Famous-Dulcimer — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$189

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.1%

Resolved

398

Trades

826

lifetime

Volume

$3.36K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 09-19 11:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 76 days

Categories

Other

76% 19% -$89

Politics

16% 0% -$45

Crypto

3% 79% -$7

Sports

3% 18% -$47

Pop-Culture

1% 0% $0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (29) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	2	$353	190	190	+0	No	+$8	05-13 15:34
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from May 16 to May 18, 2026?	2	$166	129	129	+0	Yes	-$34	05-18 02:27
Will Elon Musk post 60-79 tweets from May 8 to May 15, 2026?	1	$154	173	0	+173	No	+$19	05-12 16:14
Will "The Sheep Detectives" Opening Weekend Box Office be less than 12m?	4	$146	193	193	+0	No	$0	05-07 17:51
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	3	$127	73	73	+0	No	+$6	05-21 21:24
Another Trump political opponent federally charged by May 31?	3	$122	95	95	+0	No	+$0	04-30 13:26
US x Iran peace deal before Trump visits China?	2	$120	600	600	+0	No	-$36	05-09 17:21
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	6	$116	100	84	+16	No	-$16	05-22 13:03
Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $68 in May?	2	$114	120	120	+0	No	-$20	05-02 08:25
KRG declares independence from Iraq by December 31?	4	$108	280	280	+0	open	—	05-03 03:32
Will Andrea Martella win the 2026 Venice mayoral election?	2	$108	85	85	+0	No	-$1	04-29 02:27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) hit (HIGH) $216 in May?	4	$106	102	102	+0	Yes	-$6	05-01 05:53
Will Keir Starmer say "Mr. Speaker" 30+ times during the next Prime Minister's Questions event?	2	$91	139	139	+0	Yes	-$8	04-29 02:14
Will New York use a new congressional map for the 2026 United States midterm elections?	3	$89	250	250	+0	No	-$6	05-04 16:36
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	4	$79	62	62	+0	No	+$2	05-21 13:55
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $93 on May 7?	2	$65	100	100	+0	Yes	+$1	05-07 11:51
Will "Michael" 2nd Weekend Box Office be between 35m and 38m?	5	$59	65	65	+0	Yes	+$0	05-07 14:32
Will Drake feature EsDeeKid on ICEMAN?	3	$49	42	42	+0	No	$0	04-28 13:18
Will 75-99 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between April 27-May 3?	3	$38	40	40	+0	No	+$0	04-28 14:15
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from May 23 to May 25, 2026?	2	$36	25	25	+0	Yes	+$4	05-22 16:10
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 18?	3	$29	30	30	+0	Yes	+$28	06-18 10:43
Internationaux de Strasbourg: Victoria Mboko vs Jaqueline Cristian	7	$27	34	34	+0	Victoria Mboko	-$3	05-22 17:20
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 26°C on June 16?	3	$27	40	40	+0	Yes	+$25	06-16 05:43
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 500 519	2	$27	16	16	+0	No	+$4	01-08 18:25
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 12 to May 19, 2026?	1	$25	29	0	+29	No	+$4	05-19 12:41
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 560 579	1	$25	42	0	+42	Yes	-$25	01-09 11:54
Eli Lilly licenses Peptron’s SmartDepot by October 7?	2	$22	20	20	+0	No	+$0	05-07 06:42
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from May 15 to May 22, 2026?	2	$21	30	30	+0	No	+$1	05-20 16:32
Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 27°C on June 17?	3	$21	20	20	+0	Yes	+$18	06-17 07:01
Will the NYT front-page headlines say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week?	4	$19	50	50	+0	No	+$2	04-30 04:38

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
09-19 11:43:14	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	SELL	1	81¢	$1	0x4ded74…
09-18 06:58:51	Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC win on 2026-09-19?	No	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0xd90046…
08-27 07:08:16	Will Al-Shamal win on 2026-08-27?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0x2fdb09…
08-25 19:58:34	Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 0.5	Over	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x4e87ea…
08-25 19:53:21	Valencia CF vs. Real Betis Balompié: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x69cdad…
08-25 15:46:10	Will Real Madrid CF win on 2026-08-26?	Yes	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x5a7efe…
08-16 18:08:27	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from August 15 to August 17, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x3e3af4…
08-13 13:19:10	Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x354b64…
08-12 19:51:36	Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from August 7 to August 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x427e41…
08-11 21:42:40	Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from August 10 to August 12, 2026?	No	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x65c071…
08-10 21:39:24	Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from August 4 to August 11, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x527a7c…
07-11 11:41:23	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	9	2¢	$0	0xbe9d56…
07-11 10:31:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 31°C on July 12?	Yes	BUY	1	2¢	$0	0x4ee388…
07-10 16:08:49	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 11?	Yes	BUY	4	1¢	$0	0x7dbbe6…
07-10 15:13:28	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 41°C or higher on July 11?	Yes	BUY	6	1¢	$0	0xbd999d…
07-10 12:41:29	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 40°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xfea304…
07-09 20:26:29	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 11?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x1210bd…
07-07 05:19:01	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 30°C on July 7?	Yes	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xf9979c…
07-06 04:15:44	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 32°C on July 6?	Yes	BUY	2	70¢	$2	0xdb9f6a…
07-04 04:33:35	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on July 4?	Yes	BUY	2	87¢	$1	0xbffe84…
07-03 05:33:34	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on July 3?	Yes	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0xf04539…
07-02 03:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on July 2?	Yes	BUY	2	80¢	$2	0xb5295c…
07-01 01:00:29	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 23°C or below on July 1?	Yes	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xff3332…
06-30 05:08:44	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 32°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x22fc90…
06-30 05:06:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 30?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x10ffd0…
06-30 05:05:08	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	73¢	$1	0xd0f32e…
06-29 21:27:40	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 29?	No	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0xe3dce1…
06-29 21:27:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	SELL	1	100¢	$1	0x41f935…
06-29 17:56:41	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 30?	No	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0xfc469d…
06-29 05:46:56	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0d2016…
06-29 05:40:34	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x513b80…
06-28 16:45:35	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	164	0¢	$0	0x9addec…
06-28 15:44:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	32	0¢	$0	0xe99769…
06-28 15:01:56	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0x963658…
06-28 15:01:55	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	50	0¢	$0	0xd8cbfa…
06-28 15:00:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	99	0¢	$0	0x884a55…
06-28 14:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x715f87…
06-28 14:05:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1e179f…
06-28 13:30:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0xe1285b…
06-28 13:08:41	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdee721…
06-28 13:08:25	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xfec08c…
06-28 13:08:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xdd2db0…
06-28 13:07:46	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xc58fa3…
06-28 12:12:04	Will the highest temperature in Hong Kong be 29°C on June 29?	No	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xd3c6a0…
06-28 12:11:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	1	1¢	$0	0x582f01…
06-28 11:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x5079f3…
06-28 11:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x417008…
06-28 11:53:34	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	1¢	$0	0x102033…
06-28 11:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 24°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	1¢	$0	0x953c99…
06-28 11:53:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2b84a9…
06-28 11:52:59	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9d6813…
06-28 11:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x4794b3…
06-28 11:52:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x342ab9…
06-28 11:52:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xee97c1…
06-28 11:52:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa47fd5…
06-28 11:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xf3cb7c…
06-28 11:52:16	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x69a070…
06-28 11:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xd00c61…
06-28 11:52:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x1bb1f9…
06-28 11:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xa4c0db…
06-28 11:51:38	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x17c585…
06-28 11:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x606dfd…
06-28 11:51:13	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x001e4d…
06-28 11:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0xbe6a9a…
06-28 11:50:44	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x9142c9…
06-28 11:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	2¢	$0	0x985d85…
06-28 11:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x973dee…
06-28 11:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x2694ff…
06-28 11:50:11	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	2	5¢	$0	0x15c3b8…
06-28 11:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	5¢	$0	0x9feac2…
06-28 11:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x8ba114…
06-28 11:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x10d5c7…
06-28 11:50:01	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	3	0¢	$0	0x010956…
06-28 11:49:32	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 26°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	5¢	$0	0xda1fc3…
06-28 11:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x88cd89…
06-28 11:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 27°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	11¢	$1	0x73bdcf…
06-28 11:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x07e354…
06-28 11:49:31	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	0¢	$0	0x076e2c…
06-28 11:44:02	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 20°C or below on June 30?	Yes	BUY	281	0¢	$1	0x6c9f3a…
06-28 11:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 22°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	66	0¢	$0	0xf5fb59…
06-28 11:43:29	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 21°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	37	0¢	$0	0xa1b139…
06-28 11:40:37	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0xd70161…
06-28 11:39:50	Will the highest temperature in Chengdu be 25°C on June 30?	Yes	BUY	5	2¢	$0	0x6ddf53…
06-28 10:18:32	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 30°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x59a7d1…
06-28 10:18:28	Will the highest temperature in Beijing be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x84b3ab…
06-28 10:09:38	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	22	4¢	$1	0xb8c00e…
06-28 10:09:07	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 30°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x26243c…
06-28 10:08:13	Will the highest temperature in Shenzhen be 31°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x9fc571…
06-28 10:04:50	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 29°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x85674a…
06-28 10:04:49	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 28°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xf85faf…
06-28 07:43:17	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x8580dc…
06-28 05:29:31	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0xad7fb0…
06-28 05:28:50	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 26°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	3¢	$0	0x82a632…
06-28 05:27:41	Will the highest temperature in Busan be 27°C on June 29?	Yes	BUY	5	23¢	$1	0xb977e2…
06-28 04:35:59	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0x3b0752…
06-27 20:37:11	Will the highest temperature in Shanghai be 31°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	10	1¢	$0	0xe03c08…
06-27 20:14:14	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	12	3¢	$0	0xb0718f…
06-27 20:13:38	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 29°C on June 28?	Yes	SELL	19	3¢	$1	0x6e0a54…
06-27 11:29:37	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 33°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0xa9a96d…
06-27 11:28:22	Will the highest temperature in Guangzhou be 34°C on June 28?	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xa7082b…