Aching-Headquarters — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$7

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

93.8%

Resolved

Trades

201

lifetime

Volume

$65.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$327

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-15

last 07-29 19:59

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

63% 100% +$36

Other

22% — —

Crypto

12% 0% $-30

Tech

3% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 21 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	7	$9.1K	8,229	7,938	+291	open	—	06-15 15:19
Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	4	$6.7K	3,817	3,817	+0	open	—	06-17 19:57
Will MegaETH launch a token by April 30, 2026?	2	$5.9K	3,020	3,020	+0	open	—	04-30 06:10
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	3	$5.4K	5,514	0	+5,514	open	—	06-07 11:41
US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	2	$4.1K	2,079	2,079	+0	open	—	06-28 14:08
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	5	$2.6K	2,500	2,500	+0	open	—	02-19 22:47
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	16	$2.5K	8,503	268	+8,235	open	—	06-01 19:21
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	3	$2.4K	1,440	1,440	+0	open	—	05-08 12:50
us x iran ceasefire by march 31	3	$2.1K	1,202	1,202	+0	open	—	03-24 09:22
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	2	$2.1K	1,220	1,220	+0	open	—	06-12 07:40
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	2	$2.0K	1,266	1,266	+0	open	—	06-13 06:41
bitcoin above 64k on february 16	3	$2.0K	1,012	1,012	+0	open	—	02-16 16:10
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$2.0K	1,580	893	+687	open	—	05-23 13:25
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	5	$1.8K	2,484	0	+2,484	open	—	05-26 20:39
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	10	$1.2K	677	677	+0	open	—	05-15 07:31
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	2	$1.2K	1,351	0	+1,351	open	—	05-28 14:56
us forces enter iran by march 7	1	$1.1K	1,102	0	+1,102	open	—	03-07 22:34
bitcoin above 62k on march 7	1	$1.0K	1,001	0	+1,001	open	—	03-07 13:41
Epstein suicide note released by May 31?	1	$1000	1,111	0	+1,111	open	—	05-13 16:03
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$1000	1,462	0	+1,462	open	—	05-24 07:40
bitcoin above 62k on march 6	1	$999	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	03-05 23:11
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by June 30?	1	$900	902	0	+902	open	—	03-10 16:50
donald trump of truth social posts february 10 february 17 80 99	7	$709	500	500	+0	open	—	02-16 12:48
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	1	$627	0	1,205	-1,205	open	—	06-12 09:37
Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	1	$598	0	767	-767	open	—	06-04 07:36
ethereum above 2100 on march 9	1	$500	518	0	+518	open	—	03-09 07:54
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 5, 2026?	2	$456	250	250	+0	No	+$36	05-03 22:42
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	3	$433	239	239	+0	open	—	05-21 06:25
Jerome Powell out from Fed Board by May 30?	7	$432	265	265	+0	open	—	05-02 12:43
lol blg jdg 2026 03 08	3	$417	218	218	+0	open	—	03-08 15:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-29 19:59:36	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	SELL	141	36¢	$51	0x644e5c…
07-27 12:53:54	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0xcc7dab…
07-14 12:50:32	Fed rate hike in 2026?	No	BUY	111	45¢	$50	0xdee54b…
07-07 16:06:32	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 goals lionel messi gte1	Yes	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0xc2c5e5…
07-07 16:06:25	fifwc arg egy 2026 07 07 spread home 1pt5	Argentina	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x20423d…
07-07 16:05:08	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	176	85¢	$150	0xd70788…
07-07 05:35:25	will ronaldo cry at the world cup 20260604013616610	No	BUY	51	78¢	$40	0xc79cf8…
07-01 17:41:34	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 team to advance	Bosnia and Herzegovina	BUY	588	17¢	$100	0xf9a74c…
07-01 15:39:46	fifwc usa bih 2026 07 01 btts	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xabed60…
06-28 14:08:10	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,079	100¢	$2,075	0x0446f3…
06-26 18:06:50	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	SELL	357	6¢	$23	0x3336b2…
06-26 13:10:51	US forces in Venezuela again by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,079	96¢	$2,000	0xf6fd50…
06-17 19:57:17	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	3,817	91¢	$3,481	0x448198…
06-16 20:03:16	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	1	75¢	$1	0xb9b6ba…
06-15 15:19:48	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	291	7¢	$20	0x48515a…
06-14 23:30:27	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	Yes	BUY	357	28¢	$100	0xda55a5…
06-14 23:28:15	israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	Yes	SELL	49	1¢	$0	0xc18ae7…
06-14 23:28:10	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	SELL	25	9¢	$2	0xe4bead…
06-14 23:28:07	Israel closes its airspace by June 30?	Yes	SELL	42	7¢	$3	0x1f2d42…
06-14 23:27:39	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	SELL	7,938	22¢	$1,754	0x7feaa0…
06-14 19:36:43	will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	Yes	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xfd463a…
06-13 15:09:19	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,140	88¢	$1,000	0x2321ed…
06-13 06:41:16	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	SELL	1,266	83¢	$1,046	0x9000eb…
06-12 09:58:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	697	86¢	$600	0xb08ab6…
06-12 09:37:13	US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?	No	SELL	1,205	52¢	$627	0x67bd46…
06-12 07:41:37	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	2,332	89¢	$2,080	0x5367bb…
06-12 07:40:43	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	SELL	1,220	89¢	$1,085	0x29fd66…
06-11 09:01:16	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	3,865	96¢	$3,700	0xd89b5a…
06-11 08:21:43	btc updown 5m 1781166000	Down	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0x75c553…
06-09 13:19:21	will a claude mythos model be released by june 9 2026	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xa63920…
06-09 12:27:00	SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $1.8T?	Yes	BUY	1,220	82¢	$1,000	0xb957a1…
06-07 11:41:22	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 7 2026	No	BUY	5,226	100¢	$5,200	0xa61989…
06-04 07:36:42	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	694	87¢	$604	0xfa256b…
06-04 07:36:22	Will the U.S. invade Cuba in 2026?	No	SELL	767	78¢	$598	0xef6299…
06-03 22:37:22	btc updown 5m 1780526100	Down	SELL	22	96¢	$21	0xdd22ac…
06-03 22:35:12	btc updown 5m 1780526100	Down	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0x7ea4c9…
06-03 16:17:21	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0x5c6a56…
06-03 16:14:51	Roland Garros ATP: Felix Auger-Aliassime vs Flavio Cobolli	Felix Auger-Aliassime	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x56e673…
06-01 19:31:26	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by June 30?	No	BUY	1,266	79¢	$1,000	0x949d54…
06-01 19:30:04	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 15, 2026?	No	BUY	349	86¢	$300	0xa2118e…
06-01 19:21:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xceee01…
06-01 14:59:45	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	176	57¢	$100	0x53ea41…
06-01 14:58:50	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0x261a15…
06-01 13:27:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,397	72¢	$1,000	0x4479e7…
06-01 13:11:27	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	145	69¢	$100	0x153597…
06-01 13:06:12	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x2b9a48…
06-01 13:04:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	276	73¢	$200	0x658584…
06-01 13:00:36	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	157	64¢	$100	0xe13b23…
06-01 12:54:39	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	267	75¢	$200	0x575aff…
06-01 12:49:13	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	242	83¢	$200	0x305e24…
06-01 12:39:10	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	128	78¢	$100	0x1ba460…
06-01 12:38:31	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	127	79¢	$100	0x248b66…
06-01 12:36:23	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	198	51¢	$100	0x7b9598…
06-01 12:13:42	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	200	20¢	$40	0x68e26b…
06-01 12:07:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	200	25¢	$50	0x6ad9ad…
06-01 12:03:21	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	SELL	179	0¢	$0	0xa22b79…
06-01 09:40:52	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	68	89¢	$60	0xba2263…
06-01 07:19:45	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	209	48¢	$100	0xfe4af3…
06-01 07:12:26	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	179	28¢	$50	0xc545c8…
05-29 07:05:11	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	68	74¢	$50	0x6ef80f…
05-29 07:04:48	Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $105 by end of June?	Yes	SELL	106	30¢	$32	0xc36fad…
05-28 14:56:49	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	274	91¢	$250	0x99d6ac…
05-28 07:50:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	15	26¢	$4	0x27acb9…
05-28 07:50:10	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,217	82¢	$1,000	0x81ee3f…
05-28 07:28:39	Israel x Iran permanent peace deal by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,460	82¢	$1,200	0xb646a4…
05-27 22:17:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Up	SELL	49	75¢	$37	0xa574e7…
05-27 21:38:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	149	67¢	$100	0xa83541…
05-27 20:15:46	US x Iran permanent peace deal by June 7, 2026?	No	BUY	139	72¢	$100	0x085f56…
05-26 20:39:23	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	658	76¢	$500	0x6972dc…
05-26 11:16:43	Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	1,077	91¢	$985	0x777614…
05-26 11:13:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	SELL	9	86¢	$8	0x5781ec…
05-26 11:11:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	Down	BUY	9	44¢	$4	0x5ee4e3…
05-25 12:50:47	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	544	68¢	$370	0xbb3d0a…
05-25 08:50:17	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	400	75¢	$300	0x7d32e8…
05-24 17:36:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	18	53¢	$9	0x8ed8e0…
05-24 17:35:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	53¢	$10	0xff4dc8…
05-24 17:35:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 24, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xd1efe5…
05-24 09:14:28	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	735	68¢	$500	0xe121b2…
05-24 09:12:59	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	147	68¢	$100	0xfcbf1a…
05-24 07:40:33	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	1,462	68¢	$1,000	0xfb8132…
05-23 16:16:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xf58668…
05-23 16:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	SELL	51	72¢	$37	0x172976…
05-23 16:15:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	51	49¢	$25	0x985b37…
05-23 16:07:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xb4d088…
05-23 13:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	SELL	33	50¢	$17	0x5f1422…
05-23 13:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x64c2fc…
05-23 13:25:05	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	687	87¢	$600	0xf6bd93…
05-23 13:24:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 23, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0x4cd215…
05-23 11:42:16	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 18-24?	Yes	SELL	42	53¢	$22	0x466b74…
05-23 11:22:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 27?	No	SELL	38	61¢	$23	0x15c911…
05-23 11:20:29	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	68	67¢	$45	0xa81ec2…
05-23 07:09:28	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 May 18-24?	Yes	BUY	42	24¢	$10	0xef4c03…
05-22 22:11:54	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	297	66¢	$195	0x79bca9…
05-22 22:11:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xa04013…
05-22 22:07:25	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	68	73¢	$50	0x36a640…
05-22 21:37:03	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	229	87¢	$200	0x9bdd78…
05-22 21:33:31	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	SELL	596	78¢	$467	0x52b24f…
05-21 12:04:14	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	346	87¢	$300	0x16c1d5…
05-21 06:25:54	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	239	98¢	$233	0x378d69…
05-20 22:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	SELL	14	69¢	$10	0x0a67af…