

Resolved

Trades

4,024

lifetime

Volume

$167.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$42

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-03

last 06-05 16:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

38% 82% $-35

Other

35% 33% $-820

Politics

27% 0% $-7

Sports

0% — —

Tech

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 40 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 7 346	38	$6.7K	6,014	6,376	-362	open	—	04-12 16:01
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	19	$4.3K	2,725	2,725	+0	open	—	04-06 10:54
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	46	$3.9K	2,709	2,433	+276	open	—	01-23 16:13
si hit 150 high jan 2026	11	$3.9K	1,734	2,288	-553	open	—	01-29 10:44
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	14	$3.8K	2,844	2,844	+0	open	—	04-07 23:15
us strikes iran by february 5 2026	2	$2.0K	1,010	1,010	+0	open	—	02-05 13:12
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	18	$2.0K	7,972	7,972	+0	open	—	03-30 20:08
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by June 30?	6	$1.7K	1,471	1,471	+0	open	—	04-10 18:49
lol gen g2 2026 03 21	5	$1.7K	1,023	835	+188	open	—	03-21 14:05
us strikes iran by february 1 2026	1	$1.6K	1,668	0	+1,668	open	—	02-01 12:01
iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	9	$1.5K	1,609	1,609	+0	open	—	04-15 13:01
eth updown 15m 1769366700	1	$1.5K	1,554	0	+1,554	open	—	01-25 18:58
lol sly hmble 2026 03 09	13	$1.4K	733	733	+0	open	—	03-09 22:56
lol kcb dmg 2026 03 14	9	$1.4K	673	741	-68	open	—	03-14 21:34
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 800k 271	10	$1.3K	830	975	-145	open	—	01-17 14:54
eth updown 15m 1769191200	6	$1.3K	1,309	0	+1,309	open	—	01-23 18:14
lol gen ly 2026 03 19 game handicap away 2pt5	3	$1.2K	655	655	+0	open	—	03-19 15:31
will sp 500 spx hit 6600 low in march 2026	9	$1.2K	686	686	+0	open	—	03-19 13:51
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	4	$1.2K	705	502	+202	open	—	02-20 22:00
US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	7	$1.1K	963	963	+0	open	—	04-07 22:59
will the logan paul 1st edition charizard sale price be over 700k 862	7	$1.0K	576	576	+0	open	—	01-19 08:47
us strikes iran by february 3 2026	1	$1000	1,018	0	+1,018	open	—	02-02 09:28
us x iran ceasefire by april 15	10	$977	650	950	-300	open	—	04-07 22:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	11	$975	557	500	+58	open	—	03-21 09:24
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	7	$891	902	0	+902	open	—	02-22 23:25
lol sly hmble 2026 03 09 game1	6	$885	461	461	+0	open	—	03-09 19:00
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	9	$840	587	587	+0	open	—	04-15 13:25
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	3	$812	819	0	+819	open	—	02-21 23:47
will silver si hit high 130 by end of january 314 277 552 989	3	$789	420	420	+0	open	—	01-30 03:02
gc hit 4700 high jan 2026 398 168 413 627	13	$778	502	502	+0	open	—	01-20 16:57

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-05 16:20:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	BUY	43	2¢	$1	0x1c1ee7…
05-30 19:32:44	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	Yes	SELL	25	4¢	$1	0x19f897…
05-14 05:20:04	Ethereum above 2,225 on May 14, 2AM ET?	Yes	BUY	115	100¢	$115	0x748909…
05-14 05:19:43	Ethereum above 2,300 on May 14, 2AM ET?	No	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0x0d65ce…
05-14 05:19:34	Ethereum above 2,315 on May 14, 2AM ET?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0x6e34a6…
05-14 05:18:54	Bitcoin above 79,000 on May 14, 2AM ET?	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x452ffa…
05-14 05:14:17	Ethereum Up or Down on May 14?	Up	SELL	164	67¢	$109	0xb3e836…
05-14 05:08:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Down	BUY	56	45¢	$25	0xce0f82…
05-13 21:31:56	Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	34	98¢	$33	0xfedc40…
05-13 21:31:46	Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xa68772…
05-13 21:31:35	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Spirit	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0x066b0f…
05-13 21:30:52	Ethereum Up or Down on May 14?	Up	BUY	164	61¢	$100	0xad5009…
05-13 21:29:47	Counter-Strike: B8 vs Vitality (BO3) - IEM Atlanta Group A	Vitality	BUY	103	97¢	$100	0xfc43d7…
05-13 21:29:10	Ethereum above 2,280 on May 13, 6PM ET?	No	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x977f4d…
05-13 21:29:00	Ethereum above 2,295 on May 13, 6PM ET?	No	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xc81a39…
05-13 21:28:33	Ethereum above 2,220 on May 13, 6PM ET?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xd04302…
05-13 21:28:23	Ethereum above 2,205 on May 13, 6PM ET?	Yes	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x6d14da…
05-13 21:27:30	Bitcoin above 78,400 on May 13, 6PM ET?	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x9d6257…
05-13 21:27:13	Bitcoin above 78,000 on May 13, 6PM ET?	Yes	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0xea9ccf…
05-13 21:27:02	Bitcoin above 77,600 on May 13, 6PM ET?	Yes	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0xa5979d…
05-13 21:26:52	Bitcoin above 77,600 on May 13, 6PM ET?	Yes	BUY	200	100¢	$200	0xf7acc8…
05-13 21:26:29	Bitcoin above 80,000 on May 13, 6PM ET?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x249f91…
05-13 21:26:12	Bitcoin above 80,400 on May 13, 6PM ET?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x5a81ce…
05-13 21:26:01	Bitcoin above 80,800 on May 13, 6PM ET?	No	BUY	149	100¢	$149	0xae57c9…
05-13 21:25:54	Bitcoin above 81,200 on May 13, 6PM ET?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x50c8f5…
05-13 21:25:49	Bitcoin above 81,600 on May 13, 6PM ET?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0x354021…
05-13 21:24:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x27d345…
05-13 21:24:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x317636…
05-13 20:35:23	LoL: ZYB Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs	ZYB Esport	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x498a0c…
05-13 20:34:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x506be7…
05-13 20:34:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0xfffc12…
05-13 20:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x45d85b…
05-13 20:34:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4PM ET	Up	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x5b3d5b…
05-13 20:34:31	Ethereum above 2,285 on May 13, 5PM ET?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x09c43f…
05-13 20:34:25	Ethereum above 2,300 on May 13, 5PM ET?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x781f2a…
05-13 20:33:31	Bitcoin above 77,600 on May 13, 5PM ET?	Yes	BUY	260	100¢	$260	0x251a13…
05-13 20:33:07	Bitcoin above 79,200 on May 13, 5PM ET?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xf42130…
05-13 20:28:23	LoL: ZYB Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs	ZYB Esport	BUY	250	40¢	$100	0x3e36cb…
05-13 20:27:39	LoL: ZYB Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs	ZYB Esport	BUY	263	38¢	$100	0x8e88fe…
05-13 20:26:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	26	97¢	$25	0x7cb323…
05-13 20:26:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x35768b…
05-13 20:26:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x0f25cb…
05-13 20:24:25	LoL: ZYB Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs	ZYB Esport	BUY	385	26¢	$100	0x3a0d67…
05-13 20:22:10	LoL: ZYB Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs	ZYB Esport	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x099f3b…
05-13 20:21:18	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	26	76¢	$20	0xb35204…
05-13 20:20:45	Counter-Strike: Betclic Apogee Esports vs TNC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	Betclic Apogee Esports	BUY	39	78¢	$30	0xf772b9…
05-13 20:20:32	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Team Liquid (BO3) - DreamLeague Group A	Team Liquid	BUY	167	60¢	$100	0x789b93…
05-13 20:19:57	LoL: ZYB Esport vs Vitality.Bee (BO3) - LFL Playoffs	ZYB Esport	BUY	1,111	36¢	$400	0x5398f7…
05-11 12:32:58	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	146	65¢	$94	0x1bd39e…
05-11 12:30:59	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by May 31?	Yes	BUY	1,019	5¢	$56	0x52e9d4…
04-28 07:21:32	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	86	84¢	$72	0xd96a37…
04-28 07:18:16	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	7	84¢	$6	0xaf280f…
04-28 07:16:44	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	4	84¢	$3	0x11cd22…
04-28 07:15:48	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	47	84¢	$40	0xc5dcfe…
04-22 05:48:10	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0xd7b8fa…
04-21 14:47:16	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	SELL	78	61¢	$48	0x78f9c2…
04-21 14:46:50	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?	Yes	SELL	141	85¢	$120	0xf40601…
04-21 14:41:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	153	35¢	$54	0xdd22ea…
04-21 14:41:40	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	0	35¢	$0	0x622455…
04-21 14:41:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	250	13¢	$32	0x276ad5…
04-21 14:41:08	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?	Yes	SELL	152	66¢	$100	0x33996b…
04-21 14:32:20	will the us x iran ceasefire be extended by april 21 2026 365	No	BUY	43	84¢	$36	0x23ded4…
04-21 09:00:06	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	200	64¢	$128	0xc9d085…
04-21 08:03:36	Will Bitcoin reach $78,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0xa6e84f…
04-21 08:02:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $90 in April?	Yes	BUY	143	70¢	$100	0x3c467f…
04-21 03:37:50	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	159	12¢	$19	0xfbbcf3…
04-21 03:35:18	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x803605…
04-21 03:35:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0x40c72c…
04-21 03:33:12	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	14	12¢	$2	0xda5f68…
04-21 03:28:16	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	28	12¢	$3	0x82490d…
04-21 03:28:02	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	1	12¢	$0	0xcefb96…
04-21 03:27:40	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	6	12¢	$1	0x0a7a8e…
04-21 03:27:38	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	5	12¢	$1	0x5ea816…
04-21 03:27:38	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	13	12¢	$2	0x2642e6…
04-21 03:27:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x62f504…
04-21 03:27:36	Will Bitcoin reach $82,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	10	12¢	$1	0x5ed6ce…
04-21 00:53:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	2	94¢	$2	0xbe54bf…
04-20 23:58:12	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	105	94¢	$98	0x3ef605…
04-20 22:37:00	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	13	65¢	$9	0x76fe6a…
04-20 22:35:16	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 April 20-26?	Yes	BUY	161	31¢	$50	0xb4c0c0…
04-20 22:34:32	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xe5694a…
04-20 22:34:30	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	43	65¢	$28	0x1ef64a…
04-20 22:32:18	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	5	65¢	$3	0x7a9ca2…
04-20 22:31:02	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	152	86¢	$131	0x070bb6…
04-20 22:30:54	us x iran ceasefire extended by april 22 2026	Yes	BUY	80	65¢	$52	0xf02007…
04-20 22:29:44	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	113	86¢	$97	0xe4d9c7…
04-20 22:29:38	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	SELL	5	86¢	$4	0x83c475…
04-18 08:06:16	lol dnf kt 2026 04 18	KT Rolster	BUY	96	85¢	$81	0xab42eb…
04-18 08:06:08	lol wb jdg 2026 04 18	JD Gaming	BUY	33	60¢	$20	0xdd5b3c…
04-16 19:13:10	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	270	74¢	$200	0x500564…
04-16 09:06:10	lol bro2 gen 2026 04 16	Gen.G	BUY	200	98¢	$195	0x729ab0…
04-15 21:24:24	will bitcoin reach 80k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	111	9¢	$10	0xe54025…
04-15 21:24:14	will bitcoin reach 78k april 13 19	Yes	BUY	107	28¢	$30	0xfa23f5…
04-15 21:23:40	will bitcoin reach 76k on april 15	Yes	BUY	83	12¢	$10	0xa75d24…
04-15 21:22:52	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xc80452…
04-15 21:22:36	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	107	93¢	$100	0x5719bb…
04-15 18:28:30	lol g2nord ross 2026 04 15	G2 NORD	BUY	114	88¢	$100	0x7259f2…
04-15 13:26:08	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by May 15?	Yes	SELL	220	87¢	$191	0x65b84d…
04-15 13:25:26	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	340	87¢	$295	0xf808d6…
04-15 13:19:22	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	Yes	SELL	391	50¢	$195	0xccce97…